By Costas Paris and Joanne Chiu
China poured $20 billion into ship financing this year,
reflecting the country's ambition to become the world's dominant
maritime player as European banks have scaled back their
investments.
That is 33% more than Chinese banks invested in 2016, according
to the leasing arm of Industrial & Commercial Bank of China
Ltd. It dwarfs China's financing as recently as 2008, when its
lessors lent just a few million to shipowners that built their
vessels in the country's shipyards.
ICBC's numbers only include leasing deals, China's preferred
financing method. Bilateral loans, ship mortgages and private
placements aren't reported, but research firm Marine Money
estimates that Chinese financiers such as ICBC, China Minsheng
Banking Corp., Bank of Communications Co. and China Merchants Bank
Co. account for as much as one-quarter of a ship-financing sector
it values at $200 billion a year.
European banks like Norway's DNB ASA, Sweden's Nordea and
France's BNP Paribas still hold some of the world's biggest
shipping portfolios, but China's growth has drawn notice.
"It's an unprecedented shift in ship financing," said Basil
Karatzas, a New York-based maritime adviser who has arranged many
such deals. "We've come from export credits, to a few Western
owners, to China becoming a mainstream financier in both new and
used vessels."
Three of China's biggest leasing firms, ICBC Financial Leasing
Co., Minsheng Financial Leasing Co. and Bank of Communications
Financial Leasing Co., own more than 800 vessels, valued at $23.6
billion. ICBC's shipping portfolio has grown to $10 billion this
year from around $600 million in 2009, while Minsheng Financial
Leasing has doubled its shipping assets in the past three years to
$6 billion, or more than 300 ships, Chief Executive Jerry Yang
said.
In contrast, European financiers that were once heavyweights in
the industry, including Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC and Lloyds
Banking Group PLC, have withdrawn from shipping. Others, like
Germany's HSH Nordbank AG and Nord/LB Group, are looking to divest
themselves of part or all of their shipping portfolios. HSH has cut
its portfolio to EUR12 billion in September from around EUR17
billion at the end of last year, while Nord/LB has shrunk its
holdings to EUR13.3 billion from EUR16.8 billion over the same
period.
"The traditional financiers have either eliminated or
drastically reduced their exposure," said Soren Skou, chief
executive of A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S. "It's more or less impossible
to raise significant amounts of finance from European banks, so
others like the Chinese have stepped in a big way."
European firms are pulling back because of shipping's long down
cycle, in which overcapacity kept freight rates low and made
investments risky. Chinese banks are rushing in, but they too may
reconsider if the economics don't improve, said Marine Money
President Matthew McCleery.
"As the portfolios of Chinese leasing companies grow, so too
will the likelihood that they will have some defaults, which are
inevitable in a cyclical industry like shipping," he said. "How
Chinese leasing companies will manage these defaults, especially
when bankruptcy is involved, has yet to be seen."
ICBC Financial Leasing's executive director, Bill Guo, said the
bank is working with established operators such as Denmark's Maersk
Line, Swiss-based Mediterranean Shipping Co. and France's CMA-CGM
SA, which "makes default risk lower."
People in the industry expect China to play an increasing role
in ship financing in the coming years. Its banks are flush with
cash, they expect a strong industry recovery and if things go
wrong, they can deploy their ships to state-owned operators or
scrap them in exchange for government subsidies.
"China controls up to 40% of the global shipbuilding capacity,
and that's a natural metric of where they want to be in the
financing business," said Arlie Sterling, president of Boston-based
shipping consultancy Marsoft Inc., which works with Chinese
financiers.
China's ship leasing typically entails lending enough to pay for
up to 85% of a vessel, then charging a 5.5% average annual interest
rate. Traditional bank loans usually consist of lower upfront loans
and interest rates. The country's banks are quicker than their
European counterparts to recover ships if payments are missed.
"The Chinese own the vessel, so the cargo is unloaded at the
first port of call and the ship is seized," said George Lazaridis,
of Athens-based Allied Shipbroking. "It keeps operators on their
toes, because if they can't deliver the cargo, their reputation
gets a big blow."
Scorpio Tankers Inc., one of the world's biggest operators of
petroleum tankers, leased five vessels from Bank of Communications
in September. Company President Robert Bugbee said the Chinese
banks are lending "at great rates."
In shipping, where personal relationships between bankers and
owners remain an important part of doing business, industry
watchers say some shipping companies could relocate to Asia to
build those ties with Chinese lenders.
"You no longer have your banker a short distance away so that
you can meet up for coffee and talk business," Martin Kroger,
managing director of the German Shipowners' Association said at a
shipping conference in Hamburg in November. "That's a total
mind-set change."
Write to Costas Paris at costas.paris@wsj.com and Joanne Chiu at
joanne.chiu@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 23, 2017 08:14 ET (13:14 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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