TIDMPRU
RNS Number : 1238X
Prudential PLC
08 August 2018
NEWS RELEASE
08 August 2018
PRUDENTIAL PLC HALF YEAR 2018 RESULTS
PRUDENTIAL DELIVERS HIGH-QUALITY PROFITABLE GROWTH
Performance highlights on a constant (and actual) exchange rate
basis
-- Group IFRS operating profit(1) of GBP2,405 million, up 9 per cent(2) (up 2 per cent(3) )
-- Asia new business profit(4) of GBP1,122 million, up 11 per
cent(2) (up 3 per cent(3) ), IFRS operating profit(1) of GBP1,016
million, up 14 per cent(2) (up 7 per cent(3) ) and underlying free
surplus generation(5) of GBP590 million, up 14 per cent(2) (up 7
per cent(3) )
-- US variable annuity separate account assets up 10 per cent(2)
(up 9 per cent(3) ) from 30 June 2017 leading to a 13 per cent(2)
increase (3 per cent(3) increase) in fee income
-- M&G asset management first half external net inflows of
GBP3.5 billion (2017: GBP7.2 billion), PruFund net inflows of
GBP4.4 billion (2017: GBP4.3 billion)
-- Planned demerger of M&G Prudential from the Group is progressing well
-- Group Solvency II surplus(6,7) estimated at GBP14.4 billion;
equivalent to a ratio of 209 per cent (31 December 2017: GBP13.3
billion, 202 per cent)
-- 2018 first interim dividend of 15.67 pence per share, up 8 per cent(3)
Mike Wells, Group Chief Executive, said: "We have made a good
start to 2018, delivering high-quality, profitable growth. At the
same time, we are taking the steps needed for the demerger of
M&G Prudential from the Group, which we announced in March,
alongside implementing M&G Prudential's merger and
transformation programme, which remains on track to meet its
objectives.
"The Group's performance has again been led by Asia,
contributing to an overall increase in IFRS operating profit(1) of
9 per cent(2) , growth in underlying free surplus generation(5) of
6 per cent(2) , and an increase in new business profit(4) of 13 per
cent(2) despite a lower level of APE sales.
"In Asia we have delivered double-digit growth across our key
metrics of new business profit(4) , up 11 per cent(2) , IFRS
operating profit(1) , up 14 per cent(2) , and underlying free
surplus generation, also up 14 per cent(2) . Our growth continues
to be high quality with protection new business profit(4) growing
by 19 per cent(2) , IFRS insurance margin(8) up 17 per cent(2) and
renewal insurance premiums(9) up 17 per cent(2) . Our Asia asset
manager, Eastspring, has increased IFRS operating profit(1) by 13
per cent(2) . Our broad-based portfolio of life insurance and asset
management businesses, high-quality products and multi-channel
strategy ensure that we continue to benefit from the growing
customer demand in Asia for the wealth and health products and
services that we provide.
"In our US life business, Jackson, variable annuity separate
account assets were 10 per cent(2) higher than at 30 June 2017,
leading to a rise in fee income as we continued to meet the need of
Americans for retirement income. In the UK and Europe, continued
demand for M&G Prudential's differentiated product propositions
has resulted in third-party net inflows of GBP3.5 billion for our
asset management business, M&G, and net inflows of GBP4.4
billion in PruFund-related business.
"Our planned demerger of M&G Prudential from the Group,
which will result in two separately listed companies, each with its
own distinct investment prospects, demonstrates our commitment to
creating shareholder value. We have mobilised our internal teams
for delivery, positively engaged with external stakeholders and we
are making good progress.
"Each of our businesses is built around strong and growing
customer needs, and we continue to target growth in high-quality,
recurring-premium health and protection and fee business. I am
confident that, as we create new and better products, build our
distribution channels and improve all our capabilities, we are well
placed to continue to generate profitable growth for our
shareholders."
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change on Change on
Summary financials Half year Half year AER basis CER basis
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns 2,405 2,358 2% 9%
Underlying free surplus generated(5,10) 1,863 1,840 1% 6%
Life new business profit(4) 1,767 1,689 5% 13%
IFRS profit after tax*(,11) 1,356 1,505 (10)% (5)%
Net cash remittances from business units 1,111 1,230 (10)% -
2018 GBPbn 2017 GBPbn Change on
Half year Full year AER basis
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- ----------
IFRS shareholders' funds 15.9 16.1 (1)%
EEV shareholders' funds 47.4 44.7 6%
Group Solvency II capital surplus(6,7) 14.4 13.3 8%
-------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- ----------
* IFRS profit after tax includes a GBP513 million pre-tax loss
on the reinsurance of GBP12 billion of UK annuity liabilities.
Notes
1 Based on longer-term investment returns.
2 Period-on-period percentage increases are stated on a constant
exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. All amounts are
comparable to the six months ended 30 June 2017 unless otherwise
indicated.
3 Growth rate on an actual exchange rate basis.
4 New business profit on business sold in the period, calculated
in accordance with EEV principles.
5 For insurance operations underlying free surplus generated
represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the
period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating
items. For asset management businesses it equates to post-tax IFRS
operating profit for the period. Restructuring costs are presented
separately from the underlying business unit amount. Further
information is set out in note 10 of the EEV basis results.
6 The Group shareholder capital position excludes the
contribution to Own Funds and the Solvency Capital Requirement from
ring-fenced with-profits funds and staff pension schemes in
surplus. The solvency position includes management's calculation of
UK transitional measures reflecting operating and market conditions
at each valuation date.
7 Before allowing for first interim dividend (31 December 2017: second interim dividend).
8 Insurance margin primarily represents profits derived from the
insurance risks of mortality and morbidity. See note I(a) of the
additional IFRS financial information for further details.
9 Gross earned premiums for contracts in second and subsequent
years, comprising Asia segment IFRS gross earned premium of GBP7.7
billion less gross earned premiums relating to new regular and
single premiums of GBP2.2 billion, plus renewal premiums from joint
ventures of GBP0.6 billion.
10 The half year 2017 comparative results have been re-presented
from those published previously, following reassessment of the
Group's operating segments as described in note B1.3 of the IFRS
financial statements. This change in presentation does not alter
total comparative IFRS operating profit or IFRS profit after
tax.
11 IFRS profit after tax reflects the combined effects of
operating results determined on the basis of longer-term investment
returns, together with negative short-term investments variances,
results attaching to disposal of businesses and corporate
transactions, amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments
and the total tax charge for the period. In half year 2018 it
includes a GBP513 million pre-tax loss on the reinsurance of GBP12
billion (valued as at 31 December 2017) of UK annuity liabilities
to Rothesay Life.
Contact:
Media Investors/Analysts
Jonathan Oliver +44 (0)20 7548 3537 Chantal Waight +44 (0)20 7548 3039
Tom Willetts +44 (0)20 7548 2776 Richard Gradidge +44 (0)20 7548 3860
William Elderkin +44 (0)20 3480 5590
Notes to Editors:
1. The results in this announcement are prepared on two bases:
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and European
Embedded Value (EEV). The results prepared under IFRS form the
basis of the Group's statutory financial statements. The
supplementary EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance
with the amended European Embedded Value Principles dated April
2016 prepared by the European Insurance CFO Forum. The Group's EEV
basis results are stated on a post-tax basis and include the
post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's asset management and
other operations. Period-on-period percentage increases are stated
on a constant exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. Constant
exchange rates results are calculated by translating prior period
results using the current period foreign exchange rate ie current
period average rates for the income statement and current period
closing rates for the balance sheet.
2. Annual Premium Equivalent (APE) sales comprise the aggregate
of regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums from insurance
sales.
3. Operating profit is determined on the basis of including
longer-term investment returns. EEV and IFRS operating profit is
stated after excluding the effect of short-term fluctuations in
investment returns against long-term assumptions and gains/losses
arising on the disposal of businesses and other corporate
transactions including the reinsurance of UK annuity contracts to
Rothesay Life in March 2018. Furthermore, for EEV basis results,
operating profit based on longer-term investment returns excludes
the effect of changes in economic assumptions and the mark to
market value movement on core borrowings. Separately on the IFRS
basis, operating profit also excludes amortisation of accounting
adjustments arising principally on the acquisition of REALIC
completed in 2012.
4. Total number of Prudential plc shares in issue as at 30 June 2018 was 2,591,872,867.
5. A presentation for analysts and investors will be held today
at 11.30am (UK) / 6.30pm (Hong Kong) in the Conference Centre of
Nomura, 1 Angel Lane, London EC4R 3AB. The presentation will be
webcast live and available to replay afterwards using the following
link:
https://www.investis-live.com/prudential/5b4345b905eeee1000ebbca3/mqwj
To register attendance in person please send an email to
investor.relations@prudential.co.uk
Alternatively, a dial-in facility will be available to listen to
the presentation: please allow time ahead of the presentation to
join the call (lines open half an hour before the presentation is
due to start, ie from 11.00am (UK) / 6.00pm (Hong Kong)). Dial-in:
+44 (0) 20 3936 2999 (UK and International) / 0800 640 6441
(Freephone UK), Participant access code: 721864. Once participants
have entered this code their name and company details will be
taken. Playback: +44 (0) 20 3936 3001 (UK and international
excluding US) / + 1 845 709 8569 (US only) (Replay code: 675129).
This will be available from approximately 3.00pm (UK) / 10.00pm
(Hong Kong) on 8 August 2018 until 11.59pm (UK) on 22 August 2018
and 6.59am (Hong Kong) on 23 August 2018.
6. 2018 First Interim Dividend
Ex-dividend date 21 August 2018 (Singapore)
23 August 2018 (UK, Ireland and Hong Kong)
Record date 24 August 2018
Payment of dividend 27 September 2018 (UK, Ireland and Hong Kong)
On or about 4 October 2018 (Singapore)
On or about 4 October 2018 (ADR holders)
7. About Prudential plc
Prudential plc and its affiliated companies constitute one of
the world's leading financial services groups, serving over 26
million customers, with GBP664 billion of assets under management
(as at 30 June 2018). Prudential plc is incorporated in England and
Wales and is listed on the stock exchanges in London, Hong Kong,
Singapore and New York. Prudential plc is not affiliated in any
manner with Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal
place of business is in the United States of America.
8. Forward-Looking Statements
This Prudential Half Year Financial Report may contain
'forward-looking statements' with respect to certain of
Prudential's plans and its goals and expectations relating to its
future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and
objectives. Statements that are not historical facts, including
statements about Prudential's beliefs and expectations and
including, without limitation, statements containing the words
'may', 'will', 'should', 'continue', 'aims', 'estimates',
'projects', 'believes', 'intends', 'expects', 'plans', 'seeks' and
'anticipates', and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking
statements. These statements are based on plans, estimates and
projections as at the time they are made, and therefore undue
reliance should not be placed on them. By their nature, all
forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. A number
of important factors could cause Prudential's actual future
financial condition or performance or other indicated results to
differ materially from those indicated in any forward-looking
statement. Such factors include, but are not limited to, the
timing, costs and successful implementation of the demerger of the
M&G Prudential business; the future trading value of the shares
of Prudential plc and the trading value and liquidity of the shares
of the to-be-listed M&G Prudential business following such
demerger; future market conditions, including fluctuations in
interest rates and exchange rates, the potential for a sustained
low-interest rate environment, and the performance of financial
markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory
authorities, including, for example, new government initiatives;
the political, legal and economic effects of the UK's decision to
leave the European Union; the impact of continuing designation as a
Global Systemically Important Insurer or 'G-SII'; the impact of
competition, economic uncertainty, inflation and deflation; the
effect on Prudential's business and results from, in particular,
mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal
rates; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future
acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; the impact
of internal projects and other strategic actions failing to meet
their objectives; disruption to the availability, confidentiality
or integrity of Prudential's IT systems (or those of its
suppliers); the impact of changes in capital, solvency standards,
accounting standards or relevant regulatory frameworks, and tax and
other legislation and regulations in the jurisdictions in which
Prudential and its affiliates operate; and the impact of legal and
regulatory actions, investigations and disputes. These and other
important factors may, for example, result in changes to
assumptions used for determining results of operations or
re-estimations of reserves for future policy benefits. Further
discussion of these and other important factors that could cause
Prudential's actual future financial condition or performance or
other indicated results to differ, possibly materially, from those
anticipated in Prudential's forward-looking statements can be found
under the 'Risk Factors' section of this Half Year Financial
Report.
Any forward-looking statements contained in this Half Year
Financial Report speak only as of the date on which they are made.
Prudential expressly disclaims any obligation to update any of the
forward-looking statements contained in this report or any other
forward-looking statements it may make, whether as a result of
future events, new information or otherwise except as required
pursuant to the UK Prospectus Rules, the UK Listing Rules, the UK
Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the Hong Kong Listing Rules, the
SGX-ST listing rules or other applicable laws and regulations.
Summary Half Year 2018 financial performance
Financial highlights
Life APE new business sales (APE sales)(1)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
--------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Asia 1,736 1,943 (11) 1,811 (4)
US 816 960 (15) 879 (7)
UK and Europe 770 721 7 721 7
------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total Group 3,322 3,624 (8) 3,411 (3)
------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Life EEV new business profit and investment in new
business
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------
2018 Half year 2017 Half year
GBPm GBPm Change % 2017 Half year GBPm Change %
------------------ ------------------ --------------------- -------------------- --------------------
Free Free
surplus surplus Free Free Free
invested invested surplus surplus surplus
New in New in New investment New investment New investment
Business new Business new Business in new Business in new Business in new
Profit business Profit business Profit business Profit business Profit business
------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------- ---------- -------- ---------- -------- ----------
Asia 1,122 260 1,092 283 3 (8) 1,009 265 11 (2)
US 466 180 436 246 7 (27) 399 225 17 (20)
UK and
Europe 179 100 161 42 11 138 161 42 11 138
------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------- ---------- -------- ---------- -------- ----------
Total
Group 1,767 540 1,689 571 5 (5) 1,569 532 13 2
------- -------- -------- -------- -------- --------- ---------- -------- ---------- -------- ----------
IFRS Profit(2,3)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
--------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Operating profit before tax based on longer-term
investment returns
Asia
Long-term business 927 870 7 812 14
Asset management 89 83 7 79 13
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,016 953 7 891 14
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
US
Long-term business 1,001 1,079 (7) 988 1
Asset management 1 (6) 117 (6) 117
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,002 1,073 (7) 982 2
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
UK and Europe
Long-term business 487 480 1 480 1
General insurance commission 19 17 12 17 12
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total insurance operations 506 497 2 497 2
Asset management 272 248 10 248 10
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 778 745 4 745 4
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Other income and expenditure (329) (382) 14 (376) 13
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns before tax and restructuring
costs 2,467 2,389 3 2,242 10
Restructuring costs(4) (62) (31) (100) (31) (100)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns before tax 2,405 2,358 2 2,211 9
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Non-operating items:
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
on shareholder-backed business (113) (573) 80 (523) 78
Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments (22) (32) 31 (29) 24
(Loss) profit attaching to disposal of businesses
and corporate transactions (570) 61 n/a 61 n/a
----------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Profit before tax 1,700 1,814 (6) 1,720 (1)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Tax charge attributable to shareholders' returns (344) (309) (11) (295) (17)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Profit for the period 1,356 1,505 (10) 1,425 (5)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Post-tax profit - EEV(3,5)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
-------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Post-tax operating profit
based on longer-term
investment returns
Asia
Long-term business 1,753 1,641 7 1,519 15
Asset management 77 73 5 68 13
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Total 1,830 1,714 7 1,587 15
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
US
Long-term business 1,005 888 13 812 24
Asset management (2) (4) 50 (4) 50
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Total 1,003 884 13 808 24
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
UK and Europe
Long-term business 771 465 66 465 66
General insurance commission 15 14 7 14 7
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Total insurance operations 786 479 64 479 64
Asset management 221 201 10 201 10
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Total 1,007 680 48 680 48
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Other income and expenditure (340) (381) 11 (375) 9
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Post tax operating profit
based on longer-term
investment returns before
restructuring costs 3,500 2,897 21 2,700 30
Restructuring costs(4) (57) (27) (111) (27) (111)
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Post-tax operating profit
based on longer-term
investment returns 3,443 2,870 20 2,673 29
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Non-operating items:
Short-term fluctuations in
investment returns (1,234) 739 n/a 707 n/a
Effect of changes in economic
assumptions 592 (50) n/a (38) n/a
Mark to market value on core
structural borrowings 579 (262) n/a (262) n/a
Loss attaching to corporate
transactions (412) - n/a - n/a
----------------------------- -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Post-tax profit for the period 2,968 3,297 (10) 3,080 (4)
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Basic earnings per share - based on operating profit after tax
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 pence 2017 pence Change % 2017 pence Change %
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
IFRS 76.8 70.0 10 65.7 17
EEV 133.8 111.9 20 104.2 28
------------------------------ -------------------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Underlying free surplus generated(3,6)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
---------------------------------------- ----------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
------------ ------------ ------------ -------------- ------------
Half year Half year Half year
------------ ------------ ----- ----- -------------- ----- -----
Long- Long- Long- Long- Long-
term Total term Total term Total term Total term Total
------------------------------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- -----
Asia 513 590 480 553 7 7 449 517 14 14
US 595 593 555 551 7 8 508 504 17 18
UK and Europe 488 724 527 742 (7) (2) 527 742 (7) (2)
-------------------------------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- -----
Total Group before restructuring costs 1,596 1,907 1,562 1,846 2 3 1,484 1,763 8 8
Restructuring costs(4) (15) (44) (6) (6) (150) (633) (6) (6) (150) (633)
-------------------------------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- -----
Total Group 1,581 1,863 1,556 1,840 2 1 1,478 1,757 7 6
-------------------------------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- -----
Cash remitted by the business units to the Group(3,7)
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
--------- --------- --------
Half year Half year Change %
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- --------
Asia 391 350 12
US 342 475 (28)
UK and Europe 341 390 (13)
Other UK (including Prudential Capital) 37 15 147
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- --------
Total Group 1,111 1,230 (10)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- --------
Cash and capital
2018 2017
---------- ---------- --------
Half year Half year Change %
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
First interim dividend per share relating to the reporting period 15.67p 14.50p 8
Holding company cash and short-term investments GBP2,210m GBP2,657m (17)
Group Solvency II capital surplus(8,9) GBP14.4bn GBP12.9bn 12
Group Solvency II capital ratio(8,9) 209% 202% +7pp
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
Group shareholders' funds (including goodwill attributable to shareholders)
2018 GBPbn 2017 GBPbn
---------- ---------- --------
Half year Half year Change %
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
IFRS 15.9 15.4 3
EEV 47.4 40.5 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
2018 % 2017 %
---------- ----------
Half year Half year
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ----------
Return on IFRS shareholders' funds(10) 25 24
Return on embedded value(10) 15 15
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ----------
2018 2017
---------- ---------- --------
Half year Half year Change %
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
EEV shareholders' funds per share (including goodwill attributable to
shareholders)(11) 1,830p 1,567p 17
EEV shareholders' funds per share (excluding goodwill attributable to
shareholders)(12) 1,774p 1,510p 17
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- --------
Notes
1 APE sales is a measure of new business activity that comprises
the aggregate of regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums
on new business written during the period for all insurance
products, including premiums for contracts designated as investment
contracts under IFRS 4. It is not representative of premium income
recorded in the IFRS financial statements. Further explanation of
the differences is included in note D of the Additional EEV
financial information.
