Across the globe, investing in the developed world is a mess.
Europe appears headed back to anarchy after some uncertain voting
results over the weekend, while economic data in America suggests a
low growth economy for at least the foreseeable future.
Japan is equally troubled, as the country appears
to be headed for another decade of zero growth while the nation’s
demographic picture and ongoing nuclear issues don’t exactly paint
a pretty picture for the long-term.
Yet despite this dearth of options, there are still
a few good countries left. One that is often overlooked by many
American investors is the small island nation of Singapore (see
more in the Zacks ETF Center).
This city-state at the tip of Southeast Asia
represents one of the more robust economies in the world that is a
hub of activity at the heart of the Asian growth story. Yet, while
the small nation is still a rapidly growing area, it is one of the
richest countries in the world with a GDP (PPP) per capita of over
$59,000.
Currently, this is good enough to put the country
3rd in the world when looking at this metric, edging out the United
States by about $10,000. This suggests that the Singaporean model
works as the nation has pretty much no natural resources, a small
population, and extremely poor neighbors which have often had
severe issues of their own.
How Singapore Did It
Seemingly, Singapore has made a name for itself by
banking on the few advantages that it has; a prime location and a
well-educated workforce. The country took these few positives and
turned its country into a major port, both in terms of air and sea,
and developed an export-driven economy with massive industries in
sectors such as electronics and oil refining (read Play An Oil Bull
With These Three Emerging Market ETFs.
It also hasn’t hurt that the Singaporean government
has been one of the best run in the world for quite some time, as
the country always ranks highly on competitiveness surveys that
focus on government institutions and market efficiency. In fact, in
a recent report, the country ranked 3rd on Earth for
competitiveness including the top rank overall for government
regulation, public trust of politicians, and wastefulness of
government spending.
Beyond this favorable business climate, the country
has also taken steps to diversify its economy outside of
manufacturing, transportation, and finance and into tourism. The
introduction of casinos and theme parks have helped to make the
city a destination in the region and have likely helped to make the
country less dependent on exports to power growth going
forward.
Downsides to Singapore
The main detractor from investing in Singapore is
that the country has a relatively heavy debt load. Debt to GDP is
over 100% which could cause problems if citizens stop buying
Singaporean securities. However, the country does have a robust
sovereign wealth fund while it also has a favorable current account
balance and nearly a quarter billion in foreign reserves.
Additionally, investors should note that despite
the attempts to diversify the economy, exports to other markets are
still key for the country suggesting that it may be exposed to
outside shocks. Nevertheless, unemployment is below 2.5% (a level
most Western economies would kill for)while life below the poverty
line is pretty much an anomaly, suggesting that the country has
held up pretty well so far and can continue to do so well into the
future.
How to play Singapore
Currently, investors have two ways to play the
Singaporean economy in ETF form with products from iShares. While
the two funds may have some similarities, there are a few key
differences that investors should be aware of, which we have
highlighted below:
iShares MSCI Singapore Index Fund (EWS)
This ETF tracks the MSCI Singapore Index which
looks to give investors broad exposure to the Singaporean stock
market. The product charges investors 52 basis points a year and
sees good volume of about 1.9 million shares a day.
In total, the fund has 33 stocks in its portfolio
and is relatively concentrated in its top securities. The top three
companies account for about 30% of total assets and include
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, DBS Group Holding, and Singapore
Telecom.
For sector exposure, EWS is tilted towards a few
market segments as financials (32%), industrials (25%), and real
estate (12%) take the top three spots. 92% of the stocks in the
fund are classified as large caps, although from a style
perspective it is split down the middle in terms of growth, value,
and blend.
iShares MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index Fund
(EWSS)
For investors looking for pint sized securities
based in Singapore, EWSS could be an interesting pick. However,
investors should note that the product is still quite young (having
debuted in January of this year) while its volume is quite light
suggesting wide bid ask spreads.
Nevertheless, the product offers access to 38
companies which represent the bottom 14% of the equity market in
the nation. The fund is slightly less concentrated from a top
holding perspective as the top three components only account for
about 20% of assets.
Yet, from a sector perspective, the concentration
issue reappears; financials make up 52% of the assets, followed by
a 12.8% allocation to industrials, and a 7.8% holding in consumer
staples. While this is somewhat disappointing, the yield is not;
the 30 Day SEC Yield comes in at 4.1% for this small cap Singapore
ETF (also read 11 Great Dividend ETFs.
Conclusion
While it is true that the funds are both heavily
concentrated in financial securities, the promise of investing in
Singapore comes when one looks at the performance of EWS compared
to other developed markets. In the chart below, we compare EWS to
the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), the MSCI Japan Index Fund
(EWJ), and the iShares MSCI EMU Index Fund (EZU) over the
past three years:
As you can see, EWS has easily beat out other
foreign markets over this time period, while it has also edged out
the American market as well. Although shorter-term charts do favor
the U.S., investors should also remember that the Singapore ETF
does pay out a robust yield of 2.7% in 30-Day SEC Yield terms,
suggesting that at least some of the difference in performance can
be eaten by this nice payout (read Southeast Asia ETF Investing
101.
Either way, Singapore appears to be a nice
compliment to any portfolio that is looking for more international
exposure. The country has a number of robust, durable competitive
advantages which are unlikely to go away any time soon. Thanks to
this, as well as the country’s favorable location as a gateway to
Southeast Asia, it may be time to consider investing in the ‘Lion
City’ for the long-term.
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