Enterprise PC, Systems Slump 'Already Over'-Morgan Stanley
09 September 2009 - 6:57AM
Dow Jones News
Wall Street's hopes for a technology recovery continued to build
Tuesday, as analysts at Morgan Stanley (MS) urged investors to buy
stocks in companies that sell computer systems and PC hardware.
Surveying well-known tech firms such as Apple Inc. (AAPL),
International Business Machines (IBM) and Dell Inc. (DELL), Morgan
Stanley analyst Kathryn Huberty upgraded her view of the sector to
"attractive."
Meanwhile, Huberty also downgraded the firm's view of software
makers on the expectation that their stocks' recent growth will
slow in a recovery.
"We believe the contraction of enterprise hardware revenues is
largely over," Huberty wrote, arguing that, contrary to those who
see a slow, protracted recovery in tech spending, the real risk to
her bullish view is to the upside.
More companies in the sector beat Wall Street estimates last
quarter than undershot them, she noted. Many appear to be readying
to rebuild their hardware inventories. And July's sales of servers
and storage devices came in higher than expected.
Moreover, the average age of corporate PCs is set to top three
years by the end of 2009, and more than half of chief information
officers expect to spend more on servers, storage and computers by
the second half of 2010, Huberty noted.
That view comes up against skepticism about the scale and timing
of a return in corporate technology spending.
In late August, Dell said consumers and government began to buy
again in the second quarter. But it also said that corporate demand
- 80% of Dell's revenue - remained tepid at best.
IBM and virtualization software maker VMWare Inc. (VMW) are two
other companies who've recently said that large businesses are
still reluctant to make major technology purchases.
But other firms also raised their view of tech stocks Tuesday,
saying they expect a near-term bottom or a recovery.
Roth Capital urged investors to buy Cavium Networks (CAVM) ahead
of what it says is a second-quarter recovery for Cavium's
enterprise revenues, upgrading its stock rating to buy.
Thomas Weisel Partners raised its rating on Amphenol Corp. (APH)
to overweight, saying the fiber optic and electronic-connector
maker's third-quarter sales are "tracking well."
Oppenheimer raised its estimates and price targets for Qualcomm
Inc. (QCOM), RF Micro Devices (RFMD), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) and
Brightpoint (CELL) on expectations of better smart-phone sales.
While raising her sector view to "attractive," Huberty raised
her rating of QLogic Corp. (QLGC) to overweight from underweight
and LXK Lexmark International from underweight to equal weight.
She also cut IBM, Dell and Teradata Corp. (TDC) to equal weight
from overweight in spite of the improved sector outlook, "to
reflect relative upside to other stocks in our group."
-By Brendan Conway, Dow Jones Newswires; (212) 416-2670;
brendan.conway@dowjones.com
Jessica Hodgson contributed to this story.