After-tax
NPV8 of US$1.2 billion and IRR of 29%
TORONTO, Jan. 23,
2024 /CNW/ - Aclara Resources Inc. ("Aclara" or the
"Company") (TSX: ARA) is pleased to announce the results
of a preliminary economic analysis (the "PEA") on
its regolith-hosted ion adsorption clay project located in the
State of Goiás, Brazil, known as the Carina Module (the
"Project").
The technical report titled "Preliminary Economic Assessment -
Carina Rare Earth Element Project - Nova Roma, Goiás, Brazil" (the "Report" or "Carina Module
PEA") and dated January 12,
2024 and was prepared in accordance with National Instrument
43-101- Standards of Disclosure for Mineral
Projects ("NI 43-101") by G21 Consultoria
Mineral ("GE21"), a specialized, independent mineral consulting
company located in Belo
Horizonte, Brazil. The Report, which has an effective
date of November 3,
2023, supports the disclosure made by Aclara in its
December 12, 2023 press release
announcing the maiden mineral resources estimate (MRE) for the
Project ("December 2023 Press
Release"). There are no material differences in the mineral
resources or results of the preliminary economic assessment as
described in the Report and the results disclosed in the
December 2023 Press Release. The
Report has been filed, and can be found under the
Company's profile, on SEDAR+ (www.sedarplus.ca) and on
Aclara's website (www.aclara-re.com).
Highlights
- Robust economics
- After-tax Net Present Value of ~US$1.2
billion using an 8% discount rate
- 29% internal rate of return over the 17-year life of mine
- Low initial capital costs of US$576
million with a payback period of 3.6 years
- Average annual1 net revenue and EBITDA of
US$474 million and US$340 million, respectively
- Low average production cost of US$13.1 per tonne
- Long-term rare earth price forecasts provided by Argus Media
and Adamas Intelligence, underpinned by compelling supply/demand
fundamentals
- Significant production of magnetic REEs
- Average annual1 production of 208 tonnes DyTb
representing approximately 13.7% of China's 2023 official
production2
- Average annual1 production of 1,190 tonnes NdPr
contributing to a balanced mix of light and heavy REEs in the final
product
- High product quality
- Concentration of REEs in the mixed carbonate of
91.9%3
- Very high content of DyTb and NdPr at 4.7% and 26.4%,
respectively
- High purity product facilitates further separation and
recoveries
- Low environmental impact
- Process designed to minimize environmental impact: it does not
use explosives; there is no crushing nor milling; approximately 95%
of the water used is recirculated; the main reagent is a common
fertilizer; no liquid residue is produced, negating the need of a
tailings dam
- Minimal CO2 footprint is supported by a combination
of low energy consumption and a high percentage of renewable energy
within the Goiás power grid
- Expedited path to early production
- The pilot plant, currently in operation, de-risks metallurgical
recoveries
- The State of Goiás has fully approved another ionic clay REE
producer (Serra Verde), thereby establishing a significant
precedent that provides a positive permitting background for new
projects in this State
- Commissioning estimated to commence in 2029
- Upside potential
- Drilling campaign underway to increase mineral resources
- Metallurgical optimizations have been identified
________________________________________________
|
1 Annual
average does not consider the first year of ramp-up and the last
year of ramp-down.
|
2 The
Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published
their 2023 rare earth oxides quotas for mining production in China
at 255,000 tonnes (235,857 tonnes for light REEs and 19,143 tonnes
for heavy REEs). The resulting production of DyTb is approximately
1,520 tonnes.
|
3 Purity is
expressed as REO equivalent.
|
Aclara CEO, Ramon Barua, commented:
"We extend our gratitude to our dedicated team for the swift
progress achieved in bringing the Carina Project to
this pivotal stage. As a company committed to making a lasting
impact in the rare earths market, our strategic focus on
sustainability and responsible production aligns with the success
seen in the Project PEA. The positive
results of the Carina Module PEA showcase a
robust economic profile with an after-tax NPV of US$1.2 billion and an IRR of 29%, setting a
strong foundation for the module's future
development.
We recognize the importance of minimizing environmental
impact. The Project design emphasizes eco-friendly
practices, avoiding explosives and milling, maximizing water
recirculation, and employing a common fertilizer as
the main reagent. With a process designed to minimize its
CO2 footprint, we are dedicated to
ensuring that our operations align with sustainable practices and
global environmental standards.