2 IFRS operating profit is management's primary measure of
profitability and provides an underlying operating result based on
longer-term investment returns and excludes non-operating items.
Further information on its definition and reconciliation to profit
for the period is set out in note B1 of the IFRS financial
statements.
3 The half year 2017 comparative results have been re-presented
from those previously published following reassessment of the
Group's operating segments as described in note B1.3 of the IFRS
financial statements. On re-presentation, Prudential Capital is
excluded from total segment profit and underlying free surplus
generated.
4 Restructuring costs include business transformation and integration costs.
5 The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with
EEV principles discussed in note 1 of EEV basis results. A
reconciliation between IFRS and the EEV shareholders' funds is
included in note C of the Additional EEV financial information.
6 For insurance operations underlying free surplus generated
represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the
period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating
items. For asset management businesses it equates to post-tax IFRS
operating profit for the period. Restructuring costs are presented
separately from the underlying business unit amount. Further
information is set out in note 10 of the EEV basis results.
7 Cash remitted to the Group forms part of the net cash flows of
the holding company. A full holding company cash flow is set out in
note II(a) of Additional IFRS financial information. This differs
from the IFRS Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows which includes
all cash flows relating to both policyholders' and shareholders'
funds. The holding company cash flow is therefore a more meaningful
indicator of the Group's central liquidity.
8 Estimated before allowing for first interim dividend.
9 The Group shareholder capital position excludes the
contribution to Own Funds and the Solvency Capital Requirement from
ring-fenced with-profits funds and staff pension schemes in
surplus. The solvency position includes management's calculation of
UK transitional measures reflecting operating and market conditions
at each valuation date.
10 Annualised operating profit after tax and non-controlling
interests, as a percentage of opening shareholders' funds, as set
out in note II(c) of the Additional IFRS financial information and
note E of the additional EEV financial information. Half year
profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
11 Closing EEV shareholders' funds divided by issued shares, as
set out in note F of the Additional EEV financial information.
12 Closing EEV shareholders' funds less goodwill attributable to
shareholders divided by issued shares, as set out in note F of the
Additional EEV financial information.
Group Chief Executive's Report
I am pleased to report that we have had a good first half of
2018, delivering high-quality, profitable growth. This performance
has been achieved alongside good progress towards the demerger of
M&G Prudential from Prudential plc, announced in March, which
will create two separately listed businesses with distinct
investment prospects and capital allocation priorities.
Each of our businesses is built around strong and growing
customer needs. The savings and protection requirements of the
Asian middle class, the retirement income needs of Americans and
the increasing demand for managed savings solutions in the UK and
Europe are creating sustained opportunities. We continue to target
profitable growth in high-quality, recurring-premium health and
protection and fee business.
Financial performance
Our financial performance is again led by Asia, which delivered
double-digit growth in new business profit, IFRS operating profit
based on longer-term investment returns(1) and underlying free
surplus generation.
As in previous years, we comment on our performance in local
currency terms (expressed on a constant exchange rate basis) to
show the underlying business trends in a period of currency
movement.
Group IFRS operating profit increased by 9 per cent(2) to
GBP2,405 million (up 2 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis).
Reflecting our strategic priorities and our focus on health and
protection products in Asia, insurance margin was 17 per cent(2)
higher. IFRS operating profit from our Asia life insurance business
increased by 14 per cent(2) and profit from Eastspring, our Asia
asset management business, by 13 per cent(2) , in line with the
uplift in average assets under management. In the US, total IFRS
operating profit was up 2 per cent(2) , with growth in fee income
driven by higher average separate account balances, offset by an
expected reduction in spread earnings and a higher DAC amortisation
charge. In the UK and Europe, M&G Prudential's total IFRS
operating profit increased by 4 per cent, driven by 10 per cent
growth in operating profit from asset management operations.
The Group's capital generation continues to be underpinned by
our large and growing in-force portfolio and our focus on
profitable, short-payback business. Our overall in-force underlying
operating free surplus generation(3) increased by 5 per cent(2) to
GBP2,403 million (level on an actual exchange rate basis),
reflecting higher contributions across all our business units,
partly offset by higher restructuring costs, while investment in
new life business increased by 2 per cent(2) (decreased by 5 per
cent on an actual exchange rate basis), compared with a 13 per
cent(2) increase in new business profit to GBP1,767 million (5 per
cent on an actual exchange rate basis). Overall net cash remitted
to the corporate centre in the first half of 2018 was GBP1,111
million (2017: GBP1,230 million on an actual exchange rate basis),
with Asia being the largest contributor of net remittances to the
Group at GBP391 million (2017: GBP350 million).
The Group remains strongly capitalised, with a Solvency II cover
ratio of 209 per cent(4,5) . Over the period, IFRS shareholders'
funds reduced to GBP15.9 billion, reflecting profit after tax of
GBP1.4 billion (including, as anticipated, a pre-tax loss of GBP513
million on the reinsurance of GBP12 billion(6) of annuity
liabilities), the 2017 second interim dividend and negative
revaluation movements. EEV shareholders' funds increased to GBP47.4
billion, equivalent to 1,830 pence per share(7,8) .
New business profits increased by 13 per cent(2) to GBP1,767
million (5 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), reflecting
growth across all our business units, and external asset management
net flows(9) were GBP2.7 billion, driven by M&G Prudential
asset management.
In Asia, we continue to focus on growing our scale and enhancing
the quality of our returns. New business profit grew by 11 per
cent(2) , despite the 4 per cent(2) decline in APE sales,
reflecting an improved sales mix, pricing actions and
prioritisation of regular premium health and protection business.
The quality in our sales is also evident in the 19 per cent(2)
increase in health and protection-related new business profit.
While headline sales for the half year declined, our businesses saw
improved performance in the second quarter with overall growth of 6
per cent(2) compared to the same period in 2017. This quarterly
growth was broad based with six businesses (including Hong Kong and
China) growing at a double digit rate.
In the US, while variable annuity sales were slightly reduced
and institutional sales were 19 per cent(2) lower, the combination
of higher interest rates and beneficial tax reform underpinned an
increase in new business profit of 17 per cent(2) .
M&G Prudential continues to perform well, with robust
external net inflows of GBP3.5 billion in its external asset
management business and PruFund-related net inflows of GBP4.4
billion. Life new business profit increased by 11 per cent,
primarily driven by a 7 per cent increase in APE sales. Overall
assets under management(10) were GBP341.9 billion, GBP9 billion
lower than at the end of 2017, mainly as a result of the GBP12
billion(6) of annuity liabilities reinsured to Rothesay Life,
announced in March.
Long-term opportunities
We are focused on long-term, sustainable opportunities arising
from structural trends in Asia, the US, the UK and Europe.
Across Asia, the multiple insurance markets in which we operate
are benefiting from economic and demographic tailwinds that are
driving demand for our products. Our prospects are underpinned by
low insurance market penetration (currently under 3 per cent(11) ),
high levels of out-of-pocket healthcare spend (42 per cent of total
spend(12) ), a fast-rising working population (1 million per month,
expected to rise to 2.5 billion people by 2030(13) ) and improved
life expectancy (the number of people over 60 years of age is
expected to double to over 1 billion by 2050(13) ). The scale of
our presence across life and asset management, which gives us
access to 3.6 billion people(14) , means that our business is well
placed to benefit from these trends.
In the United States, the world's largest retirement market,
approximately 40 million people will reach retirement age over the
next decade alone(15) . These consumers have a clear need for
investment options that will increase their savings and protect
their incomes for the rest of their lives. We are broadening the
range of options we offer in order to meet the varied preferences
of these consumers and intermediaries.
In the UK and Europe, the number of people of retirement age is
forecast to grow by 55 million over the next four decades(16) . The
region's wealth is increasingly concentrated in the hands of the
older generations: in the UK the over-55s control two-thirds of the
nation's total wealth(17) . Many of these savers want products that
offer better returns than cash, while smoothing out the ups and
downs of markets. M&G Prudential is ideally placed to meet this
growing demand for investment solutions with its market-leading
with-profits fund and comprehensive range of actively managed
funds. Once demerged from the Group, supported by the benefits of
its merger and transformation programme, M&G Prudential is
expected to be in an even better position to serve these customers
as an independent, capital-efficient business.
Developing our businesses
We are constantly working to improve what we do for our
customers, across all our markets. We pay close attention to their
changing needs and respond with an evolving suite of high-quality
products and services. At the same time, we constantly develop our
capabilities to serve our customers and add value for our
shareholders.
In Asia, we are continuing to build our broad-based portfolio of
businesses and improve the way we serve our customers. We employ a
multi-channel strategy to maximise our reach across the region. Our
highly productive agency force is complemented by our bancassurance
partnerships, which have expanded following the signing of new
agreements in Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and Vietnam so
far this year. We maintain a contemporary suite of products and
remain at the forefront of product developments, evolving our
offering to meet changing customer needs. In Hong Kong, we launched
a new critical illness product with extended protection for cancer,
heart attacks and strokes, three common causes of death. In
Singapore we unveiled PRUVital cover, a first-in-the-market
protection plan, for customers with four types of pre-existing
chronic medical conditions, and in China we have recently started
offering customers a new savings product, designed with education
costs in mind. To support our agency and bank channels, we also
embrace new digital capabilities to increase efficiency and improve
our customers' experience. In Hong Kong, for example, we developed
two new innovations, 'Hospital to Prudential' and 'Chatbot Claims',
to redefine the way our customers and medical professionals manage
hospital claims, significantly reducing the time and effort
required. In addition we have recently announced an exclusive
partnership with UK-based Babylon Health(18) that will add a
comprehensive set of digital health tools to our existing
world-class protection products. Through a Babylon-enabled digital
platform we will offer customers in up to 12 Asian markets a
world-leading suite of Artificial Intelligence ('AI') health
services, including personal health assessment and treatment
information, empowering users to proactively manage their health in
a flexible and cost-efficient manner.
China represents an important growth opportunity for us.
Operating through our joint venture, CITIC-Prudential, we now have
access to around 70 per cent of the population following the
disciplined expansion of our footprint over the past 18 years. In
April we took another step forward when CITIC-Prudential received
regulatory approval to begin preparations for the establishment of
a new branch in Hunan, China's seventh-largest province, with a
population of 68 million. Our business in China is the highest
rated in the industry for risk management(19) , and was among the
first group of insurers to be granted approval to offer a
tax-deferred pension insurance programme, as part of a pilot
programme targeted on Shanghai, Suzhou and Fujian.
Eastspring, our Asian fund manager is well placed to capitalise
on the expected growth in Asia's retail mutual fund market.
Eastspring has a presence in 11 markets across the region following
its recent entry into Thailand in July. Eastspring's consistent
investment performance helped it to win Asian Investor's
prestigious Asia Fund House of the Year award for 2018, for the
third time in four years. In China, the establishment of our
investment management wholly foreign-owned enterprise will enable
Eastspring to create an on-the-ground team that will operate an
onshore investment management business. This business complements
our existing asset management joint venture partnership with CITIC
and represents an important step in deepening our presence in this
market.
In the US, we continue to develop our business to ensure that we
best address the opportunity presented by the millions of Americans
entering retirement and their need for secure income. During the
first half of 2018, we continued to strengthen our position in the
US fee-based advisory market through new relationships with key
distributors and the launch of relevant products, including a new
fee-based index annuity. Jackson has also played a leading role in
bringing together 24 of the country's financial services
organisations to launch the Alliance for Lifetime Income. This aims
to educate Americans about the need for protected retirement
income, enabling more customers to take action to secure their
financial futures.
In the UK and Europe, M&G Prudential continues to improve
customer outcomes, leveraging our scale, financial strength and
complementary product and distribution capabilities to develop and
deliver capital-efficient investment solutions for a range of
customer needs. It is one year since we announced the merger and
transformation of M&G and Prudential UK & Europe. In that
time, we have made good progress, announcing a new partnership with
Tata Consulting Services to modernise our existing life portfolio,
developing a combined approach to distribution and creating central
service functions. M&G Prudential's investment products
continue to perform well. We announced GBP2.1 billion in annual
with-profits bonuses, lifting the value of contracts by up to 10
per cent and marking the ninth consecutive year of positive returns
for investors in our market-leading PruFund. Over the three years
to 30 June, 58 per cent of M&G's retail funds generated returns
in the upper quartiles of performance. I would like to thank Anne
Richards for her contribution to the Group's success as Chief
Executive of M&G Investments. As announced on 27 July 2018,
Anne is resigning from the Group, effective on 10 August 2018, to
take up a new senior position in the financial services industry,
and we wish her all the best.
We are also continuing to develop our newer but growing
businesses in five markets in Africa. During the first half of the
year APE sales rose to GBP18 million(20) (2017: GBP8 million),
reflecting growth in our agency force and new distribution
agreements with Standard Chartered Bank in Ghana and Zenith Bank in
Nigeria and Ghana.
Demerger of M&G Prudential
At the same time as delivering growth in operating performance,
we have been focused on progressing the actions needed for the
demerger of M&G Prudential from the Group. Our internal teams
have been mobilised and we are engaging positively with external
stakeholders. We have also announced leadership changes at M&G
Prudential in preparation for the demerger. Clare Bousfield will
become Chief Financial Officer and John Foley, Chief Executive of
M&G Prudential, will take on the additional responsibilities of
becoming Chief Executive of the key regulated entities of M&G
and Prudential UK & Europe. These changes will simplify the way
we make decisions, improve accountability and align management
capabilities with M&G Prudential's future needs as an
independent listed business. As we outlined in March, we believe we
will be better able to focus on meeting our customers' rapidly
evolving needs and to deliver long-term value to investors as two
separate businesses. Following separation, M&G Prudential will
have control over its business strategy and capital allocation,
which will enable it to play a greater role in developing the
savings and retirement markets in the UK and Europe through two of
the financial sector's most trusted brands, M&G and Prudential
UK & Europe. Prudential plc, focused on our market-leading
businesses in Asia and the US, will be strongly positioned to
develop consistent, attractive returns and realise the growth
potential across our international footprint.
Until the demerger is completed, the Bank of England's
Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) will continue to be the
group-wide supervisor of Prudential plc. In line with the current
Solvency II requirements, the PRA will be the group-wide supervisor
of M&G Prudential following the demerger. After the demerger,
Prudential plc's individual insurance and asset management
businesses will continue to be supervised at a local entity level
and local statutory capital requirements will continue to apply.
The Supervisory College, made up of the authorities overseeing the
principal regulated activities in jurisdictions where the future
Prudential plc will operate, has made a collective decision that
Hong Kong's Insurance Authority should become the new Group-wide
supervisor for Prudential plc and they have begun preparations to
take over that role. Prudential plc will continue to be
headquartered and domiciled in the United Kingdom and will continue
to hold a premium listing on the London Stock Exchange. Both
Prudential plc and M&G Prudential are expected to meet the
criteria for inclusion in the FTSE 100 index.
Positive outlook
We remain focused on our purpose, which is to help remove
uncertainty from the big events in the lives of our customers. We
have strong underlying opportunities, a proven ability to deliver
for our customers, an ongoing focus on risk management and a strong
balance sheet. Our planned demerger of M&G Prudential
demonstrates our commitment to creating shareholder value. I am
confident that we are well positioned to continue to grow
profitably and provide value for our shareholders and customers
into the future.
Notes
1 IFRS operating profit is management's primary measure of
profitability and provides an underlying operating result based on
longer-term investment returns and excludes non-operating items.
Further information on its definition and reconciliation to profit
for the period is set out in note B1 of the IFRS financial
statements.
2 Increase stated on a constant exchange rate basis.
3 For insurance operations underlying free surplus generated
represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the
period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating
items. For asset management businesses it equates to post-tax IFRS
operating profit for the period. Restructuring costs are presented
separately from the underlying business unit amount. Further
information is set out in note 10 of the EEV basis results.
4 Before allowing for first interim dividend (31 December 2017: second interim dividend).
5 The Group shareholder capital position excludes the
contribution to Own Funds and the Solvency Capital Requirement from
ring-fenced with-profits funds and staff pension schemes in
surplus. The solvency position includes management's calculation of
UK transitional measures reflecting operating and market conditions
at each valuation date.
6 Relates to GBP12.0 billion of IFRS shareholder annuity
liabilities, valued as at 31 December 2017.
7 The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with
EEV principles discussed in note 1 of EEV basis results. A
reconciliation between IFRS and the EEV shareholder funds is
included in note C of the Additional EEV financial information.
8 Closing EEV shareholders' funds divided by issued shares, as
set out in note F of the Additional EEV financial information.
9 Net inflows exclude Asia Money Market Fund (MMF) inflows of
GBP665 million (2017: net inflows GBP449 million on an actual
exchange rate basis).
10 Represents M&G Prudential asset management external funds
under management and internal funds included on the M&G
Prudential long-term insurance business balance sheet.
11 Swiss Re Sigma 2017. Insurance penetration calculated as
premiums in % of GDP. Asia penetration calculated on a weighted
population basis.
