The key to a revival of Holders Technology (LSE:HDT) is to cut out value-destructive activities, thereby not only reducing losses but releasing cash.
We have seen a decline in the amount of money tied up in inventory and receivables. Is this evidence of partial liquidation by getting out of unprofitable customer servicing?
Start with the overall company numbers:
£m | November 2012 | November 2014 | November 2015 |
Inventories | 3.14 | 2.74 | 2.53 |
Receivables | 2.40 | 1.95 | 1.56 |
Total | 5.54 | 4.69 | 4.09 |
Reduction 2012 to 2014 (24 months) | 0.85
15% |
||
Reduction 2014 to 2015 (12 months) | 0.6m
13% |
||
Reduction 2012 to 2015 (36 months) | 1.45
26% |
A company with a market capitalisation of £1m has reduced the cash tied up in inventory and receivables by £1.45m over 36 months.
But also note that over the same period net current asset value has fallen by £1.24m from £4.45m to £3.21m. Trading losses total £0.66m over those three years.
If more cash can be released from the £4.09m in inventory and receivables as unprofitable activities are curtailed then the BS might shift to a higher proportion of cash – perhaps the cash will exceed MCap.
Unfortunately, the recent evidence is not good: cash went down by £191k over the last year rather than up.
Different stories for the PCB and the LED businesses.
Printed circuit board supplies
The business supplying components to printed circuit board manufacturers has been declining for years.
In the most recent 12 months revenue was down 25%, and comments such as “PCB market in 2015 continued to be demanding…..sharply reduced customer demand” and “In the current year, given market conditions, it will be difficult for our PCB activities to make a positive contribution” confirm my view that this division should be killed off, or, at least, reduced to its profitable niches.
However, it would not be sensible to kill it off hastily. As cash tied up in inventory and receivables is released the company will carry on trading with some customers and so is obliged to carry a minimum stock level.
Also German labour laws may not permit rapid redundancy without high cost. So a subtle release of capital is required. How are the managers doing on this score?
First, note that employee numbers across the company have fallen to 78 compared with 107 in 2011 (they were down by 6 in 2015).
Also staff costs were £2.7m five years ago; they are £2.1m now.
It’s unlikely that staff numbers in the LED business have gone down as this division is being built up. I thus surmise that PCB has lost over 40% of its staff.
But has that released any money? Here are some numbers:
PCB Division – Costs, Profits and Assets
£000’s | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
Revenue | 11,036 | 11,011 | 11,025 | 8,304 |
Gross profit | 2,760 | 2,640 | 2,546 | 1,853 |
Gross margin | 25% | 24% | 23.1% | 22.3% |
Distribution costs | 316 | 301 | 333 | 272 |
Administrative costs | 2,257 | 2,154 | 2,182 | 1,707 |
Other operating income | 47 | 56 | 45 | 98 |
Division operating profit | 234 | 241 | 76 | -28 |
Assets | 8,522 | 9,453 | 7,314 | 6,509 |
Liabilities | 2,467 | 1,919 | 1,841 | 1,970 |
Net assets | 6,055 | 7,534 | 5,473 | 4,539 |
In the last year gross profit fell by £693k compar……….To read the rest of this article, and more like it, subscribe to my premium newsletter Deep Value Shares – click here http://newsletters.advfn.com/deepvalueshares/subscribe-1