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Thierry Laduguie

FTSE 100: One Step Up, Two Steps Down

28 Aug 2013 @ 21:14
The two timing indicators, Top 20 Differential and 13-day BTI, became oversold last week but as I suspected the wave count on the S&P 500 was not complete so yesterday the index made a new low and today we have a completed five wave decline in the S&P. A five-wave decline accompanied by an oversold […]
 

FTSE 100: The Next Correction Will Be Painful

30 Jul 2013 @ 23:20
At today’s FOMC meeting the committee will have to make some big decisions. One main topic for policymaker’s consideration is whether or not to begin the process of tapering QE, and if they decide to taper, when to start. The timing of the tapering could have a massive impact on the stock market which has […]
 

The Stock Market Enters the Chaotic Zone – Part 2

20 Jun 2013 @ 23:26
I have always been a believer in “the trend is your friend” but on 22nd May I was on my guard when my unique sentiment indicator flashed a warning to the bulls. From that moment I was expecting the second chapter in the chaotic zone I wrote about on 5 April (see: http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/thierry-laduguie/17815/the-stock-market-enters-the-chaotic-zone) to begin. […]
 

The Best Indicator to Forecast the Stock Market

05 Jun 2013 @ 23:14
I have an unfair advantage when it comes to forecasting the stock market. Unlike 95% of analysts, I use sentiment and Elliott wave analysis to forecast prices which work incredibly well. These two techniques together are a powerful forecasting indicator. Take the current stock market slide for example, regular readers will know that I warned […]
 

Caution Should Always Be The Rule

23 May 2013 @ 01:20
The Stock Markets are out of control, the uninterrupted run up continues and investors do not seem to care. I am concerned because I can’t find any argument to justify buying at these levels and I say this from past experience. When there is no reason to buy, the risk of a severe correction or […]
 

If You Think the Stock Market is a One Way Bet – Think Again

11 May 2013 @ 01:18
The FTSE continues to trend higher in an overbought market. It is overbought on the RSI 14 and overbought on my own proprietary indicator, 13-day BTI. When the 13-day BTI is overbought the FTSE will pull back. However, on some occasions and in strong trending markets the FTSE can remain overbought for days. In this […]
 

The Stock Market Enters The Chaotic Zone

06 Apr 2013 @ 01:46
I have said repeatedly that the stock market was due for a correction from the moment my sentiment indicator started to diverge in early March. As I write the FTSE 100 is down nearly 300 points from its 2013 high set on 12 March, thus it appears that the correction I predicted is underway. If […]
 

The Stock Market Takes a Reality Check

22 Mar 2013 @ 01:59
Two weeks ago stock market expectations were high with no imminent weakness apparent, everyone cheered as the Dow hit the headlines by making a new all-time high. But when exuberance and hype are abundant the irony is that stock markets will often turn down, you see stock market declines can happen when they are least […]
 

Bull Market in Stocks Nearing An End

16 Mar 2013 @ 00:28
Stock markets advanced after some favourable US economic data. Jobless claims fell more than anticipated, the Dow Jones made a new multi year high, the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 are still below their all time highs. There is something not right about this rally, volume. In a bull market volume should expand with the […]
 

Aviva's Weak Relative Strength

08 Mar 2013 @ 23:59
Shares in Aviva took a dive yesterday after the company cut its dividend. While the news took many by surprise there was always a potential risk the company would cut the dividend. Let’s not forget that a few weeks ago RSA Insurance cut its dividend prompting a sell-off in the share price. A simple observation […]
 
 
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