12 World Health Organisation - Global Health Observatory data
repository (2013). Out of pocket as % of Total Health Expenditure.
Asia calculated as a weighted average out of pocket.
13 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
Population Division, World Population Prospects 2017 Revision.
14 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs,
Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017
Revision, custom data acquired via website.
15 Based on approximately 4 million people per year reaching age
65 over the period 2018-2028 - source: U.S. Census Bureau,
Population Division.
16 Office for National Statistics & Eurostat.
17 Office for National Statistics.
18 Exclusivity is in respect of up to 12 health, life and
pension markets in Asia.
19 Source: 2017 Solvency Aligned Risk Margin Requirements and
Assessment (SARMRA) issued by the China Insurance Regulatory
Commission (CIRC).
20 Given the relative immaturity of the African business, it is
incorporated into the Group's EEV results on an IFRS basis and for
now it is excluded from our new business sales and profit
metrics.
Chief Financial Officer's report on the 2018 first half
financial performance
Our financial results in the first half of 2018 continue to
reflect the benefits of driving targeted growth in high-quality,
recurring premium health and protection and fee business across our
geographies, products and distribution channels. We have also made
progress in the on-going preparations for the demerger of M&G
Prudential from Prudential plc and in delivering M&G
Prudential's merger and transformation programme.
The growth in our financial performance across a wide range of
metrics has again been led by our businesses in Asia which
delivered double-digit growth in new business profit (up 11 per
cent(1) ), IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns ('IFRS operating profit') (up 14 per cent(1) ) and
underlying free surplus generation(2) (up 14 per cent(1) ). In the
US, fee income(3) increased by 13 per cent(1) supported by higher
average separate account balances and continued positive net flows,
but was balanced by an expected reduction in spread income and
increased amortisation of deferred acquisition costs.
M&G Prudential delivered external net inflows of GBP3.5
billion in its asset management business. This, together with
PruFund-related net inflows of GBP4.4 billion and the reduction
arising from the previously announced reinsurance of a GBP12
billion(4) UK annuity portfolio resulted in overall assets under
management(5) of GBP341.9 billion at 30 June 2018 (31 December
2017: GBP350.7 billion). M&G Prudential remains on track to
deliver the announced annual shareholder cost savings of circa
GBP145 million by 2022 for a shareholder investment of circa GBP250
million.
Sterling weakened moderately compared with most of the
currencies in our major international markets over the first half
of 2018. However, average exchange rates over the first half of
2018 remained above those in the same period of 2017, leading to a
negative effect on the translation of the results from our
non-sterling operations. To aid comparison of underlying progress,
we continue to express and comment on the performance trends of our
international businesses on a constant currency basis.
During the first half of 2018 the performance of many equity
markets was subdued and characterised by higher levels of
volatility with the S&P 500 index up 2 per cent, the FTSE 100
index down 1 per cent and the MSCI Asia excluding Japan down 5 per
cent. However, all these equity markets remain above first half
2017 levels. Longer term yields increased favourably in the US and
in our larger Asia markets, but were only slightly higher in the
UK.
The key operational highlights in the first half of 2018 were as
follows:
-- New business profit was 13 per cent higher at GBP1,767
million (up 5 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis). Asia new
business profit increased 11 per cent, with improved new business
margins reflecting product mix, pricing actions and our focus on
health and protection business. In the US, the benefit of tax
reform and higher interest rates more than offset lower headline
APE sales volumes to drive new business profit growth of 17 per
cent. At M&G Prudential, higher sales at an improved margin
contributed to 11 per cent growth.
-- Asset management net inflows at M&G Prudential were
robust with external net inflows of GBP3.5 billion (2017: net
inflows of GBP7.2 billion) in its wholesale/direct and
institutional business. Eastspring reported external net outflows
of GBP0.9 billion excluding money market funds (2017: net inflows
of GBP2.3 billion on an actual exchange rate basis) with modestly
positive retail net flows offset by higher institutional bond fund
redemptions.
-- IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
increased 9 per cent to GBP2,405 million (2 per cent on an actual
exchange rate basis). IFRS operating profit from our Asia
businesses increased by 14 per cent to GBP1,016 million driven by
the compounding nature of our regular premium protection
businesses. In the US, IFRS operating profit was 2 per cent higher
with increased fee income offset by an expected reduction in spread
earnings and a higher DAC amortisation charge. M&G Prudential's
total IFRS operating profit was GBP778 million, 4 per cent higher
than the prior year. Within this, asset management earnings
increased by 10 per cent resulting from higher fees driven by
higher average assets under management, and operating profit from
our core with-profits and annuity life businesses were lower at
GBP255 million (2017: GBP288 million), reflecting the impact of the
previously announced annuity portfolio reinsurance.
-- Total IFRS post-tax profit was GBP1,356 million (2017:
GBP1,425 million), after a GBP513 million anticipated pre-tax loss
following the reinsurance of UK annuities to Rothesay Life,
contributing to Group IFRS shareholders' equity of GBP15.9 billion
(31 December 2017: GBP16.1 billion). EEV basis shareholders' equity
was GBP47.4 billion (31 December 2017: GBP44.7 billion).
-- Underlying free surplus generation(2,6) , our preferred
measure of cash generation from our life and asset management
businesses, increased 6 per cent to GBP1,863 million (up 1 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis), after financing new business
growth. This performance metric was driven by 14 per cent growth
from our Asian operations and 18 per cent growth in our US
business.
-- Group shareholders' Solvency II capital surplus(7,8) was
estimated at GBP14.4 billion at 30 June 2018, equivalent to a cover
ratio of 209 per cent (31 December 2017: GBP13.3 billion, 202 per
cent). The movement since the start of the year primarily reflects
the Group's continuing strong operating capital generation,
partially offset by the payment of the 2017 second interim
dividend.
IFRS Profit(6)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
--------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Half year Half year Half year
---------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Operating profit before tax based on longer-term
investment
returns
Asia
Long-term business 927 870 7 812 14
Asset management 89 83 7 79 13
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,016 953 7 891 14
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
US
Long-term business 1,001 1,079 (7) 988 1
Asset management 1 (6) 117 (6) 117
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,002 1,073 (7) 982 2
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
UK and Europe
Long-term business 487 480 1 480 1
General insurance commission 19 17 12 17 12
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total insurance operations 506 497 2 497 2
Asset management 272 248 10 248 10
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 778 745 4 745 4
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Other income and expenditure(9) (329) (382) 14 (376) 13
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns
before tax and restructuring costs 2,467 2,389 3 2,242 10
Restructuring costs(9) (62) (31) (100) (31) (100)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns before tax 2,405 2,358 2 2,211 9
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Non-operating items:
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns on
shareholder-backed business (113) (573) 80 (523) 78
Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustments (22) (32) 31 (29) 24
(Loss) profit attaching to disposal of businesses
and corporate transactions (570) 61 n/a 61 n/a
----------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Profit before tax 1,700 1,814 (6) 1,720 (1)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Tax charge attributable to shareholders' returns (344) (309) (11) (295) (17)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Profit for the period 1,356 1,505 (10) 1,425 (5)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
IFRS Earnings per share
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
-------------------------------- ------------------------
2018 pence 2017 pence Change % 2017 pence Change %
---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Half year Half year Half year
-------------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Basic earnings per share based on operating profit after
tax 76.8 70.0 10 65.7 17
Basic earnings per share based on total profit after tax 52.7 58.7 (10) 55.6 (5)
-------------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
IFRS Operating Profit based on longer-term investment
returns
Total IFRS operating profit increased by 9 per cent (2 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis) in the first half of 2018 to
GBP2,405 million.
Asia total operating profit was 14 per cent higher (7 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis) at GBP1,016 million, and includes
13 per cent growth from Eastspring's asset management businesses.
Life insurance operating profit was 14 per cent higher at GBP927
million, driven by continued growth in insurance margin which
increased by 17 per cent, reflecting our focus on recurring premium
health and protection business. This strategy underpins IFRS
operating profit growth of 33 per cent and 22 per cent in Hong Kong
and China respectively. IFRS operating profit in Singapore
increased 11 per cent, while the contribution from Indonesia was
the same as in the first half of last year.
US total operating profit at GBP1,002 million increased by 2 per
cent (7 per cent decrease on an actual exchange rate basis), with
increased fee income driven by a 10 per cent increase in separate
account balances since 30 June 2017 offset by a decline in spread
income, reflecting the impact of lower yields on our fixed annuity
portfolio and reduced contribution from asset duration swaps, and a
higher DAC amortisation charge. The higher DAC expense arises
largely from a GBP42 million acceleration of amortisation relating
primarily to the reversal of the benefit received in 2015 under the
mean reversion formula.
UK and Europe total operating profit of GBP778 million was 4 per
cent higher, reflecting growth of 10 per cent in asset management
operating profit and 11 per cent in the UK with-profits transfer.
This was partially offset by the anticipated reduction in profit
from in-force annuities following the reinsurance of GBP12
billion(4) of annuity liabilities to Rothesay Life in March 2018.
Operating earnings in the first half of 2018 also benefited from
management actions of GBP63 million (2017: GBP188 million) and a
GBP166 million insurance recovery related to the costs of reviewing
internally vesting annuities sold without advice after 1 July 2008,
for which a provision of GBP400 million had previously been
established.
Life insurance profit drivers
We track the progress that we make in growing our life insurance
business by reference to our obligations to our customers, which
are referred to in the financial statements as policyholder
liabilities. Each period these increase as we write new business
and collect regular premiums from existing customers and decrease
as we pay claims and policies mature. These policyholder
liabilities contribute, for example, to our ability to earn fees on
the unit-linked element and indicates the scale of the insurance
element, another key source of profitability for the Group.
Shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities and net liability flows(10)
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Half year Half year
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Actual Exchange Rate Actual Exchange Rate
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Market and Market and
At 1 Net liability other At 30 At 1 Net liability other At 30
January flows(11) movements June January flows(11) movements June
-------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Asia 37,402 1,463 (717) 38,148 32,851 1,016 1,173 35,040
US 180,724 82 4,344 185,150 177,626 1,958 (1,805) 177,779
UK and Europe 56,367 (1,813) (12,238) 42,316 56,158 (1,167) 1,500 56,491
-------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Total Group 274,493 (268) (8,611) 265,614 266,635 1,807 868 269,310
-------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Focusing on the business supported by shareholder capital, which
generates the majority of life profit, in the first half of 2018
net flows into our businesses reflected positive net inflows into
our Asia and US operations, which have been offset by outflows from
our UK and Europe operations. US net inflows remained positive, but
at a lower level, reflecting a lower level of institutional
business and a higher level of variable annuity surrenders as our
portfolio develops. The outflow from our UK and Europe operations
primarily reflects the run-off of the in-force annuity portfolio
following our withdrawal from selling new annuity business and
outflows from unit-linked business which is driven by more variable
movements in corporate pension business. This decrease in
shareholder liabilities has been partly offset by the flows into
the with-profit funds of GBP1.8 billion as shown in the table
below. Market and other movements include the GBP12 billion(4)
reduction in policyholder liabilities arising from the
classification of the annuity liabilities reinsured to Rothesay
Life as held for sale. Excluding this reclassification market and
other movements increased liabilities by GBP3.4 billion reflecting
currency effects as sterling weakened over the period, partly
offset by adverse market movements in the first half.
Policyholder liabilities and net liability flows in with-profits business(10,12)
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Half year Half year
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Actual Exchange Rate Actual Exchange Rate
-------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
Market and Market and
At 1 Net liability other At 30 At 1 Net liability other At 30
January flows(11) movements June January flows(11) movements June
--------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Asia 36,437 2,399 31 38,867 29,933 2,295 1,053 33,281
UK and Europe 124,699 1,832 (675) 125,856 113,146 1,574 3,729 118,449
--------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Total Group 161,136 4,231 (644) 164,723 143,079 3,869 4,782 151,730
--------------- -------- ------------- ---------- ------- -------- ------------- ---------- -------
Policyholder liabilities in our with-profits business have
increased by 2 per cent(13) to GBP164.7 billion in the first half
of 2018, driven by growth in M&G Prudential's PruFund
proposition and participating products in Asia, with consumers
seeking protection from the impact of volatile market conditions.
As returns from these funds are smoothed and shared with customers,
the emergence of shareholder profit is more gradual. The business,
nevertheless, remains an important source of shareholder value.
Analysis of long-term insurance business pre-tax IFRS operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns by driver(14)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------------------------ -----------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm 2017 GBPm
----------------------------- ----------------------------- -----------------------------
Half year Half year Half year
----------------------------- ----------------------------- -----------------------------
Operating Average Operating Average Operating Average
profit liability Margin profit liability Margin profit liability Margin
bps bps bps
--------------------- --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------
Spread income 454 80,938 112 583 89,314 131 543 85,504 127
Fee income 1,320 172,662 153 1,279 164,152 156 1,175 153,255 153
With-profits 187 145,813 26 172 132,701 26 170 131,600 26
Insurance margin 1,213 1,152 1,072
Margin on revenues 1,083 1,138 1,069
Expenses:
Acquisition costs* (1,133) 3,322 (34)% (1,241) 3,624 (34)% (1,154) 3,411 (34)%
Administration
expenses (1,177) 257,782 (91) (1,115) 259,451 (86) (1,040) 244,721 (85)
DAC adjustments 154 186 173
Expected return on
shareholder assets 103 103 100
--------------------- --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------
2,204 2,257 2,108
Share of related tax
charges from joint
ventures and
associate(15) (18) (16) (16)
Longevity reinsurance
and other management
actions to improve
solvency 63 188 188
Insurance recoveries
of costs associated
with review of past
annuity sales 166 - -
--------------------- --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------
Operating profit
based on longer-term
investment returns 2,415 2,429 2,280
--------------------- --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------ --------- ---------- ------
* The ratio of acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage
of APE sales including with-profits sales. Acquisition costs
include only those relating to
shareholder-backed business.
We continue to maintain our preference for higher-quality
sources of income such as insurance margin and fee income. We
favour insurance margin because it is relatively insensitive to the
equity and interest rate cycle and prefer fee income to spread
income because it is more capital-efficient. In line with this
approach, on a constant exchange rate basis, in the first half of
2018, insurance margin has increased by 13 per cent (up 5 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis) and fee income by 12 per cent (up
3 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), while spread income
declined by 16 per cent (down 22 per cent on an actual exchange
rate basis). Administration expenses increased to GBP1,177 million
(2017: GBP1,040 million) as the business continues to expand,
including an increase in US asset-based commissions on higher
separate account balances which are treated as an administrative
expense in this analysis.
Asset management profit drivers
Movements in asset management operating profit are influenced
primarily by changes in the scale of these businesses, as measured
by funds managed both on behalf of external institutional and
retail customers and our internal life insurance operations.
Asset management external funds under management(16,17)
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------
Half year Half year
------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------
Actual Exchange Rate Actual Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------
Market and Market and
other other
At 1 January Net flows movements At 30 June At 1 January Net flows movements At 30 June
---------------- ------------ --------- ----------- ---------- ------------ --------- ----------- ----------
UK and Europe 163,855 3,548 (1,913) 165,490 136,763 7,179 5,176 149,118
Asia(18) 46,568 (863) (3,335) 42,370 38,042 2,273 4,281 44,596
---------------- ------------ --------- ----------- ---------- ------------ --------- ----------- ----------
Total asset
management 210,423 2,685 (5,248) 207,860 174,805 9,452 9,457 193,714
---------------- ------------ --------- ----------- ---------- ------------ --------- ----------- ----------
Total asset
management
(including MMF) 219,740 3,350 (5,163) 217,927 182,519 9,951 9,571 202,041
---------------- ------------ --------- ----------- ---------- ------------ --------- ----------- ----------
Average assets under management in both our Asia and UK and
Europe asset management businesses were higher compared with the
prior period, and reflect positive net flows in the period in the
UK and Europe, and favourable market performance over the second
half of 2017. IFRS operating profit from M&G Prudential asset
management increased by 10 per cent to GBP272 million and by 13 per
cent at Eastspring (up 7 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis)
to GBP89 million.
M&G Prudential's external assets under management have
continued to benefit from net inflows during the period backed by
strong investment performance. External net flows totalled GBP3.5
billion (2017: net flows of GBP7.2 billion), led by contributions
from European investors in the Optimal Income Fund and our
multi-asset fund range, and from institutional clients investing in
illiquid credit and equity infrastructure strategies. The
contribution from positive net flows was partly offset by negative
market movements, resulting in overall external assets under
management at 30 June 2018 of GBP165.5 billion, up 1 per cent
compared with the start of the year. M&G Prudential's total
assets under management at 30 June 2018 were GBP341.9 billion (31
December 2017: GBP350.7 billion) with external growth offset by
lower internally managed assets following the GBP12 billion(4)
annuity portfolio reinsurance to Rothesay Life. IFRS operating
profit increased 10 per cent to GBP272 million, consistent with the
year-on-year increase in average assets under management and
reflecting a stable cost-income ratio of 54 per cent. M&G's
full year cost-income ratio is typically higher than for the first
half, as its cost base is weighted towards the second half of the
year (half year 2017: 53 per cent, full year 2017: 58 per
cent).
Eastspring reported net outflows(18) of GBP0.9 billion as modest
retail inflows were more than offset by higher redemptions in
institutional fixed income products. Eastspring's total assets
under management were stable at GBP138.2 billion (31 December 2017:
GBP138.9 billion), reflecting total net flows (including those from
money market funds and from assets managed for internal life
operations) of GBP3.0 billion, offset by market and other
movements. Eastspring's cost-income ratio improved to 54 per cent
(2017: 55 per cent).
Other income and expenditure and restructuring costs(9)
Overall net central expenditure reduced to GBP391 million (2017:
GBP407 million) as higher restructuring costs relating to the UK
merger and transformation programme were balanced by a reduction in
the interest payable on core borrowings.
IFRS non-operating items(9)
IFRS non-operating items consist of negative short-term
fluctuations of GBP113 million (2017: GBP523 million), losses on
the disposal of businesses and other corporate transactions of
GBP570 million and the amortisation of acquisition accounting
adjustments of GBP22 million (2017: GBP29 million) arising
principally from the REALIC business acquired in 2012. Losses on
the disposal of businesses and other corporate transactions include
a pre-tax loss of GBP513 million arising from the reinsurance of a
portfolio of UK and Europe annuity contracts with Rothesay Life.
