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Guardian Stockbrokers Key Economic News Monday 10 July 2017

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The key points from today’s economic news, brought to you by Guardian Stockbrokers.

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UK NIESR estimated GDP rose in the April-June 2017 period

On a MoM basis, NIESR estimated gross domestic product (GDP) in the UK climbed 0.30% in the April-June 2017 period. NIESR estimated GDP had recorded a rise of 0.20% in the March-May 2017 period.

UK construction output unexpectedly dropped in May

On a monthly basis, construction output in the UK unexpectedly dropped 1.20% in May, less than market expectations for an advance of 0.70%. Construction output had dropped by a revised 1.10% in the previous month.

UK manufacturing production rose less than expected in May

On an annual basis, manufacturing production climbed 0.40% in May, in the UK, less than market expectations for a rise of 1.00%. In the previous month, manufacturing production had registered a flat reading.

UK total trade deficit rose in May

Total trade deficit in the UK widened to £3.07 billion in May, following a revised total trade deficit of £2.12 billion in the prior month. Markets were expecting the nation’s total trade deficit to rise to £2.50 billion.

UK Halifax house price index surprisingly eased in June

On a MoM basis, the Halifax house price index unexpectedly fell 1.00% in the UK, in June, compared to a revised advance of 0.30% in the previous month. Market expectation was for the Halifax house price index to advance 0.20%.

UK construction output unexpectedly dropped in May

On an annual basis, construction output recorded an unexpected drop of 0.30% in the UK, in May, compared to a revised drop of 0.10% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for construction output to advance 1.10%.

UK industrial production unexpectedly declined in May

On an annual basis, in the UK, industrial production unexpectedly dropped 0.20% in May, compared to a fall of 0.80% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for industrial production to climb 0.20%.

UK Halifax house price index advanced less than expected in the April-June 2017 period

In the April-June 2017 period, on a YoY basis, the Halifax house price index climbed 2.60% in the UK, compared to an advance of 3.30% in the March-May 2017 period. Market anticipation was for the Halifax house price index to rise 3.10%.

UK trade deficit expanded in May

Non-EU trade deficit in the UK rose to £3.80 billion in May, following a revised trade deficit of £2.62 billion in the previous month. Market anticipation was for the country’s trade deficit to drop to £2.45 billion.

UK industrial production unexpectedly slid in May

In the UK, industrial production unexpectedly dropped 0.10% in May on a MoM basis, compared to a rise of 0.20% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for industrial production to advance 0.40%.

UK manufacturing production unexpectedly declined in May

Manufacturing production unexpectedly dropped 0.20% on a monthly basis in the UK in May, lower than market expectations for an advance of 0.50%. In the previous month, manufacturing production had climbed 0.20%.

UK visible trade deficit widened in May

In May, visible trade deficit in the UK expanded to £11.86 billion, more than market expectations of a visible trade deficit of £10.85 billion. The UK had reported a revised visible trade deficit of £10.59 billion in the prior month.

German industrial production advanced more than expected in May

In May, on a monthly basis, the seasonally adjusted industrial production in Germany registered a rise of 1.20%, more than market expectations for a rise of 0.20%. In the previous month, industrial production had risen by a revised 0.70%.

German industrial production advanced more than expected in May

On an annual basis, in Germany, the non-seasonally & working day adjusted industrial production registered a rise of 5.00% in May, compared to a revised advance of 2.80% in the previous month. Markets were anticipating industrial production to advance 4.00%.

French industrial production advanced more than expected in May

On a monthly basis in France, industrial production registered a rise of 1.90% in May, more than market expectations for an advance of 0.60%. Industrial production had recorded a revised drop of 0.60% in the previous month.

French manufacturing production advanced more than expected in May

In May, on a monthly basis, manufacturing production in France rose 2.00%, compared to a revised drop of 1.30% in the previous month. Markets were expecting manufacturing production to rise 0.60%.

French current account deficit narrowed in May

France has reported current account deficit of €2.30 billion in May, compared to a revised current account deficit of €2.60 billion in the previous month.

French budget deficit widened in May

Budget deficit in France widened to €66.40 billion in May. France had posted a budget deficit of €57.90 billion in the previous month.

French trade deficit dropped in May

In May, trade deficit in France dropped to €4.89 billion, following a revised trade deficit of €5.59 billion in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the nation to record a trade deficit of €5.10 billion.

Italian retail sales unexpectedly slid in May

The seasonally adjusted retail sales unexpectedly dropped 0.10% on a monthly basis in Italy, in May, lower than market expectations for an advance of 0.30%. In the prior month, retail sales had dropped by a revised 0.40%.

Italian retail sales advanced as expected in May

On an annual basis in Italy, the non-seasonally adjusted retail sales registered a rise of 1.00% in May, meeting market expectations. In the previous month, retail sales had recorded a revised rise of 0.80%.

Spanish calendar adjusted industrial output advanced more than expected in May

In May, on an annual basis, the calendar adjusted industrial output in Spain rose 3.00%, compared to a revised advance of 0.50% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for the calendar adjusted industrial output to climb 2.00%.

