TIDMCCEP
RNS Number : 9437R
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc
01 November 2023
1 November 2023
COCA-COLA EUROPACIFIC PARTNERS
Trading update for the third quarter ended 29 September 2023
& Interim Dividend Declaration
Solid performance, reaffirming FY guidance
Change vs 2022
Revenue Volume Revenue Comparable([2], Revenue FXN([2],[3]) Revenue
(UC)([1]) per [8]) Volume per revenue
UC([1],[2],[3]) UC([1],[2],[3])
========= ======= ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
Q3 2023 Europe EUR3,956m 705m EUR5.65 (4.0)% 9.0% 4.5% 3.5%
========= ------- ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
API EUR851m 141m EUR6.74 (7.0)% 10.5% 3.0% (8.0)%
================= ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
CCEP EUR4,807m 846m EUR5.83 (4.5)% 9.0% 4.0% 1.5%
================= ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
YTD 2023 Europe EUR11,061m 2,012m EUR5.57 0.0% 9.0% 9.0% 7.5%
========= ------- ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
API EUR2,723m 465m EUR6.25 (6.0)% 12.0% 5.5% (1.0)%
================= ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
CCEP EUR13,784m 2,477m EUR5.69 (1.0)% 9.5% 8.5% 6.0%
================= ========== ========== =============== =============== =============== ============ =======
Damian Gammell, Chief Executive Officer, said:
"2023 continues to be a strong year for CCEP reflecting great
brands, solid in-market execution and strong customer
relationships. Our focus on revenue and margin growth management,
along with our price and promotion strategy, drove solid gains in
revenue per unit case. Transactions outpaced volume and we grew
both share and household penetration across our markets. Given our
strong year to date performance, we are reaffirming our full year
guidance and declaring a full year dividend up almost 10% on last
year. This demonstrates the strength of our business and ability to
continue to deliver shareholder value.
"In the third quarter, we also delivered top line growth despite
mixed summer weather across Europe and the ongoing execution of our
long-term transformation strategy in Indonesia. We delivered
fantastic activation, including during the Women's World Cup,
supporting strong underlying volume growth in Australia and New
Zealand.
"Looking to next year and beyond, we remain confident in the
resilience of our categories, despite ongoing macroeconomic and
geopolitical volatility. We continue to actively manage our pricing
and promotional spend to remain affordable and relevant to our
consumers, alongside our focus on productivity and free cash flow.
All supported by our talented and engaged colleagues, and our
strong relationships with our brand partners and customers.
Finally, we have been working closely with The Coca-Cola Company
and Aboitiz([4]) on the proposed acquisition of Coca-Cola Beverages
Philippines([5]) , aligned with our aim of driving sustainable and
stronger growth through diversification and scale. We remain on
track to close early next year and look forward to sharing more in
due course."
Note: All footnotes included after the 'About CCEP' section
Q3 & YTD HIGHLIGHTS([2])
Revenue
Q3 Reported +1.5%; Fx-neutral +4.0%
-- Delivered more revenue growth YTD for our retail customers
than any of our FMCG peers in Europe & our NARTD peers in
Australia & New Zealand (NZ)([6])
-- NARTD YTD value share gains([6]) across measured channels
both in-store (+10bps) & online (+100bps), & increased
household penetration in Europe (+50bps)([7])
-- YTD transactions ahead of volume growth in Europe, Australia & NZ
(--) Q3 comparable volume -4.5%([8])
By geography:
-- Europe -4.0%([8]) reflecting solid in-market execution offset
by mixed summer weather & cycling strong comparables (Q3'22
comparable volume +12.0%)
-- API -7.0%([8]) solid in-market execution driving continued
volume growth in Australia & NZ offset by the strategic SKU
portfolio rationalisation & softer consumer spending in
Indonesia
By channel: Away from Home (AFH) -5.0%([8]) & Home
-4.5%([8]) both in line with volumes
-- Strong revenue per unit case +9.0%([1],[3]) (Europe: +9.0%;
API: +10.5%) driven by positive headline price increases &
promotional optimisation alongside favourable brand mix
Dividend
-- Declaring second half interim dividend per share of EUR1.17 (to be paid in December 2023)
-- Resulting in full year dividend per share of EUR1.84, +9.5%
vs 2022, maintaining annualised total dividend payout ratio of
approximately 50%([9])
Proposal to jointly acquire Coca-Cola Beverages Philippines,
Inc. with Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc.
