The uptick in early-stage homebuying activity immediately after the election is continuing, despite high home prices and mortgage rates

(NASDAQ: RDFN) — Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index is sitting near its highest level since September 2023, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

Redfin’s Homebuyer Demand Index—a seasonally adjusted measure of tours and other buying services from Redfin agents—is up 7% year over year. Mortgage-purchase applications are up 17% month over month to their highest level since late January.

Pending home sales rose 6.5% from a year earlier during the four weeks ending December 1, on par with the annual increases Redfin has seen over the last two months.

There are a few reasons house hunters are coming out of the woodwork despite high mortgage rates and home prices:

  • Many people were waiting for the election to pass before getting serious about buying a home. Redfin saw a burst in early-stage homebuying activity, like home tours, immediately after the election, and it has continued.
  • Buyers have grown accustomed to elevated mortgage rates, and many have accepted they’re unlikely to come down anytime soon. The current weekly average rate is 6.81%, roughly the middle of the 6% to 7.8% range seen over the last two years.

“The market is strong, with a lot of pent-up demand after a slow summer and early fall,” said Mimi Trieu, a Redfin Premier agent in the Bay Area. “Buyers realized mortgage rates may not drop below 5%, and probably not below 6%, in the near future. They are also noticing there are not many desirable, move-in ready homes for sale that are priced reasonably, so they’re pushing forward and negotiating for good deals. Homes that have been sitting on the market since the summer or early fall are finally selling.”

On the for-sale side, new listings are up 3% year over year. Though that’s a modest increase, it’s the biggest in two months (with the exception of the prior 4-week period, when the year-over-year increase was inflated because of Thanksgiving).

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.86% (Dec. 4)

Down from 7.08% two weeks earlier

Down from 7.11%

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.81% (week ending Nov. 27)

Highest level since July

Down from 7.22%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Up 6% from a week earlier (as of week ending Nov. 29)

Down 21%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted)

 

Up 4% from a month earlier

(as of week ending Dec. 1)

Up 7%

 

 

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index a measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents

Touring activity

 

Down 36% from the start of the year (as of Dec. 1)

At this time last year, it was down 25% from the start of 2023

ShowingTime, a home touring technology company

Google searches for “home for sale”

 

Unchanged from a month earlier (as of Dec. 1)

Unchanged

 

Google Trends

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending Dec. 1, 2024

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and is based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending Dec. 1, 2024

Year-over-year change

Notes

Median sale price

$383,460

6.1%

 

Median asking price

$382,723

5.1%

 

Median monthly mortgage payment

$2,556 at a 6.81% mortgage rate

3.3%

Lowest level in 2 months

Pending sales

66,396

6.5%

 

New listings

65,322

3%

 

Active listings

991,732

11.1%

Smallest increase since March

Months of supply

4.3

+0.2 pts.

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions.

Share of homes off market in two weeks

28.6%

Down from 31%

 

Median days on market

42

+7 days

 

Share of homes sold above list price

24.6%

Down from 27%

 

Average sale-to-list price ratio

98.5%

-0.2 pts.

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending Dec. 1, 2024

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

Detroit (14%)

Newark, NJ (13%)

Warren, MI (12.1%)

Miami (11.5%)

Montgomery County, PA (11.1%)

Tampa, FL (-1.5%)

Dallas (-0.5%)

San Antonio (-0.4%)

 

 

Declined in 3 metros

Pending sales

San Jose, CA (20.1%)

Cincinnati (15.9%)

San Francisco (15.5%)

Jacksonville, FL (13.7%)

Tampa, FL (13.6%)

Miami (-11%)

West Palm Beach, FL (-6.5%)

Fort Lauderdale, FL (-4.9%)

Houston (-3.3%)

Atlanta (-1.8%)

Declined in 7 metros

 

 

New listings

Washington, D.C. (14.6%)

Philadelphia (13.3%)

Baltimore (11.8%)

Jacksonville, FL (11.3%)

Phoenix (9.5%)

San Antonio (-19.8%)

Austin, TX (-18.7%)

Portland, OR (-10.3)

Atlanta (-9.6%)

Newark, NJ (-8.3%)

Declined in 16 metros

To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-homebuying-demand-tours-rise/

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, and title insurance services. We run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our customers can save thousands in fees while working with a top agent. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1.6 billion in commissions. We serve approximately 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.

Redfin’s subsidiaries and affiliated brands include: Bay Equity Home Loans®, Rent.™, Apartment Guide®, Title Forward® and WalkScore®.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

Contact Redfin Redfin Journalist Services: Isabelle Novak press@redfin.com

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