Further information on other transactions is given in note D1 of
the IFRS financial statements. Short-term investment fluctuations
are discussed further below.
IFRS Short-term investment fluctuations
IFRS operating profit is based on longer-term investment return
assumptions. The difference between actual investment returns
recorded in the income statement and the assumed longer-term
returns is reported within short-term fluctuations in investment
returns. In the first half of 2018 the total short-term
fluctuations in investment returns relating to the life operations
were negative GBP113 million, comprising negative GBP326 million
for Asia, positive GBP244 million in the US, negative GBP122
million in the UK and Europe and positive GBP91 million in other
operations(32) .
Rising interest rates in many territories in Asia led to
unrealised bond losses in the period, and widening credit spreads
and a rise in interest rates in the UK led to losses on fixed
income assets supporting the capital of the shareholder-backed
annuity business. In the US, Jackson provides certain guarantees on
its annuity products, the value of which would typically rise when
equity markets fall and long-term interest rates decline. The 46
basis points rise in the 10 year US Treasury yield has resulted in
a positive impact from the revaluation of the IFRS guarantee
liabilities in the current period.
IFRS effective tax rates
In the first half of 2018, the effective tax rate on IFRS
operating profit based on longer-term investment returns was 18 per
cent (2017: 24 per cent). The lower rate is due mainly to the
reduction in the US corporate income tax rate from 35 per cent to
21 per cent which took effect from 1 January 2018.
The effective tax rate on the total IFRS profit was 20 per cent
in the first half of 2018 (2017: 17 per cent). This reflects a
higher effective tax rate in Asia as a result of non-operating
investment losses in the first half of 2018 which do not attract
tax relief, and also a higher effective tax rate in the US as a
result of generating non-operating taxable profits in the first
half of 2018, compared to the non-operating taxable losses
generated in the first half of 2017.
The main driver of the Group's effective tax rate overall is the
mix of profits between jurisdictions with higher tax rates (such as
Indonesia and Malaysia), jurisdictions with lower tax rates (such
as Hong Kong and Singapore) and jurisdictions with rates in between
(such as the UK and the US).
Total tax contribution
The Group continues to make significant tax contributions in the
countries in which it operates, with GBP1,560 million remitted to
tax authorities in the first half of 2018. This was lower than the
equivalent amount of GBP1,595 million (on an actual exchange rate
basis) in the first half of 2017. This reduction reflects a
decrease in corporation tax payments, down from GBP535 million (on
an actual exchange rate basis) to GBP305 million, partly offset by
increases in payroll taxes, property taxes and taxes collected from
customers. The reduction in US corporation tax payments reflects
the full impact of changes in the US basis for taxing derivatives
introduced in 2015 which transitioned into effect across the 2016
to 2018 tax returns.
Publication of tax strategy
In May 2018 the Group published its updated tax strategy, which
in addition to complying with mandatory requirements, also included
a number of additional disclosures, including a breakdown of
revenues, profits and taxes for all jurisdictions where more than
GBP5 million tax was paid. This disclosure was included as a way of
demonstrating that our tax footprint (ie where we pay taxes) is
consistent with our business footprint.
New business performance
Life EEV new business profit and APE new business sales (APE sales)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
------------------ ------------------ --------------------- ------------------ -------------------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------ ------------------ -------- ----------- ------------------ --------- --------
New New New New New
APE business APE business APE business APE business business
sales profit sales profit sales profit sales profit APE sales profit
---------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----------- -------- -------- --------- --------
Asia 1,736 1,122 1,943 1,092 (11) 3 1,811 1,009 (4) 11
US 816 466 960 436 (15) 7 879 399 (7) 17
UK and
Europe 770 179 721 161 7 11 721 161 7 11
---------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----------- -------- -------- --------- --------
Total
Group 3,322 1,767 3,624 1,689 (8) 5 3,411 1,569 (3) 13
---------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- ----------- -------- -------- --------- --------
Life insurance new business profit increased 13 per cent (5 per
cent on an actual exchange rate basis) to GBP1,767 million
reflecting improved economic returns across our businesses. Life
insurance new business APE sales decreased by 3 per cent (8 per
cent on an actual exchange rate basis) to GBP3,322 million.
In Asia, new business profit was 11 per cent higher at GBP1,122
million, benefiting from product mix, pricing actions and positive
momentum in prioritising regular premium health and protection
business. Our strength in executing this strategy was reflected in
a 19 per cent increase in health and protection new business
profit. Both agency and bank channels delivered double digit growth
in new business profit.
In Hong Kong, new business profit increased by 14 per cent, on
lower sales volumes, which is a clear indication of the success of
our strategic emphasis on health and protection business alongside
a more positive interest rate environment.
Outside Hong Kong our sales performance remains broad-based with
seven countries delivering double digit new business profit growth.
Of particular note were Singapore, where new business profit
increased 20 per cent on higher volumes and positive mix effects,
and China, where a 15 per cent growth in new business profit was
achieved, driven by a higher weighting of regular premium business
and product actions. Growth in new business profit in Thailand (up
43 per cent), Vietnam (up 17 per cent), Philippines (up 12 per
cent) and Malaysia (up 8 per cent) also reflects our value focus.
In Indonesia our agency dominated distribution continues to
experience challenging conditions, combined with the adverse impact
of higher yields, contributing to a decline of 24 per cent in new
business profit.
In the US, new business profit increased by 17 per cent to
GBP466 million reflecting the combined effects of higher US
interest rates and the benefit of US tax reform. Jackson's variable
annuity APE sales declined 3 per cent compared with the prior
period which had benefited from competitor 'buy-out' activity, and
increased moderately excluding this effect. This, alongside lower
institutional sales, led to an overall reduction in APE sales of 7
per cent.
In our UK and Europe life business new business profit increased
by 11 per cent, driven by higher sales and improved economics.
Overall APE sales increased 7 per cent, with PruFund sales 7 per
cent higher, led by further growth in individual pensions (up 13
per cent) and income drawdown business (up 16 per cent), partly
offset by lower bond sales. This resulted in PruFund net flows of
GBP4.4 billion, leading to an increase in PruFund assets under
management in the period of 12 per cent to GBP40.3 billion (31
December 2017: GBP35.9 billion).
Free surplus generation(2,6)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
--------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Asia 850 836 2 782 9
US 773 797 (3) 729 6
UK and Europe 824 784 5 784 5
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life
business
and asset management before restructuring costs 2,447 2,417 1 2,295 7
Restructuring costs (44) (6) (633) (6) (633)
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life
business
and asset management 2,403 2,411 - 2,289 5
Investment in new business (540) (571) 5 (532) (2)
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Underlying free surplus generated 1,863 1,840 1 1,757 6
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Market related movements, timing differences
and other movements (1,001) (321)
Profit attaching to corporate transactions 111 76
Net cash remitted by business units (1,111) (1,230)
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- ---------
Total movement in free surplus (138) 365
Free surplus at 30 June 7,440 6,931
-------------------------------------------------------- --------- ---------
Free surplus generation is the financial metric we use to
measure the internal cash generation of our business operations and
is based on the capital regimes which apply locally in the various
jurisdictions in which our life businesses operate. For life
insurance operations it represents amounts maturing from the
in-force business during the period, net of amounts reinvested in
writing new business. For asset management it equates to post-tax
IFRS operating profit for the period.
We drive free surplus generation by targeting markets and
products that have low-strain, high-return and fast payback
profiles and by aiming to deliver both good service and value to
improve customer retention. Our ability to generate both high
quality growth and cash is a distinctive feature of Prudential.
In the first half of 2018 underlying free surplus generation
from our in-force life insurance and asset management business
increased by 5 per cent to GBP2,403 million (level on an actual
exchange rate basis). This reflects our growing scale and the
capital-generative nature of our business model. In Asia, growth in
the in-force life portfolio, combined with post-tax asset
management profits from Eastspring, contributed to underlying
in-force free surplus generation of GBP850 million, up 9 per cent.
In the US, underlying in-force free surplus generation increased by
6 per cent reflecting growth in the in-force portfolio. In the UK
and Europe, underlying in-force free surplus generation was 5 per
cent higher at GBP824 million benefiting from higher M&G
Prudential asset management profits and a GBP138 million post-tax
insurance recovery related to the costs of reviewing internally
vesting annuities sold without advice after 1 July 2008 for which a
provision had previously been established.
Although new business profit increased by 13 per cent, the
amount of free surplus that was invested in writing new business in
the period increased by only 2 per cent to GBP540 million (2017:
GBP532 million), partly reflecting a favourable shift in business
mix.
Underlying free surplus generated, after investment in new
business but before restructuring costs, increased by 8 per cent to
GBP1,907 million, led by Asia up 14 per cent and the US 18 per cent
higher. Total Group underlying free surplus generation after
restructuring costs increased 6 per cent to GBP1,863 million.
Market movements (together with timing differences and other
reserve movements) in the period have led to a reduction in free
surplus of GBP1,001 million. This reflects in part bond losses from
rising interest rates in many markets in Asia, losses on
derivatives held to manage certain guarantees attaching to variable
annuity products in the US and other timing differences. It also
includes a negative GBP160 million impact from the increase in
capital requirements in the US following changes announced by the
NAIC in June as a result of the comprehensive US tax reform package
enacted in December 2017.
After financing reinvestment in new business and funding cash
remittances from the business units to Group, the closing value of
free surplus in our life and asset management operations was GBP7.4
billion at 30 June 2018.
Business unit remittances(6,19)
Actual Exchange Rate
----------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
---------- ----------
Half year Half year
---------------------------------------- ---------- ----------
Net cash remitted by business units:
Asia 391 350
US 342 475
UK and Europe 341 390
Other UK (including Prudential Capital) 37 15
---------------------------------------- ---------- ----------
Net cash remitted by business units 1,111 1,230
----------------------------------------- ---------- ----------
Holding company cash at 30 June 2,210 2,657
----------------------------------------- ---------- ----------
We continue to manage cash flows across the Group with a view to
achieving a balance between ensuring sufficient remittances are
made to service central requirements (including paying the external
dividend) and maximising value to shareholders through retention
and reinvestment of capital in business opportunities.
Cash remitted to the corporate centre in the first half of 2018
amounted to GBP1,111 million (2017: GBP1,230 million). Asia's net
remittance increased to GBP391 million (2017: GBP350 million),
driven by on-going business growth. Jackson's remittance was GBP342
million (2017: GBP475 million), and the UK and Europe remittance
was GBP341 million (2017: GBP390 million).
Net cash remitted by the business units was used to meet central
costs of GBP219 million (2017: GBP226 million) and pay the 2017
second interim ordinary dividend. Reflecting these and other
movements in the period, total holding company cash at 30 June 2018
was GBP2,210 million compared with GBP2,264 million at the end of
2017.
Post-tax profit - EEV(6)
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
------------------------------ ------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm Change % 2017 GBPm Change %
--------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Half year Half year Half year
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns
Asia
Long-term business 1,753 1,641 7 1,519 15
Asset management 77 73 5 68 13
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,830 1,714 7 1,587 15
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
US
Long-term business 1,005 888 13 812 24
Asset management (2) (4) 50 (4) 50
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,003 884 13 808 24
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
UK and Europe
Long-term business 771 465 66 465 66
General insurance commission 15 14 7 14 7
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total insurance operations 786 479 64 479 64
Asset management 221 201 10 201 10
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Total 1,007 680 48 680 48
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Other income and expenditure(20) (340) (381) 11 (375) 9
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Post tax operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns before restructuring costs 3,500 2,897 21 2,700 30
Restructuring costs(20) (57) (27) (111) (27) (111)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns 3,443 2,870 20 2,673 29
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Non-operating items:
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns (1,234) 739 n/a 707 n/a
Effect of changes in economic assumptions 592 (50) n/a (38) n/a
Mark to market value on core structural borrowings 579 (262) n/a (262) n/a
Loss attaching to corporate transactions (412) - n/a - n/a
----------------------------------------------------- --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
Post-tax profit for the period 2,968 3,297 (10) 3,080 (4)
------------------------------------------------------ --------- --------- -------- ------------ ----------
EEV Earnings per share
Actual Exchange Rate Constant Exchange Rate
-------------------------------- ------------------------
2018 pence 2017 pence Change % 2017 pence Change %
---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Half year Half year Half year
----------------------------------------------------- ---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
Basic earnings per share based on post-tax operating
profit 133.8 111.9 20 104.2 28
Basic earnings per share based on post-tax total
profit 115.3 128.5 (10) 120.1 (4)
------------------------------------------------------ ---------- ---------- -------- ------------- ---------
EEV operating profit
On an EEV basis, Group post-tax operating profit based on
longer-term investment returns was 29 per cent higher (20 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis) at GBP3,443 million in the first
half of 2018, equating to an overall annualised return on opening
embedded value of 15 per cent. EEV operating profit includes
GBP3,529 million (2017: GBP2,796 million) from the Group's life
businesses, which is discussed further below, and the post-tax IFRS
basis profit of the Group's asset management business of GBP296
million (2017: GBP265 million) and other net expenditure of GBP382
million (2017: GBP388 million).
EEV operating profit includes new business profit from the
Group's life businesses, which increased by 13 per cent (5 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis) to GBP1,767 million and life
in-force profit of GBP1,762 million, which was 44 per cent higher.
In-force profit growth was driven by underlying growth in the
in-force book, higher interest rates, the benefit of US tax reform
and in the UK increased portfolio optimisation benefits and
insurance recoveries related to our UK life business.
In Asia, EEV life operating profit was up 15 per cent to
GBP1,753 million, reflecting growth in new business profit of 11
per cent to GBP1,122 million. In-force profit was 24 per cent
higher at GBP631 million driven by growth in the in-force book with
overall ongoing positive experience variances.
In the US, EEV life operating profit was up 24 per cent to
GBP1,005 million, reflecting a 17 per cent increase in new business
profit to GBP466 million and an increase in the contribution from
in-force profit of 31 per cent to GBP539 million. The increase in
in-force profit reflects the favourable impacts of a higher opening
in-force balance, higher interest rates and the benefit of US tax
reform.
In the UK and Europe, EEV life operating profit increased by 66
per cent to GBP771 million (2017: GBP465 million). The increase
reflects an 11 per cent increase in new business profit to GBP179
million and an increase in in-force profit to GBP592 million (2017:
GBP304 million). The in-force profit includes the post-tax benefit
of a GBP138 million insurance recovery related to the costs and
potential redress of reviewing internally vesting annuities sold
without advice after 1 July 2008, alongside higher levels of
portfolio optimisation which are expected to moderate in the second
half of 2018.
EEV non-operating items
Negative short-term fluctuations of GBP1,234 million reflects
bond losses in Asia following rising interest rates in a number of
countries, together with lower than expected returns on equities
and other investments held by the Group's with-profits and
unit-linked business in Hong Kong, Singapore and the UK and
separate account business in the US. It also includes the impact of
market movements in the period on interest and equity derivatives
held by the US business to manage market exposures arising from the
guarantees provided on its annuity products.
Offsetting short-term fluctuations is a GBP592 million benefit
from economic assumption changes, principally reflecting the
benefit of higher interest rates on the future expected profits
from the US variable annuity business and with-profits businesses
in Hong Kong offset by the negative impact of a higher discount
rate for a number of other products.
The loss attaching to corporate transactions of GBP412 million
primarily relates to the reinsurance of the shareholder annuity
portfolio to Rothesay Life. A more detailed explanation of this and
the other corporate transactions occurring in the period are set
out in note 15 of the EEV financial statements.
Capital position, financing and liquidity
Capital position
Analysis of movement in Group shareholder Solvency II surplus(21)
2018 GBPbn 2017 GBPbn
---------- --------------------
Half year Half year Full year
------------------------------------------------------------------ ---------- --------- ---------
Solvency II surplus at 1 January 13.3 12.5 12.5
Operating experience 1.8 1.7 3.6
Non-operating experience (including market movements) - - (0.6)
UK annuities reinsurance transaction 0.1 - -
Other capital movements:
Subordinated debt redemption - - (0.2)
Foreign currency translation impacts 0.1 (0.5) (0.7)
Dividends paid (0.8) (0.8) (1.2)
Model changes (0.1) - (0.1)
------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- --------- ---------
Estimated Solvency II surplus at end of period 14.4 12.9 13.3
------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- --------- ---------
The high quality and recurring nature of our operating capital
generation and our disciplined approach to managing balance sheet
risk has resulted in the Group's shareholder Solvency II capital
surplus being estimated at GBP14.4 billion(7,8) at 30 June 2018
(equivalent to a solvency ratio of 209 per cent) compared with
GBP13.3 billion (202 per cent) at 31 December 2017.
Prudential's designation as a G-SII was reaffirmed on 21
November 2016. Although the Financial Stability Board did not
publish a new list of G-SIIs in 2017, the policy measures set out
in the Financial Stability Board's 2016 communication on G-SIIs
continue to apply to the Group. As a result of this designation,
Prudential is subject to additional regulatory requirements,
including a requirement to submit enhanced risk management plans
(such as a Group-wide Recovery Plan, a Systemic Risk Management
Plan and a Liquidity Risk Management Plan) to a Crisis Management
Group (CMG) comprised of an international panel of regulators.
Local statutory capital
All our subsidiaries continue to hold appropriate capital
positions on a local regulatory basis. In the UK, at 30 June 2018,
The Prudential Assurance Company Limited and its subsidiaries(22)
had an estimated Solvency II shareholder surplus of GBP7.5
billion(23) (equivalent to a solvency ratio of 203 per cent) and a
with-profits surplus(24) of GBP5.5 billion (equivalent to a
solvency ratio of 244 per cent). In June 2018, the National
Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) in the US formally
approved changes to risk based capital factors that reflect the
December 2017 US tax reform. Including the impact of these changes,
capital generation in the first six months of 2018, and payment of
a $450 million remittance to Group, Jackson's risk based capital
ratio as estimated at 30 June 2018, remained above its 2017
year-end position of 409 per cent.
