Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Options

$BABA Update – Still Running, But Scaling Back
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 16, 2025

• $BABA has been breaking out perfectly, and just like last week, the trading bots are still live, and I still hold a position across all funds.

Still in the trade, but sizing down
Now only trading with 25% of the original position

I’ll let this continue to expand, but at this point, the risk vs. reward isn’t as ideal as before.



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So many ways to play it but the bottom line is until it hits 200 there's plenty of room to run!!

Alibaba breaking out of a massive base on the highest weekly volume in almost two years...
By: TrendSpider | February 14, 2025

• Alibaba breaking out of a massive base on the highest weekly volume in almost two years...



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Looking to re enter on Tuesday when the market opens. I've scalped so much I expected more cool off on Friday. This is gonna be $200 before June.

Big earnings soon!!

BABA, new 52 week high

Looks like a Cup and Handle forming on the daily. Could we see $200 this year?

Alibaba Group Holding $BABA ITM Put Writer
By: Theta Warrior | February 12, 2025

• $BABA ITM PUT WRITER.



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King 👑 of the Ring!!

Alibaba $BABA has been a clear outperformer this quarter...
By: TrendSpider | February 11, 2025

• Alibaba has been a clear outperformer this quarter...

But $122 has capped rallies for nearly three years—until now?

A weekly close above would mark a major shift in control. $BABA



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Crazy. I am still expecting some cool off before earnings but I may have been wrong judging by the AH movement.

$BABA has the most Bullish flow today, sorted for premium
By: Cheddar Flow | February 11, 2025

• $TSLA has the most bearish flow today, sorted for premium.



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Feeling better Mortimer?? Lol 😂

4 of those 10 stocks
I hold.....
But Not One that CHARLES SCHWAB wants me to LOAN (Securities Lending) them
the ONLY one they want is BBai........and they will pay me monthly for them.
Thanks but No thanks

Alibaba (BABA) Stock Rally Sparks Heavy Options Volume
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | February 10, 2025

• Alibaba stock saw unusually high options volume over the past two weeks

• BABA is already up nearly 30% in 2025

U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) are 6.6% higher at $110.47 at last check. The rally comes after the Trump administration delayed the suspension of the de minimis provision, which gives packages valued at less than $800 the ability to enter the U.S. duty-free, mostly benefiting low-cost Chinese shopping platforms.

Looking ahead, Alibaba is set to report earnings before the market opens on Thursday, Feb. 20. The stock hasn’t had the best post-earnings track record, closing lower after six of its last eight reports. Over the past two years, BABA has averaged a 4.2% next-day move, but options traders are now bracing for a larger 8.7% swing, regardless of direction.

Options activity has been buzzing, with Alibaba stock recently landing on Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of equities with the highest options volume in the past two weeks. In the last 10 sessions alone, 4.2 million calls and 1.09 million puts have changed hands. During this time frame, the most popular contracts have been the weekly 1/31 100-strike call and the February 110 call.



Alibaba stock has been on fire to start the year, already up 29.4% year-to-date. Support at its 10-day moving average has helped fuel a 36% surge in just the last month. And zooming out, BABA boasts a 53.6% gain over the past year.



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Up, Up and Away!!

$BABA is still setting up for a continued major move, with a potential 15-30% breakout ahead
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 9, 2025

• **$BABA** is still setting up for a continued major move, with a potential 15-30% breakout ahead. Since our $84 entry, we’re already up 25%, and momentum is strong.

BX Trender making higher highs now
Weekly chart turned green – signaling further expansion
Targets: $120 ? $132
Worst-case retracement: $97 (where I’ll look to add more)

This setup looks very strong, and I expect the expansion to continue into the coming weeks.



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BABA Stock Could Drop 6% After Feb. 12, According to This Wall Street Expert
By: 24/7 Wall St. | February 6, 2025

Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) is among the most notable and important e-commerce stocks globally. The China-based company dominates many markets in Southeast Asia, with its core commerce segment providing both retail and wholesale operations, while the company’s local consumer services division covers delivery platforms like Ele.me and navigation services like Amap. Cainiao handles logistics, and the Cloud segment includes Alibaba Cloud and DingTalk.

