Euro Rises Amid German Debt Brake Reform
05 March 2025 - 4:32PM
RTTF2
The euro strengthened against other major currencies in the
European session on Wednesday, as traders reacted positively to
news about the German government's plans to increase defense and
infrastructure spending.
Germany's chancellor-in-waiting, Friedrich Merz, announced
yesterday that the nation's main centrist parties had agreed to
establish the infrastructure fund to invest in transportation,
energy grids, and housing. Merz also stated that Germany would
amend its constitution to exempt defense and security spending from
fiscal limits.
Investors were also reacting to comments from U.S. Commerce
Secretary Howard Lutnick that President Donald Trump will
"probably" announce a deal to reduce tariffs on Canada and
Mexico.
Investors are anticipating Thursday's announcement of the
European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision. For the
fifth consecutive time, the ECB is almost set to lower its Deposit
Facility Rate by 25 basis points (bps). As a result, following the
policy meeting, markets will closely monitor ECB President
Christine Lagarde's press conference.
In economic news, Eurozone private sector logged a marginal
growth in February. The HCOB composite output index remained
unchanged at 50.2 in February. The score matched the flash estimate
of 50.2. As the index stayed above the neutral 50.0 mark, the
figure signaled growth in the private sector.
At 50.6 in February, the service-sector measure was down from
51.3 in January to a three-month low, indicating a loss of growth
momentum.
The HCOB Germany Composite PMI was revised lower to 50.4 in
February 2025 from a preliminary of 51, compared to 50.5 in
January. Service sector business activity growth moderated to 51.1
from 52.5 a month earlier. Manufacturing activity score came in at
46.5, up from 45.0 a month earlier.
The euro held steady against its major rivals in the Asian
trading today.
In the European session today, the euro rose to nearly a 4-month
high of 1.0696 against the U.S. dollar and nearly a 3-week high of
0.8329 against the pound, from early lows of 1.0602 and 0.8299,
respectively. If the euro extends its uptrend, it is likely to find
resistance around 1.08 against the greenback and 0.84 against the
pound.
Against the yen and the Swiss franc, the euro advanced to near
3-week highs of 159.04 and 0.9496 from early lows of 158.74 and
0.9446, respectively. The euro may test resistance around 162.00
against the yen and 0.95 against the franc.
Against Australia, the New Zealand and the Canadian dollars, the
euro climbed to a 7-month high of 1.7039, a 5-year high of 1.8850
and more than a 4-year high of 1.5393 from early lows of 1.6941,
1.8750 and 1.5287, respectively. On the downside, 1.71 against the
aussie, 1.89 against the kiwi and 1.55 against the loonie are seen
as the next resistance levels for the euro.
Looking ahead, U.S. MBA mortgage approvals data, U.S. and Canada
PMI data for February, U.S. factory orders for January and U.S. EIA
crude oil data are slated for release in the New York session.
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