Germany on Recession's Brink as Factories Slump
23 September 2019 - 6:44PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Hannon
Germany's economy is on the brink of recession, according to a
survey of purchasing managers that recorded the sharpest fall in
business activity in almost seven years during September,
reflecting the deepening hit to factories from the U.S.'s trade war
with China and uncertainty around the U.K.'s departure from the
European Union.
The downturn in Europe's largest economy has been led by its
manufacturing sector, which is heavily dependent on exports and has
been hit by weakening demand from the U.K., China, Turkey and
elsewhere over the past year. But in September the sector
experienced an even sharper contraction, as its Purchasing Managers
Index slumped to 41.4 from 43.5 in August, hitting its lowest level
in more than a decade. A reading below 50.0 points to a decline in
activity.
"The manufacturing numbers are simply awful," said Phil Smith,
an economist at IHS Markit, which compiles the PMI. "All the
uncertainty around trade wars, the outlook for the car industry and
Brexit are paralyzing order books."
Germany's economy contracted in the three months through June
and appears set for another drop in output in the third quarter,
placing it in a technical recession. Its economic woes helped
persuade policy makers at the European Central Bank to launch new
stimulus measures earlier this month, including the resumption of a
bond-buying program that was opposed by the two German members on
the governing council.
Write to Paul Hannon at paul.hannon@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 23, 2019 04:29 ET (08:29 GMT)
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