Smithfield to Explore Packaged Meat - Analyst Blog
28 June 2011 - 6:45PM
Zacks
Following the pull out from the
acquisition deal of Spain’s Campofrio Food Group SA in June,
Smithfield Foods Inc. (SFD) is now looking for
potential opportunities in packaged-meats such as in smoked ham,
bacon and frozen meatballs in an effort to enhance its brand value
in the emerging markets.
Currently, Smithfield is eyeing on
Sara Lee Corp. (SLE), which is spinning off its
beverage business to focus on meat. As an alternative, the company
might get interested in China's People’s Food Holdings Ltd., the
world’s biggest consumer of pork and who has considerable amount of
net cash and gets all its sales in China.
Sara Lee
Smithfield was always interested in
the retail meats division of Sara Lee. In August 2006, Smithfield
bagged Sara Lee’s European meats arm for $614 million, including
net debt. At present, Sara Lee, postsplit of its beverage division,
can become one of the options for Smithfield.
Sara Lee’s North American retail
meats business generated $2.9 billion in sales in the past one year
and had an operating margin of 9.7%, according to reliable sources;
wherein Smithfield could generate only 7.6 cents in operating
income per dollar of sales.
If the deal consummates, Sara Lee’s
meats unit would increase sales at Smithfield’s packaged meats
business by about 50%, according to sources. Further, this will
reinforce higher margin activities.
People’s Food
One more option with Smithfield is
the acquisition of Linyi-based People’s Food, a meat processor in
China, which is valued at $721 million.
Over the past three years, People’s
Food has increased sales by 54% and has generated $246 million in
net cash, according to reliable sources. Further, it has generated
about 41% of its sales from processed meats, and the remaining from
fresh and frozen pork and poultry.
According to the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, pork accounts for half the world’s consumption of the
meat. The demand for pork surpasses the supply and thus the price
of pork in China has remained at their highest level since April
2008 due to the shortage.
This might excite Smithfield to
acquire People’s Food as the Chinese consume more pork per capita
than anyone in the world.
Other
Alternative
Tyson Foods Inc.
(TSN) might become one alternative for Smithfield based on its
operations, but the former is the biggest U.S. meat processor and
its size would make it difficult for Smithfield to pull off without
penalizing its own shareholders.
Smithfield has limited cash of
$374.7 million and debt of $2.1 million as against the Tyson’s
market value of $3.6 billion, which indicated that the acquisition
of Tyson would have to be financed through equity or debt.
Smithfield posted positive earnings
of $521 million at the end of April, 2011, after facing two years
of losses. However, Smithfield projects rising expenses going ahead
, such as those to raise, feed and slaughter hogs, as well as those
to produce meat products. Therefore, the company expects its
earnings to fall by 19% for fiscal 2011.
Additionally, Smithfield’s
debt-to-equity ratio, which measures the debt of the company
relative to its common shareholder equity, is very high in
comparison to its peers. Smithfield’s debt-to-equity ratio is 60%,
surpassing the ratio of 44% of Tyson.
Smithfield is thus keen on looking
at companies under $1 billion in value as it believes that small
acquisitions in faster growing economies would help the company to
boost the returns and the debt-equity ratio. In addition,
Smithfield might also consider buying smaller companies with
related product lines that have a larger proportion of sales
outside U.S.
SMITHFIELD FOOD (SFD): Free Stock Analysis Report
SARA LEE (SLE): Free Stock Analysis Report
TYSON FOODS A (TSN): Free Stock Analysis Report
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