In a way, Alibaba is a company I’d probably most equate to an Amazon in the U.S. market. This is a company that’s a cloud computing giant with a massive e-commerce footprint. As such, Alibaba’s fortunes are closely intertwined with overall growth in the Asia Pacific region, and make this company a great option for investors looking for exposure to secular growth trends in this region of the world.

The company is set to report its upcoming earnings on February 12, with analysts expecting significant volatility with BABA stock, considering the company’s historical pattern of performance in and around earnings. There’s a 67% probability of declining and an average swing of ±5.8%, so let’s dive into whether Alibaba has 6% upside or downside from here.

Here’s What Wall Street Expects

Wall Street analysts are expecting a relatively strong quarter from Alibaba, with the Chinese cloud and e-commerce giant expected to report revenue of $39.15 billion which will translate into $2.75 of earnings per share. Indeed, many are touting this report as a key test for investor confidence. Market sentiment leans slightly bearish, reflecting broader concerns about China’s economic landscape.

I think such positioning and sentiment certainly makes sense, given the existing rhetoric around a potential tariff war between Trump and Xi. The Chinese economy is also one that hasn’t been firing on all cylinders of late, so there are certainly reasons why many in the market are taking a somber tone heading into this print.

That said, it’s also true that the consensus analyst price target for BABA stock currently stands at $124.40, implying 35.5% upside over the next year or so. And some analysts are ramping up bullish targets on the company, with Jefferies analysts set a more ambitious $142 target. Analysts at Jefferies have cited Alibaba’s expanding cloud and international commerce sectors as key growth drivers that could propel the stock higher on outperformance.

Beyond its financials, Alibaba’s earnings will serve as a broader economic indicator, offering insights into China’s consumer behavior and business climate. The company has faced slower domestic growth, but analysts are keen to assess whether its e-commerce and cloud divisions can sustain momentum. Strong results in these areas could restore investor confidence, while weaker-than-expected performance may lead to increased volatility.

So, Will Alibaba Trade Higher or Lower in 2025?

There are certainly reasons to believe Alibaba is poised for potential growth in 2025, given the number of growth catalysts underpinning the company’s overall business. Alibaba’s strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) remain a major focus, with the launch of Qwen2.5-VL (an advanced AI model) expected to expand Alibaba’s capabilities across multiple industries. These innovations could improve operational efficiency and drive adoption of AI-powered services.

That’s to say nothing of China’s underlying growth trends, with its middle class still growing and overall demand for goods and services (consumption) continuing to rise.

The thing is, Alibaba’s focus on core markets in Asia has been its downfall of late. There are risks to investing in China, simply put. And for U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, these risks remain very high right now.

Accordingly, this is a stock I think investors who aren’t comfortable with volatility may want to steer clear of right now. I do take the consensus view that risks are likely tilted to the downside, at least for now. Accordingly, this is a stock that may be worth considering post-earnings, when investors have a bit more clarity into where Alibaba is headed from here.

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👇😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

BABA see you in the $50s. 90% of their business small packages. Huge hit by Trump on small packages..
Trump’s executive orders directing 25% levies on Canada and Mexico — plus a 10% duty on China — specify that the “de minimis” exemption for small packages no longer applies. Under the exemption, products below that dollar amount are able to enter the US without tariffs — a boon for China’s e-commerce retailers who ship often cheaper wares directly to consumers in the US.
Regardless, the impact of the change threatens to fall most squarely on China, affecting retailers including Alibaba, JD.com Inc., PDD Holdings Inc.’s Temu and fashion-focused Shein. American shoppers and companies imported about $48 billion worth of shipments from the world under that loophole in the first nine months of last year, according to US Customs and Border Protection estimates.
Approximately a billion packages are estimated to enter the USA under the cover of the de minimis exemption. This is where the enforcement mechanism of the “External Revenue Service” combines with the tariff approach and the “state of emergency.”  President Trump imposed the tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, a nearly 50-year law that gives the president sweeping power to impose sanctions after declaring an emergency.The de minimis loophole comes from back in the 1930s. The idea back then was, say you went on a vacation to Paris, you shouldn’t have to file customs paperwork or pay taxes if you decided to ship some little Eiffel Tower statues to your friends back home.Congress in 2015 then raised the de minimis threshold from $200 to $800.  However, the e-commerce world exploded, and Chinese companies began using the de minimis loophole to ship cheap goods (ex. Temu and Shein) into the USA direct to consumers without paying any customs duty.It was reported last year that the U.S. was on track to receive a billion packages through the de minimis loophole that aren’t taxed and don’t have customs slips saying what they are.  Making matters worse, illegal items are slipping through the cracks, including, knockoffs, unsafe items and even chemicals used to make fentanyl.  The worst abuser that exploits this de minimis loophole is, by far, China.