-- On track to close early next year, updates to follow in due course
Other
-- Re-affirming FY23 guidance (see below)
-- Recognised as Top Employer in Europe by the Top Employers Institute
-- Appointed Deutsche Numis as house brokers to CCEP in September 2023
SUSTAINABILITY HIGHLIGHTS
-- Received approval from the Science Based Targets initiative
(SBTi) of CCEP's long-term 2040 net zero and 2030 greenhouse gas
reduction targets
-- Entered into CCEP Ventures partnership with Swansea
University to explore CO upcycling technology for the creation of
ethylene, a key component of plastic bottle caps
-- Achieved carbon neutral certification for a further six
manufacturing sites (five in Iberia and one in NZ), now a global
total of 13 sites
FY23 GUIDANCE([2])
The outlook for FY23 reflects our current assessment of market
conditions. Unless stated otherwise, guidance is on a comparable
& FX-neutral basis. FX is expected to decrease FX-neutral
guidance by approximately 250 basis points for the full year
(previously 200 basis points)
Revenue: comparable growth of 8-9% (unchanged)
Cost of sales per unit case : comparable growth of 8%
(unchanged)
-- Commodity inflation expected to be 8% (unchanged)
-- FY23 hedge coverage at >98%
Operating profit: comparable growth of 12-13% (unchanged)
Comparable effective tax rate: 24% (unchanged)
Free cash flow: at least EUR1.7bn (unchanged)
Third-Quarter & Year-To-Date Revenue Performance by Geography([2])
Note: All values are unaudited and all references to volumes are
on a comparable basis. All changes are versus 2022 equivalent
period unless stated otherwise
Q3 YTD
------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------
Fx-neutral Fx-neutral
EUR million % change % change EUR million % change % change
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
Great Britain 853 3.0 % 3.0 % 2,423 5.5 % 8.5 %
---------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------- ---------------- ------------- -------------
France([10]) 586 3.0 % 3.0 % 1,786 12.5 % 12.5 %
---------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------- ---------------- ------------- -------------
Germany 800 9.0 % 9.0 % 2,258 11.5 % 11.5 %
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
Iberia([11]) 1,029 6.0 % 6.0 % 2,570 10.0 % 10.0 %
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
(4.5) (1.0)
Northern Europe([12]) 688 % % 2,024 0.0 % 3.5 %
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
Total Europe 3,956 3.5 % 4.5 % 11,061 7.5 % 9.0 %
(8.0) (1.0)
API([13]) 851 % 3.0 % 2,723 % 5.5 %
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
Total CCEP 4,807 1.5 % 4.0 % 13,784 6.0 % 8.5 %
====================== ================= =========== =========== ================ ============= =============
France
-- Q3 volume decline reflects strong comps & mixed summer weather this year.
-- Fuze Tea continued to perform well achieving double-digit
volume growth (+26%). Monster, Sprite & Powerade also
outperformed.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by headline price increase implemented in the first quarter.
Germany
-- Q3 volume growth reflects continued strong trading in the
Home channel supported by great execution.
-- Continued growth in Coca-Cola Zero Sugar & Fanta.
Monster, Fuze Tea & Powerade achieved double-digit volume
growth.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by favourable price from the
annualisation of the second headline price increase last year &
further price implemented in Q3. Positive brand mix also
contributed to the growth e.g. Monster volume +42.0%.
