Greek Banks Turn Corner With Bad-Loan Sales
08 December 2020 - 10:00PM
Dow Jones News
By Margot Patrick
Greek banks, among Europe's weakest, are getting rid of their
bad loans at a healthy clip.
In spring, the pandemic interrupted plans among the country's
banks to shed loans still festering from the eurozone crisis a
decade ago. But stimulus from central banks and governments
globally has sent fresh cash into funds that buy non-performing
loans, reinvigorating the efforts.
"Many of the investors are in the process of fund raising or
have raised additional funds for what they see as a wave of
opportunity," said Alok Gahrotra, a partner in the portfolio lead
advisory team at Deloitte that advises NPL buyers and sellers.
"There's a lot of dry powder to deploy."
In late November, Alpha Bank, one of Greece's four dominant
lenders, said it was in the final stages of selling a EUR10.8
billion gross loan portfolio -- the equivalent of $12 billion --
along with its loan-servicing unit. The exclusive bidder is U.S.
investment firm Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP, which beat
out Pacific Investment Management Co. and others for what would be
the largest-ever NPL sale in the country. Two more big banks,
National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank, each aim to sell around
EUR7 billion in loans next year.
The three transactions will tap a new state-supported
securitization program called Hercules, which was first used by
Eurobank SA in June to dispose of EUR7.5 billion gross loans,
"paving the way for its peers," said Eurobank CEO Fokion
Karavias.
The eurozone crisis a decade ago attracted U.S. investing giants
such as Pimco, Cerberus Capital Management and Apollo Global
Management to buy bad loans from banks for as little as a few cents
on the euro. Some investors also scoop up banks' servicing units to
build larger businesses managing bad loans from multiple lenders, a
fast-growing sector in Europe. Returns depend on recoveries from
selling collateral such as homes and office buildings backing the
debt, and fees collected by the servicing units.
The investments flow into NPL funds and other credit-focused
funds that are mainly marketed to institutional investors and the
rich.
Ireland, Spain and Italy all whittled down their NPLs this way.
Greece's banks made only limited progress because the country's
recovery took longer and the government and banks were working on
measures to attract investors. The key plank, finalized only last
year, is the Hercules program. Modeled after a similar program in
Italy, the banks sell NPLs to securitization vehicles that issue
notes to investors. The banks then buy the safest tranche of notes
with a government guarantee for repayment, allowing for larger
transactions.
"Because banks are allowed to provide senior funding that is
guaranteed by the state for a reasonable fee, considerations are
much better than outright sales without generating capital
burdens," said Christos Megalou, the chief executive of Piraeus
Bank.
The uptick in deals is crucial for Greece to bring down the
highest NPL level in the European Union. At almost half of loans in
2016, the ratio was around 35% at the start of 2020 and could fall
closer to 20% if transactions go ahead as planned. The EU-wide
ratio is under 3%. The pandemic caused a few months delay, but bank
executives, advisers and ratings firms said most deals should be
completed in the first quarter of next year.
"Market conditions are normalizing now and there is clearly
investor appetite from international investors," said Lito
Chousiada, an analyst in DBRS Morningstar's global financial
institutions group.
The disposals mark a turning point for an economy that was still
emerging from one of the longest and deepest depressions of modern
times when coronavirus hit. Greece's tourism-heavy economy slumped
along with EU peers, though the country has managed better than
many in containing coronavirus infections and deaths. The big Greek
banks forecast around EUR5 billion in total new NPLs from the
pandemic -- not much against the EUR61.3 billion in NPLs in the
country as off June 30, according to ECB data. The banks say years
of experience managing delinquent customers should help.
Nikos Koutsogiannis, chief financial officer at small lender
Attica Bank SA, said its NPL ratio fell to around 45% from a 62%
peak through two securitizations predating the Hercules program.
Attica aims to get the ratio to single digits by securitizing more
loans next year. Mr. Koutsogiannis said Attica wants to free up
capital for lending to companies in sectors such as the
environment, energy and infrastructure that Greece is targeting for
foreign and government investment.
"We have been working as firemen putting out fires, but at the
end of the day banks need to get back to banking," Mr.
Koutsogiannis said.
Write to Margot Patrick at margot.patrick@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 08, 2020 05:45 ET (10:45 GMT)
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