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Trump in the Spotlight: Bitcoin Crash May Set the Stage for a Historic 2025 Rebound

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Bitcoin (BTC) recently soared to a record-breaking $108,364 before plunging to $92,118 in just three days—a dramatic shift that comes amid escalating political tensions in the U.S., with the looming threat of a federal government shutdown. While this sudden dip has rattled the market, optimism remains high, with some analysts speculating that a monumental “God candle” could ignite one of Bitcoin’s most remarkable recoveries to date.

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Bitcoin’s Slide: Could Trump’s Policies Ignite a Crypto Revival?
The crypto market has mirrored the turbulence of U.S. politics in recent days, with uncertainty surrounding a potential government shutdown adding to the volatility. The stalemate over federal spending has historically impacted markets in various ways—while the S&P 500 has occasionally posted modest gains during past shutdowns, cryptocurrencies have followed no such predictable trend.

Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, has added fuel to market anxiety by forecasting a sharp downturn in crypto prices near Donald Trump’s anticipated return to the spotlight. Hayes attributes this to fleeting disillusionment among market participants, which could lead to a “harrowing dump” in prices.

Source: wikimedia commons

Source: wikimedia commons

Adding another layer of skepticism, Martin Shkreli, infamous for his controversial past, recently painted a bleak outlook for bitcoin (BTC). Shkreli speculated that MicroStrategy’s Michael Saylor could face liquidation and warned that bitcoin might remain stagnant for years. He further expressed doubt about Trump delivering on his promises, dampening hopes of a near-term crypto resurgence. While many dismiss Shkreli’s comments, his bearish perspective reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding both the market and Trump’s potential influence.

These perspectives stand in stark contrast to the optimism of those who envision a Trump comeback as the catalyst for another legendary “God candle”—a term used to describe a massive, one-day price surge that dwarfs surrounding chart activity. While Hayes’ warnings have tempered some enthusiasm and Shkreli’s bearish remarks have been largely dismissed, Trump supporters remain steadfast in their hopes.

Regardless of political leanings, one could argue that Trump’s return to office, coupled with crypto-friendly policies and the idea of a U.S. bitcoin reserve, might pave the way for a major crypto market revival. Hayes’ predicted steep drop could already be unfolding, but if Trump were to implement such measures, a recovery could follow, turning Hayes’ forecast on its head.

It’s possible that the current downturn is merely a pause—a bearish pullback within a larger bullish cycle. Should the U.S. resolve its budget crisis and Trump introduce strategic bitcoin initiatives, Bitcoin could see an extraordinary resurgence.

This scenario might spark a new wave of God candles, reshaping market dynamics and fueling unprecedented growth during or after Trump’s potential inauguration. For now, Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory remains uncertain, but the crypto community is keeping a close watch, hoping for the seismic shift a Trump presidency could bring.

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