Bitcoin’s SOPR Nears Critical Level—Is a Deeper Correction Ahead?
12 March 2025 - 7:00PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin’s price has continued its gradual decline, now trading just
above $81,000, marking a significant drop from its all-time high
(ATH) in January. At the time of writing, BTC stands at $81,086,
reflecting a 1.7% increase in the past 24 hours but still showing a
2.3% decrease over the past week. The ongoing correction has raised
concerns among investors about whether the asset will recover or
enter a prolonged consolidation phase. While there is no definitive
reason behind Bitcoin’s ongoing price movements, CryptoQuant
analyst Darkfost has highlighted an interesting correlation between
BTC and Nasdaq According to Darkfost, Bitcoin is currently more
correlated with the Nasdaq index than with the S&P 500,
suggesting that macroeconomic factors and broader market sentiment
are playing a role in BTC’s performance. This correlation indicates
that external market trends, such as changes in US equity markets
and monetary policy decisions, might be influencing Bitcoin’s price
direction. Related Reading: Michael Saylor’s Strategy Unveils $21
Billion Stock Issuance For Bitcoin Investment Short-Term Holder
SOPR and Bitcoin’s Market Cycle Amid Bitcoin’s price fluctuations,
CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi has examined the Short-Term
Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) EMA (155), which provides
insights into market cycles and investor behavior. According to
Mevsimi, SOPR EMA (155) recently peaked and is now declining,
signaling that short-term holders are realizing fewer profits. This
trend could indicate that the market is entering a consolidation
phase. The analyst further explained that if SOPR approaches 1 and
holds as support, it may signal a healthy market reset before the
next potential uptrend. However, if SOPR drops below 1, it could
indicate increased selling pressure, which may lead to further
market weakness. Mevsimi emphasized that for Bitcoin’s bullish
trend, which began in early 2023, to continue, SOPR should
stabilize around 1 and then trend upward again. Failure to hold
this level may suggest a shift in market dynamics, putting
Bitcoin’s long-term growth trajectory into question. Whale
Accumulation Continues Amid Market Correction While short-term
price action remains uncertain, another CryptoQuant analyst,
caueconomy, has highlighted a significant accumulation trend among
large Bitcoin holders. Over the last 30 days, Bitcoin whales have
added over 65,000 BTC to their holdings, reflecting strong buying
pressure from major network participants. Caueconomy noted that
this accumulation is occurring despite the broader market
correction, suggesting that whales are absorbing supply rather than
selling off their holdings. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Downtrend
Continues, But Analyst Predicts $180K Target—Is It Possible? This
behavior contrasts with miners and exchanges, which often offload
BTC to maintain liquidity. If the current accumulation pattern
continues for several more weeks, it could resemble the consistent
buying pressure seen between November and December, which helped
Bitcoin rally in late 2023. Featured image created with DALL-E,
Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Feb 2025 to Mar 2025
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Mar 2024 to Mar 2025