Zacks Buy Ranked Internet ETF: FDN - ETF News And Commentary
23 November 2012 - 6:33PM
Zacks
The third quarter earnings season has not been an impressive one
for the technology sector. The segment was among the biggest
disappointments this earnings season after a decent run for two
consecutive quarters in fiscal 2012.
Weak foreign revenue growth due to decreased international
demand, coupled with reduced domestic business spending on the I.T
sector were the major reasons for the below- expectations
performance of the sector. Also, the strengthening U.S. Dollar
against other major currencies was an added negative for the sector
as exports for most I.T. companies were hit hard (read 3 Energy
ETFs for America's Production Boom).
The story for the internet industry has certainly not been much
different, though as of late it has comparatively fared better than
most of its technology sector counterpart industries. Furthermore,
the industry has come a long way from the dark days of the dotcom
burst which shook its very foundations (read Volatility ETFs
Winning on Fiscal Cliff Turmoil).
Nevertheless, speaking in general terms, the internet industry
is characterized by free entry and exit of firms and huge
inter-segment rivalry among the competing firms. These factors tend
to decrease profit potential arising out of severe competition.
However, lack of transparency in terms of price mechanism of
products and offerings, make it difficult to quantify the impact of
new entrants in the industry unless it is actually realized.
The fact that none of the industries from the tech sector make
it to the ‘Very Attractive’ category as
per Zacks Market Strategy report, sums up the
current scenario of the sector. However, it is also prudent to note
in the context of the article, that the Internet industry makes it
to the ‘Attractive’ category of the Zacks
Market Strategy Report and is expected to outperform the market in
the near to medium term (see Do Country ETFs Really Provide
Diversification?).
Given this, a look at a top ranked internet ETF could be the way
to target the best of the segment with lower levels of risk.
About the Zacks ETF Rank
This can easily be done by using the Zacks ETF Rank. This
technique provides a recommendation for the ETF in the context of
our outlook of the underlying industry, sector, style box, or asset
class. Our proprietary methodology also takes into account the risk
preferences of investors as well.
The aim of our models is to select the best ETFs within each
risk category. We assign each ETF one of five ranks within each
risk bucket. Thus, Zacks Rank reflects the expected return of an
ETF relative to other ETFs with similar level of risk.
Using this strategy, we have found an ETF Ranked 2 or ‘Buy’ in
the internet industry which we have highlighted in greater detail
below.
First Trust Dow Jones Internet ETF
(FDN)
Launched in June of 2006, the internet ETF—FDN-- tracks the Dow
Jones Internet Index before fees and expenses. The index measures
the performance of companies who primarily earn a majority of their
revenues from the internet business and have a trading history of
at least three months.
The ETF holds 41 stocks with no individual stock accounting for
more than 10% of total assets. The index is market capitalization
weighted adjusted for float. Google, Inc (9.91%), Amazon.com Inc,
(7.20%), eBay, Inc (6.64%) and Priceline.com Inc (5.57%) are some
of its top holdings (see more in the Zacks ETF
Center).
Although the ETF seeks to limit its exposure within the
geographic territories of the U.S., it is indirectly exposed to a
variety of emerging as well as foreign countries. The reason for
this is that most internet companies derive a bulk of their
revenues from overseas markets; therefore these stocks are bound to
be impacted by the cyclicality in these nations as well.
FDN has added about 17.5% so far this year (as of
30th September 2012) primarily thanks to the splendid
performance of the ETF in the 1st and 3rd
quarter after a brief bearish bias in the 2nd quarter of
fiscal 2012. However, on a one year look, the ETF seems to have
fared even better adding about 30% for the time period (as of
30th September 2012) (read Top Zacks Ranked Healthcare
ETF in Focus).
It also has a decent asset base of $482.48 million and it
averages around 109,000 shares traded each day. Thus, it seems to
be well poised in terms of popularity and liquidity. Although, at
60 basis points, the ETF seems to be a little pricey, especially
when it is compared to a Morningstar category average of 54 basis
points.
We look for this fund to consider its solid performance track
record heading into 2013, especially when compared with other tech
ETFs. Currently, FDN has a Zacks Rank of 2 or
‘Buy’ with a Medium risk rating.
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FT-DJ INTRNT IX (FDN): ETF Research Reports
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