$BABA - As I stated in my previous posts the action since September has been a carbon copy of the action in Q4 2016 and January 2017...
By: CyclesFan | February 2, 2025

• $BABA - As I stated in my previous posts the action since September has been a carbon copy of the action in Q4 2016 and January 2017. It bottomed at the 20 month MA and had a bullish engulfing candle in January. In 2017 that ended with a 140% up move over the next 13 months.



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Summertime 💯 plus 50!!

$BABA BX bot hit this to PERFECTION!
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 31, 2025

• $BABA BX bot hit this to PERFECTION!

+29% in 7 days



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Going to ride this one for a while!!

Alibaba (BABA) Stock Pops on AI Model Performance Claims
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | January 29, 2025

• Alibaba claims its Qwen 2.5 AI model surpassed DeepSeek-V3

• Options volume is running at five times the intraday average amount

Big Tech sold off on Monday after reports that Chinese startup DeepSeek created an artificial intelligence (AI) model that outperformed OpenAI's at a substantially lower cost. Now, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) is joining the race, claiming its own AI model Qwen 2.5 surpassed DeepSeek-V3.

Options traders are blasting the security in response, with 740,000 calls and 150,000 puts exchanged so far -- five times the overall volume typically seen at this point. Most popular is the weekly 1/31 100-strike call, where new positions are being opened.

Options bulls were targeting the stock before today, too. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), BABA's 50-day call/put volume ratio of 8.66 ranks in the 99th annual percentile. This suggests that calls have been much more popular than usual of late.

BABA was last seen up 2.2% at $98.10 at last glance -- its highest level since October. The security is on track for its seventh win in the last eight days and fourth-straight pop, after yesterday securing its best daily percentage gain since Dec. 9. Plus, BABA sports a 36.2% year-over-year lead.



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$BABA breakout confirmed and our 1hr impulse bot caught both moves
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 29, 2025

• $BABA breakout confirmed and our 1hr impulse bot caught both moves.



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I do remember you but I didn't remember because I pop in and out!! Don't know what your cost basis is but that's your problem not mine!! Stop whining!!

I have plenty of BABA Shares.
When and IF BABA hits my price, I'm out..
I can wait this out, I own a lot of other STOCK that are WINNING, (but not today),
You are smart why don't you buy my shares if you know what you know.....

Ha....hello troll!! Very brave to show up at a time like this or stupid?? Lol 😂

Then when RED on a GREEN day................The Stock must REALLY SUCK...

👇 Green on a Red day is when you know you've got a Good one!! Class is in Session!! Lol 😂

$BABA Daily bullish compression. Will we FINALLY get the expansion we've been looking for?
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 23, 2025

• $BABA Daily bullish compression

Will we FINALLY get the expansion we've been looking for?



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$BABA Daily BX bot expecting a ... sizable move over the next 60 days
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 22, 2025

• $BABA Daily

BX bot expecting a ... sizable move over the next 60 days.



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BABA, NTES, or NIO: Which Chinese Stock Can Deliver the Highest Upside? https://www.tipranks.com/news/article/baba-ntes-or-nio-which-chinese-stock-can-deliver-the-highest-upside $NTES $NIO $BABA

LMAO....SURE...GET BACK TO YOUT OTC BAGS

👇 Glad to see you join the Party 🎉!! Others wish they could call winners like this!! Lol 😂

Alibaba $BABA Watchlist...
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 19, 2025

• Alibaba has reentered our watchlist as the weekly BX Trender has confirmed higher lows, positioning us within the smart money zone. This zone represents a significantly discounted area where bulls typically step in to support the structure. Additionally, there's a descending wedge that appears to be testing a breakout.

