Daily analysis of major pairs for March 21, 2016

Last week, the Cable dropped by 320 pips from Monday to Wednesday, and rose steeply by 450 pips on Wednesday and Thursday; only to consolidate on Friday. The price has been trying to go above the distribution territory at 1.4500, which has been refusing further northward movement. That distribution territory would be broken to the upside this week, as the price moves further north.

EUR/USD: The EUR/USD broke upwards last week, moving north by 280 pips on Wednesday and Thursday. The market could continue going upwards but there is a possibility that the bears might come in and push the price downwards. The EUR could be seen weakening versus some majors this week.

USD/CHF: This pair dropped massively last week, reaching the support level at 0.9650 and forming a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. This week would see the next direction in the market, which would most probably favor the bulls, for the EUR/USD (which is negatively correlated to the USD/CHF) might drop this week.

GBP/USD: Last week, the Cable dropped by 320 pips from Monday to Wednesday, and rose steeply by 450 pips on Wednesday and Thursday; only to consolidate on Friday. The price has been trying to go above the distribution territory at 1.4500, which has been refusing further northward movement. That distribution territory would be broken to the upside this week, as the price moves further north.

USD/JPY: This pair broke south on March 16, 2016. On Thursday, the price moved further southward; seriously this time around. Altogether, there was a drop of about 300 pips this week, and the demand level at 111.00 has been tested vigorously, though it seems impregnable to the bears now. There has been a slight upward bounce from that demand level, which would end up being a significant rally because the USD/JPY might gain lots of stamina this week.

EUR/JPY: This cross simply consolidated throughout last week, without trending upwards or downwards significantly. There are mixed signals in the market: the EMA 11 is above the EMA 56 whereas the RSI period 14 is below the level 50. It is better to stay away from the market until there is a clear directional movement, which would happen this week. When this happens, it would most probably favor the bulls, for the outlook on JPY pairs is bullish this week.

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