Stronger Won Hurts Hyundai Earnings - Analyst Blog
24 January 2013 - 11:40PM
Zacks
Earnings of South Korean automaker Hyundai Motor
Co. (HYMLF) dipped to nearly two-year low of 1.89 trillion
won ($1.77 billion) in the fourth quarter of 2012, down 5.5% from 2
trillion won a year ago. The decline in profits was the first since
2011.
The fall was mainly attributable to strong Korean won that reduced
the value of the company’s overseas revenues in local currency as
well as disappointing car sales in the domestic market. The
company’s profit was also affected by 240 billion won ($225.10
million) in costs to compensate customers in the U.S. and Canada
for overstating fuel economy.
The won has been appreciating against both the U.S. dollar and the
Japanese yen as both the countries have implemented easy monetary
policy to revive their economies. The won gained roughly 8%
(biggest since 2009) against the dollar in 2012.
Meanwhile, the yen fell 11% against the dollar. This is bad news
for Hyundai, as it will give a way to its Japanese competitors,
including Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), Honda
Motor Co. (HMC) and Nissan Motor Co.
(NSANY), to win market share. Japanese automakers mainly sell
imported cars in South Korea, which are manufactured in the U.S.,
to benefit from the free trade agreement between Seoul and
Washington.
Revenues in the quarter rose 11% to 22.72 trillion won ($21.28
billion) on sales of 1.23 million vehicles. Meanwhile operating
profit fell 12% to 1.83 trillion won ($1.71 billion).
Outlook
Hyundai Motor’s chief financial officer Lee Won is worried about
the appreciating won. He believes the currency would continue to
gain (sadly, at a faster pace) in the second half of the year,
further hurting the company’s earnings.
On the flip side, weaker yen could strengthen competition from
Japanese companies, particularly in Australia and Russia. However,
Won pacified investors by stating that the company intends to shift
more production overseas in order to counter the effect of
appreciating won.
In 2013, Hyundai expects vehicle shipments to rise 6% to 4.66
million units, driven by new facilities in China and Brazil. The
company foresees sales in the U.S. to rise 4.4% but the same in
Europe to slid 6.5% due to a sluggish economy.
The company also expects sales in China to gain 13.3% in the year
compared with a rise of 12% in 2012. Thanks to the company’s
competitive edge in the country compared to its Japanese peers as
the latter struggles to cope up with waning sales due to a negative
sentiment among Chinese buyers on the back of a territorial
dispute.
Currently, shares of Hyundai Motor retain a Zacks Rank #3
(Hold).
HONDA MOTOR (HMC): Free Stock Analysis Report
(HYMLF): ETF Research Reports
NISSAN ADR (NSANY): Free Stock Analysis Report
TOYOTA MOTOR CP (TM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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