UPDATE: Michelin Reaffirms Fiscal Year Guidance As 3Q Revenue Rises 11%
27 October 2011 - 5:37AM
Dow Jones News
French tire maker Michelin (ML.FR) reported Wednesday an 11%
increase in third-quarter revenue thanks to a 9.3% rise in sales
volume in expanding markets, and to its aggressive policy of
passing on to customers its increased raw materials costs.
Revenue for the three months ended Sept. 30 came in at EUR5.14
billion, up from EUR4.65 billion a year earlier, and was below an
average estimate of EUR5.21 billion compiled from a company survey
of 12 analysts. Sales for the first nine months were 17% higher at
EUR15.25 billion.
Michelin reaffirmed that it expects sales volume to rise by 8%
this year, and said it expects "substantially higher" operating
profit in 2011 compared with 2010. That was a more robust
projection than Michelin's outlook in July, when it omitted the
adverb and reaffirmed its objective of reporting "higher" operating
income for 2011 than the EUR1.7 billion reported for 2010.
Michelin managing partner Jean-Dominique Senard told analysts in
a conference call that they shouldn't read anything into changes in
language in the company's fiscal year guidance. "There's absolutely
nothing to be changed compared to what we've been saying since
July," he said.
The company had said in July it expected rising raw material
prices to exert a drag of EUR1.8 billion in 2011, but said most of
that pain would be passed on to customers through price increases.
It said then that free cash flow for the full year would be
"temporarily negative" in 2011 due to a EUR400 million-EUR500
million impact on working capital requirements from the raw
materials effect, as well as an accelerated capital spending
program as the company races to expand capacity in fast-growing
emerging markets.
On Wednesday, Michelin reaffirmed this full-year cash flow
guidance, and repeated the EUR1.8 billion raw material impact
estimate in the conference call. The company has a medium-term
objective of generating positive cash flow between 2011 and
2015.
Senard said Michelin expects the growth rate of global tire
market volumes to moderate to a long-term annual pace of between 4%
and 5% in 2012.
Michelin commented that markets expanded at a slower pace in the
third quarter than earlier this year. It noted that, in line with
slowing economic activity, tire markets--especially the truck tire
segment--had turned downwards over the summer. Fourth-quarter
replacement tire sales in Europe will depend on winter tire sales
to end-customers it said, while the outlook for truck tire sales is
uncertain, especially in Europe. However, demand for specialty
tires is expected to remain very buoyant, it said.
Michelin, which vies with Japan's Bridgestone Corp (5108.TO) for
the top spot among the world's tire makers, said exchange rate
fluctuations had exerted a EUR228 million drag on revenue in the
third quarter, chiefly due to the dollar's depreciation against the
euro. For the first nine months currency movements shaved EUR378
million off revenue.
Valerie Magloire, head of investor relations, said on the
conference call that Michelin expects its sales of original
equipment and replacement tires in Thailand to be affected by the
severe flooding there. "We of course will suffer," she said, and
the company is expecting a negative impact on its sales to car
manufacturers until the end of the year that could be "in the high
double digits." Sales of replacement car and truck tires in
Thailand could also be hit as well, she said. Michelin has five
production facilities in Thailand, and two of them are in flood
risk areas, she went on, adding that the company is shutting down
some production at these plants.
Michelin's shares closed up 0.5% on Wednesday at EUR52.28,
giving the company a market value of EUR9.36 billion, down 2.6%
since Jan. 1.
-By David Pearson, Dow Jones Newswires; +331 4017 1740;
david.pearson@dowjones.com
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