Great Britain
-- Q3 volume decline reflects strong comps & mixed weather
during key summer months (July & August).
-- High single digit growth in Coca-Cola Zero Sugar & Monster achieved double-digit growth.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by headline price increase
implemented at the end of the second quarter. Positive brand mix
also contributed to the growth e.g. Monster volume growth +10.0%
& launch of Jack Daniel's & Coca-Cola.
Iberia
-- Q3 volume decline reflects strong comps & strategic
de-listings within Spain's bulk water portfolio. AFH benefiting
from strong tourism, trending ahead of pre-pandemic levels.
-- Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Sprite & Monster performed well.
Royal Bliss achieved double-digit growth (+43%), supported by
launch in Portugal.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by headline price, implemented
in the first quarter & positive mix.
Northern Europe
-- Q3 volume decline reflects strong comps (cycling double-digit
volume growth) & mixed summer weather this year.
-- Monster, Powerade & Aquarius outperformed achieving double-digit volume growth.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by headline price increase
implemented across the markets this year (Netherlands in Q3).
API
-- Australia & NZ grew Q3 volumes despite strategic
de-listings within Australia's bulk water portfolio, supported by
solid execution, including great Women's World Cup activation.
Overall volume decline reflects the strategic SKU rationalisation
& softer consumer spending in Indonesia.
-- Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, Monster & Powerade outperformed.
-- Encouraging start to the launch of Coca-Cola Zero Sugar & Sprite Zero in Indonesia.
-- Revenue/UC([14]) growth driven by headline price increase
implemented across all markets during the first half.
Third-Quarter & Year-To-Date Volume Performance by Category([2],[8])
Note: All values are unaudited and all references to volumes are
on a comparable basis. All changes are versus 2022 equivalent
period unless stated otherwise
Q3 YTD
% of % Change % of % Change
Total Total
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
(3.5) (0.5)
Sparkling 84.0 % % 84.5 % %
(4.0) (0.5)
Coca-Cola(R) 58.0 % % 58.5 % %
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
(3.0)
Flavours, Mixers & Energy 26.0 % % 26.0 % 0.0 %
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
(6.0)
Stills 16.0 % (10.0)% 15.5 % %
(8.0)
Hydration 8.0 % (13.5)% 8.0 % %
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
(6.5) (3.5)
RTD Tea, RTD Coffee, Juices & Other([15]) 8.0 % % 7.5 % %
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
100.0 (4.5) 100.0 (1.0)
Total % % % %
============================================ ============== ============= ============== ===========
Coca-Cola(R)
-- Q3 Europe -4.5% reflecting tough comps & mixed summer
weather. API growth +1.0% supported by strong in-market activation
of Women's World Cup across Australia & NZ.
-- Q3 Coca-Cola Original Taste -4.0% reflecting tough comps & mixed summer weather in Europe.
-- Coca-Cola Zero Sugar continued to grow (+1.0%) across our
markets in Q3 & gained value share([6]) of Total Cola +50bps,
led by GB +140bps.
Flavours, Mixers & Energy
-- Q3 Fanta -6.0% cycling tough comps (Q3'22 +20%([16]) ) & mixed summer weather in Europe.
-- Q3 Energy +12.0% led by Monster, continuing to gain
distribution & share through exciting innovation, e.g. launch
of Monster Green Zero Sugar in GB.
Hydration
-- Q3 Water -21.5% driven by strategic portfolio choices (SKU
rationalisation in Indonesia, the exit of large PET packs in
Germany (Vio) & Iberia (Aquabona), & Mount Franklin bulk
pack in Australia). Mixed summer weather in Europe also
contributing.
-- Q3 Sports +5.5% growth in Powerade across all markets([17]) .
RTD Tea, RTD Coffee, Juices & Other([15])
-- Q3 Juice drinks -12.0% reflecting strategic SKU
rationalisation in Indonesia & mixed weather impacting Capri
Sun in GB & France.