As we embark on an ambitious drilling campaign and identify
metallurgical optimizations, our sights are set on maximizing the
upside potential of the Project. Permitting, a key
aspect to be addressed in our expedited path to production, is
expected to be well supported by our patented flowsheet, our focus
on social development and maintaining a close
relationship with the forward-looking State of
Goiás. With commissioning estimated by 2029, we are
confident that the Project will play a
pivotal role in meeting the growing demand for high-quality rare
earths, further solidifying our position as a key supplier of these
critical elements."
On Tuesday January
23rd, 2024, Aclara will host a conference call to discuss the
Carina Module PEA.
The call will
include remarks from Aclara Resources' CEO Ramon Barua, and
other members of the Company's management team. It will also
feature a question-and-answer session.
REGISTER
HERE: https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/7962331592457482332
DATE: Tuesday January 23rd, 2023.
TIME: 11:00 am Eastern Time/ 8:00 am Pacific
Time
A replay of the
call, together with supporting presentation slides, will be made
available on Aclara's website
at www.aclara-re.com. After registering, you
will receive a confirmation email containing information about
joining the webinar.
|
Key Project
Parameters
Table 1 lists the relevant parameters associated with the
Project's operating and financial metrics.
Table 1: Key Project Operating & Financial
Parameters
|
Unit
|
Total
|
Annual
Average*
|
Mining and
Processing
|
|
|
|
Life of
Mine
|
years
|
17
|
-
|
Total Process Plant
Feed
|
million tonnes
(dry)
|
149.5
|
9.6
|
Total Waste
Mined
|
million tonnes
(dry)
|
43.3
|
2.6
|
Strip Ratio
|
-
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
Production
|
|
|
|
Total Rare Earth
Oxides
|
tonnes
|
70,307
|
4,498
|
Neodymium &
Praseodymium (NdPr)
|
tonnes
|
18,546
|
1,190
|
Dysprosium
(Dy)
|
tonnes
|
2,802
|
178
|
Terbium
(Tb)
|
tonnes
|
479
|
30
|
Financials
|
|
|
|
Net Revenue
|
US$ million
|
7,355
|
474
|
Net Smelter
Return
|
US$/t
|
49.2
|
-
|
Production
Cost
|
US$ million
|
1,965
|
125
|
Unit Cost
|
US$/t
|
13.1
|
-
|
EBITDA
|
US$ million
|
5,243
|
340
|
EBITDA
Margin
|
%
|
71
|
-
|
Income Tax
|
US$ million
|
1,532
|
101
|
Effective Tax
Rate
|
%
|
36.2
|
-
|
Initial
Capital
|
US$ million
|
576
|
-
|
Royalty Purchase
Cost
|
US$ million
|
6.5
|
-
|
Sustaining
Capital
|
US$ million
|
106
|
-
|
Financial
Returns
|
|
|
|
Pre-Tax Net Present
Value (8%)
|
US$ million
|
1,880
|
-
|
Pre-Tax Internal Rate
of Return
|
%
|
35.7
|
-
|
Post-Tax Net Present
Value (8%)
|
US$ million
|
1,186
|
-
|
Post-Tax Internal Rate
of Return
|
%
|
28.6
|
-
|
Payback
Period
|
years
|
3.6
|
-
|
*Note: Annual average
does not include the first year of ramp-up and the last year of
ramp-down
|
Sensitivity Analysis
A sensitivity analysis was undertaken to evaluate the impact on
NPV by varying the following attributes:
- basket list price
- discount rate
- CAPEX
- OPEX
- metallurgical recoveries
The discount rate was evaluated by varying its value from 4 to
12% while the remaining attributes were evaluated by varying their
values from 80 to 120% (Figure 2).
Mineral Resource
Statement
The mineral resource has been estimated using the results
obtained from 201 auger drill holes (1,630
m) and 1,418 samples. At a US$7.4/t NSR cut-off, the mineral resource
is estimated to contain 168.1 million tonnes ("Mt") in the
Inferred category @ 1,510 ppm TREO containing an average Dy
and Tb grade of 42.1 ppm and 6.9 ppm, respectively (Table 2).
The mineral resource is reported in accordance with the
requirements of NI 43-101.