Debt Portfolio
The Group continues to maintain a high-quality defensively
positioned debt portfolio. Shareholders' exposure to credit is
concentrated in the UK annuity portfolio and the US general
account, mainly attributable to Jackson's fixed annuity portfolio.
The credit exposure is well diversified and 98 per cent of our UK
portfolio and 96 per cent of our US portfolio are investment
grade(25) . During the first half of 2018 there were no default
losses in the US or the UK portfolio and reported impairments were
minimal in the US portfolio.
Financing and liquidity
Shareholders' net core structural borrowings
30 June 2018 GBPm 30 June 2017 GBPm 31 December 2017 GBPm
------------------------------------- ------------------------- -------------------------
Mark to Mark to
IFRS Mark to market EEV IFRS market EEV IFRS market EEV
basis value basis basis value basis basis value basis
--------------------- ------- ------------------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Total borrowings of
shareholder-financed
operations 6,367 151 6,518 6,614 673 7,287 6,280 743 7,023
Less: Holding company
cash and
short-term
investments (2,210) - (2,210) (2,657) - (2,657) (2,264) - (2,264)
--------------------- ------- ------------------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Net core structural
borrowings of
shareholder-financed
operations 4,157 151 4,308 3,957 673 4,630 4,016 743 4,759
--------------------- ------- ------------------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------
Gearing ratio* 21% 20% 20%
* Net core structural borrowings as a proportion of IFRS
shareholders' funds plus net debt, as set out in note II(d) of the
Additional IFRS financial information.
Our financing and central liquidity position remained strong
throughout the period. Our central cash resources amounted to
GBP2.2 billion at 30 June 2018 (31 December 2017: GBP2.3
billion).
In addition to its net core structural borrowings of
shareholder-financed operations set out above, the Group also has
access to funding via the money markets and has in place a global
commercial paper programme. As at 30 June 2018, we had issued
commercial paper under this programme totalling US$1,189
million.
Prudential's holding company currently has access to GBP2.6
billion of syndicated and bilateral committed revolving credit
facilities, provided by 19 major international banks, expiring in
2022 and 2023. Apart from small drawdowns to test the process,
these facilities have never been drawn, and there were no amounts
outstanding at 30 June 2018. The medium-term note programme, the US
shelf registration programme (platform for issuance of SEC
registered public bonds in the US market), the commercial paper
programme and the committed revolving credit facilities are all
available for general corporate purposes and to support the
liquidity needs of Prudential's holding company and are intended to
maintain a strong and flexible funding capacity.
Shareholders' Funds
IFRS EEV
------------------------------- -------------------------------
2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm 2018 GBPm 2017 GBPm
--------- -------------------- --------- --------------------
Half year Half year Full year Half year Half year Full year
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Profit after tax for the period (26) 1,355 1,505 2,389 2,967 3,297 8,750
Exchange movements, net of related tax 69 (224) (409) 523 (1,045) (2,045)
Cumulative exchange gain of Korea life
business recycled to profit and loss account - (61) (61) - - -
Unrealised gains and losses on Jackson fixed
income securities classified as available for
sale(27) (908) 300 486 - - -
Dividends (840) (786) (1,159) (840) (786) (1,159)
Mark to market value movements on Jackson
assets backing surplus and required capital - - - (32) 31 40
Other 119 49 175 127 55 144
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Net (decrease) increase in shareholders' funds (205) 783 1,421 2,745 1,552 5,730
Shareholders' funds at beginning of the period 16,087 14,666 14,666 44,698 38,968 38,968
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Shareholders' funds at end of the period 15,882 15,449 16,087 47,443 40,520 44,698
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Shareholders' value per share (28) 613p 597p 622p 1,830p 1,567p 1,728p
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Return on Shareholders' funds(29) 25% 24% 25% 15% 15% 17%
---------------------------------------------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
Group IFRS shareholders' funds at 30 June 2018 decreased by 1
per cent(13) to GBP15.9 billion (31 December 2017: GBP16.1 billion
on an actual exchange rate basis). In the first six months of 2018
the Group generated profits after tax of GBP1.4 billion (2017:
GBP1.5 billion), which were more than offset by dividend payments
and unrealised losses on fixed income securities held by Jackson
accounted for through other comprehensive income. In the first half
of the period, UK sterling weakened relative to the US dollar and
various Asian currencies. With approximately 48 per cent of the
Group IFRS net assets (71 per cent of the Group's EEV net assets)
denominated in non-sterling currencies, this generated a small
positive exchange rate movement on net assets in the period.
The Group's EEV basis shareholders' funds increased by 6 per
cent(13) to GBP47.4 billion (31 December 2017: GBP44.7 billion on
an actual exchange rate basis). On a per share basis the Group's
embedded value at 30 June 2018 equated to 1,830 pence, up from
1,728 pence at 31 December 2017.
Corporate transactions
Intention to demerge the Group's UK businesses from Prudential
plc and sale of GBP12.0 billion(4) UK annuity portfolio
The Group is making progress on its previously announced
intention to demerge its UK and Europe businesses from Prudential
plc, resulting in two separately-listed companies, and the
preparatory transfer of the legal ownership of its Hong Kong
insurance subsidiaries from The Prudential Assurance Company
Limited (M&G Prudential's UK regulated insurance entity) to
Prudential Corporation Asia Limited.
In March 2018, M&G Prudential announced the sale of GBP12.0
billion (as at 31 December 2017) of its shareholder-backed annuity
portfolio to Rothesay Life. Under the terms of the agreement,
M&G Prudential has reinsured these liabilities to Rothesay
Life, which is expected to be followed by a Part VII transfer of
the portfolio by the end of 2019. The reinsurance agreement became
effective on 14 March 2018 and resulted in an IFRS pre-tax loss of
GBP513 million.
These transactions above reduced the Group's EEV by GBP364
million which primarily reflects the loss of profits on the portion
of annuity liabilities sold.
The impact on Group Solvency II capital position of the
reinsurance transaction at 30 June 2018 is an increase in surplus
of GBP0.1 billion. Further information on the solvency position of
the Group and The Prudential Assurance Company Limited is set out
in note II(f) of the Additional IFRS financial information.
Prior to the demerger, the Group expects to rebalance its debt
capital across Prudential and M&G Prudential. This will include
the ultimate holding company of M&G Prudential, when
established, taking on new subordinated debt and Prudential plc
redeeming some of its existing debt. A proportion of the proceeds
of the debt that will ultimately be held by M&G Prudential will
be used by Prudential plc to enable repayment of a portion of
Prudential plc's existing debt. It is currently expected that the
debt re-balancing will result in M&G Prudential's parent
company holding up to half of the aggregate of the Group's current
outstanding core structural borrowings (GBP6,367 million at 30 June
2018) and borrowings from short-term securities programmes(33) ,
which together total GBP7,576 million at 30 June 2018.
Entrance into Thailand mutual fund market
In July 2018 Eastspring reached an agreement to initially
acquire 65 per cent of TMB Asset Management Co., Ltd. ('TMBAM'), a
leading asset management company in Thailand, from TMB Bank Public
Company Limited ('TMB'). Eastspring has an option to increase its
ownership to 100 per cent in the future. As part of this
acquisition, Eastspring has also entered into a distribution
agreement with TMB to provide best-in-class investment solutions to
their customers.
The acquisition of TMBAM, the fifth-largest asset manager(30) in
Thailand, with GBP10 billion(31) of assets under management which
has grown by a market leading 26 per cent compound annual growth
rate over the last three years, reinforces Prudential's commitment
to the Thai market. The completion of the transaction is subject to
local regulatory approval.
Dividend
As in previous years, the first interim dividend for 2018 has
been calculated formulaically as one third of the prior year's full
year ordinary dividend. The Board has approved a first interim
dividend for 2018 of 15.67 pence per share, which equates to an
increase of 8 per cent over the 2017 first interim dividend.
The Group's dividend policy remains unchanged. The Board will
maintain focus on delivering a growing ordinary dividend. In line
with this policy, Prudential aims to grow the ordinary dividend by
5 per cent per annum. The potential for additional distributions
will continue to be determined after taking into account the
Group's financial flexibility across a broad range of financial
metrics and an assessment of opportunities to generate attractive
returns by investing in specific areas of the business.
Notes
1 Increase stated on a constant exchange rate basis
2 For insurance operations underlying free surplus generated
represents amounts maturing from the in-force business during the
period less investment in new business and excludes non-operating
items. For asset management businesses it equates to post-tax IFRS
operating profit for the period. Restructuring costs are presented
separately from the underlying business unit amount. Further
information is set out in note 10 of the EEV basis results.
3 US Fee income represents asset management fees that vary with
the size of the underlying policyholder funds, primarily separate
account balances arising from variable annuity business, net of
investment management expenses. See note I(a) of Additional IFRS
financial information for basis of preparation.
4 Relates to GBP12.0 billion of IFRS shareholder annuity
liabilities, valued as at 31 December 2017.
5 Represents M&G Prudential asset management external funds
under management and internal funds included on the M&G
Prudential long-term insurance business balance sheet.
6 The 2017 comparative results have been re-presented from those
published previously, following reassessment of the Group's
operating segments as described in note B1.3 of the IFRS financial
statements.
7 Before allowing for first interim dividend.
8 The Group shareholder capital position excludes the
contribution to Own Funds and the Solvency Capital Requirement from
ring-fenced with-profits funds and staff pension schemes in
surplus. The solvency position includes management's calculation of
UK transitional measures reflecting operating and market conditions
at each valuation date.
9 Refer to note B1.1 in IFRS financial statements for the
break-down of other income and expenditure and other non-operating
items.
10 Includes Group's proportionate share of the liabilities and
associated flows of the insurance joint ventures and associate in
Asia.
11 Defined as movements in shareholder-backed policyholder
liabilities arising from premiums (net of charges),
surrenders/withdrawals, maturities and deaths.
12 Includes unallocated surplus of with-profits business.
13 Comparison to 31 December 2017 on an actual exchange rate
basis.
14 For basis of preparation see note I(a) of Additional IFRS
financial information.
15 Under IFRS, the Group's share of results from its investments
in joint ventures and associate accounted for using the equity
method is included in the Group's profit before tax on a net of
related tax basis. In half year 2018, the Group altered the
presentation of its analysis of Asia operating profit drivers to
show these tax charges separately in order for the contribution
from the joint ventures and associate to be included in the margin
analysis on a consistent basis as the rest of the Asia operations.
Half year 2017 comparatives have been re-presented accordingly.
16 Includes Group's proportionate share in PPM South Africa and
the Asia asset management joint ventures.
17 For our asset management business, the level of funds managed
on behalf of third parties, which are not therefore recorded on the
balance sheet, is a driver of profitability. We therefore analyse
the movement in the funds under management each period, focusing
between those which are external to the Group and those held by the
insurance business and included on the Group balance sheet. This is
analysed in note II(b) of the Additional IFRS financial
information.
18 Net inflows exclude Asia Money Market Fund (MMF) inflows of
GBP665 million (2017: net inflows GBP449 million on an actual
exchange rate basis). External funds under management exclude Asia
MMF balances of GBP10,067 million (2017: GBP8,327 million on an
actual exchange rate basis).
19 Net cash remitted by business units are included in the
Holding company cash flow, which is disclosed in detail in note
II(a) of the Additional IFRS financial information.
20 Refer to the EEV basis supplementary information - Post-tax
operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and
Post-tax summarised consolidated income statement for the
break-down of other income and expenditure and other non-operating
items.
21 The methodology and assumptions used in calculating the
Solvency II capital results are set out in note II(f) of Additional
IFRS financial information.
22 The insurance subsidiaries of The Prudential Assurance
Company Limited are Prudential General Insurance Hong Kong Limited,
Prudential Hong Kong Limited, Prudential International Assurance
plc and Prudential Pensions Limited.
23 The UK shareholder capital position excludes the contribution
to Own Funds and the Solvency Capital Requirement from ring-fenced
with-profits funds and staff pension schemes in surplus. The
estimated solvency position includes management's estimate of
calculation of UK transitional measures reflecting operating and
market conditions at each valuation date.
24 The with-profits Solvency II surplus represents the Own Funds
and the Solvency Capital Requirement of UK ring-fenced funds. The
estimated solvency position includes the impact of recalculated
transitionals at the valuation date.
25 Based on hierarchy of Standard and Poor's Moody's and Fitch,
where available and if unavailable, other rating agencies or
internal ratings have been used.
26 Excluding profit for the year attributable to non-controlling
interests.
27 Net of related charges to deferred acquisition costs and
tax.
28 Closing IFRS shareholders' funds divided by issued shares, as
set out in note II(e) of the Additional IFRS financial information.
Closing EEV shareholders' funds divided by issued shares, as set
out in note F of the Additional EEV financial information.
29 Annualised operating profit after tax and non-controlling
interests, as a percentage of opening shareholders' funds, as set
out in note II(c) of the Additional IFRS financial information and
note E of the Additional EEV financial information. Half year
profits are annualised by multiplying by two.
30 Source: TMB Investor factsheet (as of March 2018).
31 Assets under management as at 31 March 2018.
32 Other operations include Group Head Office and Asia Regional
Head Office costs, Prudential Capital and Africa.
33 Comprising GBP1,209 million of commercial paper and Medium
Term Notes.
Group Chief Risk Officer's report of the risks facing our
business and how these are managed
Our Group Risk Framework and risk appetite have allowed us to
control our risk exposure successfully throughout the year. Our
governance, processes and controls enable us to deal with
uncertainty effectively, which is critical to the achievement of
our strategy of helping our customers achieve their long-term
financial goals.
This section explains the main risks inherent in our business
and how we manage those risks, with the aim of ensuring an
appropriate risk profile is maintained.
1. Introduction
Group structure
In August 2017 the Group announced its intention to combine
M&G and our UK life business to form M&G Prudential,
allowing the scale and capabilities in these businesses to be
leveraged more effectively. In March 2018, the intention to demerge
the combined business unit from the rest of the Group was
announced, with the aim of focusing on meeting customers' rapidly
evolving needs and to deliver long-term value to investors as two
separate businesses.
The merger activity ongoing at M&G Prudential and its
planned separation from the rest of the Group requires significant
and complex changes. The Group Risk function is embedded within key
work streams and a clear view exists of the objectives, risks and
dependencies involved in order to execute this change agenda. A
mature and well-embedded risk framework is in place and, during
this period of transition, the Group Risk function has a defined
role in providing oversight, support and risk management, as well
as providing objective challenge to ensure the Group remains within
risk appetite. Looking further ahead, a key objective is that post
demerger there are two strong, standalone risk functions in M&G
Prudential and Prudential plc. The Group will continue to increase
its risk management focus on Prudential Africa as the business
there grows in materiality.
Societal developments
Focus in western economies is increasingly shifting from the
goods and services businesses deliver to customers towards the way
in which such business is conducted and how this impacts on the
wider society. In undertaking its business, the Group actively
considers the environmental, social and governance (ESG) impact of
our activities. The risks and opportunities arising from these are
broad and may initially seem unconnected. These connections are
being made by Prudential as we manage and maintain the
sustainability of the business for all our stakeholders, and risk
management focus is increasing on the associated transition,
reputational and liability risks. Stakeholder and regulatory
expectations of the Group's ESG activities also are increasing.
Recent regulatory developments such as the EU General Data
Protection Regulation (GDPR) have underlined that personal data
must be held securely and also that its use is transparent to the
data owner. Risks around the security and use of personal data are
actively managed by the Group, and the recent regulatory changes in
data protection in the US and Europe have been incorporated into
the principles against which the business requirements are
defined.
The world economy
The global economy has seen steady and broad growth through the
second half of 2017 and first half of 2018, supported by
accommodative monetary conditions around the world and improving
economic data. Looking to the end of the first half of the year,
some signs are appearing of a divergence between the US economy,
which has remained relatively buoyant, and other economies around
the world, which have started to show signs of slowdown. In the UK,
the outcome of negotiations on the final terms of the UK's
relationship with the EU is currently unknown. In the US, the
Federal Reserve continues its process to normalise interest rates
and monetary policy. However, the economic outlook for the world
remains uncertain. There has been a long period of economic
expansion (relative to recent historical levels) and there are
certain risks to this trend which we are mindful of. These include
the impact of tightening financial conditions and the anticipated
withdrawal of central bank liquidity which may affect emerging
economies and companies with high levels of debt in particular,
which consequently may then have wider impacts. Political tensions
in Europe, geopolitical developments and global trade tensions also
pose risks to global growth.
Financial markets
Asset valuations are currently quite high, particularly in the
US, supported by some of the highest rates of earnings growth seen
in recent years. Equity market volatility has remained low compared
with historical levels, despite a spike in early February 2018.
Interest rates have broadly increased since the middle of 2016, as
central banks across the world gradually normalise monetary policy
and move away from quantitative easing, although long-term interest
rates have been less responsive which is leading to flattening
yield curves. Credit spreads also remain narrow compared with
historical levels, although some moderate widening has been seen
since the beginning of the year. Financial markets remain
particularly vulnerable to an abrupt change in sentiment or broad
changes in trend, in particular if some of the risks to the global
economy noted above were to materialise.
Political landscape
Events in recent years indicate that the world is in a period of
global geopolitical transition and increasing uncertainty. Popular
discontent appears to be one of the driving factors of political
change, and the liberal norms and the role of multilateral
rules-based institutions that underpin global order, such as the
UN, NATO and WTO, appear to be evolving. Across the Group's key
geographies, we are increasingly seeing national protectionism in
trade and economic policies. As a global organisation, we develop
plans to mitigate business risks arising from this shift and engage
with national bodies where we can in order to ensure our
policyholders are not adversely impacted. It is clear, however,
that the full long-term impacts of these changes remain to be
seen.
Regulations
Prudential operates in highly regulated markets across the
globe, and the nature and focus of regulation and laws remains
fluid. A number of national and international regulatory
developments are in progress, with an increasing focus on systemic
risks and macro-prudential policy. As well as managing the
resulting changes and ensuring compliance that regulations require
of us, changes in administration, particularly in the US, have
resulted in uncertainty on the implementation of some regulatory
policy initiatives that we are planning for, such as those
purporting to introduce fiduciary obligations on distributors of
investment products. Such developments will continue to be
monitored at a national and global level and form part of
Prudential's engagement with government policy teams and
regulators.
