CALGARY,
AB, Dec. 15, 2022 /CNW/ - Bonterra Energy
Corp. (www.bonterraenergy.com) (TSX: BNE) ("Bonterra" or the
"Company") announced today that the Company's Board of Directors
has approved a fully-funded 2023 capital expenditures budget
ranging between $120 to $125 million, which is expected to grow
production volumes through the year to exit 2023 between 14,100 and
14,400 BOE per day3 with annual average production between 13,500
and 13,700 BOE per day1. This budget incorporates
measured capital allocation opportunities and affords Bonterra the
ability to adjust capital spending in response to changes in the
commodity markets, while also enabling the pursuit of
growth-oriented acquisition opportunities designed to enhance the
production base, formulate new core areas and expand the Company's
drilling inventory in the high-value Cardium fairway.
"2023 represents a new era for Bonterra as we advance forward
with new leadership, a refreshed vision, and a more supportive debt
structure that affords us flexibility to freely allocate capital
across our high-quality, oil-weighted Cardium asset base," said
Patrick Oliver, President and CEO of
the Company. "We are very pleased to outline this fully-funded 2023
capital program and guidance, designed to expand production and
reserves while generating Free Funds Flow2 that can
support further growth initiatives, continued strengthening of the
balance sheet, and pursuing strategic acquisitions that enhance our
production base and add quality drilling inventory. Our 2023 budget
supports Bonterra's ultimate goal of restoring a returns-based
business model that is structured to deliver sustainable dividends
to shareholders by the end of 2023."
Fully Funded 2023 Capital Budget
The Company's 2023 budget is designed to provide optionality
around the capital program's execution, and provide a base level of
stability to support modest growth in 2023, which is expected to
build momentum for growth in 2024. Through 2023, a primary goal for
Bonterra is to generate meaningful funds flow2 net of
development capital and decommissioning expenditures settled ("Free
Funds Flow2"), and ramp up production through the year
with a targeted exit rate between 14,100 and 14,400 BOE per
day3, representing approximately 10 percent growth in
exit rate volumes year-over-year, setting the Company up for
continued growth through 2024. Focusing on the generation of Free
Funds Flow2 supports Bonterra's strategy to revert to a
shareholder returns-based model that balances continued debt
repayment, sustainable dividends for shareholders and modest
production growth.
Through 2023, the Company intends to invest $120 to $125
million in high rate-of-return, lower-risk light oil
opportunities across Bonterra's extensive drilling inventory and
direct the pace of the capital program to maintain flexibility
throughout the year, while optimally responding to a shifting
commodity price environment. Consistent with 2022, Bonterra expects
to direct Free Funds Flow1 to ongoing bank debt
reduction, further improving leverage metrics and enhancing long
term sustainability.
Approximately 85 percent of the 2023 budget is expected to be
allocated to the drilling and completion of new wells, and
recompletions of existing wells, in the Pembina Cardium and
Willesden Green areas with the balance directed to land, expanded
facilities to support future growth and pipeline integrity
programs. In addition, the Company will continue to advance
abandonment and reclamation activities with a robust program
targeting inactive wells with no further potential, along with
pipelines and facilities, further supporting Bonterra's commitment
to environmental, social and governance ("ESG") initiatives.
In the interests of maintaining prudent risk management,
Bonterra has hedges on approximately 30 percent of its expected
crude oil and natural gas production to the end of Q3 2023.
Primarily through the use of costless collars, the Company has
established downside protection by establishing floors of
approximately $70 USD WTI on 30
percent of its forecast light oil production and $3 per GJ on its anticipated natural gas
production. This risk management position enables Bonterra to
benefit from upward price movement while retaining the certainty of
a floor price on a portion of production.
Budget Highlights (Forecasts based on the
pricing and production assumptions outlined below)
- Year-over-year exit rate growth of approximately 10 percent
reflecting planned 2023 exit volumes between 14,100 and 14,400 BOE
per day;
- Average annual production of 13,500 to 13,700 BOE per day,
weighted approximately 60 percent to oil and liquids;
- $45-$50
million of Free Funds Flow4 generated from
$170-$175
million in corporate funds flow4;
- 25–30 percent reduction in forecast year end 2023 net
debt4 which is expected to range between $120-$125 million
and drive a year-end net debt4 to EBITDA
ratio4 of 0.7 times; and
- $5.0-$6.0
million allocated to abandonment and reclamation obligations
("ARO") related to inactive wells with no further potential, along
with pipelines and facilities in 2023.
