Canadian Dollar Falls Ahead Of Canada CPI Data
15 October 2024 - 12:12PM
RTTF2
The Canadian dollar weakened against other major currencies in
the Asian session on Tuesday, as traders await the release of the
latest Canadian consumer inflation figures due later on the day.
The drop of crude oil prices also undermined the currency.
Traders speculate that the nation's inflation data for
September, due later in the day is unlikely to provide any optimism
for the Canadian dollar, as the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely
expected to cut interest rates by an additional 50 basis points on
its October 23 monetary policy meeting.
Crude oil prices fell sharply on Monday, weighed down by another
downward revision in demand forecast by OPEC, and concerns about
demand from China. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures ended
down $1.73 or about 2.29 percent at $73.83 a barrel.
Traders also bet that the U.S. Fed will proceed with modest rate
cuts in the near term after recent data showed that producer prices
were unexpectedly unchanged in September, while the annual growth
rate slowed modestly.
Traders speculate that the Fed will reduce rates by 25 basis
points next month, even as chances of a further 50 basis point cut
have mostly vanished. CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently
indicating an 86.1 percent chance the Fed will cut rates by a
quarter point at its November meeting.
In the Asian trading now, the Canadian dollar fell to nearly a
2-1/2-month low of 1.3807 against the U.S. dollar, from yesterday's
closing value of 1.3795. The loonie may test support near the 1.39
region.
Against the yen, the euro and the Australian dollar, the loonie
dropped to 108.31, 1.5057 and 0.9288 from Monday's closing quotes
of 108.55, 1.5049 and 0.9277, respectively. If the loonie extends
its downtrend, it is likely to find support around 104.00 against
the yen, 1.52 against the euro and 0.94 against the aussie.
Looking ahead, Germany's wholesale prices for September and U.K.
jobs data for August are due to be released at 2:00 am ET in the
pre-European session.
In the European session, Eurozone industrial production for
August and Germany's ZEW economic sentiment index for October are
slated for release.
In the New York session, Canada CPI data for September, U.S. NY
Empire State manufacturing index for October, U.S. Redbook report
and U.S. consumer inflation expectations for September are set to
be released.
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