NEW
YORK, Dec. 31, 2024 /PRNewswire/ --S&P Dow
Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the October 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic
Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices
recorded a 3.6% annual gain in October
2024, a slight deceleration from the previous annual gains
in 2024. More than 27 years of history are available for the data
series and can be accessed in full by going to
https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/index-family/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller/.
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA
Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.6%
annual return for October, down from a 3.9% annual gain in the
previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of
4.8%, down from a 5.2% annual increase in the previous month. The
20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.2%,
dropping from a 4.6% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual
gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in October, followed
by Chicago and Las Vegas with annual increases of 6.2% and
5.9%, respectively. Tampa posted
the smallest year-over-year growth with 0.4%
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
The pre-seasonally adjusted U.S. National Index, 20-City
Composite, and 10-City Composite upward trends continued to reverse
in October, with a -0.2% drop for the national index, and the
20-City and 10-City Composites saw -0.2% and -0.1% returns for this
month, respectively.
After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index posted a
month-over-month increase of 0.3%, while both the 20-City and
10-City Composite reported monthly rises of 0.3%.
ANALYSIS
"New York once again reigns
supreme as the fastest-growing housing market with annual returns
over double the national average," says Brian D. Luke, CFA, Head of Commodities, Real
& Digital Assets. "Two markets have dominated the top ranks
with New York leading all markets
the past six months and San Diego
the six months prior. New York is
the only market sitting at all-time highs and one of just three
markets with gains on the month. Accounting for seasonal
adjustments shows a broader rally across the country.
"Our National Index hit its 17th consecutive all-time
high, and only two markets – Tampa
and Cleveland – fell during the
past month," Luke continued. "The annual returns continue to post
positive inflation-adjusted returns but are falling well short of
the annualized gains experienced this decade. Markets in
Florida and Arizona are rising, but not keeping up with
inflation, and are well off the over 10% gains annually from 2020
to present. This has allowed other markets to catch up.
"With the latest data covering the period prior to the election,
our national index has shown continued improvement," Luke
continued. "Removing the political uncertainly risk has led to an
equity market rally; it will be telling should the similar
sentiment occur among homeowners."
Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for
the three composites along with the current levels and percentage
changes from the peaks and troughs.
|
2006
Peak
|
2012
Trough
|
Current
|
Index
|
Level
|
Date
|
Level
|
Date
|
From Peak
(%)
|
Level
|
From Trough
(%)
|
From Peak
(%)
|
National
|
184.61
|
Jul-06
|
134.00
|
Feb-12
|
-27.4 %
|
324.22
|
142.0 %
|
75.6 %
|
20-City
|
206.52
|
Jul-06
|
134.07
|
Mar-12
|
-35.1 %
|
332.94
|
148.3 %
|
61.2 %
|
10-City
|
226.29
|
Jun-06
|
146.45
|
Mar-12
|
-35.3 %
|
350.35
|
139.2 %
|
54.8 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 2 below summarizes the results for October 2024. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the
receipt of additional source data.
|
October 2024
|
October/September
|
September/August
|
1-Year
|
|
Metropolitan
Area
|
Level
|
Change (%)
|
Change (%)
|
Change (%)
|
|
Atlanta
|
248.81
|
-0.26 %
|
-0.24 %
|
2.95 %
|
|
Boston
|
337.62
|
0.25 %
|
-0.55 %
|
4.36 %
|
|
Charlotte
|
281.04
|
-0.33 %
|
0.08 %
|
3.94 %
|
|
Chicago
|
210.67
|
-0.35 %
|
-0.05 %
|
6.24 %
|
|
Cleveland
|
194.43
|
-0.94 %
|
0.56 %
|
5.84 %
|
|
Dallas
|
296.78
|
-0.53 %
|
-0.63 %
|
0.85 %
|
|
Denver
|
316.26
|
-0.35 %
|
-0.79 %
|
0.44 %
|
|
Detroit
|
190.60
|
-0.55 %
|
0.14 %
|
4.42 %
|
|
Las Vegas
|
300.76
|
-0.48 %
|
0.09 %
|
5.90 %
|
|
Los Angeles
|
436.85
|
-0.17 %
|
-0.91 %
|
3.96 %
|
|
Miami
|
440.54
|
-0.15 %
|
-0.52 %
|
3.15 %
|
|
Minneapolis
|
241.66
|
-0.33 %
|
-0.16 %
|
2.34 %
|
|
New York
|
316.06
|
0.18 %
|
0.18 %
|
7.27 %
|
|
Phoenix
|
329.82
|
-0.05 %
|
0.28 %
|
1.20 %
|
|
Portland
|
330.06
|
-0.40 %
|
-0.15 %
|
1.39 %
|
|
San Diego
|
437.63
|
-0.38 %
|
-0.86 %
|
4.50 %
|
|
San
Francisco
|
353.72
|
-0.93 %
|
-0.71 %
|
1.58 %
|
|
Seattle
|
389.82
|
-0.87 %
|
-0.49 %
|
4.89 %
|
|
Tampa
|
384.21
|
-0.62 %
|
-0.11 %
|
0.39 %
|
|
Washington
|
331.24
|
0.10 %
|
-0.01 %
|
5.67 %
|
|
Composite-10
|
350.35
|
-0.13 %
|
-0.37 %
|
4.84 %
|
|
Composite-20
|
332.94
|
-0.23 %
|
-0.32 %
|
4.22 %
|
|
U.S.
