Alarm Bells Ring For Dogecoin: Bearish Signal Points To 40% Crash
29 April 2024 - 5:50PM
NEWSBTC
Crypto analyst Josh Olszewicz is once again warning of a looming
Dogecoin price crash. The analysis hinges on the Ichimoku Cloud, a
comprehensive indicator that provides information on
support/resistance levels, momentum, and trend
direction. Olszewicz’s analysis points to two specific
technical phenomena on the 1-day (1D) chart of DOGE against the US
dollar (DOGE/USD). Via X, he remarked “1D DOGE: bearish TK cross +
bearish Kumo breakout. Bearish Signals For Dogecoin The bearish TK
cross refers to the bearish crossover between the Tenkan-Sen
(conversion line) and the Kijun-Sen (baseline) within the Ichimoku
Cloud system. The Tenkan-Sen, which is a faster-moving line
typically calculated as the midpoint of the highest high and lowest
low over the last nine periods, crossing below the Kijun-Sen, a
slower line computed as the midpoint of the highest high and the
lowest low over the past 26 periods, is considered a bearish
signal. It suggests that short-term prices are falling below the
base level of prices over the last month, indicating potential
further downward movement. The Bearish Kumo breakout: The ‘Kumo’,
which translates to ‘cloud’, is part of the Ichimoku Cloud
indicator and is formed between two other lines: the Senkou Span A
and the Senkou Span B. It represents a key area on the chart that
can act as support or resistance. In the context of Olszewicz’s
analysis, a ‘bearish Kumo breakout’ implies that the price has
broken through the cloud downwards. This breakout is seen as a
confirmation of a bearish trend. The fact that the price is below
the Kumo suggests that the overall market sentiment for DOGE is
negative, with the Kumo now likely acting as resistance to any
upward price movement. The chart by Olszewicz shows DOGE trading at
$0.15 with the cloud plotted behind the price action, appearing
green above and red below the price lines. The cloud turning green
represents a bullish future potential, but the price below both the
cloud and the Tenkan-Sen/Kijun-Sen crossover indicates bearish
current circumstances. A 40% Price Crash Looming? This gives weight
to Olszewicz previous DOGE price analysis. As NewsBTC reported, the
crypto analyst warned of a potential Head and Shoulders (H&S)
formation on the DOGE/USD 12-hour chart which could be validated
soon. The formation is characterized by two shoulders flanking a
distinctive head, with the neckline at approximately $0.14 being
pivotal. Should Dogecoin’s price break below this critical support,
the prophecy of the H&S pattern would likely manifest,
potentially triggering a sell-off towards the $0.10 to $0.09
region. This target area aligns with the 1.618 and 2.0 Fibonacci
extension levels, suggesting a price crash of around 40% from the
neckline. While the pattern has not yet been confirmed, with the
price still above the crucial $0.14 support level, its presence
serves as a cautionary signal to the market. The technical
confluence of the bearish TK cross and the bearish Kumo breakout in
Olszewicz’s recent analysis only reinforces the possible bearish
scenario that lies ahead for Dogecoin. Market participants are
recommended to keep a close watch on the $0.14 level, as a decisive
break below could validate the bearish outlook and set the stage
for the anticipated decline. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.1413.
Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
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