Table 2. Carina Module Inferred Mineral
Resource Estimate (Effective November
3, 2023)
Mineral
Classification
|
Mass
(Mt)
|
Total Oxide Grade
(ppm)
|
Oxide Content
(t)
|
TREO
|
NdPr
|
Dy
|
Tb
|
TREO
|
NdPr
|
Dy
|
Tb
|
Inferred
|
168.1
|
1,510
|
296.5
|
42.1
|
6.9
|
253,853
|
49,832
|
7,077
|
1,163
|
Total
|
168.1
|
1,510
|
296.5
|
42.1
|
6.9
|
253,853
|
49,832
|
7,077
|
1,163
|
Notes:
|
1. CIM (2014)
definitions were followed for mineral resources.
|
2. Mineral
resources are estimated above a net smelter return value of 7.4
US$/t.
|
3. Mineral
resources are estimated using average long term metal prices and
metallurgical recoveries (see Carina Module PEA for
details).
|
4. Mineral
resources are not mineral reserves and do not have demonstrated
economic viability.
|
Project Description
The Project is based on standard open pit extraction techniques
using conventional hydraulic excavators and 44-t payload
haulage trucks to extract and deliver the clays to the process
plant. The process plant has been located close to the centre of
mass of the mining operation to minimise the total haulage distance
over the life of the mine. Given the friable nature of the clays
and the shallow depth of the extraction zones, no aggressive
nor energy-intensive techniques such as drilling and blasting are
required to extract the clays from the pits. Table 3 list the key
input parameters used in the mine design.
Table 3: Key Mine
Design Parameters
Description
|
Unit
|
Value
|
Pit
Optimization
|
|
|
Overall Slope
Angle
|
degree
|
25
|
Reference Mining
Cost
|
US$/t mined
|
2.13
|
Mining
Recovery
|
%
|
95
|
Mining
Dilution
|
%
|
5
|
Processing
Cost
|
US$/t
processed
|
10.46
|
Selling
Cost
|
US$/kg REO
|
7.032
|
Federal
Royalty
|
% of revenue
|
2
|
REO Price
|
US$/kg REO
|
variable by
REO
|
Pit
design
|
|
|
Bench
Height
|
m
|
4
|
Berm Width
|
m
|
3.5
|
Bench Slope
Angle
|
degree
|
38
|
Ramp Width
|
m
|
12
|
Ramp
Gradient
|
%
|
10
|
Scheduling
|
|
|
Minimum Operational
Area
|
m
|
25
|
Plant feed
|
Mt/year
|
9.5
|
Mining
Recovery
|
%
|
98.5
|
Mining
Dilution
|
%
|
1.5
|
Once the clay is delivered to the process plant, it will be
washed using an ammonium sulfate solution to extract the
REEs from the clay surfaces. No crushing, grinding nor milling
is needed to free the REEs from the clays as they are
extracted through a non-invasive ion-exchange reaction process
whereby ammonium sulfate ions replace REE ions on the surface of
the clay thereby liberating the REEs into solution. The REEs in
solution are then removed through a pH-adjusted precipitation
process and then passed through a high-pressure filter to remove
any remaining liquids, resulting in the production of a
high-purity REE carbonate ready for shipment to a separation
facility. The process plant will have an average production rate of
4,498 t/year of REO within the
concentrates.
Any unwanted impurities such as aluminium and
calcium that have been extracted from the clays during
the ion exchange process are similarly removed through a
precipitation process and then recombined with the washed clays
before being transported to a dry stacking storage
facility for the first five years of the life of
mine. Beginning in Year 6, the washed clays will be
back-filled to the mined-out extraction zones to initiate the mine
closure process.
A water recovery system integrated into the process plant cleans
and regenerates the remaining process liquors such that they can be
reintroduced into the feed. The treated water is reused in a
closed circuit to reduce water consumption thereby
preventing the release of process water into the environment.
This allows the process plant to operate with the minimum of
make-up water and allows the main reagents to be regenerated
and reused within the process plant.
Before the barren clays exit the process plant,
they are washed with clean water within
standard plate-and-frame filter presses. This will remove any
residual ammonium sulfate from the clays before they are
returned to either a dry stacking facility or used to back-fill the
extraction zones to be safely used during
revegetation.
The Project include the necessary infrastructure to
provide of make-up water for the process plant, supply power
to the site, and provide a road network to service the
operation, amongst others.
Electrical power for the processing plant, truck shop,
administration offices, and other facilities will be supplied by
the national power utility through overhead power transmission
lines from a sub-station located approximately 90 km from the
Project site.
REE Market
Outlook4
Vehicle electrification, wind turbines and the transition to
renewable energy sources will continue to drive demand for
REEs in terms of volume and, especially, value. This
will primarily affect the REEs used in alloys to fabricate
permanent magnets: Dy, Nd, Pr, and Tb. The supply of clean heavy
REEs, especially Dy, has become problematic because few projects
target heavy REE deposits. For the medium term, the market will
continue to rely on China and
Myanmar for heavy REE
feedstocks.
The near-term forecast is for further price gains and the
average prices of permanent magnet REEs are expected to be 15–25%
higher in 2024 than 2023. In the medium to long term, Argus Media
expects permanent magnet REE prices to increase steadily for the
remainder of the decade, with the possibility that they could pick
up more quickly in the early 2030s without more supply from new
projects. Dy prices are expected to continue to outperform the
general permanent magnet REE market due to a significant
supply/demand imbalance in the early 2030s (Table 4, Figure
3).
Table 4: Dysprosium Price Forecast
|
2022
|
2023
|
2025
|
2028
|
2033
|
Price (US$/kg) Base
Case
|
384
|
330
|
415
|
510
|
945
|
Price (US$/kg)
Optimistic
|
384
|
330
|
435
|
520
|
1,140
|
Price (US$/kg)
Pessimistic
|
384
|
330
|
395
|
465
|
760
|
Total supply (1,000 t
REO)
|
1.9
|
2.8
|
3.1
|
3.8
|
4.0
|
Total demand (1,000 t
REO)
|
2.8
|
3.4
|
4.3
|
5.3
|
7.0
|
Surplus/deficit
index (2018=100)
|
98
|
97
|
93
|
84
|
60
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_________________________
|
4 Argus
Media
|
Two external factors could affect future REE prices, both
with the potential to push prices upwards: so-called 'green'
premiums; and critical material policies (especially in
Europe and the USA). While there is currently no system or
regulation for green premiums in the REE sector, Europe's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism
(CBAM) is pointing the way in terms of carbon emissions. There will
be a gradual phase-in of the CBAM from 2026 to 2034 the effect of
which can already been seen in steel pricing forecasts.
Perhaps even more relevant to future REE prices are the
critical materials policies/regulations being enacted globally,
specifically the EU Critical Raw Materials Act and the US Inflation
Reduction Act. These regulations/legislations are focussed on
creating raw material supply chains that are not reliant on
China, which should provide
advantages to non-Chinese suppliers of REEs in terms of market
access and, potentially, pricing premiums. In May 2023, the US Department of Energy identified
Dy as the most critical mineral in terms of its importance to the
energy sector and the risks of supply chain disruption.
Targeted Development
Timeline
The permitting process is already underway and the technical
development of the Project will continue with a bankable
feasibility study scheduled to be delivered in 2026 and
the commencement of operations in 2030 (Table 5).
Proposed Next Steps
- Q1 2024: produce REE carbonate samples by processing the
Project's ionic clays at Aclara's pilot plant in Chile
- Q1 2024: initiate environmental baseline, radiography,
archeological, speleological (cave) and hydrogeological
studies
- Q2 2024: commence prefeasibility study
- Q2 2024: complete a 9,090-meter reverse circulation drilling
campaign across the Project's mineral resource to test the
extension of the mineralization at depth. Currently, 1,374 meters
within 52 drill holes have already been executed with an average
saprolite mineralization depth of 22 meters
Qualified Persons
The technical information in this press release has been
reviewed and approved by geologist Fábio Xavier and mining engineer
Porfírio Cabaleiro Rodriguez, both associated with
GE21 Consultoria Mineral, as well as Chemical Engineer Stuart
J Saich of Promet101 Consulting Pty Ltd. GE21 is a
specialized, independent mineral consulting company based in
Belo Horizonte, Brazil, and
Promet101 is an independent process engineering consulting
company based in Santiago,
Chile.
Mr. Xavier is a Member of Australian Institute of Geoscientists
(MAIG #5179) and is a Qualified Person as defined under NI 43-101.
