Xinhua Far East Downgrades Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Ltd to BBB- Issuer Rating, the Rating Outlook Changed from Stab
23 March 2006 - 1:00AM
PR Newswire (US)
HONG KONG, March 22 /Xinhua-PRNewswire/ -- Xinhua Far East China
Ratings today downgraded Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Ltd
("CBA" or "the Company", HK1114; NYSE: CBA) from BBB+ to BBB-
domestic currency issuer credit rating. The rating outlook is also
changed from stable to negative. The downgrade reflects Xinhua Far
East's negative view on CBA's competitiveness as an independent
domestic brand in the tougher Chinese sedan market and its falling
market position in the minibus sector. It also incorporates
concerns about the Company's slow market responsiveness and its
battered image among consumers resulting from a turbulent turnover
of management, which has undermined its market share and
profitability. The new rating also reflects a possible liquidity
risk if CBA convertible bond holders execute their redemption
options on the bond in 2006. Xinhua Far East notes that CBA's sedan
sales have slipped despite solid growth rates in China's sedan
market of 15.2% in 2004 and 24.3% in 2005. As market growth
decelerates, CBA will face further squeezes with more players
entering the business sedan submarket, its major revenue source in
the past. CBA's weak R&D capability prevents it from not only
launching new models to catch up with major rivals, but also from
quickly expanding its product lines to faster-growing niches like
economic or mini-sedans. Moreover, the minibus sector, another core
business for the Company, has also been reporting disappointing
results. CBA's share in the domestic minibus market fell from 24.2%
in 2000 to 15.5% in 2004. The turnover and profit margin of the
minibus sector (including auto parts) has slid also, largely due to
lower prices and its condensed high-end product mix. In Xinhua Far
East's view, the turmoil in CBA's management has impeded its
responsiveness to the market and impaired its ability to enhance
operational efficiency, while undermining consumer confidence in
its products. Despite strong recovery in the Company's JV with BMW
since the launch of the BMW 3 series in Q205 and the opportunity
for the Company to enhance its competitive strength in the
low-to-medium end market with the recent launch of the Junjie
model, Xinhua Far East believes it will get little help from its
major business lines of minibus and Zhonghua sedan in the near
future. The rating outlook for CBA is negative. Xinhua Far East
expects growth in sedan demand to stall even further over the next
few years after pent-up demand has been fully released on account
of the current market's aggressive price cuts and greater
availability. The business sedan niche, an area in which CBA used
to excel, is more likely to be affected by macro-controls.
Additionally, it will take time for the Company to establish a
competitive position in the rapidly changing household sedan
market. The first China automaker to be listed abroad, CBA produces
the Zhonghua, Grandeur and Junjie sedans and the Jinbei minibuses.
It sold 61,600 minibuses and 11,000 Zhonghua sedans in 2004,
contributing to RMB6.54 billion in turnover for the year. CBA holds
a 49% stake in Brilliance BMW, a JV with BMW, which produces the
BMW 5 series and 3 series in China. Zhonghua is one of the key
domestic brands in China's sedan market. For the rating report
summary, please visit http://www.xinhuafinance.com/creditrating .
Note to Editors: About Xinhua Far East China Ratings Xinhua Far
East China Ratings (Xinhua Far East) is a pioneering venture in
China that aims to rank credit risks among corporations in China.
It is a strategic alliance between Xinhua Finance (TSE Mothers:
9399), and Shanghai Far East Credit Rating Co., Ltd. Shanghai Far
East became a Xinhua Finance partner company in 2003 and the first
China member of The Association of Credit Rating Agencies in Asia
in December 2003. Capitalizing on the synergy between Xinhua
Finance and Shanghai Far East, Xinhua Far East's rating methodology
and process blend unique local market knowledge with international
rating standards. Xinhua Far East is committed to provide investors
with independent, objective, timely and forward-looking credit
opinions on Chinese companies. It aims to help investors
differentiate the credit risks among the corporations in China,
thereby, cultivating their awareness and promoting information
disclosures and transparency in China market. For more information,
see http://www.xfn.com/creditrating . About Xinhua Finance Limited
Xinhua Finance Limited is China's unchallenged leader in financial
information and media, and is listed on the Mothers board of the
Tokyo Stock Exchange (symbol: 9399) (OTC ADRs: XHFNY). Bridging
China's financial markets and the world, Xinhua Finance serves
financial institutions, corporations and re-distributors through
four focused and complementary service lines: Indices, Ratings,
Financial News and Investor Relations. Founded in November 1999,
the Company is headquartered in Shanghai with 21 news bureaus and
offices in 18 locations across Asia, Australia, North America and
Europe. For more information, please visit
http://www.xinhuafinance.com/ . About Shanghai Far East Credit
Rating Co., Ltd Shanghai Far East Credit Rating Co., Ltd. is the
first and leading professional credit rating company with
comprehensive business coverage in China. It is an independent
agency established by the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences with
the mission to develop internationally accepted standards for
capital market in China. The company is a pioneer in conducting
bond- rating business in China. For years, it has been authorized
by the Shanghai branch of the PBOC to undertake loan certificate
credit rating. Since establishment, it has rated over 1,000
corporate long-term bonds and commercial papers, based on the
principles of objectivity, fairness and independence. The company
has also maintained over 50% market share in the loan
certificate-rating sector in Shanghai for three consecutive years.
With its strong local presence and knowledge, it provides investors
with unique and the most insightful credit opinion. For more
information, see http://www.fareast-cr.com/ . For more information,
please contact: Hong Kong Joy Tsang, Corporate & Investor
Communications Director, Xinhua Finance Tel: +852-3196-3983,
+8621-6113-5999 or +852-9486-4364 Email: US David Leeney, Taylor
Rafferty (IR/PR Contact in US) Tel: +1-212-889-4350 Email:
DATASOURCE: Xinhua Far East China Ratings CONTACT: Joy Tsang of
Xinhua Finance, +852-3196-3983, or +852-9486-4364, or
+8621-6113-5999, or ; David Leeney of Taylor Rafferty for Xinhua
Finance, +1-212-889-4350, or
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