-- Q3 RTD Tea/Coffee -2.0% reflecting strategic SKU
rationalisation in Indonesia, partially offset by continued growth
in Fuze Tea across Europe (+14.5%).
-- Jack Daniel's & Coca-Cola performing well, e.g. now #1
ARTD([18]) value brand in GB([19]) after launch 6 months ago.
Conference Call
-- 1 November 2023 at 12:00 GMT, 13:00 CEST & 8:00a.m. EDT; accessible via www.cocacolaep.com
-- Replay & transcript will be available at www.cocacolaep.com as soon as possible
Dividend
-- The CCEP Board of Directors declared a second half interim dividend of EUR1.17 per share
-- The interim dividend is payable 5 December 2023 to those
shareholders of record on 17 November 2023
-- CCEP will pay the interim dividend in euros to holders of
shares on Euronext Amsterdam, the Spanish Stock Exchanges &
London Stock Exchange
-- Other publicly held shares will be converted into an
equivalent US dollar amount using exchange rates issued by
WM/Reuters taken at 16:00 GMT on 1 November 2023. This translated
amount will be posted on our website here:
https://ir.cocacolaep.com/shareholder-information-and-tools/dividends
Financial Calendar
-- Q4 & FY Results 2023: 20 February 2024
-- Financial calendar available here: https://ir.cocacolaep.com/financial-calendar/
Contacts
Investor Relations
Sarah Willett Awais Khan Raj Sidhu
sarah.willett@ccep.com awais.khan@ccep.com raj.sidhu@ccep.com
Media Relations
ccep@portland-communications.com
About CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners is one of the world's leading
consumer goods companies. We make, move and sell some of the
world's most loved brands - serving 600 million consumers and
helping 2 million customers across 30 countries grow.
We combine the strength and scale of a large, multi-national
business with an expert, local knowledge of the customers we serve
and communities we support.
The Company is currently listed on Euronext Amsterdam, the
NASDAQ Global Select Market, London Stock Exchange and on the
Spanish Stock Exchanges, trading under the symbol CCEP.
For more information about CCEP, please visit www.cocacolaep.com
& follow CCEP on Twitter at @CocaColaEP.
___________________
1. A unit case equals approximately 5.678 litres or 24 8-ounce servings
2. Refer to 'Note Regarding the Presentation of Alternative
Performance Measures' for further details & to 'Supplementary
Financial Information' for a reconciliation of reported to
comparable results; Change percentages against prior year
equivalent period unless stated otherwise
3. Comparable & FX-neutral
4. Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc.
5. Coca-Cola Beverages Philippines, Inc.
6. External data sources: Nielsen & IRI Period 9 YTD
7. Increased households (+50bps) P9 YTD for GB, Germany, Spain,
France, Netherlands, P8 YTD for Belgium
8. No selling day shift in Q3 or YTD; CCEP reported volume -4.5% in Q3 & -1.0% in YTD
9. Dividends subject to Board approval
10. Includes France & Monaco
11. Includes Spain, Portugal & Andorra
12. Includes Belgium, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden & Iceland
13. Includes Australia, New Zealand & the Pacific Islands, Indonesia & Papua New Guinea
14. Revenue per unit case
15. RTD refers to ready to drink; Other includes Alcohol & Coffee
16. Pro-forma & comparable basis
17. In all listed markets, Powerade not listed in Indonesia
18. ARTD refers to alcohol ready to drink
19. Combined portfolio of Jack Daniels & Coca-Cola and Jack
Daniels & Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, external data source Nielsen
last 4 weeks ending 9 September 2023
Forward-Looking Statements
This document contains statements, estimates or projections that
constitute "forward-looking statements" concerning the financial
condition, performance, results, guidance and outlook, dividends,
consequences of mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures, and
divestitures, including the proposed joint venture with Aboitiz
Equity Ventures Inc. (AEV) and acquisition of Coca-Cola Beverages
Philippines, Inc. (CCBPI), strategy and objectives of Coca-Cola
Europacific Partners plc and its subsidiaries (together CCEP or the
Group). Generally, the words "ambition", "target", "aim",
"believe", "expect", "intend", "estimate", "anticipate", "project",
"plan", "seek", "may", "could", "would", "should", "might", "will",
"forecast", "outlook", "guidance", "possible", "potential",
"predict", "objective" and similar expressions identify
forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in
nature.
Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks that
could cause actual results to differ materially from CCEP's
historical experience and present expectations or projections. As a
result, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made.
These risks include but are not limited to:
1. those set forth in the "Risk Factors" section of CCEP's 2022
Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC on 17 March 2023 and
as updated and supplemented with the additional information set
forth in the "Principal Risks and Risk Factors" section of the H1
2023 Half-year Report filed with the SEC on 2 August 2023;
2. risks and uncertainties relating to the global supply chain
and distribution, including impact from war in Ukraine and
increasing geopolitical tensions and conflicts including in the
Middle East and Asia Pacific region, such as the risk that the
business will not be able to guarantee sufficient supply of raw
materials, supplies, finished goods, natural gas and oil and
increased state-sponsored cyber risks;
3. risks and uncertainties relating to the global economy and/or
a potential recession in one or more countries, including risks
from elevated inflation, price increases, price elasticity,
disposable income of consumers and employees, pressure on and from
suppliers, increased fraud, and the perception or manifestation of
a global economic downturn;
4. risks and uncertainties relating to potential global energy
crisis, with potential interruptions and shortages in the global
energy supply, specifically the natural gas supply in our
territories. Energy shortages at our sites, our suppliers and
customers could cause interruptions to our supply chain and
capability to meet our production and distribution targets;
5. risks and uncertainties relating to potential water use
reductions due to regulations by national and regional authorities
leading to a potential temporary decrease in production volume;
and
6. risks and uncertainties relating to the proposed joint
venture with AEV and acquisition of CCBPI, including the risk that
the proposed transactions may not be consummated on the currently
contemplated terms or at all, or that our integration of CCBPI's
business and operations may not be successful or may be more
difficult, time consuming or costly than expected.
Due to these risks, CCEP's actual future financial condition,
results of operations, and business activities, including its
results, dividend payments, capital and leverage ratios, growth,
including growth in revenue, cost of sales per unit case and
operating profit, free cash flow, market share, tax rate,
efficiency savings, achievement of sustainability goals, including
net zero emissions and recycling initiatives, capital expenditures,
our agreements relating to and results of the proposed joint
venture with AEV and acquisition of CCBPI, and ability to remain in
compliance with existing and future regulatory compliance, may
differ materially from the plans, goals, expectations and guidance
set out in forward-looking statements. These risks may also
adversely affect CCEP's share price. Additional risks that may
impact CCEP's future financial condition and performance are
identified in filings with the SEC which are available on the SEC's
website at www.sec.gov. CCEP does not undertake any obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether
as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, except
as required under applicable rules, laws and regulations. Any or
all of the forward-looking statements contained in this filing and
in any other of CCEP's public statements may prove to be
incorrect.
Note Regarding the Presentation of Alternative Performance Measures
We use certain alternative performance measures (non-IFRS
performance measures) to make financial, operating and planning
decisions and to evaluate and report performance. We believe these
measures provide useful information to investors and as such, where
clearly identified, we have included certain alternative
performance measures in this document to allow investors to better
analyse our business performance and allow for greater
comparability. To do so, we have excluded items affecting the
comparability of period-over-period financial performance as
described below. The alternative performance measures included
herein should be read in conjunction with and do not replace the
directly reconcilable IFRS measures.
For purposes of this document, the following terms are
defined:
"As reported" are results extracted from our consolidated
financial statements.
