WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., May 11 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: TGIC) today reported a net loss of $27.8 million for its first quarter ended March 31, 2010 compared to a net loss of $79.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2009 and a net loss of $55.2 million for the first quarter of 2009.  The 2010 first quarter diluted loss per share was $1.84 compared to a diluted loss per share of $5.26 for the 2009 fourth quarter and $3.68 for the 2009 first quarter.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "We saw improvement in several key areas during the 2010 first quarter, including the amount of risk in default, the number of loans in default and the number of first-time defaults. Our cure rates increased for the first time since the first quarter of 2009, which we believe was due in part to improved results from the GSE loan modification efforts during the quarter.  The first quarter has traditionally yielded improvements in cure rates and a decline in first-time defaults due to the impact of tax refunds that typically are received during the quarter.  At this time, however, we are unable to determine whether the lower first notices of default and the improved cure rates experienced during the quarter reflect typical seasonality, or whether they mark the beginning of a recovery in the U.S. mortgage and housing markets."  

Mr. Jones continued, "As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims-paying ability.  While we are encouraged by our 2010 first quarter results compared to all of 2008 and 2009, our financial position continued to deteriorate slightly during the first quarter as the deficit in assets increased to $732.7 million at March 31, 2010.  To meet all of our existing obligations, we will need to earn at least $733 million during the remaining run-off of our existing business.  We received $188.7 million in cash and investments during the first quarter following the commutation of our two largest lender captives; however, the receipt of these assets did not impact our net loss as the losses ceded to the captives had previously been recognized as a reinsurance recoverable in our financial statements."    

For additional information concerning our results for the first quarter of 2010 and our financial position at March 31, 2010, please see our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2010, which will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and will be available at www.sec.gov or via our web site at www.triadguaranty.com.  We have updated the quarterly statistical and supplemental information for the 2010 first quarter results on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com.  The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information – First Quarter 2010".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a run-off of its existing in-force book of business.  For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including: the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; the possibility that there will not be adequate interest in our common stock on the over the counter markets to ensure efficient pricing; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as otherwise required by law.

Triad Guaranty Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Operations





Three Months Ended





March 31,





(Unaudited)















2010



2009





(Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)













Earned premiums

$  45,888



$  44,358



Net investment income

9,873



11,192



Net realized investment losses

(242)



(4,565)



Other income (expense)

(8)



2



 Total revenues

55,511



50,987













Losses and loss adjustment expenses

72,238



101,577



Interest expense

2,469



694



Other operating expenses - net

9,332



9,411



  Total losses and expenses

84,039



111,682













Loss before income taxes

(28,528)



(60,695)



Income tax benefit

(717)



(5,521)













Net loss

$ (27,811)



$ (55,174)













Diluted loss per share

$     (1.84)



$     (3.68)













Diluted weighted average common and common stock equivalents outstanding (in thousands)

15,099



14,994





Triad Guaranty Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheets























(Unaudited)







(Unaudited)







March 31,



December 31,



March 31,







2010



2009



2009























(Dollars in thousands except per share amounts)



Assets:















Invested assets:















  Fixed maturities, available for sale, at market

$    811,040



$        784,830



$    904,904





  Equity securities, available for sale, at market

-



-



491





  Short-term investments

146,075



26,651



13,136







957,115



811,481



918,531





















Cash and cash equivalents

38,662



21,839



21,394





Reinsurance recoverable

52,963



233,499



182,589





Other assets

54,406



58,007



52,848





















    Total assets

$ 1,103,146



$     1,124,826



$ 1,175,362



















Liabilities:















Losses and loss adjustment expenses

$ 1,468,719



$     1,537,043



$ 1,262,746





Unearned premiums

12,210



12,153



15,958





Long-term debt

34,543



34,540



34,532





Deferred payment obligation

229,953



168,386



-





Other liabilities

90,467



79,062



43,519





















   Total liabilities

1,835,892



1,831,184



1,356,755



















Stockholders' equity:















Accumulated deficit

(878,952)



(851,141)



(310,683)





Accumulated other comprehensive income

32,114



30,782



16,316





Other equity accounts

114,092



114,001



112,974





















  Deficit in assets

(732,746)



(706,358)



(181,393)



















Total liabilities and stockholders' equity

$ 1,103,146



$     1,124,826



$ 1,175,362



































Stockholders' deficit in assets per share:

$      (48.02)



$           (46.29)



$      (11.92)



















Common shares outstanding

15,258,128



15,258,128



15,215,378





Triad Guaranty Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow











Three Months Ended March 31,















2010



2009





(Unaudited)





(Dollars in Thousands)











OPERATING ACTIVITIES







Net loss

$ (27,811)



$ (55,174)

Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash







provided by operating activities:









Increase (decrease) in loss and unearned premium reserves

(68,267)



75,001



Decrease (increase) in amounts due to/from reinsurer

180,536



(31,459)



Net realized investment losses

242



4,565



Deferred income taxes

(717)



(5,521)



Deferred payment obligation

61,567



-



Other operating activities

11,704



15,923











Net cash provided by operating activities

157,254



3,335











INVESTING ACTIVITIES









Purchases of investment securities

(72,318)



(88,391)



Sales and maturities of investment securities

50,729



38,942



(Increase) decrease in short-term investments

(119,425)



27,566



Other investing activities

583



2











Net cash used in investing activities

(140,431)



(21,881)











Net increase (decrease) in cash

16,823



(18,546)

Cash at beginning of period

21,839



39,940











Cash at end of period

$  38,662



$  21,394





TRIAD GUARANTY INC.

Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements

(unaudited)









Condensed Statements of Operations For The  Quarter Ended







(Dollars in thousands)







Mar 31,



Dec 31,



Sept 30,



Jun 30,



Mar 31,



Dec 31,



Sep 30,



Jun 30,



Mar 31,







2010



2009



2009



2009



2009



2008



2008



2008



2008

Revenue:







































Earned premiums



$      45,888



$      34,891



$      35,576



$      64,833



$      44,358



$      49,840



$      65,654



$      69,864



$      72,065



Net investment income



9,873



9,739



12,342



10,859



11,192



10,509



10,349



9,175



9,547



Realized investment gains (losses)



(242)



649



3,253



2,017



(4,565)



(18,944)



(6,519)



(3,799)



2,703



Other income (loss)



(8)



12,536



127



2



2



2



2



2



2



 Total revenues



55,511



57,815



51,298



77,711



50,987



41,407



69,486



75,242



84,317

Losses and expenses:







































  Net settled claims



(43,684)



153,749



157,881



149,863



53,920



69,372



59,357



68,263



40,471



  Change in reserves



111,204



(30,195)



(15,836)



278,956



39,628



106,080



165,958



218,568



174,561



  Loss adjustment expenses



4,718



5,370



3,713



2,549



8,029



2,647



5,879



5,918



6,227



Net losses and LAE



72,238



128,924



145,758



431,368



101,577



178,099



231,194



292,749



221,259



Change in premium deficiency reserve



-



-



-



-



-



-



-



(15,000)



15,000



Interest expense



2,469



2,243



1,202



1,895



694



694



691



696



1,476



Amortization of DAC



-



-



-



-



-



-



-



-



39,416



Other operating expenses



9,332



8,160



9,659



8,680



9,411



8,639



8,726



27,238



14,106



 Total losses and expenses



84,039



139,327



156,619



441,943



111,682



187,432



240,611



305,683



291,257

Income (loss) before income taxes



(28,528)



(81,512)



(105,321)



(364,232)



(60,695)



(146,025)



(171,125)



(230,441)



(206,940)



Income taxes (benefit)



(717)



(2,368)



(3,426)



(4,813)



(5,521)



(23,818)



(11,030)



(31,630)



(56,926)

Net income (loss)



$    (27,811)



$    (79,144)



$  (101,895)



$  (359,419)



$    (55,174)



$  (122,207)



$  (160,095)



$  (198,811)



$  (150,014)











Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of







(Dollars in thousands)







Mar 31,



Dec 31,



Sept 30,



Jun 30,



Mar 31,



Dec 31,



Sep 30,



Jun 30,



Mar 31,







2010



2009



2009



2009



2009



2008



2008



2008



2008

Assets







































Invested assets



$    957,115



$    811,481



$    846,905



$   851,640



$ 918,531



$ 895,422



$ 890,720



$ 869,022



$ 760,073



Cash



38,662



21,839



7,480



31,600



21,394



39,940



47,818



19,669



80,544



Real estate acquired



-



-



-



-



526



713



3,661



6,202



8,993



Prepaid federal income tax



-



-



-



-



15



15



15



63,184



115,598



Reinsurance recoverable



52,963



233,499



245,436



234,248



182,589



150,848



111,827



55,316



93,244



Other assets



54,406



58,007



54,331



57,650



52,307



43,596



47,915



50,405



52,572



Total assets



$ 1,103,146



$ 1,124,826



$ 1,154,152



$1,175,138



$1,175,362



$1,130,534



$1,101,956



$1,063,798



$1,111,024









































Liabilities and stockholders' equity







































Liabilities:







































     Losses and loss adjustment expenses



$ 1,468,719



$ 1,537,043



$ 1,576,303



$1,591,207



$1,262,746



$1,187,840



$1,042,053



$   817,262



$   547,766



     Premium deficiency reserve



-



-



-



-



-



-



-



-



96,073



     Deferred payment obligation



229,953



168,386



97,048



27,020



-



-



-



-



-



     Accrued expenses and other liabilities



102,677



91,215



71,291



52,066



59,477



44,831



30,887



40,714



32,699



Total liabilities



1,835,892



1,831,184



1,779,179



1,704,828



1,356,755



1,267,200



1,130,356



922,889



772,582



(Deficit in assets) total stockholders' equity



(732,746)



(706,358)



(625,027)



(529,690)



(181,393)



(136,666)



(28,400)



140,909



338,442



Total liabilities and stockholders' equity



$ 1,103,146



$ 1,124,826



$1,154,152



$1,175,138



$1,175,362



$1,130,534



$1,101,956



$1,063,798



$ 1,111,024





SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.

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