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Igor Kuchma

Markets Still Sluggish

29 Aug 2023 @ 18:28
Nvidia’s impressive report didn’t exactly light up the markets: for the week, the S&P 500 index posted a modest 0.58% gain, while the dollar index received a 0.82% boost. This suggests that markets continue to see a bleak outlook for the sector and the economy. This is likely due to concerns about a possible economic […]
 

Is it time to downgrade Europe's rating?

21 Aug 2023 @ 22:43
Fitch Ratings recently downgraded the US debt rating from AAA to AA+ due to the worsening financial situation in the country, but what about Europe? While there are no clear black swans like a falling commercial real estate market in the US, European companies and citizens are starting to feel the impact of high-interest rates. […]
 

Markets Depressed

15 Aug 2023 @ 00:04
Markets ended the week on a negative note, dampening initial optimism after inflation rose 3.2% in July, slightly below the 3.3% forecast. But shouldn’t it be the other way around, since positive data portends a Fed policy review? In short, no. First, because of the sharp rise in oil and gasoline prices, prices have actually […]
 

Trouble On The Horizon

07 Aug 2023 @ 23:01
Goldman Sachs & Co’s upward revision of its year-end forecast for the S&P 500 has opened a can of worms or Pandora’s box, whichever way you want to look. First, Fitch Ratings suddenly realized that all was not well with the U.S. economy, which led to downgrading the country’s rating from AAA to AA+. Next, […]
 

The Markets Are Bullish

31 Jul 2023 @ 20:23
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates to the highest level since 2001, but the economy is growing, and bullish investors dominate the markets entirely. Could it be that the Fed has finally learned from past mistakes and recessions are a thing of the past, opening the way to new all-time highs? While it’s hard to […]
 

Three themes of the past week

25 Jul 2023 @ 00:06
Russia has officially withdrawn from the grain agreement, which means the guarantees of safe navigation and the humanitarian maritime corridor in the northwest of the Black Sea have been canceled. However, there is a glimmer of hope as the Kremlin is open to reconsidering the agreement if their demands are met. The President of Turkey […]
 

China Growth Less Than Expected

17 Jul 2023 @ 23:14
The week starts with concerning news from China. The country’s GDP growth in the second quarter was only 6.3%, falling short of the expected 7.1% year-on-year growth. In the first half of the year, GDP increased by 5.5%. The retail sector showed a significant improvement, with a growth rate of 8.2% compared to just 0.7% […]
 

Time Marches On, But Old Problems Persist, And New Ones Emerge

10 Jul 2023 @ 23:10
Although the PCE index, closely watched by the Federal Reserve, fell to 4.2% year-on-year in March from 5% in February, core inflation, which excludes food and energy, came in at 4.6% year-on-year, only 0.1% lower than in February. The situation in the energy markets is also not encouraging: the further rise in oil prices triggered […]
 

US Economy Growing But Debt, Inflation Up

03 Jul 2023 @ 21:11
The US economy grew by 2% in the first quarter. Goldman Sachs forecasts for the second quarter are also encouraging. The Nasdaq index achieved its best first half since 1983, with a cumulative gain of almost 32% as of last Friday. Will Biden be remembered as the best president in US history? Not necessarily. For […]
 

Gold Up After Russia Chaos

26 Jun 2023 @ 21:57
It has been an intense week, especially in geopolitical terms. For starters, the Ukrainian president admitted that the Ukrainian counteroffensive is “slower than expected.” Asked how the conflict could end, Zelenski stated that Kyiv would not sit down at the negotiating table as long as Russian troops remained on the territory. However, according to German […]
 
 
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