2. Key internal, regulatory, economic and (geo)political events over the past 12 months
Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018
In August 2017 the Group's In December 2017 the UK and In March 2018 the intention The General Data Protection
intention to combine M&G EU agree to move to demerge M&G Prudential Regulation (GDPR) goes live
and its UK life business to negotiations onto the from the rest of the Group in the EU on 25 May 2018,
form M&G Prudential future trading arrangements is announced. increasing
is announced, allowing after the UK's exit from GBP12 billion of annuity the rights of individuals
better leveraging of our the bloc. This remains liabilities in our UK and over the use of their
scale and capabilities. unclear, although an Europe business are personal information by
agreement on transitional reinsured to Rothesay companies.
The UK Conservative Party arrangements was Life Plc, which is expected
begins Q3 with a subsequently agreed in to be followed by a Part US President Trump and
confidence-and-supply March 2018. VII transfer of the North Korean Chairman Kim
arrangement with the portfolio by the Jong Un meet in Singapore
Democratic The US Tax and Jobs Act, is end of 2019. on 12 June 2018
Unionist Party, after a signed into law by the US for a historic summit,
snap general election administration in December US equity markets decline where denuclearisation of
called by Prime Minister 2017 and rapidly, triggering a the Korean peninsula is
May in June 2017. it comes into force on 1 global sell-off, with the discussed.
January 2018. Dow Jones Industrial
Companies and organisations Average falling by circa The US Department of
reassess the traditional In November 2017, the Bank 3,000 points in just two Labor's (DoL's) fiduciary
conceptions of the nature of England raises base weeks. rule is effectively ended
of potential interest rates for the after a decision
cyber threats, after the first time since President Xi Jinping enters in the US courts in March
systemic WannaCry and 2007. a second term in office in 2018. The deadline for the
NotPetya ransomware attacks China after election by the DoL to appeal lapses in
which occurred In October 2017 Catalonia's National June. Other proposals,
during Q2 2017. independence referendum People's Congress in March such as the US Securities
causes market turmoil in 2018. and Exchanges Commission's
The US Federal Reserve Spanish equities. best interest standard,
raises interest rates and Madrid takes measures to A coalition government is remain in progress.
announces a programme to strengthen power in the formed in Italy between the
normalise monetary region. centre right League and The opposition Pakatan
policy. anti-establishment Harapan coalition win power
Five Star Movement, after in Malaysia following
Tensions in the South China general elections in March general elections
Sea are elevated. US 2018. held in May 2018.
'freedom of operation'
exercises result in The US administration The 22nd round of talks on
a temporary increase in proposes initial trade the Regional Comprehensive
proximity of American tariff measures (with Economic Partnership (RCEP)
military to disputed additional proposals are held
islands in the South China announced in Singapore between 28
Sea. over H1 2018), raising April and 8 May 2018, the
trade tensions with its key goal being to create the
G7 partners and China. world's largest
economic bloc.
Eastspring becomes the
third Prudential signatory, The Indonesia President
after M&G and PPMSA, to the approves regulations on
UN Principles grandfathering foreign
for Responsible Investment ownership of insurance
in February 2018. companies.
---------------------------- ---------------------------- ----------------------------
3. Managing the risks in implementing our strategy
This section provides an overview of the Group's strategy, the
significant risks arising from the delivery of this strategy and
the risk management focus for the following 12 months. The risks
outlined below, which are not exhaustive, are discussed in more
detail in sections 5 and 6.
Our strategy Significant risks in the delivery of the strategy Risk management focus for the next 12 months
Asia
'Significant * Persistency risk * Implementation of business initiatives to manage
protection gap persistency risk including review of distribution
and investment channels and incentive structures. Ongoing experience
needs of the monitoring.
middle class.'
Leading
pan-regional
franchise.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Morbidity risk * Implementation of business initiatives to manage
morbidity risk including product repricing where
required. Ongoing experience monitoring.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Regulatory risk, including foreign ownership * Proactive engagement with national governments and
regulators.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
US
'Transition of * Financial risks * Maintaining, and enhancing where necessary,
"baby-boomers" appropriate risk limits, hedging strategies and Group
into oversight that are in place.
retirement.'
Premier
retirement
income player.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Policyholder behaviour risk * Continued monitoring of policyholder behaviour
experience and review of assumptions.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
UK and Europe
'"Savings gap" * M&G Prudential merger and transformation risk * Managing the merger and transformation risks to the
and ageing delivery of strategic, financial and operational
population in objectives.
need of
returns/income.
'
Well-recognised
brands with a
strong track
record of a
long-term
conviction-led
investment
approach.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Continued oversight and experience analysis.
* Longevity risk
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Customer risk * Ongoing monitoring of embedded customer outcome
indicators.
* Managing the customer risk implications from: merger
and transformation activity; new product propositions
and new regulatory requirements.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
Group-wide
We have * Transformation risks around key change programmes * Managing the inter-connected execution risks from
announced our this transformation activity under the Group's
intention to transformation risk framework, as well as providing
demerge our UK other risk management support and review.
and Europe
business, M&G
Prudential, * Ensuring both M&G Prudential and Prudential plc will
resulting have in place two strong standalone risk functions
in two after demerger.
separately
listed
companies with
distinct
investment
prospects
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Information security and data privacy risks * Continuing the implementation of the Group's
information security risk management strategy and
defence plan.
* Ensuring full GDPR compliance across the Group.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Group-wide regulatory risks * Engagement with regulators and industry groups on
macro-prudential regulatory initiatives,
international capital standards, and other
initiatives with Group-wide impacts.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
* Environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks * Continue to develop Group-wide understanding of
material ESG factors, and ensuring ongoing compliance
with Group-wide ESG-relevant standards and policies.
* Engagement with key stakeholders and industry in
development of ESG risk modelling and metrics.
------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------------------------
4. Risk governance
a. System of governance
Appropriately managed risks allow Prudential to take business
opportunities and enable the growth of its business. Effective risk
management is therefore fundamental in the execution of the Group's
business strategy. Prudential's approach to risk management must be
both well embedded and rigorous, and, as the economic and political
environment in which we operate changes, it should also be
sufficiently broad and dynamic to respond to these changes.
Prudential has in place a system of governance that promotes and
embeds a clear ownership of risk, processes that link risk
management to business objectives, a proactive Board and senior
management providing oversight of risks, mechanisms and
methodologies to review, discuss and communicate risks, and risk
policies and standards to ensure risks are identified, measured,
managed, monitored and reported.
How risk is defined
Prudential defines 'risk' as the uncertainty that is faced in
implementing the Group's strategies and objectives successfully,
and includes all internal or external events, acts or omissions
that have the potential to threaten the success and survival of the
Group. Accordingly, material risks will be retained selectively
when it is considered that there is value in doing so, and where it
is consistent with the Group's risk appetite and philosophy towards
risk-taking.
How risk is managed
Risk management is embedded across the Group through the Group
Risk Framework, which details Prudential's risk governance, risk
management processes and risk appetite. The Framework has been
developed to monitor and manage the risks to our business and is
owned by the Board. The aggregate Group exposure to its key risk
drivers is monitored and managed by the Group Risk function which
is responsible for reviewing, assessing, providing oversight and
reporting on the Group's risk exposure and solvency position from
the Group economic, regulatory and ratings perspectives.
In 2018 the Group has continued to update its policies and
processes around new product approvals, management of critical
third party arrangements and oversight of model risks. Our
transformation risk framework is being applied directly to manage
programme delivery risks.
The following section provides more detail on our risk
governance, risk culture and risk management process.
b. Group Risk Framework
i. Risk governance and culture
Prudential's risk governance comprises the Board, organisational
structures, reporting relationships, delegation of authority, roles
and responsibilities, and risk policies that the Group Head Office
and the business units establish to make decisions and control
their activities on risk-related matters. It includes individuals,
Group-wide functions and committees involved in overseeing and
managing risk.
The risk governance structure is led by the Group Risk
Committee, supported by independent non-executives on risk
committees of material subsidiaries. These committees monitor the
development of the Group Risk Framework, which includes risk
appetite, limits, and policies, as well as risk culture.
The Group Risk Committee reviews the Group Risk Framework and
recommends changes to the Board to ensure that it remains effective
in identifying and managing the risks faced by the Group. A number
of core risk policies and standards support the Framework to ensure
that risks to the Group are identified, assessed, managed and
reported.
Culture is a strategic priority of the Board, who recognise its
importance in the way that the Group does business. Risk culture is
a subset of Prudential's broader organisational culture, which
shapes the organisation-wide values that we use to prioritise risk
management behaviours and practices.
An evaluation of risk culture forms part of the Group Risk
Framework and in particular seeks to identify evidence that:
-- Senior management in business units articulate the need for
effective risk management as a way to realise long-term value and
continuously support this through their actions;
-- Employees understand and care about their role in managing
risk - they are aware of and discuss risk openly as part of the way
they perform their role; and
-- Employees invite open discussion on the approach to the management of risk.
The Group Risk Committee also has a key role in providing advice
to the Remuneration Committee on risk management considerations to
be applied in respect of executive remuneration.
Prudential's Code of Conduct and Group Governance Manual include
a series of guiding principles that govern the day-to-day conduct
of all its people and any organisations acting on its behalf. This
is supported by specific risk policies which require that the Group
act in a responsible manner. This includes, but is not limited to,
policies on anti-money laundering, financial crime and anti-bribery
and corruption. The Group's outsourcing and third-party supply
policy ensures that human rights and modern slavery considerations
are embedded across all of its supplier and supply chain
arrangements. Embedded procedures to allow individuals to speak out
safely and anonymously against unethical behaviour and conduct are
also in place.
ii. The risk management cycle
The risk management cycle comprises processes to identify,
measure and assess, manage and control, and monitor and report on
our risks.
Risk identification
Group-wide risk identification takes place throughout the year
as the Group's businesses undertake a comprehensive bottom-up
process to identify, assess and document its risks. This concludes
with an annual top-down identification of the Group's key risks,
which considers those risks that have the greatest potential to
impact the Group's operating results and financial condition and is
used to inform risk reporting to the risk committees and the Board
for the year.
Our risk identification process also includes the Group's Own
Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA), as required under Solvency II,
and horizon-scanning performed as part of our emerging risk
management process.
In accordance with provision C.2.1 of the UK Code, the Directors
perform a robust assessment of the principal risks facing the
Company through the Group-wide risk identification process, Group
ORSA report and the risk assessments done as part of the business
planning review, including how they are managed and mitigated.
Reverse stress testing, which requires the Group to ascertain
the point of business model failure, is another tool that helps us
to identify the key risks and scenarios that may have a material
impact on the Group.
The risk profile is a key output from the risk identification
and risk measurement processes, and is used as a basis for setting
Group-wide limits, management information, assessment of solvency
needs, and determining appropriate stress and scenario testing. The
Group's annual set of key risks are given enhanced management and
reporting focus.
Risk measurement and assessment
All identified risks are assessed based on an appropriate
methodology for that risk. All quantifiable risks which are
material and mitigated by holding capital are modelled in the
Group's internal model, which is used to determine capital
requirements under Solvency II and our own economic capital basis.
Governance arrangements are in place to support the internal model,
including independent validation and processes and controls around
model changes and limitations.
Risk management and control
The control procedures and systems established within the Group
are designed to manage the risk of failing to meet business
objectives reasonably and are detailed in the Group risk policies.
These focus on aligning the levels of risk-taking with the
achievement of business objectives and can only provide reasonable
and not absolute assurance against material misstatement or
loss.
The management and control of risks are set out in the Group
risk policies, and form part of the holistic risk management
approach under the Group's ORSA. These risk policies define:
-- The Group's risk appetite in respect of material risks, and
the framework under which the Group's exposure to those risks is
limited;
-- The processes to enable Group senior management to effect the
measurement and management of the Group material risk profile in a
consistent and coherent way; and
-- The flows of management information required to support the
measurement and management of the Group's material risks and to
meet the needs of external stakeholders.
The methods and risk management tools we employ to mitigate each
of our major categories of risks are detailed in the further risk
information section below.
Risk monitoring and reporting
The identification of the Group's key risks informs the
management information received by the Group risk committees and
the Board. Risk reporting of key exposures against appetite is also
included, as well as ongoing developments in other key and emerging
risks.
iii. Risk appetite, limits and triggers
The extent to which Prudential is willing to take risk in the
pursuit of its business strategy and objective to create
shareholder value is defined by a number of qualitative and
quantitative expressions of risk appetite, operationalised through
measures such as limits, triggers, thresholds and indicators. The
Group Risk function is responsible for reviewing the scope and
operation of these risk appetite measures at least annually to
determine that they remain relevant. The Board approves all changes
made to the Group's aggregate risk appetite, and has delegated
authority to the Group Risk Committee to approve changes to the
system of limits, triggers and indicators.
Group risk appetite is set with reference to economic and
regulatory capital, liquidity and earnings volatility which is
aimed at ensuring that an appropriate level of aggregate risk is
taken. Appetite is also defined for the Group's risks. Further
detail is included in sections 5 and 6, as well as covering risks
to shareholders, including those from participating and third-party
business. Group limits operate within these expressions of risk
appetite to constrain material risks, while triggers and indicators
provide further constraint and defined points for escalation.
Earnings volatility:
The objectives of the Group's appetite and aggregate risk limits
on earnings volatility seek to ensure that variability is
consistent with the expectations of stakeholders; that the Group
has adequate earnings (and cash flows) to service debt and expected
dividends and to withstand unexpected shocks; and that earnings
(and cash flows) are managed properly across geographies and are
consistent with funding strategies. The volatility of earnings is
measured and monitored on IFRS operating profit and EEV operating
profit bases, although IFRS and EEV total profits are also
considered.
Liquidity:
The objective of the Group's liquidity risk appetite is to
ensure that the Group is able to generate sufficient cash resources
to meet financial obligations as they fall due in business as usual
and stressed scenarios. Risk appetite with respect to liquidity
risk is measured using a Liquidity Coverage Ratio which considers
the sources of liquidity against liquidity requirements under
stress scenarios.
Capital requirements:
Limits on capital requirements aim to ensure that the Group
meets its internal economic capital requirements, achieves its
desired target rating to meet its business objectives, and ensures
that supervisory intervention is not required. The two measures
used at the Group level are Solvency II capital requirements and
internal economic capital (ECap) requirements. In addition, capital
requirements are monitored on local statutory bases.
The Group Risk Committee is responsible for reviewing the risks
inherent in the Group's business plan and for providing the Board
with input on the risk/reward trade-offs implicit therein. This
review is supported by the Group Risk function, which uses
submissions from our local business units to calculate the Group's
aggregated position (allowing for diversification effects between
local business units) relative to the aggregate risk limits.
5. Summary risks
Broadly, the risks assumed across the Group can be categorised
as those which arise as a result of our business operations, our
investments and those arising from the nature of our products.
Prudential is also exposed to those broad risks which apply because
of the global environment in which it operates. These risks, where
they materialise, may have a financial impact on the Group, and
could also impact on the performance of its products or the
services it provides to our customers and distributors, which gives
rise to potential risks to its brand, reputation and have conduct
risk implications. These risks are summarised below. The
materiality of these risks, whether material at the level of the
Group or its business units, is also indicated. The Group's
disclosures covering risk factors can be found at the end of this
document.
'Macro' - risks
Some of the risks that the Group is exposed to are necessarily
broad given the external influences which may impact on the
business. These risks include:
Global economic conditions. Changes in global economic
conditions can impact Prudential directly; for example, by leading
to poor investment returns and fund performance, and increasing the
cost of promises (guarantees) that have been made to our customers.
Changes in economic conditions can also have an indirect impact on
the Group; for example, leading to a decrease in the propensity for
people to save and buy Prudential's products, as well as changing
prevailing political attitudes towards regulation. This is a risk
which is considered material at the level of the Group.
Geopolitical risk. The geopolitical environment may have direct
or indirect impacts on the Group, and has seen varying levels of
volatility in recent years as seen by political developments in the
UK, the US and the Eurozone. Uncertainty in these regions, combined
with conflict in the Middle East, elevated tensions in east Asia
and the evolving situation in the Korean peninsula underline that
geopolitical risks have potentially global and wide-ranging
impacts; for example, through increased regulatory and operational
risks, and changes to the economic environment.
Digital disruption. The emergence of advanced technologies such
as artificial intelligence and blockchain is providing an impetus
for companies to rethink their existing operating models and how
they interact with their customers. Digital disruption is
considered from both an external and internal view. The external
view considers the rise of new technologies and how this may impact
on the insurance industry and Prudential's competitiveness within
it, while the internal view considers the risks associated with the
Group's internal developments in meeting digital change challenges
and opportunities. Prudential is embracing the opportunities from
new technologies, and any risks which arise from them are closely
monitored.
Risks from our investments Risks from our products Risks from our business operations
-------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- --------------------------------------
Credit risk Insurance risks Operational risks
Is the potential for reduced value The nature of the products offered The complexity of the Group and its
of Prudential's investments driven by Prudential exposes it to activities means it faces a
by the market's perceptions insurance risks, which form challenging operating environment,
for potential for defaults of a significant part of the overall resulting from the high volume of
investment counterparties. The Group risk profile. transactions it processes, its
Group's asset portfolio also people, processes and IT
gives rise to invested credit risk. The insurance risks that the systems, and the extensive
The assets backing the UK and business is exposed to by virtue of regulations under which it operates.
