COVID-19 “Cease Fire” for the United States on April 23, 2020 and successful ‘Opening Up America Again’ initiative pr...
18 April 2020 - 12:51AM
Physician-scientist and inventor Dr. Steven Quay, MD, PhD announced
today that his proprietary model of COVID-19 case growth predicts
that the United States as a whole will be able to declare a
SARS-CoV-2 “cease fire” on April 23, 2020, although individual
states will continue to battle the pandemic. His model has
successfully predicted a similar success in nine European
countries, some of which are beginning to successfully reopen their
economies.
He also believes the ‘Opening Up America Again’
initiative will be successful based on his firsthand witnessing of
Taiwan’s policies and practices. Many of the Administration’s
initiatives have been successfully used by Taiwan to contain the
virus and then permit the country to return to near normal. Taiwan
is considered to have the most successful SARS-CoV-2 response in
the world, with a total of 395 cases and 6 deaths. The case rate in
Taiwan is 17 per million population compared to Spain and Italy
where there have been 3956 and 2794 cases per million (CPM),
respectively.
“The timing of the Administration’s ‘Opening Up
America Again’ initiative is prescient,” stated Dr. Quay. “Within
the last 48 hours my model predicted that on April 23rd the U.S.
would cross the threshold seen in all other countries that defines
a cease fire against SARS-CoV-2. A cease fire is defined as a time
when exponential growth has ended and daily case velocity is
negative. With that achievement the country can begin to turn to
the process and steps needed to restart the economy. Here in
Taiwan, schools, businesses, restaurants, and public transportation
are all operating in a near normal condition as governmental
policies have worked to stop the virus and reduce infectivity. I
believe the Administration’s plan announced yesterday will do the
same for the United States in due course, as each state tailors its
response to circumstances in their respective areas.”
“In looking at the three phase approach of the
Administration, the decision to put these tools in the hands of the
state governors will be critical to success,” Dr. Quay added.
“Clearly Hawaii and Montana, with under 400 cases per million
population are at a different place in the battle than New York and
New Jersey, with 11,530 and 8,480 CPM population,
respectively.”
“The U.S. economy is the largest in the world
and generates $56 billion USD every day when it is fully
functioning. To facilitate the ‘Opening Up America Again’
initiative in a manner that prioritizes public health first and
foremost while returning America to work as fast as possible, the
model is a tool to help guide timing and decisions for our nation’s
governors,” continued Dr. Quay. “I stand ready to help in the
analysis and interpretation of COVID-19 public health data at the
county, state, regional, or national level and to work with U.S.
officials in any manner I can to help translate Taiwan’s SARS-CoV-2
best-practices to the U.S. environment.”
About Steven Quay, M.D.,
PhD.
Steven Quay is the founder, Chairman, and CEO of
Seattle-based Atossa Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: ATOS), a
clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company seeking to discover and
develop innovative medicines in areas of significant unmet medical
need. Atossa’s current focus is on breast cancer and COVID-19, with
the recent announcement of the COVID-19 HOPE drug development
program.
Dr. Quay received his M.D., M.A. and Ph.D. from
The University of Michigan, was a postdoctoral fellow at MIT with
Nobel Laureate H. Gobind Khorana, a resident at the
Harvard-Massachusetts General Hospital, and was on the faculty of
Stanford University School of Medicine for almost a decade. He has
over 300 published contributions to medicine which have been cited
over 9,700 times.
Dr. Quay has founded six pharmaceutical
startups, invented seven FDA-approved medicines, and holds 87 U.S.
patents. Over 80 million people have benefited from the drugs he
has invented. His current passion is the prevention of the two
million yearly breast cancer cases worldwide. A TEDx talk he
delivered on breast cancer prevention, “How to Be Smart If
You’re Dense,” has been viewed over 200,000 times.
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