Bitcoin And Altcoins Rebound As US Inflation Cools—Is The Downtrend Over?
01 March 2025 - 5:30PM
NEWSBTC
US inflation data has injected renewed optimism into the Bitcoin
and broader cryptocurrency markets. In January, the Personal
Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation—the Federal Reserve’s
preferred measure—fell to 2.5%, precisely in line with
expectations. Core PCE inflation was reported at 2.6%, also
matching forecasts, marking the first decline in PCE inflation
since September 2024. Bitcoin And Altcoins See Relief On Inflation
Data The latest data confirms steady performance both
year-over-year and month-over-month. Headline PCE remained at 2.5%
YoY, while core PCE—revised from a previous 2.8% (and even 2.9% in
earlier revisions) to 2.6%—represents a 30 basis point improvement.
This core headline reading is the lowest YoY since August 2024, and
it is notable as the first slowdown in headline PCE YoY in four
months. These figures suggest that easing inflationary pressures
might be gradually reshaping market sentiment. Related Reading:
Bitcoin Crashes, Fear Spikes—But This Analyst Sees $153,000 Ahead
Crypto analyst BACH (@CyclesWithBach) was quick to respond on X,
emphasizing the bullish nature of the data. He noted that “this
core headline number is the lowest reading YoY since August 2024”
and pointed to the 30bp revision as a significant improvement.
Although he warned of too much optimism, he stated: “This is a BIG
difference and is in fact bullish for markets! We may still see
some choppy bottoming formation, but this bull ain’t over! – Credit
spreads despite all this remain narrow, which is a sign that credit
markets see no risk!” Following the data release, Bitcoin recovered
back above $84,000, up 3.5% since the report and about 7.5% from
today’s low of $78,258. After a week in which Bitcoin suffered an
18% decline, losing $96,000, the rebound marks a clear recovery.
Altcoins were similarly buoyed; Ethereum climbed 5.8%, XRP gained
9.2%, and Solana surged 16%. Notably, SOL’s rally coincides with
news that the CME Group will launch Solana (SOL) futures on March
17, pending CFTC regulatory review. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s
60-Day CDD Spikes: A Warning Sign or Buying Opportunity? Crypto
analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) also weighed in on the implications
of the PCE release, remarking that “Fed CME interest rate Futures
at the current moment has increased to 53.7% probability of a rate
cut in June after the PCE Report. Up from below 50%. That’s solid
news. #BTC #Altcoins #Crypto” Broader Macro Perspective Beyond the
PCE data, broader macroeconomic signals could further support
market recovery. Julien Bittel, Head of Macro Research at Global
Macro Investor (GMI), shared his perspective on X. He attributes
current market volatility, especially in crypto, to the tightening
of financial conditions in Q4 of last year, which drained liquidity
and slowed economic surprises. Bittel suggests that these
conditions are now reversing: “Financial conditions have been
easing rapidly over the past two months – dollar down, bond yields
down, oil down – and that’s setting the stage for a recovery in the
data soon.” He further notes that Bitcoin’s price now fully
reflects the effects of recent tightening, and with an RSI at
23—the most oversold level since August 2023—he advised, “be greedy
when others are fearful.” At press time, BTC traded at $83,804.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
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