National
|
324.22
|
-0.18 %
|
-0.11 %
|
3.60 %
|
|
Sources: S&P Dow
Jones Indices and CoreLogic
|
|
|
|
|
Data through October
2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the
seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data.
Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported
on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline
indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices
publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline
indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price
indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.
|
October/September
Change (%)
|
September/August Change
(%)
|
Metropolitan
Area
|
NSA
|
SA
|
NSA
|
SA
|
Atlanta
|
-0.26 %
|
0.25 %
|
-0.24 %
|
0.16 %
|
Boston
|
0.25 %
|
0.70 %
|
-0.55 %
|
0.09 %
|
Charlotte
|
-0.33 %
|
0.17 %
|
0.08 %
|
0.45 %
|
Chicago
|
-0.35 %
|
0.20 %
|
-0.05 %
|
0.45 %
|
Cleveland
|
-0.94 %
|
-0.29 %
|
0.56 %
|
1.05 %
|
Dallas
|
-0.53 %
|
0.25 %
|
-0.63 %
|
0.23 %
|
Denver
|
-0.35 %
|
0.50 %
|
-0.79 %
|
0.18 %
|
Detroit
|
-0.55 %
|
0.38 %
|
0.14 %
|
0.59 %
|
Las Vegas
|
-0.48 %
|
0.35 %
|
0.09 %
|
0.65 %
|
Los Angeles
|
-0.17 %
|
0.05 %
|
-0.91 %
|
-0.22 %
|
Miami
|
-0.15 %
|
0.23 %
|
-0.52 %
|
-0.01 %
|
Minneapolis
|
-0.33 %
|
0.27 %
|
-0.16 %
|
0.51 %
|
New York
|
0.18 %
|
0.25 %
|
0.18 %
|
0.41 %
|
Phoenix
|
-0.05 %
|
0.50 %
|
0.28 %
|
0.70 %
|
Portland
|
-0.40 %
|
0.42 %
|
-0.15 %
|
0.54 %
|
San Diego
|
-0.38 %
|
0.37 %
|
-0.86 %
|
0.06 %
|
San
Francisco
|
-0.93 %
|
0.17 %
|
-0.71 %
|
0.13 %
|
Seattle
|
-0.87 %
|
0.16 %
|
-0.49 %
|
0.82 %
|
Tampa
|
-0.62 %
|
-0.12 %
|
-0.11 %
|
0.05 %
|
Washington
|
0.10 %
|
0.70 %
|
-0.01 %
|
0.60 %
|
Composite-10
|
-0.13 %
|
0.31 %
|
-0.37 %
|
0.17 %
|
Composite-20
|
-0.23 %
|
0.32 %
|
-0.32 %
|
0.22 %
|
U.S.
National
|
-0.18 %
|
0.35 %
|
-0.11 %
|
0.28 %
|
Sources: S&P Dow
Jones Indices and CoreLogic
Data through October
2024
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please
visit www.spglobal.com/spdji.
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delivers real-time commentary and analysis from industry experts
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feedback and commentary are welcomed and encouraged.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are published on the
last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am
ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path
of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area
provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of
individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales
data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price
Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of
single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions
and is calculated quarterly. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
10-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of
the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P CoreLogic
Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted
average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value
of 100 in January 2000; thus, for
example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50%
appreciation rate since January 2000
for a typical home located within the subject market.
These indices are generated and published under agreements
between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic, Inc.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are produced by
CoreLogic, Inc. In addition to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller
Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering
thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets.
The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just
a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.
Case-Shiller® and CoreLogic® are
trademarks of CoreLogic Case-Shiller, LLC or its affiliates or
subsidiaries ("CoreLogic") and have been licensed for use by
S&P Dow Jones Indices. None of the financial products based on
indices produced by CoreLogic or its predecessors in interest are
sponsored, sold, or promoted by CoreLogic, and neither CoreLogic
nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, or predecessors in
interest makes any representation regarding the advisability of
investing in such products.
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SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices