VietNam Holding Limited ("VNH" or the
"Company")
Monthly Investor Report
A report detailing the activities of
the Company for the month of January 2025 has been issued by Dynam
Capital Limited, the investment manager of the Company. Electronic
copies of the report have been made available to shareholders on
the
Company's website and a summary of
the report is included below.
Manager Commentary: Fewer snakes,
more ladders
January was a sideways month for
Vietnam's economy and stock market, with fewer working days during
the Lunar New Year (Tet holiday) and global geopolitical and tariff
twists continuing to rattle supply chains around the world.
However, relative to other countries, Vietnam managed to navigate
the unprecedented uncertainties and maintain a positive GDP growth
outlook for 2025, with the National Assembly increasing its target
for the year to 8% based on the sustainable momentum.
Indeed, on the back of 2024's
better-than-expected 7.09% growth rate, the Vietnamese government
continues to push ahead on policies aimed at attracting investment,
increasing domestic consumption and stimulating economic expansion,
as part of a 'National Rising' campaign. For example, on public
infrastructure investment, its planned 400km Lao Cai-Hanoi-Hai
Phong US$8.4 bn railway project, which will connect Vietnam's
Chinese border to the growing Lach Huyen International Port in Hai
Phong, is bound to boost trade and logistics and lead to further
foreign capital. Construction is meant to run from 2026 to 2030,
resulting in 90,000 new jobs while also traversing a region that is
home to 20% of Vietnam's population and 25% of its industrial
bases. In preparing for an annual growth rate beyond 10% for 2026
onwards, the government also showed that it remains committed to
tax breaks and financial support for high-tech industries and
renewable energy projects that can help position Vietnam as a
regional investment hub. For instance, in January, Vietnam's
revised Public Investment Law came into effect, introducing
significant changes to enhance the efficiency of public investment
management. The reforms were made to overcome existing bottlenecks,
foster decentralisation, and streamline public investment
processes, thereby contributing to Vietnam's long-term economic
development ambitions. Additionally, efforts to upgrade Vietnam's
stock market classification to emerging market status continued in
January through regulatory adjustments to enhance
transparency.
As for Vietnam's stock market, it
mirrored the broader global economic uncertainties that intensified
in January, with cautious domestic investor sentiment and
broad-based selling of frontier and emerging market stocks by
foreign investors. In terms of sectors, banking and retail held
steady, buoyed by the government's stimulus efforts, while
manufacturing stocks faced foreign sell-offs due to weaker global
demand stemming from potential trade war implications. The banking
sector's strong earnings prospects, attractive valuations, and
favourable credit growth have contributed to their resilience,
despite the broader market volatility. VNH's net asset value
was up +1.4% thanks to the outperformance of retail, banks and
telecoms.
Despite the near-term headwinds, we
believe that long-term optimism remains as Vietnam's economic
fundamentals and growth 'ladders' have the potential to keep
investors engaged. January underscored the importance of
adaptability in the evolving global landscape and, as the Year of
the Snake unfolds, Vietnam has several opportunities to bank on,
not least its booming tourism industry, which made a roaring start
to 2025, having set a record with nearly 2.1 million international
visitors. This figure not only surpassed pre-pandemic levels but
also marked a 36.9% increase compared to January 2024. China
reclaimed its position as the leading source of international
visitors, but the European market also emerged as a significant
contributor, bolstered by Vietnam's unilateral visa exemption
policy. The surge in tourists naturally boosted Vietnam's economy,
with some provinces reporting tourism revenue increases of
40%.
Tourism, strengthening domestic
household spending and a growing middle class can partially offset
potential weakening in exports as global trade disruptions evolve,
while at the same time Vietnam's active participation in regional
trade agreements opens doors for new investment avenues and market
expansion throughout the year.
For more information please
contact:
Dynam Capital
Limited
Craig
Martin
Tel: +84 28 3827 7590
info@dynamcapital.com
|www.dynamcapital.com
www.vietnamholding.com
Cavendish Capital Markets
Limited
Corporate Broker and Financial
Advisor
Tel: +44 20 7220 0500