UPDATE: Retailers Showing Surprising Strength In Aug Sales
02 September 2010 - 11:37PM
Dow Jones News
Retailers have delivered a late-summer surprise, with sales for
the key back-to-school buying month of August largely coming in
better than expected.
Department stores and teen retailers, among the most vulnerable,
fared the best in many cases.
Kohl's Corp. (KSS), J.C. Penney Co. (JCP) and Macy's Inc. (M)
all beat expectations and the latter two said back-to-school sales
were going well. Macy's did sound a note of caution, with Chief
Executive Terry Lundgren saying the company "continues to watch
economic trends carefully."
Two major upscale department stores took divergent tacts last
month, as a rocky stock market created jitters among the affluent.
Nordstrom Inc. (JWN) posted a 6.3% rise in comparable-store sales,
ahead of projections for 5.9%. Saks Inc. (SKS) reported a 1% rise
when 4.3% was expected.
The big teen retailers fought a very promotional battle during
the month and Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) appears to have
been one of the victors. The company's same-store sales rose 6%,
when a 5,9% advance was expected by analysts. The showing compares
with a 29% drop last year, when Abercrombie was holding on to its
no discount strategy.
Aeropostale Inc.'s (ARO) same store sales fell 1% for the month,
compared with expectations for a 1.2% rise and a 9% gain a year
ago. The company said it "experienced stronger results in its peak
back-to-school regions, reflecting a customer that is shopping
closer to need."
American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO) reported a 1%
comparable-store sales gain when analysts' projected a 1.1% rise,
and backed its earnings view for the current quarter.
Mass merchant Target (TGT), though, missed August same-store
sales expectations, posting a 1.8% gain, when analysts were
expecting 2%. The mass merchandiser was nonetheless upbeat, saying
customer traffic was healthy throughout the month and that the
August showing was in-line with its own expectations. Target had
"the double-whammy" of very warm weather during the month and a
limited amount of summer wear still in stock, said J.P. Morgan
retail analyst Charles Grom.
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) posted a 5% rise in same-store
sales when a 3.6% gain was expected. The warehouse club did even
better when factoring in higher prices at its gas pumps and gains
from stronger foreign currencies. On that basis, same-store sales
rose 7%, when analysts were looking for 4.2%. The retailer's
international operations were up 11%, compared with a 6% rise in
the U.S.
"Things have been so poor in terms of the economy and even the
stock market and that really pulled expectations down," said
Stephen Hoch, marketing professor at the University of
Pennsylvania's Wharton School. "Also, last year was a very bad
year, so that makes the numbers look that much better."
In essence, "We're treading water on the retail front, and it
was thought that we couldn't even do that," Hoch said.
But a number of factors led to muted expectations. Shoppers
received a spate of poor economic news during the month, weathered
extremely hot temperatures that took their minds off of the fall
school start, and knew they had an extra week to wait for sales
because Labor Day falls later in September this year.
All told, the 30 retailers tracked by Thomson Reuters are
expected to post same-store sales growth of 2.5% for August, after
a 2.9% drop last year and a 2.7% rise in July.
-By Karen Talley, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2196;
karen.talley@dowjones.com
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