He is responsible for the mineral resource estimate and has
reviewed and approved the scientific and technical information
related to the mineral resource estimate contained in this press
release.
Mr. Rodriguez is a fellow of the Australian Institute of
Geoscientists (FAIG #3708) and is a Qualified Person as
defined under NI 43-101. He has more than 40 years of
experience in mineral resource/reserve estimation and is the leader
of the Project acting as overall supervisor with respect to the
objectives of the Report.
Messrs. Rodriguez and Xavier visited the Project from
August 16 to August 18, 2023,
during the execution of the auger drilling campaign conducted by
the GE21 team under the coordination of Geologist André Costa
(FAIG#7967). The visit was supported by Aclara's Exploration
Manager, Luiz Jorge Frutuoso
Junior.
Mr. Saich is a professional chemical engineer with more
than 37 years' relevant experience in metallurgy and process design
development. He is with a member of the Australian
Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (FAUSIMM, (#222028),
the Canadian Institute of Mining (CIM # 631368), the Society
for Mining, Exploration & Metallurgy (SME# 04101270) and
is a Qualified Person as defined under NI 43-101.
About Aclara
Aclara Resources Inc. (TSX: ARA) is a development-stage company
that focuses on heavy rare earth mineral resources hosted in
Ion-Adsorption Clay deposits. The Company currently has two
projects under development: the Penco Module in the
Bio-Bio Region of Chile, and the
Carina Project in the State of Goiás, Brazil.
Aclara's REE extraction process offers several
environmentally attractive features. It does not involve blasting,
crushing, or milling, and therefore does not generate
tailings, thus eliminating the need for a tailings
storage facility. The extraction process developed by
Aclara minimizes water consumption through high levels of
water recirculation made possible by the inclusion of a water
treatment facility within its patented process design. The
ionic clay feedstock is amenable to leaching with a common
fertilizer, ammonium sulfate. Further, harmful levels of
radionuclides, typical of hard rock rare earth
deposits, are not concentrated within the Aclara
flowsheet.
Simultaneously, alongside the development of the Carina and
Penco projects, the Company intends to identify and evaluate
further opportunities to increase future production of
heavy REEs. This will involve greenfield exploration programs and
the development of additional projects within the Company's
concessions in Brazil,
Chile, and Peru.
Forward-Looking
Statements
This press release contains "forward-looking information"
within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, which
reflects the Company's current expectations regarding future
events, including statements with regard to: mineral continuity,
grade, methodology, development timeline, production timing and
upside at the Carina Module, the Company's exploration plan,
drilling campaigns and activities in Brazil and the expectations of the Company's
management as to the results of such exploration works and drilling
activities; timing, cost and scope in respect of the exploration
activities in Brazil, the results
and interpretations of its maiden MRE relating to the Carina
Module, the timing and issuance of a prefeasibility study for the
Carina Module, the initiation and timing of environmental,
archeological and geological studies for the Carina Module and the
contemplated development of greenfield targets and expected
reduction in permitting risk. Forward-looking information is
based on a number of assumptions and is subject to a number of
risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company's
control. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited
to risks related to operating in a foreign jurisdiction, including
political and economic problems in Chile and Brazil; risks related to changes to mining
laws and regulations and the termination or non-renewal of mining
rights by governmental authorities; risks related to failure to
comply with the law or obtain necessary permits and licenses or
renew them; compliance with environmental regulations can be
costly; actual production, capital and operating costs may be
different than those anticipated; the Company may be not able to
successfully complete the development, construction and start-up of
mines and new development projects; risks related to mining
operations; and dependence on the Penco Module and/or the Carina
Module. Aclara cautions that the foregoing list of factors is not
exhaustive. For a detailed discussion of the foregoing factors,
among others, please refer to the risk factors discussed under
"Risk Factors" in the Company's annual information form dated as of
March 28, 2023, filed on the
Company's SEDAR+ profile. Actual results and timing
could differ materially from those projected herein. Unless
otherwise noted or the context otherwise indicates, the
forward-looking information contained in this press release is
provided as of the date of this press release and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update such forward-looking
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as expressly required under applicable
securities laws.
Aclara Resources has
engaged Reflex Media to provide marketing services in connection
with a digital marketing campaign aimed at increasing the knowledge
and awareness of the Company to new audiences.
|
SOURCE Aclara Resources Inc.