Jackson annuity businesses its products include longevity Operational risk is the risk
means credit risk is considered a risk (policyholders living longer of loss or unintended gain from
material risk for these business than expected); mortality risk inadequate or failed processes,
units in particular. (policyholders with life personnel, systems and external
protection dying); morbidity risk events, and can arise through
Market risk (policyholders with health business transformation; introducing
Is the potential for reduced value protection becoming ill) and new products; new technologies;
of Prudential's investments persistency risk (customers lapsing engaging in third party
resulting from the volatility their policies, and a type of relationships; and entering into new
of asset prices, driven by policyholder behaviour risk). markets and geographies.
fluctuations in equity prices, The medical insurance business in Implementing
interest rates, foreign exchange Asia is also exposed to medical the business strategy requires
rates and property prices. inflation risk (the increasing interconnected change initiatives
cost of medical treatments). across the Group, the pace
In the Asia business, the main of which introduces further
market risks arise from the value of The pricing of Prudential's products complexity. Such risks, if they
fees from its fee-earning requires it to make a number of materialise, could result in
products. In the US, Jackson's fixed assumptions, and deviations financial
and variable annuity books are from these may impact its reported loss and/or reputational damage.
exposed to a variety of profitability. Across its business
market risks due to the assets units, some insurance Operational risk is considered to be
backing these policies. The UK risks are more material than others. material at the level of the Group.
business' market risk exposure
arises from the valuation of the Persistency and morbidity risks are Information security and data
shareholder's proportion of the among the most material insurance privacy risks are significant
with-profits fund's future risks for the Asia business considerations for Prudential,
profits, which depends on equity, given the focus on health protection and include the continually evolving
property and bond values. products in the region. risk of malicious attack on its
systems, network disruption
M&G Prudential invests in a broad For M&G Prudential the most material as well as risks relating to data
range of asset classes and its insurance risk is longevity risk, security, integrity, privacy and
income is subject to the driven by legacy annuity misuse. The size of its
price volatility of global financial business. IT infrastructure and network,
and currency markets. stakeholder expectations and high
The Jackson business is most exposed profile cyber security and
Liquidity risk to policyholder behaviour risk, data misuse incidents across
Is the risk of not having sufficient including persistency, industries means that these risks
liquid assets to meet obligations as which impacts the profitability of continue to be under high focus,
they fall due, and the variable annuity business and is and together are considered to be
we look at this under both normal influenced by market material at the level of the Group.
and stressed conditions. This is a performance and the value of policy
risk which is considered guarantees. Regulatory risk
material at the level of the Group. Prudential operates under the
ever-evolving requirements set out
by diverse regulatory, legal
and tax regimes. The increasing
shift towards macro-prudential
regulation and the number of
regulatory changes under way across
Asia (in particular focusing on
consumer protection) are
key areas of focus, while both
Jackson and M&G Prudential operate
in highly regulated markets.
Regulatory reforms can have a
material impact on Prudential's
businesses.
-------------------------------------- -------------------------------------- --------------------------------------
6. Further risk information
In reading the sections below, it is useful to understand that
there are some risks that Prudential's policyholders assume by
virtue of the nature of their products, and some risks that the
Company and its shareholders assume. Examples of the latter include
those risks arising from assets held directly by and for the
Company or the risk that policyholder funds are exhausted. This
report is focused mainly on risks to the shareholder, but will
include those which arise indirectly through our policyholder
exposures.
4.
5.
6.
6.1 Risks from our investments
a. Market risk
The main drivers of market risk in the Group are:
-- Investment risk, which arises on our holdings of equity and
property investments, the prices of which can change depending on
market conditions;
-- Interest rate risk, which is driven by the valuation of the
Prudential's assets (particularly the bonds that it invests in) and
liabilities, which are dependent on market interest rates and
exposes it to the risk of those moving in a way that is
detrimental; and
-- Foreign exchange risk, through translation of its profits and
assets and liabilities denominated in various currencies, given the
geographical diversity of the business.
The main investment risk exposure arises from the portion of the
profits from the UK with-profits fund which the shareholders are
entitled to receive; the value of the future fees from the
fee-earning products in the Asia business; and from the asset
returns backing Jackson's variable annuities business. Further
detail is provided below.
The Group's interest rate risk is driven in the UK business by
the need to match the duration of its assets and liabilities; from
the guarantees of some non unit-linked investment products in Asia;
and the cost of guarantees in Jackson's fixed, fixed index and
variable annuity business. Further detail is provided below.
The Group has appetite for market risk where it arises from
profit-generating insurance activities to the extent that it
remains part of a balanced portfolio of sources of income for
shareholders and is compatible with a robust solvency position.
The Group's market risks are managed and mitigated by the
following:
-- Our market risk policy;
-- Risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;
-- Our asset and liability management programmes;
-- Hedging derivatives, including equity options and futures,
interest rate swaps and swaptions and currency forwards;
-- The monitoring and oversight of market risks through the
regular reporting of management information; and
-- Regular deep dive assessments.
Investment risk
In the UK business, the main investment risk arises from the
assets held in the with-profits funds through the shareholders'
proportion of the funds' declared bonuses and policyholder net
investment gains (future transfers). This investment risk is driven
mainly by equities in the funds and some hedging to protect against
a reduction in the value of these future transfers is performed
outside the funds. The with-profits funds' Solvency II own funds,
estimated at GBP9.4 billion as at 30 June 2018, helps to protect
against market fluctuations and is protected partially against
falls in equity markets through an active hedging programme within
the fund.
In Asia, the shareholder exposure to equity price movements
results from unit-linked products, where fee income is linked to
the market value of the funds under management. Further exposure
arises from with-profits businesses where bonuses declared are
based broadly on historical and current rates of return from the
Asia business' investment portfolios, which include equities.
In Jackson, investment risk arises from the assets backing
customer policies. For spread-based business, including fixed
annuities, these assets are generally bonds, and shareholder
exposure comes from the minimum returns needed to meet the
guaranteed rates that are offered to policyholders. For variable
annuity business, these assets include both equities and bonds, and
the main risk to the shareholder comes from the guaranteed benefits
that can be included as part of these products. The exposure to
this is controlled by using a derivative hedging programme, as well
as through the use of reinsurance to pass on the risk to
third-party reinsurers.
While accepting the equity exposure that arises on future fees,
the Group has limited appetite for exposures to equity price
movements to remain unhedged or for volatility within policyholder
guarantees after taking into account any natural offsets and
buffers within the business.
Interest rate risk
Some products that Prudential offer are sensitive to movements
in interest rates. As part of the Group's ongoing management of
this risk, a number of mitigating actions to the in-force business
have been taken, as well as re-pricing and restructuring new
business offerings in response to recent relatively low interest
rates. Nevertheless, some sensitivity to interest rate movements is
still retained.
The Group's appetite for interest rate risk is limited to where
assets and liabilities can be tightly matched and where liquid
assets or derivatives exist. Appetite for risk is limited where
such liquid assets, derivatives or other offsets in the business to
cover interest rate exposures do not exist.
In the UK insurance business, interest rate risk arises from the
need to match the cash flows of its annuity obligations with those
from its investments. Under Solvency II rules, interest rate risk
also results from the requirement to include a balance sheet risk
margin. The risk is managed by matching asset and liability
durations as well as continually assessing the need for use of any
derivatives. The with-profits business is also exposed to interest
rate risk through some product guarantees. Such risk is largely
borne by the with-profits fund itself although shareholder support
may be required in extreme circumstances where the fund has
insufficient resources to support the risk.
In Asia, our exposure to interest rate risk arises from the
guarantees of some non unit-linked investment products. This
exposure exists because of the potential for asset and liability
mismatch which, although it is small and managed appropriately,
cannot be eliminated.
Jackson is affected by interest rate movements to its fixed
annuity, fixed index annuity and variable annuity book, mainly from
the impact on the cost of guarantees to the shareholder in these
products which may increase when interest rates fall. The level of
sales of variable annuity products with guaranteed living benefits
is actively monitored, and the risk limits we have in place helps
to ensure comfort with the level of interest rate and market risks
incurred as a result. Derivatives are also used to provide some
protection.
Foreign exchange risk
The geographical diversity of Prudential's businesses means that
it has some exposure to the risk of foreign exchange rate
fluctuations. The operations in the US and Asia, which represent a
large proportion of operating profit and shareholders' funds,
generally write policies and invest in assets in local currencies.
Although this limits the effect of exchange rate movements on local
operating results, it can lead to fluctuations in the Group
financial statements when results are reported in UK sterling. This
risk is accepted within our appetite for foreign exchange risk.
The Group has no appetite for foreign exchange risk in cases
where a surplus arises in an overseas operation which is to be used
to support Group capital, or where a significant cash payment is
due from an overseas subsidiary to the Group. This currency
exposure is hedged where it is believed to be favourable
economically to do so. Further, the Group generally does not have
appetite for significant direct shareholder exposure to foreign
exchange risks in currencies outside the countries in which it
operates, but it does have some appetite for this on fee income and
on non-sterling investments within the with-profits fund. Where
foreign exchange risk arises outside appetite, currency borrowings,
swaps and other derivatives are used to manage the exposure.
b. Credit risk
Prudential invests in bonds that provide a regular, fixed amount
of interest income (fixed income assets) in order to match the
payments needed to policyholders. It also enters into reinsurance
and derivative contracts with third parties to mitigate various
types of risk, as well as holding cash deposits at certain banks.
As a result, it is exposed to credit risk and counterparty risk
across its business.
Credit risk is the potential for reduction in the value of
investments which results from the perceived level of risk of an
investment issuer being unable to meet its obligations
(defaulting). Counterparty risk is a type of credit risk and
relates to the risk that the counterparty to any contract we enter
into being unable to meet their obligations causing us to suffer
loss.
The Group has some appetite to take credit risk where it arises
from profit-generating insurance activities, to the extent that it
remains part of a balanced portfolio of sources of income for
shareholders and is compatible with a robust solvency position.
A number of risk management tools are used to manage and
mitigate this credit risk, including the following:
-- A credit risk policy and dealing and controls policy;
-- Risk appetite statements and limits that have been defined on issuers, and counterparties;
-- Collateral arrangements for derivative, secured lending
reverse repurchase and reinsurance transactions;
-- The Group Credit Risk Committee's oversight of credit and
counterparty credit risk and sector and/or name-specific
reviews;
-- Regular assessments; and
-- Close monitoring or restrictions on investments that may be of concern.
Debt and loan portfolio
Prudential's UK business is exposed mainly to credit risk on
fixed income assets in the shareholder-backed portfolio. At 30 June
2018, this portfolio contained fixed income assets worth GBP22.1
billion. M&G Prudential's debt portfolio reduced by GBP12.1
billion following the transfer of fixed income assets to Rothesay
Life as part of the reinsurance agreement announced in March 2018.
Credit risk arising from a further GBP57.6 billion of fixed income
assets is borne largely by the with-profits fund, to which the
shareholder is not exposed directly although under extreme
circumstances shareholder support may be required if the fund is
unable to meet payments as they fall due.
Credit risk also arises from the debt portfolio in the Asia
business, the value of which was GBP42.3 billion at 30 June 2018.
The majority (68 per cent) of the portfolio is in unit-linked and
with-profits funds and so exposure of the shareholder to this
component is minimal. The remaining 32 per cent of the debt
portfolio is held to back the shareholder business.
In the general account of the Jackson business GBP36.1 billion
of fixed income assets are held to support shareholder liabilities
including those from our fixed annuities, fixed index annuities and
life insurance products.
The shareholder-owned debt and loan portfolio of the Group's
other operations was GBP2.3 billion as at 30 June 2018.
Further details of the composition and quality of our debt
portfolio, and exposure to loans, can be found in the IFRS
financial statements.
Group sovereign debt
Prudential also invests in bonds issued by national governments.
This sovereign debt represented 20 per cent or GBP14.4 billion of
the shareholder debt portfolio as at 30 June 2018 (31 December
2017: 19 per cent or GBP16.5 billion). 6 per cent of this was rated
AAA and 88 per cent was considered investment grade (31 December
2017: 90 per cent investment grade).
The particular risks associated with holding sovereign debt are
detailed further in our disclosures on risk factors.
The exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and
with-profits funds in sovereign debt securities at 30 June 2018 are
given in Note C3.2(f) of the Group's IFRS financial statements.
Bank debt exposure and counterparty credit risk
Prudential's exposure to banks is a key part of its core
investment business, as well as being important for the hedging and
other activities undertaken to manage its various financial risks.
Given the importance of its relationship with its banks, exposure
to the sector is considered a material risk for the Group.
The exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and
with-profits funds in bank debt securities at 30 June 2018 are
given in Note C3.2(f) of the Group's IFRS financial statements.
The exposure to derivative counterparty and reinsurance
counterparty credit risk is managed using an array of risk
management tools, including a comprehensive system of limits. Where
appropriate, Prudential reduces its exposure, buys credit
protection or uses additional collateral arrangements to manage its
levels of counterparty credit risk.
At 30 June 2018, shareholder exposures by rating and sector(1)
are shown below:
-- 95 per cent of the shareholder portfolio is investment grade
rated. In particular, 66 per cent of the portfolio is rated A- and
above (or equivalent); and
-- The Group's shareholder portfolio is well diversified: no
individual sector makes up more than 15 per cent of the total
portfolio (excluding the financial and sovereign sectors).
c. Liquidity risk
Prudential's liquidity risk arises from the need to have
sufficient liquid assets to meet policyholder and third-party
payments as they fall due. This incorporates the risk arising from
funds composed of illiquid assets and results from a mismatch
between the liquidity profile of assets and liabilities. Liquidity
risk may impact on market conditions and valuation of assets in a
more uncertain way than for other risks like interest rate or
credit risk. It may arise, for example, where external capital is
unavailable at sustainable cost, increased liquid assets are
required to be held as collateral under derivative transactions or
where redemption requests are made against Prudential external
funds.
Prudential has no appetite for liquidity risk, ie for any
business to have insufficient resources to cover its outgoing cash
flows, or for the Group as a whole to not meet cash flow
requirements from its debt obligations under any plausible
scenario.
The Group has significant internal sources of liquidity, which
are sufficient to meet all of our expected cash requirements for at
least 12 months from the date the financial statements are
approved, without having to resort to external sources of funding.
The Group has a total of GBP2.6 billion of undrawn committed
facilities that can be made use of, expiring in 2022 and 2023.
Access to further liquidity is available through the debt capital
markets and an extensive commercial paper programme in place, and
Prudential has maintained a consistent presence as an issuer in the
market for the last decade.
A number of risk management tools are used to manage and
mitigate this liquidity risk, including the following:
-- The Group's liquidity risk policy;
-- Risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;
-- Regular assessment at Group and business units of Liquidity
Coverage Ratios which are calculated under both base case and
stressed scenarios and are reported to committees and the
Board;
-- The Group's Liquidity Risk Management Plan, which includes
details of the Group Liquidity Risk Framework as well as gap
analysis of liquidity risks and the adequacy of available liquidity
resources under normal and stressed conditions;
-- Regular stress testing;
-- Our contingency plans and identified sources of liquidity;
-- The Group's ability to access the money and debt capital markets;
-- Regular deep dive assessments; and
-- The Group's access to external committed credit facilities.
6.2 Risks from our products
a. Insurance risk
Insurance risk makes up a significant proportion of Prudential's
overall risk exposure. The profitability of its businesses depends
on a mix of factors including levels of, and trends in, mortality
(policyholders dying), morbidity (policyholders becoming ill) and
policyholder behaviour (variability in how customers interact with
their policies, including utilisation of withdrawals, take-up of
options and guarantees and persistency, ie lapsing of policies),
and increases in the costs of claims, including the level of
medical expenses increases over and above price inflation (claim
inflation).
The Group has appetite for retaining insurance risks in order to
create shareholder value in the areas where it believes it has
expertise and controls to manage the risk and can support such risk
with its capital and solvency position.
The principal drivers of the Group's insurance risk vary across
its business units. At M&G Prudential, this is predominantly
longevity risk. Across Asia, where a significant volume of health
protection business is written, the most significant insurance
risks are morbidity risk, persistency risk, as well as medical
inflation risk. In Jackson, policyholder behaviour risk is
particularly material, especially in the take up of options and
guarantees on variable annuity business.
The Group manages longevity risk in various ways. Longevity
reinsurance is a key tool in managing this risk. In March 2018, the
Group's longevity risk exposure was significantly reduced by
reinsuring GBP12 billion in UK annuity liabilities to Rothesay
Life, pursuant to a full Part VII transfer of these liabilities
planned for 2019. Although Prudential has withdrawn from selling
new UK annuity business, given its significant annuity portfolio
the assumptions it makes about future rates of improvement in
mortality rates remain key to the measurement of its insurance
liabilities and to its assessment of any reinsurance transactions.
Prudential continues to conduct research into longevity risk using
both experience from its annuity portfolio and industry data.
Although the general consensus in recent years is that people are
living longer, there is considerable volatility in year-on-year
longevity experience, which is why it needs expert judgement in
setting its longevity basis.
Prudential's morbidity risk is mitigated by appropriate
underwriting when policies are issued and claims are received. Our
morbidity assumptions reflect our recent experience and expectation
of future trends for each relevant line of business.
In Asia, Prudential writes significant volumes of health
protection business, and so a key assumption is the rate of medical
inflation, which is often in excess of general price inflation.
There is a risk that the expenses of medical treatment increase
more than expected, so the medical claim cost passed on to
Prudential is higher than anticipated. Medical expense inflation
risk is best mitigated by retaining the right to re-price our
products each year and by having suitable overall claim limits
within its policies, either limits per type of claim or in total
across a policy.
The Group's persistency assumptions reflect similarly a
combination of recent past experience for each relevant line of
business and expert judgement, especially where a lack of relevant
and credible experience data exists. Any expected change in future
persistency is also reflected in the assumption. Persistency risk
is mitigated by appropriate training and sales processes and
managed locally post-sale through regular experience monitoring and
the identification of common characteristics of business with high
lapse rates. Where appropriate, allowance is made for the
relationship (either assumed or observed historically) between
persistency and investment returns and any additional risk is
accounted for. Modelling this dynamic policyholder behaviour is
particularly important when assessing the likely take-up rate of
options embedded within certain products. The effect of persistency
on the Group's financial results can vary but depends mostly on the
value of the product features and market conditions.
Prudential's insurance risks are managed and mitigated using the
following:
-- The Group's insurance and underwriting risk policies;
-- The risk appetite statements, limits and triggers;
-- Using longevity, morbidity and persistency assumptions that
reflect recent experience and expectation of future trends, and
industry data and expert judgement where appropriate;
-- Using reinsurance to mitigate longevity and morbidity risks;
-- Ensuring appropriate medical underwriting when policies are
issued and appropriate claims management practices when claims are
received in order to mitigate morbidity risk;
-- Maintaining the quality of sales processes and using
initiatives to increase customer retention in order to mitigate
persistency risk;
-- Using product re-pricing and other claims management
initiatives in order to mitigate medical expense inflation risk;
and
-- Regular deep dive assessments.
