Is Bitcoin’s $100K Just the Beginning? Key Insights from Supply Distribution Data
06 December 2024 - 6:00PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has reached a landmark moment in its history earlier today,
crossing the $100,000 price mark for the first time and cementing
its position once again as the largest cryptocurrency by market
capitalization. As it stands, BTC all-time high is at roughly
$103,679. This significant achievement has prompted a detailed
analysis of its supply distribution, offering valuable insights
into the behavior of long-term and short-term holders and the
broader implications for the Bitcoin market. Related Reading:
Bitcoin’s Silent Whales: Rising Exchange Inflows Hint at Market’s
Next Big Move Supply Distribution and Market Behaviour Amid the
excitement of Bitcoin’s new all-time high, an analysis from
CryptoQuant’s analyst, Crazzyblockk, sheds light on how this
milestone impacts the cryptocurrency’s realized cap and the broader
market structure. While the milestone reflects growing global
adoption and investment confidence, it also raises questions about
the potential trajectory of the market. According to the analysis,
Bitcoin’s supply is currently divided between two key groups of
holders: long-term holders (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs).
CryptoQuant data reveals that out of Bitcoin’s total supply, over
14.5 million BTC are held by LTHs, while nearly 5 million BTC are
in the hands of STHs. Despite the price surge, only 52% of
Bitcoin’s realized cap is attributed to STHs, a stark contrast to
previous market peaks where this figure typically exceeded 80%.
Historically, Bitcoin’s realized cap trends reveal distinct
behaviors during market cycles. During bear market phases, most
realized cap shifts towards LTHs as accumulation intensifies,
signaling the end of the bearish trend. Conversely, during bull
market peaks, the realized cap tends to be dominated by STHs,
driven by speculative trading and short-term profits. However, the
current distribution shows a higher concentration among LTHs,
indicating a deviation from traditional market patterns.
Implications for Bitcoin’s Market Momentum According to the
CryptoQuant analyst, the relatively low realized cap held by STHs
in the current market cycle suggests reduced selling pressure,
which may support sustained price growth. The analyst revealed that
with a significant proportion of Bitcoin held by LTHs, market
confidence appears strong, potentially providing a buffer against
abrupt price corrections. This stability is crucial as it reflects
long-term investor trust and reduces the likelihood of speculative
volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Move? Coinbase Premium
Suggests a Short-Term Rally May Be Brewing In addition, the
analysis also highlights that this supply distribution aligns with
a long-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin. The reduced participation
of STHs in the realized cap indicates room for further upward
movement as more capital may enter the market without triggering a
significant sell-off. The analyst wrote: In conclusion, Bitcoin
reaching $100,000 is a historic achievement, but the current supply
dynamics suggest the potential for further upward movement, given
the stability provided by LTHs and the relatively low participation
of STHs in the realized cap. Featured image created with DALL-E,
Chart from TradingView
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