BIDEN APPROVAL LOWEST SINCE JULY 2022 AS ATTITUDES TOWARD ECONOMY WORSEN
NEW
YORK and CAMBRIDGE,
Mass., July 1, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Stagwell
(NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the June Harvard CAPS
/ Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for
American Political Studies at Harvard
(CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Joe Biden's overall
approval rating dropped to 40%, his lowest since July 2022, while inflation and immigration
remained voters' top two concerns. The poll also covers public
opinion on the first presidential debate and immigration policy.
Download key results here.
"The idea of the debate was to shake things up and break some of
Trump's momentum, but if anything it did the opposite," said
Mark Penn, Co-Director of the
Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "Public
opinion also shows a dim view of the state of the economy and
inflation, reinforcing the notion that Americans want change right
now."
DEBATE HURTS BIDEN, HELPS TRUMP
- 74% of voters think Biden is too old to be President, an
11-point increase after the debate.
- 66% of voters have doubts about Biden's mental fitness for
office, a 12-point increase after the debate.
- Voters are on net 7 points more likely to vote for Trump after
the debate and 20 points less likely to vote for Biden.
ATTITUDES TOWARD ECONOMY WORSEN
- 62% of voters characterize their personal economics as fair or
poor, up 7 points from May.
- 52% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting
worse, especially among Republican (69%) and rural (63%)
voters.
- Biden's approval on handling inflation dropped to 34%, his
lowest in two years.
TRUMP CONTINUES TO LEAD HORSE RACE
- Trump leads Biden by 4 points in the horserace, down 2
points from last month.
- 41% of voters (a plurality) say Trump's guilty verdict in the
New York hush money case has no
impact on their vote, while 31% say they are more likely to vote
for Trump and 27% say less likely.
- Marco Rubio and Tim Scott
are the VP nominees who would be most helpful to Trump.
IMMIGRATION-CRIME NEXUS CONTINUES TO CONCERN VOTERS
- Voters say the top issues caused by mass immigration are an
increase in violence/crime (57%), a strain on resources such as
healthcare and education (57%), and a rise in homelessness
(55%).
- 56% of voters think Biden's recent asylum ban for migrants
caught illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border is "too little, too late."
- 52% of voters support Biden's recent executive order aimed
at expediting citizenship for the undocumented spouses of U.S.
citizens.
SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL REMAINS
HIGH
- 64% of voters are paying close attention to
the Israel-Hamas war, down 9 points from May, but support for
Israel remains consistent at
80%.
- 67% of voters say Israel
should retaliate against Hezbollah until they stop firing
rockets into the north (ages 18-24: 53%; ages 65+: 85%).
The June Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online
within the United States on
June 28-30, 2024, among 2,090
registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the
Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at
https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple
Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm
that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to
inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients
in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate
reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and
earning organic media through public relations research. One of the
longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked
public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and
is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to
transform marketing.
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data
analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S.
and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100
companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and
philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster
of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
About the Harvard Center for American Political
Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to
and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics. Governed
by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and
economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion,
research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S.
politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of
methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and
formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other
Harvard centers to support research
training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global
contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.
CONTACT:
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com
View original content to download
multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/june-harvard-caps--harris-poll-nearly-3-in-4-voters-see-biden-as-too-old-for-re-election-jumping-11-points-after-weak-debate-302187379.html
SOURCE Stagwell Inc.