UPDATE: Travelers' 4Q Net Falls 24% But Sees Prices Rising
28 January 2009 - 4:56AM
Dow Jones News
Insurer Travelers Cos. (TRV) has seen one upside to the weak
economy: All the uncertainty is driving insurance customers to seek
out the strongest insurers, even if it means paying more.
Good pricing helped push the stock of Travelers up in midday
trading. But in the fourth quarter, rising prices were more than
offset by sharply lower investment income.
Net income at Travelers fell 24% from the year-ago quarter, to
$801 million, or $1.35 a share, down from $1.06 billion, or $1.64 a
share, a year earlier.
The latest results include net investment income of $438 million
after tax, compared with $696 million after tax in the year-earlier
quarter. Investment income was hurt by $138 million in net realized
investment losses in its non-fixed income portfolio, compared with
net realized gains of $6 million in the year-earlier quarter.
Operating earnings for the quarter fell to $1.58 a share from
$1.63 a share a year ago, but exceeded expected earnings of $1.46 a
share. Revenue decreased 6.9% to $6.02 billion, below the analyst
expectation of $6.36 billion.
Generally strong underwriting results and the expectation of
higher insurance prices to come helped push up Travelers' share
price by 7.21% in midday trading, to $40.27. The company said its
flow of new business improved in the quarter, and said it expected
that trend to continue as customers seek out highly rated
insurers.
CreditSights Inc. analyst Rob Haines said the quarter gave
evidence that the property/casualty insurance sector is "probably
the only financial sector that has started to rebound" in the
current down economic cycle. But the company projected 2009
earnings that are well below analysts' estimates, seeing profit
excluding investment losses of $4.50 to $4.90 a share. On average,
analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected $5.59 a share.
"The world feels like a riskier place" to big commercial
customers, which is driving them to seek out the strongest
companies for their insurance needs, even if the prices are a bit
higher, said Jay Fishman, Travelers Cos. chief executive, during
the company's earnings conference call Tuesday.
In some lines, customers are cutting the amount of coverage they
buy, essentially self-insuring for some potential losses, but are
paying more for the coverage they do buy, which should help improve
underwriting results even further.
The company's combined ratio for the quarter was 85.9%, down
from 88.4% a year ago. The combined ratio is the percentage of each
premium dollar that is spent on claims and expenses.
Net premiums written edged up 0.4% to $5.39 billion. Return on
equity, an important measure of profitability, slid to 12.8% from
16.1%.
Sandler O'Neill analyst Paul Newsome, who rates Travelers a buy,
cited the company's "good underwriting results" for the quarter in
a Tuesday note.
Travelers stock is down 11% so far this year, making it one of
the better performing property/casualty insurers. The Dow Jones US
Property & Casualty Index (DJUSIU)is down 14.2% for the year to
date.
-By Lavonne Kuykendall, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4141;
lavonne.kuykendall@dowjones.com
(Kerry E. Grace contributed to this report.)
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