For years I’ve tried to persuade the founder and dominant shareholder of Northamber (LSE:NAR), David Phillips, that the most risk-strewn path for shareholders is to keep on desperately trying to get back to profits in the operating business.
The company remains a small player in an industry with very poor economics, no pricing power vis-à-vis customers and no bargaining power with suppliers. Customers have plenty of substitute methods to turn to when buying electronic items. It has no competitive advantage.
It is using over £20m that could otherwise be given to shareholders (that is 71p per share compared with the current share price of 31p) and this is the sorry profit history:
Profit after tax | |
2015 | Loss £0.89m |
2014 | Loss £1.16m |
2013 | Loss £0.98m |
2012 | Breakeven |
2011 | Loss £0.1m |
2010 | £0.17m |
2009 | £0.05m |
I see no reason, other than freakish chance, that it will return to generating anything like the £2m annual profits it needs to justify holding on to that amount of shareholder’s money. It is all but futile to keep punting shareholder’s savings on new product ranges and revamped marketing based on misplaced hope. There are simply too many competitors willing to cut prices to the bone.
They have tried valiantly to get back to profits, but my view is that it just ain’t going to happen. Any value in the shares is founded on the prospect of liquidation, followed by a cash pay out to shareholders. But this will only happen after a full realisation by David Phillips, aged 71, of the hopelessness of the operating business – he has shown no indication that he wants to give up.
If liquidation does not come about soon the value in the company will continue……..To read the rest of this article, and more like it, subscribe to my premium newsletter Deep Value Shares – click here http://newsletters.advfn.com/deepvalueshares/subscribe-1