"Comparable" is defined as results excluding items impacting
comparability, which include restructuring charges, income arising
from the ownership of certain mineral rights in Australia, gain on
sale of sub-strata and associated mineral rights in Australia, net
impact related to European flooding and acquisition and integration
related costs. Comparable volume is also adjusted for selling
days.
"Fx-neutral" or "FXN" is defined as period results excluding the
impact of foreign exchange rate changes. Foreign exchange impact is
calculated by recasting current year results at prior year exchange
rates.
"Capex" or "Capital expenditures" is defined as purchases of
property, plant and equipment and capitalised software, plus
payments of principal on lease obligations, less proceeds from
disposals of property, plant and equipment. Capex is used as a
measure to ensure that cash spending on capital investment is in
line with the Group's overall strategy for the use of cash.
"Free cash flow" is defined as net cash flows from operating
activities less capital expenditures (as defined above) and
interest paid. Free cash flow is used as a measure of the Group's
cash generation from operating activities, taking into account
investments in property, plant and equipment and non-discretionary
lease and interest payments. Free cash flow is not intended to
represent residual cash flow available for discretionary
expenditures.
"Dividend payout ratio" is defined as dividends as a proportion
of comparable profit after tax.
Additionally, within this document, we provide certain
forward-looking non-IFRS financial Information, which management
uses for planning and measuring performance. We are not able to
reconcile forward-looking non-IFRS measures to reported measures
without unreasonable efforts because it is not possible to predict
with a reasonable degree of certainty the actual impact or exact
timing of items that may impact comparability throughout year.
Unless otherwise stated, percent amounts are rounded to the
nearest 0.5%.
Supplemental Financial Information - Revenue
Revenue
Third-Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
===========
Revenue 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change
CCEP 2023 2022 2023 2022
In millions
of
EUR, except
per
case data
which
is
calculated
prior to
rounding.
FX impact
calculated
by
recasting
current
year
results at
prior year
rates.
=========== ====================== ====================== ========== ====================== ====================== ==========
As reported
and
comparable 4,807 4,745 1.5 % 13,784 13,025 6.0 %
Adjust:
Impact
of fx
changes 129 n/a n/a 317 n/a n/a
Comparable
and
fx-neutral 4,936 4,745 4.0 % 14,101 13,025 8.5 %
Revenue per
unit
case 5.83 5.35 9.0 % 5.69 5.20 9.5 %
Third-Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
=========== ----------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------
Revenue 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change
Europe 2023 2022 2023 2022
In millions
of
EUR, except
per
case data
which
is
calculated
prior to
rounding.
FX impact
calculated
by
recasting
current
year
results at
prior year
rates.
=========== ======================= ====================== ========== ====================== ====================== ==========
As reported
and
comparable 3,956 3,820 3.5 % 11,061 10,271 7.5 %
Adjust:
Impact
of fx
changes 28 n/a n/a 134 n/a n/a
Comparable
and
fx-neutral 3,984 3,820 4.5 % 11,195 10,271 9.0 %
Revenue per
unit
case 5.65 5.19 9.0 % 5.57 5.11 9.0 %
Third-Quarter Ended Nine Months Ended
=========== ------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------
Revenue API 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change 29 Sept 30 Sept % Change
In millions 2023 2022 2023 2022
of
EUR, except
per
case data
which
is
calculated
prior to
rounding.
FX impact
calculated
by
recasting
current
year
results at
prior year
rates.
=========== ====================== ====================== ============= ====================== ====================== =============
As reported
and
comparable 851 925 (8.0) % 2,723 2,754 (1.0) %
Adjust:
Impact
of fx
changes 101 n/a n/a 183 n/a n/a
Comparable
and
fx-neutral 952 925 3.0 % 2,906 2,754 5.5 %
Revenue per
unit
case 6.74 6.11 10.5 % 6.25 5.58 12.0 %
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