There are more than five months of supply on
the market, the most since early 2019. Homes are taking a long time
to sell largely because housing costs are so expensive–but for
buyers who can afford it, there are a fair amount of homes to
choose from.
(NASDAQ: RDFN) — Homes are selling at their slowest pace since
the start of the pandemic as mortgage rates and home prices remain
elevated, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the
technology-powered real estate brokerage.
In addition to homes selling relatively slowly, fewer homes are
turning over. This is according to Redfin data as of the four weeks
ending January 26:
- The typical U.S. home listing that went under contract sat on
the market for 54 days before the seller accepted an offer, the
longest span since March 2020 and a week longer than this time last
year. At this time in 2022, during the pandemic-driven homebuying
boom, the typical home was selling in 35 days.
- There were 5.2 months of supply on the market, the most since
February 2019 and up from 4.9 months a year earlier. Months of
supply is the length of time it would take for the existing supply
of homes to be bought up at the market’s current sales pace; a
longer span means homes are sitting on the market longer and
signals a buyer’s market.
- Pending home sales were down 9.4% year over year, the biggest
decline since September 2023.
Sales are slow because it’s very expensive to buy a home, with
mortgage rates sitting near 7% and home prices up 4.8% year over
year. The median monthly housing payment is $2,753, just shy of
April’s record high. Additionally, extreme weather—including snow
and frigid cold in the Midwest, South and Northeast and wildfires
in Southern California—are keeping would-be buyers at home.
The market may pick up in the coming weeks as mortgage rates
fall—at least slightly—from their early January peak, and new
listings tick up. Additionally, Redfin agents expect some buyers to
step off the sidelines soon as they get tired of waiting for rates
and prices to come down.
“Prospective buyers have been cautious because they’ve seen
homes sitting on the market and they’ve heard interest rates and
prices may drop. When the market isn’t competitive, some buyers
think they should wait for costs to go down,” said Jordan Hammond,
a Redfin Premier agent in Raleigh, N.C. “Now it’s pretty clear that
sellers aren’t slashing asking prices and mortgage rates aren’t
plummeting, so mindsets are shifting. People are starting to
believe that if they want or need to move, and they can afford to,
they should do it.”
For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit
Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.
Leading indicators
Indicators of homebuying
demand and activity
Value (if applicable)
Recent change
Year-over-year change
Source
Daily average 30-year fixed
mortgage rate
7.06% (Jan. 29)
Down from 7.26% 2 weeks
earlier
Up from 6.95%
Mortgage News Daily
Weekly average 30-year fixed
mortgage rate
6.96% (week ending Jan. 23)
Down from 7.04% a week earlier,
but still near highest level since May
Up from 6.69%
Freddie Mac
Mortgage-purchase applications
(seasonally adjusted)
Essentially unchanged (down 0.4%)
from a week earlier (as of week ending Jan. 24)
Down 7%
Mortgage Bankers Association
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index
(seasonally adjusted)
Lowest level since June (as of
week ending Jan. 26)
Down 1%
Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a
measure of tours and other homebuying services from Redfin
agents
Touring activity
Up 7% from the start of the year
(as of Jan. 26)
At this time last year, it was up
8% from the start of 2024
ShowingTime, a home touring
technology company
Google searches for “home for
sale”
Up 14% from a month earlier (as
of Jan. 26)
Essentially unchanged
Google Trends
Key housing-market
data
U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending Jan.
26, 2025
Redfin’s national metrics include data
from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and are based on homes listed and/or
sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back
through 2015. Subject to revision.
Four weeks ending Jan. 26, 2025
Year-over-year change
Notes
Median sale price
$377,125
4.8%
Median asking price
$407,225
5.2%
Median monthly mortgage payment
$2,753 at a 6.96% mortgage
rate
8%
Highest level since April
Pending sales
59,044
-9.4%
Biggest decline since Sept. 2023
New listings
68,054
2.2%
Active listings
889,202
11.3%
Smallest increase in nearly a year
Months of supply
5.2
+0.3 pts. to longest span in
nearly 6 years
4 to 5 months of supply is considered
balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market
conditions
Share of homes off market in two
weeks
25.7%
Down from 29%
Median days on market
54
+7 days to longest span in nearly
5 years
Share of homes sold above list
price
21%
Down from 23%
Average sale-to-list price
ratio
98%
Down from 98.1%
Metro-level highlights: Four weeks
ending Jan. 26, 2025
Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50
most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time
to time to ensure data accuracy.
Metros with biggest year-over-year
increases
Metros with biggest year-over-year
decreases
Notes
Median sale price
Pittsburgh (19.3%)
Milwaukee (16.7%)
Fort Lauderdale, FL (14.2%)
Newark, NJ (13.4%)
Cincinnati (11.7%)
San Francisco (-5.6%)
Austin, TX (-2.6%)
Tampa, FL (-1.5%)
Declined in 3 metros
Pending sales
Portland, OR (9.7%)
Milwaukee (2.6%)
Miami (-24.9%)
Detroit (-24.5%)
Atlanta (-22.7%)
San Diego (-20.1%)
Houston (-19.8%)
Increased in 2 metros
New listings
San Jose, CA (23.4%)
Phoenix (19.5%)
Seattle (15.2%)
Oakland, CA (14.5%)
Sacramento, CA (14.2%)
San Antonio (-17.4%)
Detroit (-16.6%)
Newark, NJ (-14.4%)
Atlanta (-12.9%)
Warren, MI (-11.6%)
Declined in 18 metros
To view the full report, including charts, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-home-sales-slow-costs-high
About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate
company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage,
rentals, lending, and title insurance services. We run the
country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our customers can save
thousands in fees while working with a top agent. Our home-buying
customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and
title services help them close quickly. Our rentals business
empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for
rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1.6
billion in commissions. We serve approximately 100 markets across
the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.
Redfin’s subsidiaries and affiliated brands include: Bay Equity
Home Loans®, Rent.™, Apartment Guide®, Title Forward® and
WalkScore®.
For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate
agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends
and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to
Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com.
To view Redfin's press center, click here.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250130002576/en/
Contact Redfin Redfin Journalist Services: Tana Kelley
press@redfin.com
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