Swiss foreign currency reserves unexpectedly fell in June

Compared to a revised reading of CHF 694.20 billion in the previous month foreign currency reserves in Switzerland fell unexpectedly to a level of CHF 693.50 billion in June. Markets were expecting foreign currency reserves to advance to CHF 695.00 billion.

Swiss unemployment rate declined in June

The non-seasonally adjusted unemployment rate eased to 3.00% in June, in Switzerland, at par with market expectations. Unemployment rate had recorded a level of 3.10% in the prior month.

Swiss unemployment rate remained flat in June

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Switzerland remained steady at 3.20% in June, in line with market expectations.

US underemployment rate climbed in June

In June, underemployment rate recorded a rise to 8.60% in the US. Underemployment rate had registered a level of 8.40% in the previous month.

Non-farm payrolls in the US increased in June

In the US, non-farm payrolls advanced by 222.00 K in June, compared to a revised gain of 152.00 K in the prior month. Markets were expecting non-farm payrolls to advance 178.00 K.

Private payrolls in the US rose in June

In the US, private payrolls advanced by 187.00 K in June, higher than market expectations of an advance of 170.00 K. Private payrolls had registered a revised gain of 159.00 K in the previous month.

US average weekly hours of all employees surprisingly advanced in June

Average weekly hours of all employees in the US climbed unexpectedly to 34.50 in June, compared to a reading of 34.40 in the previous month. Markets were expecting average weekly hours of all employees to remain unchanged.

US average hourly earnings of all employees advanced less than expected in June

In the US, average hourly earnings of all employees registered a rise of 0.20% in June on a monthly basis, compared to a revised rise of 0.10% in the prior month. Market anticipation was for average hourly earnings of all employees to rise 0.30%.

US average hourly earnings of all employees rose less than expected in June

In June, on an annual basis, average hourly earnings of all employees in the US advanced 2.50%, compared to a revised rise of 2.40% in the prior month. Markets were anticipating average hourly earnings of all employees to climb 2.60%.

Household employment in the US climbed in June

In the US, household employment recorded an increase of 245.00 K in June. Household employment had recorded a decline of 233.00 K in the previous month.

US unemployment rate surprisingly rose in June

In June, unemployment rate rose unexpectedly to a level of 4.40% in the US, compared to a reading of 4.30% in the previous month. Market anticipation was for unemployment rate to record a flat reading.

Manufacturing payrolls in the US rose in June

Manufacturing payrolls in the US registered a rise of 1.00 K in June, compared to market expectations of an advance of 5.00 K. Manufacturing payrolls had recorded a revised loss of 2.00 K in the prior month.

Canadian participation rate rose in June

The participation rate rose to a level of 65.90% in Canada, in June. The participation rate had recorded a level of 65.80% in the previous month.

Canadian unemployment rate surprisingly slid in June

In June, the unemployment rate recorded an unexpected drop to a level of 6.50% in Canada, lower than market expectations of an unchanged reading. In the previous month, the unemployment rate had registered a reading of 6.60%.

Part time employment in Canada rose in June

Part time employment advanced by 37.10 K in Canada, in June. Part time employment had recorded a loss of 22.30 K in the prior month.

Net number of people employed in Canada rose in June

The net number of people employed in Canada advanced by 45.30 K in June, following an advance of 54.50 K in the previous month. Markets were anticipating the net number of people employed to rise 10.00 K.

Canadian Ivey PMI rose in June

Compared to a level of 53.80 in the previous month the seasonally adjusted Ivey PMI registered a rise to 61.60 in Canada, in June. Market anticipation was for Ivey PMI to climb to a level of 58.00.

Number of full time employment in Canada rose in June

The number of full time employment rose by 8.10 K in Canada, in June. The number of full time employment had recorded an increase of 77.00 K in the previous month.

Japanese coincident index slid in May

In May, the flash coincident index in Japan recorded a drop to 115.50, at par with market expectations. In the prior month, the coincident index had registered a level of 117.10.

Japanese bank lending including trusts advanced more than expected in June

In June, bank lending including trusts climbed 3.30% on an annual basis in Japan, more than market expectations for an advance of 3.20%. In the prior month, bank lending including trusts had registered a rise of 3.20%.

Japanese leading economic index climbed in May

In May, the preliminary leading economic index in Japan rose to a level of 104.70, higher than market expectations of an advance to a level of 104.50. In the prior month, the leading economic index had recorded a level of 104.20.

Japanese bank lending ex-trust advanced as expected in June

In June, on a YoY basis, bank lending ex-trust rose 3.30% in Japan, in line with market expectations. Bank lending ex-trust had registered a similar rise in the prior month.

Chinese CPI advanced less than expected in June

In China, the consumer price index (CPI) recorded a rise of 1.50% on a YoY basis in June, lower than market expectations for an advance of 1.60%. In the previous month, the CPI had registered a similar rise.

Chinese PPI advanced as expected in June

In China, the producer price index (PPI) registered a rise of 5.50% in June, on an annual basis, in line with market expectations. In the prior month, the PPI had registered a similar rise.

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