Colliers’ 2025 Global Investor Outlook reveals renewed investor optimism in commercial real estate as pricing stabilizes
20 November 2024 - 12:00PM
Leading global diversified professional services company Colliers
released its 2025 Global Investor Outlook, revealing renewed
investor optimism and confidence that the commercial property
market has moved past an inflection point following two years of
muted transactions. On the back of subsiding inflation, lower
interest rates, an improved economic outlook and expansive
fundraising, Colliers anticipates a new market environment to
emerge, more diverse – by asset class and investor base – than the
one it replaced.
Some uncertainties remain, including a potential
resurgence in inflation that changes the direction or tempo of rate
cuts, a lack of inventory and low levels of new supply, and
regulations that can complicate market liquidity on a more nuanced
basis. While recent elections in major economies such as the UK and
U.S. have provided more clarity around policies, lingering
geopolitical tensions require a prudent approach to 2025
investments.
“We are seeing signs of positive momentum, with
stronger sentiment growing as asset values stabilize. Stronger
fundraising, including a return of core capital, will take time to
flow through into deal volumes, though it is a strong indicator
that more activity will hit the market soon,” said Luke Dawson,
Head of Global Capital Markets for Colliers. “In conversations with
investors around the world, now is the time to be laying the
groundwork for the next few years of growth as the transactional
market moves off the bottom of the cycle.”
Broad interest in all asset classes, though
preferences are shifting
Underlying fundamentals are improving across all
sectors. As high-profile, global firms lead the return-to-office
charge, prime urban office assets are attracting renewed interest,
while secondary assets and locations are witnessing value-add
strategies play out for redevelopment and renovation. A large
number of offices purchased in the last 12 months have been
acquired for redevelopment into higher quality, more sustainable
offices to match elevated standards required by occupiers.
Similar to the bifurcation in office assets,
industrial and logistics (I&L) assets continue to be a major
investment theme, though flight to quality has also emerged in the
sector. Many investors now seek assets that have solid
sustainability credentials and modern features that tenants
demand.
Driven by increasing disposable incomes and leisure
travel, more investors are exploring hotels and shopping centres in
strategic locations. Alternatives such as cold storage and senior
housing continue to be subject to intense competition, given the
scarcity of investible product. In particular, investors are
chasing data centres due to the boom in artificial intelligence,
but the sizeable energy needs of such facilities are running into
supply and planning constraints in some markets.
“Where there is tight inventory, limited new
development opportunity or high costs for ground-up construction,
investors should consider value-add or opportunistic properties in
well-located areas and take a redevelopment approach to support
demand,” added Dawson.
Increased private wealth investments marks
shift from credit to equity
Colliers expects private investors, especially
family offices and private equity funds, to be among the more
active buyers in 2025. As interest rates escalated, they stepped in
amid the pullback by credit-backed investors. Even as the market
recovers and monetary easing assists debt-backed participants, more
private generational wealth is likely to expand into real estate.
Colliers also predicts a pivot back to equity-focused strategies as
debt becomes more accessible and investors reallocate capital to
traditional equity structures like joint ventures,
recapitalizations, and M&A.
“Family offices and private wealth are expanding
and bolstering the commercial real estate investor base because
they often have access to more nimble and versatile capital,” said
Damian Harrington, Head of Research for Colliers’ Global Capital
Markets platform and EMEA. “As they continue to grow and diversify
their portfolios, they – like all investors – must stay informed of
market conditions and regulatory changes impacting real estate:
ranging from residential rent caps and utility provision, to
planning policies that would impact construction. Successfully
entering new markets or niches often requires expert advisers who
can help you navigate the market and explore innovative
structures.”
Regional highlights:
- APAC: Rate cuts are
expected to drive transaction volumes, with high interest in
logistics, multifamily, and office sectors.
- EMEA: Demand for
high-quality office and logistics assets is growing, with a notable
return of shopping centres and tourism-driven hotel
investments.
- U.S.: Declining
rates and stabilized vacancies in multifamily and industrial
segments are likely to drive investment.
- Canada: Domestic
institutions are returning, with a continued focus on industrial
and a cautious optimism for office markets.
About Colliers
Colliers (NASDAQ, TSX: CIGI) is a leading global
diversified professional services company, specializing in
commercial real estate services, engineering consultancy and
investment management. With operations in 70 countries, our 22,000
enterprising professionals provide exceptional service and expert
advice to clients. For nearly 30 years, our experienced leadership
– with substantial inside ownership – has consistently delivered
approximately 20% compound annual investment returns for
shareholders. With annual revenues exceeding $4.5 billion and $99
billion of assets under management, Colliers maximizes the
potential of property, infrastructure and real assets to accelerate
the success of our clients, investors and people. Learn more at
corporate.colliers.com, X @Colliers or LinkedIn.
Media ContactAndrea CheungSenior
Manager, Global Integrated
Communicationsandrea.cheung@colliers.com416-324-6402
A photo accompanying this announcement is available
at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/e3836929-978d-4fcb-b158-031e67473ace
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