Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio Nears Critical Death Cross: Will The Market See A Bearish Shift?
22 August 2024 - 8:00PM
NEWSBTC
A recent analysis from a CryptoQuant analyst has raised concerns
over Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Momentum. The MVRV ratio, a critical
indicator in on-chain analysis, represents the ratio between
Bitcoin’s realized and market values. It serves as a tool to assess
whether the market is overvalued or undervalued. By applying 30-day
and 365-day moving averages (DMA) to this ratio, the analyst has
observed a shift in market momentum, potentially signaling a major
market move ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Action Watch: 3
Pivotal Zones That Could Sway BTC’s Next Move A Bearish Shift On
The Horizon? In the latest assessment, the analyst under the name
‘Yonsei Dent’ highlights that Bitcoin’s 30-day moving average
has sharply declined since reaching an all-time high in
March 2024. This decline has brought the 30 DMA dangerously close
to crossing the 365 DMA; a situation often referred to as a “death
cross” in technical analysis. For context, a death cross is where a
shorter-term moving average crosses below a longer-term moving
average. In Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio, a death cross would occur if the
30-day moving average (DMA) falls below the 365-day moving average
(DMA). Historically, such events have often preceded bearish market
phases, making this a critical juncture for Bitcoin. Dent
particularly noted: In the previous cycle, after the MVRV momentum
experienced a death cross, the market entered a full-blown bearish
phase. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor whether the 30 DMA
continues to decline. If the 30 DMA finds support at the 365 DMA
and starts to rise again, it could signal a potential increase in
BTC’s price. Furthermore, Dent highlighted that the current Bitcoin
MVRV ratio now ranges between 1.8 and 1.9, suggesting that the
market value is nearly double the realized value, indicating that
while the market is not yet under significant stress, caution is
warranted. Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Bitcoin Bull Run Top
With Historically Proven Indicator Bitcoin Technical Outlook While
Dent’s analysis of the Bitcoin MVRV ratio signals a critical
juncture for Bitcoin, another renowned analyst, Javon Marks has
recently set an ambitious target for Bitcoin based on its recent
price action. According to Marks, BTC still comes from a major
Hidden Bull Divergence pattern. However, key levels remain at
$67,559, which can be a precursor to a significant rally from BTC.
Marks noted: With a break + hold that target, $116,652 comes into
play, and prices could set for an additional +72% climb to reach
it, at an even greater speed than many think. All of Bitcoin’s
recent chop after meeting $67,559 the first time may have only been
preparation for this next phase into the $100,000s. Meanwhile,
Bitcoin still trades below $60,000 with a current trading price of
$59,864, at the time of writing. According to crypto analyst Elja,
the asset’s price keeps rejecting from the 4hr 200 EMA level.
Should Bitcoin eventually surpass this level, we could see a surge
to $64,000. $BTC keeps getting rejected from the 4hr 200 EMA level
Flip and turn it into support and #Bitcoin will pump towards
$64K-$65K Otherwise, the consolidation will continue to happen!
pic.twitter.com/YIoGrVinCG — Elja (@Eljaboom) August 21, 2024
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