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Igor Kuchma

Markets React With Uncertainly To Powell Speech

24 Oct 2023 @ 00:14
Unsurprisingly, Jerome Powell stated in his recent speech that a strong economy and a stable labour market may require a further interest rate hike. According to the Fed chief, the regulator is committed to bringing it back to the 2% target, but they will proceed cautiously to achieve this. He also acknowledged that inflation is […]
 

Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again?

17 Oct 2023 @ 01:03
Unemployment is at historic lows, and GDP is above expectations, so one would think that markets should be soaring, reaching new highs or at least on track to do so. However, in the last six months, the markets have returned to where they were six months ago, albeit experiencing ups and downs. What could be […]
 

Should We Worry About A US Recession?

11 Oct 2023 @ 19:36
On the first day of the new fiscal year in the United States, the country’s national debt rose from $33.167 trillion to $33.442 trillion, setting a new record. Still the markets didn’t seem to care much about the historic event. What did capture their attention was an increase in the number of new non-farm jobs to 336,000, […]
 

Why markets remain under pressure and what to follow next

26 Sep 2023 @ 00:28
Despite the recent pickup in inflation, driven primarily by rising energy prices, the Federal Reserve chose to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged within the 5.25-5.5% range. However, the markets still went down. Jerome Powell’s “hawkish” speech, in which he stressed that the pause in interest rate hikes does not signal the end of the […]
 

The week ahead: Major topics to follow

18 Sep 2023 @ 22:43
Looking ahead to this week, the key event in the Northern Hemisphere will be Wednesday’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting and, more specifically, Jerome Powell’s speech afterward. Although markets have already factored in the expectation that the regulator will maintain its current monetary policy, there is a likelihood that it will hint at possible future actions. […]
 

What will the Fed do next?

12 Sep 2023 @ 00:17
Positive financial calendar data on business activity in the U.S. services sector was released last week: the ISM non-manufacturing index for August rose to 54.5 points, up from 52.7 points the previous month. As expected, markets reacted negatively: the value of the dollar rose along with US Treasury yields due to concerns about a further […]
 

Dancing on the grave of the economy

04 Sep 2023 @ 21:43
Last week we received discouraging news from the U.S. economy. First, regarding the labor market, the number of job openings in the country fell in July to its lowest level in 28 months, at 8.827 million, down from 9.165 million the previous month, while unemployment rose to 3.8%. The country’s GDP figures for the second […]
 

Markets Still Sluggish

29 Aug 2023 @ 18:28
Nvidia’s impressive report didn’t exactly light up the markets: for the week, the S&P 500 index posted a modest 0.58% gain, while the dollar index received a 0.82% boost. This suggests that markets continue to see a bleak outlook for the sector and the economy. This is likely due to concerns about a possible economic […]
 

Is it time to downgrade Europe's rating?

21 Aug 2023 @ 22:43
Fitch Ratings recently downgraded the US debt rating from AAA to AA+ due to the worsening financial situation in the country, but what about Europe? While there are no clear black swans like a falling commercial real estate market in the US, European companies and citizens are starting to feel the impact of high-interest rates. […]
 

Markets Depressed

15 Aug 2023 @ 00:04
Markets ended the week on a negative note, dampening initial optimism after inflation rose 3.2% in July, slightly below the 3.3% forecast. But shouldn’t it be the other way around, since positive data portends a Fed policy review? In short, no. First, because of the sharp rise in oil and gasoline prices, prices have actually […]
 
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