Bonterra will regularly review the program and may elect to
adjust the amount and timing of capital spending to ensure growth
is aligned with the broader commodity pricing environment, while
continuing to prioritize sustainability in the interests of
maximizing Free Funds Flow4.
2023 Guidance Summary and
Sensitivities
|
2023
Guidance
|
Pricing
|
|
WTI ($US per
bbl)
|
$74.80
|
AECO Natural Gas Prices
($ per GJ)
|
$4.07
|
U.S.$ to Canadian $
exchange rate
|
$0.73
|
Canadian Realized Oil
Price ($ per bbl)
|
$94.83
|
Canadian Realized
Average Price ($ per BOE)
|
$65.02
|
|
2023
Guidance
|
Operating &
Financial
|
|
Average Daily
Production (BOE per day)
|
13,500 –
13,700
|
Oil
and NGL Weighting
(percent)
|
60
|
2023 Exit Production
(BOE per day)
|
14,100 -
14,400
|
Funds
Flow1,2 (millions)
|
$170-$175
|
Per
share – diluted3
|
$4.55-$4.69
|
Net Capital Expenditures (millions)
|
$120-$125
|
Operating Costs ($ per
BOE)
|
$16.00-$16.50
|
Free Funds
Flow1 (millions)
|
$45 - $50
|
Year-End 2023 Net
Debt1
|
$120-$125
|
Net Debt to Last Twelve
Months' EBITDA1
|
0.60x-0.70x
|
Field Net Back ($ per
BOE)
|
$41.00-$43.00
|
Cash Net Back ($ per
BOE)
|
$36.00-$38.00
|
Asset Retirement
Obligations (millions)
|
$5.0-$6.0
|
Notes:
|
1
|
Canadian realized
oil price is based on WTI US $74.80 per barrel; Edmonton par
differential of US $(2.84) per barrel; CAD/USD exchange rate of
$0.73 and a quality adjustment of CAD $(3.40) per barrel. Pricing
includes hedges currently in place.
|
2
|
Funds Flow is
estimated using the Canadian realized oil price above, a realized
natural gas price of $4.85 per mcf; and a realized NGL price of CAD
$54.84 per barrel. Pricing includes hedges currently in
place.
|
3
|
Based on annualized
diluted shares outstanding of 37,329,901.
|
The following chart shows the Company's sensitivity to key
commodity price variables. The sensitivity calculations are
performed independently and show the effect of changing one
variable while holding all other variables constant.
Annualized sensitivity analysis on Funds Flow, as
estimated for 20231
|
|
|
|
Impact on funds
flow
|
Change
|
$MM
|
$ per share2
|
|
Realized crude oil
price ($/bbl)
|
$1.00
|
$2.147
|
$0.06
|
|
Realized natural gas
price ($/mcf)
|
$0.10
|
$1.059
|
$0.03
|
|
U.S.$ to Canadian $
exchange rate
|
$0.01
|
$1.503
|
$0.04
|
|
Notes:
|
1
|
This analysis uses
current royalty rates, annualized estimated average production of
13,600 BOE per day and no changes in working
capital.
|
2
|
Based on annualized
diluted shares outstanding of 37,329,901.
|
SUSTAINABILITY REPORT
Bonterra's commitment to responsible operations has been a focus
throughout 2022, as the Company maintained its dedication to
safety, continuous improvement and being a positive contributor to
the economic success of the communities where it operates in
central Alberta. The Company plans
to release its second Sustainability Report during Q1 2023, which
is expected to align with the Task Force for Climate-related
Financial Disclosure ("TCFD") and outline details of Bonterra's
commitment to ESG principles and related activities.
ABOUT BONTERRA
Bonterra Energy Corp. is a conventional oil and gas corporation
with operations in Alberta,
Saskatchewan and British Columbia, focused on its strategy of
long-term, sustainable growth and value creation for shareholders.
The Company's shares are listed on The Toronto Stock Exchange under
the symbol "BNE".
Use of Non-IFRS Financial Measures
Throughout this release the Company uses the terms "funds flow",
"free funds flow", "net debt", "net debt to EBITDA ratio", "field
netback" and "cash netback" to analyze operating performance, which
are not standardized measures recognized under IFRS and do not have
a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. These measures are
commonly utilized in the oil and gas industry and are considered
informative by management, shareholders and analysts. These
measures may differ from those made by other companies and
accordingly may not be comparable to such measures as reported by
other companies.
