U.S. Bonds Pare Early Price Gains
03 November 2016 - 2:07AM
Dow Jones News
By Sam Goldfarb
U.S. government bond prices pared early gains on Wednesday, as
investors regained some of their appetite for riskier assets after
fleeing to haven debt on Tuesday and overnight.
In recent trading, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury
note was 1.817%, according to Tradeweb, down from 1.822% Tuesday
but up from 1.790% earlier in the day. Yields rise as bond prices
fall.
Government bonds sold off sharply last month in part because of
improved global economic data, rising inflation expectations,
concern about less bond buying by major central banks and
discussion about increased spending from governments that would
require more debt issuance.
Bonds, though, have rebounded this week, as investors turned
their attention to next week's U.S. presidential election, which is
looking increasingly like a close contest between the Democratic
nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump.
Although Mrs. Clinton was previously expected to win handily,
polls have tightened recently, forcing investors to price in the
chances of a victory by Mr. Trump, who is widely viewed as the
candidate more likely to bring uncertainty to government
policies.
Despite a solid report on U.S. manufacturing on Tuesday,
uncertainty caused by the election "is counteracting any bright
spots that we're seeing in the economy," said Jody Lurie, director
in the fixed-income strategy and research department at Janney
Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia.
Also providing a boost to bonds has been the recent drop in oil
prices, which has weighed on stock prices and tempered the recent
increase in inflation expectations, analysts said.
Later Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave
interest rates unchanged at the conclusion of a two-day policy
meeting but send strong signals that it is prepared to move in
December for the first time since it raised rates at the end of
last year.
Fed-funds futures, which are used to speculate on central bank
policy, showed investors and traders see just a 7% chance of a rate
increase on Wednesday but a 74% chance of an increase by the end of
December, according to CME Group.
Investors are also looking ahead to Friday's nonfarm payrolls
report, which could further bolster the odds of a December rate
rise if it shows continued strength in the labor market.
A private survey showed on Wednesday that businesses across the
country added 147,000 workers in October, the smallest increase
since May. However, the September total was revised up to 202,000
from 154,000.
Write to Sam Goldfarb at sam.goldfarb@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 02, 2016 10:52 ET (14:52 GMT)
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