German Consumer Confidence Rises Again as Income Prospects Brighten
20 December 2023 - 6:29PM
Dow Jones News
By Ed Frankl
Consumer confidence in Germany improved for the second-straight
month in data for January, as income expectations jumped, despite a
still-subdued outlook for the country's economy.
Germany's forward-looking consumer-sentiment index forecasts
confidence to improve to minus 25.1 in January, from minus 27.6 in
December, according to data published Wednesday by market-research
group GfK and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions.
The reading compares with expectations that the index would
improve by less, to minus 27.0, according to a consensus of
economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.
However, it remains to be seen whether the improvement
represents the start of a sustained recovery in consumer sentiment,
according to Rolf Buerkl, consumer expert at NIM.
"Consumers still have major worries. Geopolitical crises and
wars, sharply rising food prices and discussions around national
budget for 2024 continue to cause uncertainty. As a result, the
level of consumer sentiment is currently still very low," he
said.
Nevertheless, the three subindexes GfK used to derive an overall
sentiment figure for January all rose.
Income expectations, in particular, drove the overall
improvement, rising to minus 6.9 from minus 16.7, helped by a
higher optimism on wages and pensions, GfK said.
Willingness to buy also climbed 6.2 points to minus 8.8, thought
it remains under the level during Covid-19 lockdowns, indicating
the current level of consumer uncertainty, the survey said.
Finally, the measure for willingness to save ticked up to a
positive reading of 7.3 from 5.3.
However, with a stagnant economy and uncertainty about the
government's budget for the year ahead, German consumers face
challenges. The country's central bank, the Bundesbank, expects the
economy to contract in the final quarter of the year, and sees
sluggish growth of 0.4% in 2024 as a whole, according to updated
forecasts published last week.
Write to Ed Frankl at edward.frankl@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 20, 2023 02:14 ET (07:14 GMT)
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