EARNINGS PREVIEW: US Chemical Cos Weighed Down By Demand Woes
14 October 2009 - 6:49AM
Dow Jones News
TAKING THE PULSE: Despite signs that business is picking up, or
at least stabilizing, major U.S. chemical makers' results for the
latest quarter are likely to reflect a continuing scramble to cope
with demand woes. Standard & Poor's said in late September that
quarter-to-quarter volume was improving, and that results are being
helped by companies' cost and spending cuts, as well as lower
raw-material prices. Nevertheless, most of the bellwether
industry's biggest players are expected to report double-digit
percentage profit and revenue declines.
COMPANIES TO WATCH:
DuPont Co. (DD) - reports Oct. 20
Wall Street's Expectations: Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters
project third-quarter earnings of 33 cents a share on revenue of
$6.16 billion, down from 40 cents and $7.3 billion, respectively, a
year earlier.
Key Issues: DuPont in July credited government stimulus spending
and customers' restocking for a slight uptick in business.
Cost-cutting and agribusiness revenue growth also helped it beat
second-quarter expectations, but Chief Executive Ellen Kullman said
she expected third-quarter volume to remain below year-ago levels.
The company has continued to branch out from its traditional
chemicals business, recently investing more than $120 million to
boost solar-panel capacity.
Dow Chemical Co. (DOW) - reports Oct. 22
Wall Street's Expectations: The company is expected to post
earnings of 9 cents a share on revenue of $11.87 billion, down from
46 cents and $15.41 billion, respectively, a year ago.
Key Issues: Dow Chemical in July forecast an upswing in
third-quarter business conditions, but Chairman and CEO Andrew
Liveris ruled out a significant turnaround for the rest of the
year. The company is in the midst of reorganizing its business to
absorb its $16.3 billion acquisition of Rohm & Haas and manage
the heavy debt load it incurred in the purchase. Dow has been
selling assets, most recently the $1.68 billion sale of its Morton
Salt business.
Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) - reports Oct. 22
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings of $1.13 on
revenue of $1.33 billion. The prior-year figures were $1.33 a share
and $1.82 billion.
Key Issues: The maker of specialty chemicals, synthetic fibers
and plastics issued a surprisingly upbeat third-quarter forecast in
July as demand improved slightly after customers' inventory cuts.
But CEO Jim Rogers cautioned that he expected second-half demand to
remain near then-current levels, with raw material and energy costs
rising slightly. Sales in the company's largest unit, performance
chemicals, fell 51% in the second quarter.
Ashland Inc. (ASH) - reporting date to be announced
Wall Street's Expectations: Analysts estimate fiscal
fourth-quarter earnings of 90 cents a share on revenue of $2.07
billion. A year ago, the company reported a 15-cent loss on revenue
of $2.22 billion.
Key Issues: Chairman and CEO James O'Brien said in July demand
could remain flat for the "foreseeable future." Ashland saw volume
declines in all businesses except its Valvoline motor-oil unit
during the prior quarter. Like Dow Chemical, Ashland is trying to
pay down debt from an acquisition - in this case, its $2.6 billion
purchase last year of Hercules.
(The Thomson Reuters estimate and year-earlier earnings may not
be comparable due to one-time items and other adjustments.)
-By Mike Barris, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2330;
mike.barris@dowjones.com