Procera Networks, Inc - Aggressive Growth
15 November 2011 - 11:00AM
Zacks
Selling on the news doesn't always work.
Procera Networks
(PKT) is a prime example of a stock that continues to move higher
after an earnings announcement. With a big earnings surprise, a
great growth outlook, and rising estimates it isn't hard to see
why.
Company Description
Procera provides intelligent policy enforcement solutions that
allow network operators control of and visibility into their
networks. Customers include businesses, governments, educators,
mobile providers, and any entity operating a private network.
Record-Setting Quarter
On Nov 8 Procera shares spiked thanks to a fantastic quarterly
report the day before. Revenue surged 158%, to $12.2 million and
bookings were up 360%, to $21 million.
While the company gained several new customers, the top line
also grew thanks to increasing orders from current clients.
Non-GAAP net income came in at $2.5 million, up from a $382,000
loss a year ago.
Earnings worked out to $0.14 per share, convincingly ahead of
the 4-cent loss analysts were expecting. That gave Procera
back-to-back surprises. Given the results, the company went on to
raise full-year guidance as well.
Big Order
Shortly after the earnings release, Procera announced a $3
million follow-on order. Combine that with the quarterly results
and you can see why analysts were eager to raise estimates.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for this year rose 22 cents, or
$0.26. Next year's average projection is up 7 cents, to $0.31. In
2010 Procera lost $0.27 per share, so this has been quite a
turnaround.
But...
Valuations are high. If estimates keep growing the share price
should as well. But, with a P/E north of 50 times, a PEG nearing 4,
a price to sales of 5.9, and price to book of 4.9, it could be a
bumpy ride if the earnings growth tappers.
The Chart
Shares of PKT blew right past the 52-week high on after the
earnings report and show no signs of stopping. Often after a big
jump there is some profit taking or selling on the news, but this
Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) is off to the races right now.
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