Over the next few weeks, my targets are $90, $95, and then $100 once we fill the gap. I'll implement a stop loss strategy where the weekly BX Trender turns red or starts making lower lows. I'll also personally follow the trading bots for precise entry and exit points.



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So far so Good!! Will break 52 week high!! Easy Work!!

My flag 🚩 has been planted!! Very Bullish!!

Removing my bullish stance on $BABA for now
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 10, 2025

• Removing my bullish stance on $BABA for now.

BX making LL red

We will remain patient and wait for another attempt at a bottom. Maybe around $75



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BABA has been on our radar for the past few weeks. Initially, we entered a bit early using the 2BX settings, but now with the stronger 5X, we've confirmed higher lows—this marks our first indication of a real bottom...
By: Peter DiCarlo | January 5, 2025

• BABA has been on our radar for the past few weeks. Initially, we entered a bit early using the 2BX settings, but now with the stronger 5X, we've confirmed higher lows—this marks our first indication of a real bottom.

From here, the key is breaking through $85. Beyond that, there's little volume up to the equal high of $110. While there's still a slight chance of another price rejection and a sell-off into the smart money zone, the current risk versus reward ratio is so favorable that I believe taking this trade is more than justified since our entry criteria have been met.



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China must have the WORST economic Advisors on the planet.
One of the LARGEST POP on the planet and BABA can't grow their PPS.
BABA was hot at the start, maybe that was because the CHINESE GOV, couldn't figure out how they were going to CONTROL it, In other words, FU-K it up....... and when they did, this is what we get......
You Think the CCP would bend over backwards to MAKE BABA the #1 Ecom retailer in the WORLD

If you bought Alibaba $BABA at its IPO over a decade ago, you’d be underwater right now
By: TrendSpider | December 29, 2024

• If you bought Alibaba at its IPO over a decade ago, you’d be underwater right now.



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Looks like Smart Money is showing up for $BABA
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 24, 2024

• Looks like Smart Money is showing up for $BABA.



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Will BaBa ever see $100.00 again....?
At least BaBa pays a Divi.......

Alibaba Group $BABA Bearish, but signs of potential reversal at support
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 22, 2024

• BABA is testing the lower institutional buy zone after a significant drop. While the BX remains red, a potential rebound is forming with support holding near $82. I will monitor closely and wait for the daily BX to turn green (bullish) before entering. This setup offers strong upside potential once confirmed.



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Alibaba Group $BABA Top Bullish Flow – Close
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 19, 2024

• Top Bullish Flow – Close

MRNA – $58.35M
TSLA – $31.96M
BABA – $23.82M
DLTR – $19.73M
MRK – $10.76M



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$BABA - It's the 3rd down month in a row after closing above the upper BB in September, similar to the 3 down months in a row in Q4 2016...
By: CyclesFan | December 19, 2024

• $BABA - It's the 3rd down month in a row after closing above the upper BB in September, similar to the 3 down months in a row in Q4 2016. As long it doesn't close below the 20 month MA(82.65), investors have a reason to be optimistic about a 2017 style bull market in 2025.



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The Trades I’m Watching This Week
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 15, 2024

• **Ticker:** BABA (Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd.)

** Time Frame:** 1 Week

** Trend:** Bearish

** Mode:** Bounce off Smart Money support zone

** BX Trender:** (SMA is green, confirming bullish potential)

** Target:** Monitor for a move back toward the $100 level

** Stop Loss:** BX Trender flips

** Time Horizon:** Medium-term swing (3-6 months)

** Strategy:** Despite the bearish trend, the structure is bullish as price respects the Smart Money support zone. Watch for a potential continuation higher with BX Trender. Confirmation of higher lows can solidify the upward move.



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$BABA Top Bullish Flow – Open...
By: Peter DiCarlo | December 9, 2024

• Top Bullish Flow – Open

BABA – $8.07M
APO – $6.99M
MARA – $5.99M
CRS – $4.99M
AMZN – $3.15M



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