Dogecoin May Face An ‘Ugly’ Drop Before The Weekend, Analyst Warns
31 January 2025 - 8:30PM
NEWSBTC
In a freshly shared four-hour chart of the DOGE/USDT trading pair
on Binance, crypto analyst Carlos Garcia Tapia warns of potential
downside for Dogecoin as weekend trading approaches. “If bears
break this pattern, it’ll get ugly… especially since the weekend is
coming,” Tapia warns. Dogecoin Price Crash Incoming? His chart
posted via X depicts an ascending wedge formation running into a
confluence of resistance between $0.338 and $0.343, as well as a
notable support zone in the $0.31 region. The chart highlights
higher lows (marked as “LL” on the chart) forming the lower
boundary of an ascending wedge. Meanwhile, overhead resistance (a
rectangular zone around $0.338–$0.343) has repeatedly capped upward
price movements. This wedge appears to be compressing price
action—often a setup for a significant breakout or breakdown. A
horizontal resistance zone around $0.34 stands out. DOGE’s price
has attempted multiple short-term moves above this level but failed
to secure a confirmed breakout, suggesting sellers are firmly
defending that zone. Related Reading: Dogecoin Open Interest Climbs
To $4 Billion Again After Market Rebound On the downside, a green
box spanning roughly $0.310 marks an area where buying interest has
historically picked up. Below that level, the chart references a
lower support marker near $0.262, indicating a more substantial
potential drop if the wedge pattern breaks down decisively. The
analyst specifically points to the upcoming weekend as a wildcard.
Historically, lower trading volumes on Saturdays and Sundays can
exacerbate volatility. If Dogecoin fails to hold its rising trend
line—currently near $0.328–$0.330—and liquidity thins out, the
price could swiftly test the lower support around $0.310, or
potentially slide toward the $0.262 zone if the selling momentum
accelerates. Related Reading: Dogecoin Is Setting For A Massive Leg
Higher – Analyst Sees Bullish Consolidation Above Key Level While a
breakout above $0.343 could invalidate this bearish setup, Tapia’s
cautionary note underscores the significance of a potential
breakdown from the wedge formation. Weekend price action often
diverges from midweek patterns due to reduced participation,
meaning a sharp move in either direction could unfold more quickly
than usual. DOGE Needs To Hold $0.31 The daily chart supports
Tapia’s thesis. There, Dogecoin (DOGE) finds itself under
intensifying downward pressure as price action hugs a persistent
downtrend line. After hitting a local high in December, DOGE has
retreated below key exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 20-day
EMA (currently at approximately $0.3457) and the 50-day EMA (near
$0.3473) have both curved lower, signaling waning short-term
momentum. A glance at the chart reveals that DOGE is now just
slightly above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, calculated
around $0.313. This Fib zone has acted as the most crucial support
since mid-December, but any decisive daily close beneath it could
accelerate selling. Traders are keeping a close eye on the 100-day
EMA (around $0.3179), which is sandwiched just above this Fib
level. If the price fails to defend the area between $0.313 and
$0.317, then eyes will turn to the 200-day EMA at roughly $0.2613
as a critical long-term support. If this level breaks to the
downside as well, the 0.236 Fib at $0.212 could quickly become a
reality. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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