Thierry Laduguie

FTSE 100 Sideways Trend is Coming to an End

15 Sep 2017 @ 00:25
The stock market rally is running out of steam, the FTSE 100 is breaking down and the S&P 500 is at key resistance. The FTSE 100 has been trading sideways for months, today it looked as if it was going to re-test the upper range above 7400. The index was near 7400 until midday when the […]

Bearish Divergence Between FTSE 100 and S&P 500 is Ominous

27 Jul 2017 @ 23:17
Stock markets in the US are making new all-time highs but in Europe it’s a different story. The Dax is way below its all-time high following a surge in EUR/USD and in the UK the FTSE 100 trend has turned down. The FTSE 100 peaked at 7599 on 2nd June. The UK index has underperformed […]

Bearish Divergence Between US and UK Stock Markets

16 Jun 2017 @ 20:14
Two weeks ago I produced a chart of FTSE 100 with a yellow rectangle in the area 7550-7650, I called this area “Top area”. The reason I was expecting a top was twofold; the trend reversal indicator (34-day BTI) was overbought and the Elliott wave pattern was in five waves. Bull markets end in five […]

FTSE 100 Near Important Resistance

02 Jun 2017 @ 00:00
Yesterday the rally extended to new highs, then we saw a sudden and sharp reversal, the FTSE 100 lost nearly 1% in the afternoon. During the morning session we had the opposite scenario, the FTSE was very strong, even the declining oil price failed to stop the rally. And when the pound started to rally […]

Non-confirmation Between FTSE 100 and S&P 500, Upside is Limited

03 May 2017 @ 19:27
Yesterday was a very quiet day with the FTSE 100 trading in a 30 pts range, the S&P was not moving either. I read that the standard deviation of the S&P 500 from January to April is at its lowest in 20 years. Standard deviation is a measure of volatility, when the index moves sideways […]

Potential Rally in GBP/USD Will Be a Drag on FTSE 100

24 Feb 2017 @ 00:08
As I write GBP/USD is pushing back to 1.2500, we could be at the start of a larger move to 1.2700. The pound has been trading sideways for a while, this kind of move is generally a pause in the main trend. If we assume that the trend is up (the rally from the low […]

The Pound is Another Variable Used to Forecast the FTSE 100

04 Feb 2017 @ 02:56
When the FTSE 100 does not behave as you expect you need to find out why. Then you need to adapt your strategy. I see that many people find it difficult to adapt, for example in January they kept shorting the FTSE 100. According to IG, 80%-85% of traders were short during the massive January […]

FTSE 100: Terminal Pattern Suggests Some Bad News

13 Jan 2017 @ 02:17
In general I don’t produce long term forecasts (FTSE 100), there are so many events that can happen in a year, the forecast is likely to be off the mark. I am a short term trader focussing on the next few days / few weeks. However, this year we are approaching the end of an […]

The Big Short is Coming

18 Nov 2016 @ 02:46
Regular readers will recall this article I posted in June The target remains the same but the timing of the decline has been delayed. The wave principle is a powerful tool to forecast the stock market, I have no doubt this long term decline will materialise once the positive mood dissipates. Sometimes major events like […]

FTSE 100 Has Limited Downside Unless Trump Card is Shown

02 Nov 2016 @ 23:14
The FTSE 100 broke below an important support line yesterday, it now looks as if the decline in the FTSE will accelerate. This is not confirmed by the S&P 500, the US index is still in an uptrend. We have a non confirmation between the FTSE and the S&P, the S&P has the potential to […]
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