6.3 Risks from our business operations
a. Non-financial risks
In the course of doing business, the Group is exposed to
non-financial risks arising from its operations, the business
environment and its strategy. The main risks across these areas are
detailed below.
Operational Risks
Prudential defines operational risk as the risk of loss (or
unintended gain or profit) arising from inadequate or failed
internal processes, personnel or systems, or from external events.
This includes employee error, model error, system failures, fraud
or some other event which disrupts business processes or has a
detrimental impact to customers. Processes are established for
activities across the scope of our business, including operational
activity, regulatory compliance, and those supporting
environmental, social and governance (ESG) activities more broadly,
any of which can expose us to operational risks.
Prudential has no appetite for material losses (direct or
indirect) suffered as a result of failing to develop, implement or
monitor appropriate controls to manage operational risks.
A large volume of complex transactions are processed by the
Group across a number of diverse products, and are subject to a
high number of varying legal, regulatory and tax regimes. A number
of important third-party relationships also exist which provide the
distribution and processing of Prudential's products, both as
market counterparties and as outsourcing partners. M&G
Prudential outsources several operations, including a significant
part of its back office, customer--facing functions and a number of
IT functions. These third party arrangements help Prudential to
provide a high level and cost-effective service to our customers,
but they also make us reliant on the operational performance of our
outsourcing partners.
The performance of the Group's core business activities places
reliance on the IT infrastructure that supports day-to-day
transaction processing. The IT environment must also be secure and
an increasing cyber risk threat needs to be addressed as the
Group's digital footprint increases - see separate information
security risk section below. The risk that Prudential's IT
infrastructure does not meet these requirements is a key area of
focus for the Group, particularly the risk that legacy
infrastructure supporting core activities/processes affects
business continuity or impacts on business growth.
Operational challenges also exist in keeping pace with
regulatory changes. This requires implementing processes to ensure
we are, and remain, compliant on an ongoing basis, including
regular monitoring and reporting. The high rate of global
regulatory change, in an already complex regulatory landscape,
increases the risk of non-compliance due to a failure to identify,
interpret correctly, implement and/or monitor regulatory
compliance. See Global regulatory and political risk section below.
Legislative developments over recent years, together with enhanced
regulatory oversight and increased capability to issue sanctions,
have resulted in a complex regulatory environment that may lead to
breaches of varying magnitude if the Group's business-as-usual
operations are not compliant. As well as prudential regulation, the
Group focuses on conduct regulation, including those related to
sales practice and anti-money laundering, bribery and corruption.
There is a particular focus on regulations related to the latter in
newer/emerging markets.
Environmental, social and governance (ESG) and climate change
risks
The business environment Prudential operates in has become
increasingly complex over the years. The political, environmental,
societal, technological, legal and economic landscape is highly
dynamic and uncertain. Changes and developments on the horizon may
result in emerging risks to the business which are monitored under
our Emerging Risk Framework.
The Group maintains active engagement with its shareholders,
governments, policymakers and regulators in its key markets, as
well as with international institutions. This introduces
expectations for the Group to act and respond to ESG matters in a
certain manner. The perception that key stakeholders have of
Prudential and its businesses is crucial in forming and maintaining
a robust brand and reputation. As such, the Group's operational
risk framework explicitly incorporates ESG as a component of its
social and environmental responsibility, brand management and
external communications within its framework. This is further
strengthened by factoring considerations for reputational impacts
when the materiality of operational risks are assessed.
The climate risk landscape continues to evolve and is moving up
the agenda of many regulators, governments, non-governmental
organisations and investors. Examples of this include the US
Department of Labor's decision to change its guidance to pension
fund fiduciaries to allow them to factor ESG issues into investment
decisions; Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing rules requiring listed
companies to provide a high-level discussion of ESG approaches and
activities in external disclosures, and the Financial Stability
Board's (FSB's) Task Force for Climate-related Financial
Disclosures.
The increased regulatory focus on environmental issues not only
reflects existing commitments, for example in the UK under the 2008
Climate Change Act, but also a heightened societal awareness of
climate change as a pressing global concern. Regulatory and
stakeholder interest in environmental matters is expected to
increase as climate change moves higher up governmental agendas.
This increase in focus creates a number of potential near-term
risks. These include:
-- Investment risk in the form of physical risk to assets and
'transition risk', ie the risk that an abrupt, unexpected
tightening of carbon emission policies lead to a disorderly
re-pricing of carbon-intensive assets;
-- Liability risk, if the Group is unable to demonstrate
sufficiently that it has acted to mitigate exposure to climate
change related risk; and
-- Reputational risks, where the Group's actions could affect
external perceptions of our brand and corporate citizenship.
The Group has established a Group-wide Responsible Investment
Advisory Committee with designated responsibility to oversee
Prudential's responsible investment activities as both asset owners
and asset managers.
Physical impacts of climate change could also arise, driven by
specific climate-related events such as natural disasters. These
impacts are mitigated through the Group's crisis management and
disaster recovery plans.
Strategic and transformation risks
As with all risks, strategic risk requires a forward-looking
approach to risk management. A key part of Prudential's approach
are the risk assessments performed as part of the Group's annual
strategic planning process, which supports the identification of
potential future threats and the initiatives needed to address
them, as well as competitive opportunities. The impact on the
Group's businesses and its risk profile is also assessed to ensure
that strategic initiatives are within the Group's overall risk
appetite.
Implementation of the Group's strategy and the need to comply
with emerging regulation has resulted in a significant portfolio of
transformation and change initiatives, which may further increase
in the future. In particular the intention to demerge the UK and
Europe business from the rest of the Group has resulted in a
substantial change programme which needs to be managed at the same
time that other material transformation programmes are being
delivered. The scale and the complexity of the transformation
programmes could impact business operations and customers, and has
the potential for reputational damage if these programmes fail to
deliver their objectives. Implementing further strategic
initiatives may amplify these risks.
Other significant change initiatives are occurring across the
Group. The volume, scale and complexity of these programmes
increase the likelihood and potential impact of risks associated
with:
-- Dependencies between multiple projects;
-- The organisational ability to absorb change being exceeded;
-- Unrealised business objectives/benefits; and
-- Failures in project design and execution.
Group-wide framework and risk management for operational
risk
The risks detailed above form key elements of the Group's
operational risk profile. In order to identify, assess, manage,
control and report effectively on all operational risks across the
business, a Group-wide operational risk framework is in place. The
key components of the framework are:
-- Application of a risk and control assessment (RCA) process,
where operational risk exposures are identified and assessed as
part of a periodical cycle. The RCA process considers a range of
internal and external factors, including an assessment of the
control environment, to determine the business's most significant
risk exposures on a prospective basis;
-- An internal incident capture process, which identifies,
quantifies and monitors remediation conducted through application
of action plans for risk events that have occurred across the
business;
-- A scenario analysis process for the quantification of
extreme, yet plausible manifestations of key operational risks
across the business on a forward-looking basis. This is carried out
at least annually and supports external and internal capital
requirements as well as informing risk activity across the
business; and
-- An operational risk appetite framework that articulates the
level of operational risk exposure the business is willing to
tolerate and sets out escalation processes for breaches of
appetite.
Outputs from these processes and activities performed by
individual business units are monitored by the Group Risk function,
which provide an aggregated view of risk profile across the
business to the Group Risk Committee and Board.
These core framework components are embedded across the Group
via the Group Operational Risk Policy and Standards documents,
which sets out the key principles and minimum standards for the
management of operational risk across the Group.
The Group operational risk policy, standards and operational
risk appetite framework sit alongside other risk policies and
standards that individually engage with key operational risks,
including outsourcing and third-party supply, business continuity,
technology and data, and operations processes.
These policies and standards include subject matter expert-led
processes that are designed to identify, assess, manage and control
operational risks, including the application of:
-- A transformation risk framework that assesses, manages and
reports on the end-to-end transformation lifecycle, project
prioritisation and the risks, interdependencies and possible
conflicts arising from a large portfolio of transformation
activities;
-- Internal and external review of cyber security capability;
-- Regular updating and testing of elements of disaster-recovery
plans and the Critical Incident Procedure process;
-- Group and business unit-level compliance oversight and
testing in respect of adherence with in-force regulations;
-- Regulatory change teams in place to assist the business in
proactively adapting and complying with regulatory
developments;
-- A framework in place for emerging risk identification and
analysis in order to capture, monitor and allow us to prepare for
operational risks that may crystallise beyond the short-term
horizon;
-- Corporate insurance programmes to limit the financial impact of operational risks; and
-- Reviews of key operational risks and challenges within Group
and business unit business plans.
These activities are fundamental in maintaining an effective
system of internal control, and as such outputs from these also
inform core RCA, incident capture and scenario analysis processes
and reporting on operational risk. Furthermore, they also ensure
that operational risk considerations are embedded in key business
decision-making, including material business approvals and in
setting and challenging the Group's strategy.
b. Global regulatory and political risk
Regulatory and political risks may impact on Prudential's
business or the way in which it is conducted. This covers a broad
range of risks including changes in government policy and
legislation, capital control measures, new regulations at either
national or international level, and specific regulator
interventions or actions.
Recent shifts in the focus of some governments toward more
protectionist or restrictive economic and trade policies could
impact on the degree and nature of regulatory changes and
Prudential's competitive position in some geographic markets. This
could take effect, for example, through increased friction in
cross-border trade, capital controls or measures favouring local
enterprises such as changes to the maximum level of non-domestic
ownership by foreign companies. These developments continue to be
monitored by the Group at a national and global level and these
considerations form part of the Group's ongoing engagement with
government policy teams and regulators.
National and regional efforts to curb systemic risk and promote
financial stability are also underway in certain jurisdictions in
which Prudential operates, including the Dodd-Frank Wall Street
Reform and Consumer Protection Act in the US, the work of the FSB
on G-SIIs and the Insurance Capital Standard being developed by the
International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS). There
are also a number of ongoing policy initiatives and regulatory
developments that are having, and will continue to have, an impact
on the way Prudential is supervised. These include addressing
Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) reviews, ongoing engagement with
the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA), and the work of the FSB
and standard-setting institutions such as the IAIS. Decisions taken
by regulators, including those related to solvency requirements,
corporate or governance structures, capital allocation and risk
management may have an impact on our business.
There has, in recent years, been regulatory focus in the UK on
insurance products and market practices which may have adversely
impacted customers, including the FCA's Legacy Review and Thematic
Review of Annuity Sales Practices. The management of customer risk
remains a key focus of management in the UK business. Merger and
transformation activity, new product propositions and new
regulatory requirements may also have customer risk implications
which are monitored.
The International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS)
has designated Prudential as a G-SII, which means that it has
additional regulatory requirements to comply with, including being
subject to enhanced group-wide supervision and having in place
effective resolution planning, as well as a Systemic Risk
Management Plan, a Recovery Plan and a Liquidity Risk Management
Plan. The IAIS has launched a public interim consultation on an
activities-based approach to systemic risk. Following the feedback
from this, a second consultation with proposals for policy measures
is due to be launched in 2018. Any changes to the designation
methodology are expected to be implemented in 2019.
An international Insurance Capital Standard (ICS) is also being
developed by the IAIS as part of ComFrame - the common framework
for the supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups
(IAIGs). ComFrame will more generally establish a set of common
principles and standards designed to assist supervisors in
addressing risks that arise from insurance groups with operations
in multiple jurisdictions.
As part of the G-SII regime, the IAIS is also considering the
introduction of enhanced capital requirements in the form of a
Higher Loss Absorbency (HLA) measure (planned to come into force in
2022). The HLA is intended to be based on the ICS, implementation
of which will be conducted in two phases: a five-year monitoring
phase followed by an implementation phase.
In May 2017, the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
published IFRS 17 which will introduce fundamental changes to the
statutory reporting of insurance entities that prepare accounts
according to IFRS from 2021. This is expected to, among other
things, include altering the timing of IFRS profit recognition, and
the implementation of the standard is likely to require changes to
the Group's IT, actuarial and finance systems.
In March 2018, the UK and EU agreed the terms of a transition
agreement for the UK's exit from the bloc, which will last from the
termination of the UK's membership of the EU (at 11.00pm GMT 29
March 2019) until 31 December 2020 (although a legally binding text
is yet to be agreed). The outcome of negotiations on the final
terms of the UK's relationship with the EU remains highly uncertain
and the potential for a disorderly exit from the EU by the UK
without a negotiated agreement may increase volatility in the
markets where we operate, creating the potential for a general
downturn in economic activity. Uncertainty also exists on the
future applicability of the Solvency II regime in the UK after it
leaves the EU. At the same time, the European Commission is
currently reviewing some aspects of the Solvency II legislation,
which is expected to continue until 2021 and covers, among other
things, a review of the Long Term Guarantee measures (on which
EIOPA is expected to report later in 2018).
The Group's diversification by geography, currency, product and
distribution should reduce some of the potential impact of the UK's
exit. M&G Prudential, due to the geographical location of both
its businesses and its customers, has most potential to be
affected, although the extent of the impact will depend in part on
the nature of the arrangements that are put in place between the UK
and the EU. Contingency plans were developed ahead of the
referendum by business units and operations that may be impacted
immediately by a vote to withdraw the UK from the EU, and these
plans have been enacted since the referendum result. Significant
work has also since been undertaken to ensure that Prudential's
business, and in particular its customer base, is not unduly
affected by the decision of the UK to exit from the EU.
In the US, various initiatives are underway to introduce
fiduciary obligations for distributors of investment products,
which may reshape the distribution of retirement products. Jackson
has introduced fee-based variable annuity products in response to
the potential introduction of such rules, and we anticipate that
the business's strong relationships with distributors, history of
product innovation and efficient operations should further mitigate
any impacts.
The US National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) is
continuing its industry consultation with the aim of reducing the
non-economic volatility in the variable annuity statutory balance
sheet and risk management, which will have an impact on the Jackson
business, which continues to be engaged in the consultation and
testing process. The NAIC also has an on-going review of the C-1
bond factors in the required capital calculation, on which further
information is expected to be provided in due course. Preparations
by Prudential to manage the impact of these reforms will
continue.
On 27 July 2017, the UK's FCA announced that it will no longer
persuade, or use its powers to compel, panel banks to submit rates
for the calculation of LIBOR after 2021. The discontinuation of
LIBOR in its current form or a change to alternative benchmark
rates could, among other things, impact the Group through an
adverse effect on the value of Prudential's assets and liabilities
which are linked to or which reference LIBOR, a reduction in market
liquidity during any period of transition and increased legal and
conduct risks to the Group arising from changes required to
documentation and its related obligations to its stakeholders.
In Asia, regulatory regimes are developing at different speeds,
driven by a combination of global factors and local considerations.
New local capital rules and requirements could be introduced in
these and other regulatory regimes that challenge legal or
ownership structures, current sales practices, or could be applied
to sales made prior to their introduction retrospectively, which
could have a negative impact on Prudential's business or reported
results.
Risk management and mitigation of regulatory and political risk
at Prudential includes the following:
-- Risk assessment of the Business Plan which includes consideration of current strategies;
-- Close monitoring and assessment of our business environment and strategic risks;
-- The consideration of risk themes in strategic decisions; and
-- Ongoing engagement with national regulators, government
policy teams and international standard setters.
c. Information security risk and data privacy
Information security risk remains an area of heightened focus
after a number of recent high-profile attacks and data losses
across industries. Criminal capability in this area is maturing and
industrialising, with an increased level of understanding of
complex financial transactions which increases the risks to the
financial services industry. The threat landscape is continuously
evolving, and the systemic risk of sophisticated but untargeted
attacks is rising, particularly during times of heightened
geopolitical tensions.
Recent developments in data protection worldwide (such as the EU
General Data Protection Regulation that came into force in May
2018) increases the financial and reputational implications for
Prudential of a breach of its (or third-party suppliers') IT
systems. As well as data protection, increasingly stakeholder
expectations are that companies and organisations use personal
information in a transparent and appropriate way. Given this, both
information security and data privacy are key risks for the Group.
As well as preventative risk management, it is fundamental that
robust critical recovery systems are in place in the event of a
successful attack on the Group's systems, breach of information
security or failure of its systems in order to retain its customer
relationships and trusted reputation.
The core objectives of the Group's Cyber Risk Management
Strategy are: to develop a comprehensive situational awareness of
its business in cyberspace; to pro-actively engage cyber attackers
to minimise harm to its business; and to enable the business to
grow confidently and safely in cyberspace.
The Group's Cyber Defence Plan consists of a number of elements,
including developing our ability to deal with incidents; alignment
with our digital transformation strategy; and increasing
information security risk oversight and assurance to the Board.
Progress has been made in all of these across 2017 and 2018.
Protecting our customers remains core to Prudential's business, and
the successful delivery of the Plan will reinforce its capabilities
to continue doing so in cyberspace as it transitions to a digital
business.
The Board receives periodic updates on information security risk
management throughout the year. Group functions work with the
business units to address risks locally within the national and
regional context of each business, following the strategic
direction laid out in the Cyber Risk Management Strategy and
managed through the execution of the Cyber Defence Plan.
Notes
1 Based on hierarchy of Standard and Poor's Moody's and Fitch,
where available and if unavailable, other rating agencies or
internal ratings have been used.
Corporate governance
The Directors confirm that the Company has complied with all the
provisions of the Corporate Governance Code issued by the Hong Kong
Stock Exchange Limited (HK Code) throughout the accounting period,
except that the Company does not comply with provision B.1.2(d) of
the HK Code which requires companies, on a comply or explain basis,
to have a remuneration committee which makes recommendations to a
main board on the remuneration of non-executive directors. This
provision is not compatible with supporting provision D.2.3 of the
UK Corporate Governance Code which recommends the board determines
the remuneration of non-executive directors. Prudential has chosen
to adopt a practice in line with the recommendations of the UK
Corporate Governance Code.
The Directors also confirm that the financial results contained
in this document have been reviewed by the Group Audit
Committee.
This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the
London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct
Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United
Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution
of this information may apply. For further information, please
contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.
END
IR UBVWRWWAWRAR
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 08, 2018 04:30 ET (08:30 GMT)
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