The Company defines funds flow as cash flow provided by
operating activities excluding effects of changes in non-cash
working capital items and decommissioning expenditures settled.
Free funds flow is defined as funds flow less dividends paid to
shareholders, capital and decommissioning expenditures settled. Net
debt is defined as current liabilities less current assets plus
long-term bank debt and subordinated debt. Net debt to EBITDA ratio
is defined as net debt at the end of the period divided by EBITDA
for the period. EBITDA is defined as net income for the period
excluding finance costs, provision for current and deferred taxes,
depletion and depreciation, share-option compensation, gain or loss
on sale of assets and impairment of assets. Field netback is
defined as revenue minus royalties, realized gain or loss on risk
management contracts and production costs. Cash netback is defined
as field netback less interest expense and general and
administrative expense divided by total BOEs for the period.
Forward Looking Information
Certain statements contained in this release include statements
which contain words such as "anticipate", "could", "should",
"expect", "seek", "may", "intend", "likely", "will", "believe" and
similar expressions, relating to matters that are not historical
facts, and such statements of our beliefs, intentions and
expectations about development, results and events which will or
may occur in the future, constitute "forward-looking information"
within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation
and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made by us
derived from our experience and perceptions. Forward-looking
information in this release includes, but is not limited to: the
Company's 2023 budget and 2023 financial and operating guidance
relating to production, funds flow, free funds flow, capital
expenditures, operating costs, asset retirement obligations,
netback, indebtedness and pricing; expectations relating to debt
repayment and the payment of dividends; abandonment and reclamation
activities; risk management strategy; oil and natural gas prices
and demand; expansion and other development trends of the oil and
gas industry; business strategy and outlook; expansion and growth
of our business and operations; maintenance of existing customer,
supplier and partner relationships; and other such matters.
All such forward-looking information is based on certain
assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our experience and
perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected
future developments, as well as other factors we believe are
appropriate in the circumstances. The risks, uncertainties, and
assumptions are difficult to predict and may affect operations, and
may include, without limitation: foreign exchange fluctuations;
equipment and labour shortages and inflationary costs; general
economic conditions; industry conditions; changes in applicable
environmental, taxation and other laws and regulations as well as
how such laws and regulations are interpreted and enforced; the
ability of oil and natural gas companies to raise capital or
maintain its syndicated bank facility; the effect of weather
conditions on operations and facilities; the existence of operating
risks; volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas
product supply and demand; risks inherent in the ability to
generate sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and
future obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility;
opportunities available to or pursued by us; and other factors,
many of which are beyond our control.
Actual results, performance or achievements could differ
materially from those expressed in, or implied by, this
forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be
given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits will be derived there from. Except as required by law,
Bonterra disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise
any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
The forward-looking information contained herein is expressly
qualified by this cautionary statement.
Frequently recurring terms
Bonterra uses the following frequently recurring terms in this
press release: "WTI" refers to West Texas Intermediate, a grade of
light sweet crude oil used as benchmark pricing in the United States; "MSW Stream Index" or
"Edmonton Par" refers to the mixed sweet blend that is the
benchmark price for conventionally produced light sweet crude oil
in Western Canada; "AECO" is the
benchmark price for natural gas in Alberta, Canada; "bbl" refers to barrel; "NGL"
refers to Natural gas liquids; "MCF" refers to thousand cubic feet;
"MMBTU" refers to million British Thermal Units; "GJ" refers to
gigajoule; and "BOE" refers to barrels of oil equivalent.
Disclosure provided herein in respect of a BOE may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 MCF:
1 bbl is based on an energy conversion method primarily applicable
at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead.
Numerical Amounts
The reporting and the functional currency of the Company is
the Canadian dollar.
The TSX does not accept responsibility for the accuracy of
this release.
________________________
|
1 2023
annual average volumes are anticipated to be comprised of
approximately 7,000 bbl/d light and medium crude oil, 1,200 bbl/d
NGLs and 32,400 mcf/d of conventional natural gas based on a
midpoint of 13,600 BOE/d.
|
2 Non-IFRS Measure. See "Cautionary
Statements" below.
|
3 2023
exit volumes are anticipated to be comprised of approximately 7,350
bbl/d light and medium crude oil, 1,200 bbl/d NGLs and 34,200 mcf/d
of conventional natural gas based on a mid-point of 14,250
BOE/d.
|
4 "Non-IFRS Measure. See "Cautionary
Statements" below.
|
SOURCE Bonterra Energy Corp.