(PIPE – TSX) Pipestone Energy Corp.
(“
Pipestone” or the “
Company”) is
pleased to report its Q3 2021 financial and operational results, as
well as provide an update on its operations.
During Q3 2021, Pipestone delivered a third
consecutive record quarter with respect to production, revenue, and
cash flow, underpinned by the continued efficient execution of its
organic development program. Commencing in Q4 2021, the Company
expects to generate significant free cash flow, with forecast
annual free cash flow of $140 - $160 million in 2022 and $230
million in 2023 (US$70 WTI | C$3.50 AECO). Pipestone’s first
priority use for free cash flow will be to deleverage.
Additionally, the Pipestone board has formally approved its
application to the TSX to commence a Normal Course Issuer Bid
(“NCIB”). Subject to final TSX approval, the Company expects to
begin repurchasing shares prior to the end of 2021.
THIRD QUARTER 2021 CORPORATE
HIGHLIGHTS:
-
In Q3 2021 Pipestone achieved record average quarterly production
of 24,704 boe/d (30% condensate, 44% total liquids), a 6% quarterly
increase over Q2 2021 and an 80% increase over Q3 2020. The record
production was achieved despite a scheduled 10-day outage that
occurred in July at one of the Company’s third-party processing
plants;
-
As a result of its continued production growth combined with
improving commodity prices during the quarter, the Company
generated record revenue of $100.2 million, more than tripling
revenue from Q3 2020 of $31.7 million, and an increase of $17.9
million or 22% from Q2 2021;
-
The Company realized a continued improvement in operating netback
to a corporate record of $22.01/boe, an increase of 12% over Q2
2021 and a 122% increase over Q3 2020;
-
The Company also achieved record adjusted funds flow from
operations of $43.7 million ($0.23 per share basic and $0.16 per
share fully diluted), almost a seven-fold increase of adjusted
funds flow from operations of $6.4 million in Q3 2020, and an
increase of $8.2 million or 23% from Q2 2021;
-
The Company continued the effective execution of its 2021 capital
program with 7 Montney wells drilled and rig-released and 12 wells
completed during the third quarter of 2021. Total capital
expenditures, including capitalized G&A, were $53.8 million
during the three months ended September 30, 2021;
-
The Company generated strong returns on invested capital, with Q3
2021 annualized ROCE and CROIC of 17.6% and 21.4%, respectively, as
compared to a Q3 2020 annualized ROCE and CROIC of (1.3%) and 6.2%,
respectively.
Subsequent to the quarter, and upon the
redetermination of its Reserve Based Loan (the “RBL”), Pipestone
upsized its borrowing capacity from $225.0 million to $280.0
million. The increased borrowing capacity provides ample liquidity
for the current development plan and enables Pipestone the
flexibility to explore other opportunities to further enhance
shareholder value through accelerated shareholder return strategies
or potential future M&A activity.
Pipestone Energy Corp. – Financial and Operating
Highlights
|
Three months ended September 30, |
|
Nine months ended September 30, |
|
($
thousands, except per unit and per share amounts) |
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
Financial |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales of liquids and natural gas |
$ |
100,227 |
|
$ |
31,700 |
|
$ |
254,031 |
|
$ |
90,097 |
|
Cash from operating
activities |
|
34,225 |
|
|
660 |
|
|
86,054 |
|
|
31,552 |
|
Adjusted funds flow from
operations (1) |
|
43,691 |
|
|
6,359 |
|
|
107,431 |
|
|
29,410 |
|
Per share, basic |
|
0.23 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
0.56 |
|
|
0.15 |
|
Per share, diluted (4) |
|
0.16 |
|
|
0.02 |
|
|
0.38 |
|
|
0.11 |
|
Income (loss) |
|
18,757 |
|
|
(11,486 |
) |
|
16,613 |
|
|
(15,431 |
) |
Per share, basic |
|
0.10 |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
0.09 |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
Per share, diluted (4) |
|
0.07 |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
0.06 |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
Capital expenditures |
|
53,777 |
|
|
11,806 |
|
|
147,619 |
|
|
60,853 |
|
Property acquisitions |
|
8 |
|
|
- |
|
|
295 |
|
|
- |
|
Adjusted working capital
deficit (end of period) (1) |
|
|
|
|
$ |
(31,814 |
) |
$ |
(15,934 |
) |
Bank debt (end of period) |
|
|
|
|
|
187,724 |
|
|
120,477 |
|
Net debt (end of period)
(1) |
|
|
|
|
|
219,538 |
|
|
136,411 |
|
Undrawn credit facility
capacity (end of period) |
|
|
|
|
|
36,994 |
|
|
103,626 |
|
Available funding (end of
period) (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
5,180 |
|
|
87,692 |
|
Shareholders’ equity (end of
period) |
|
|
|
|
|
374,573 |
|
|
356,355 |
|
Annualized cash return on invested capital (CROIC) (1) |
|
21.4 |
% |
|
6.2 |
% |
|
17.9 |
% |
|
7.9 |
% |
Annualized return on capital employed (ROCE) (1) |
|
17.6 |
% |
|
(1.3 |
%) |
|
13.7 |
% |
|
0.0 |
% |
Shares outstanding (end of
period) |
|
|
|
|
|
191,801 |
|
|
190,572 |
|
Weighted-average basic shares
outstanding |
|
191,692 |
|
|
190,468 |
|
|
191,353 |
|
|
190,150 |
|
Weighted-average diluted
shares outstanding (4) |
|
280,480 |
|
|
273,172 |
|
|
279,900 |
|
|
272,945 |
|
Operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensate (bbls/d) |
|
7,399 |
|
|
4,265 |
|
|
7,251 |
|
|
4,334 |
|
Other natural gas liquids (NGLs) (bbls/d) |
|
3,434 |
|
|
2,196 |
|
|
3,133 |
|
|
1,923 |
|
Total NGLs (bbls/d) |
|
10,833 |
|
|
6,461 |
|
|
10,384 |
|
|
6,257 |
|
Crude oil (bbls/d) |
|
78 |
|
|
126 |
|
|
84 |
|
|
106 |
|
Natural gas (Mcf/d) |
|
82,755 |
|
|
42,683 |
|
|
76,532 |
|
|
50,876 |
|
Total (boe/d) (2) |
|
24,704 |
|
|
13,701 |
|
|
23,223 |
|
|
14,842 |
|
Condensate and crude oil (% of
total production) |
|
30 |
% |
|
32 |
% |
|
32 |
% |
|
30 |
% |
Total liquids (% of total
production) |
|
44 |
% |
|
48 |
% |
|
45 |
% |
|
43 |
% |
Benchmark prices |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crude oil – WTI (C$/bbl) |
$ |
88.88 |
|
$ |
54.48 |
|
$ |
81.07 |
|
$ |
51.39 |
|
Condensate – Edmonton Condensate (C$/bbl) |
|
89.24 |
|
|
51.74 |
|
|
81.12 |
|
|
47.81 |
|
Natural gas – AECO 5A (C$/GJ) |
|
3.40 |
|
|
2.15 |
|
|
3.10 |
|
|
1.99 |
|
Average realized prices
(3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensate (per bbl) |
|
85.30 |
|
|
48.24 |
|
|
75.89 |
|
|
42.67 |
|
Other NGLs (per bbl) |
|
37.15 |
|
|
16.41 |
|
|
30.46 |
|
|
14.57 |
|
Total NGLs (per bbl) |
|
70.03 |
|
|
37.42 |
|
|
62.18 |
|
|
34.03 |
|
Crude oil (per bbl) |
|
74.05 |
|
|
44.94 |
|
|
67.14 |
|
|
35.66 |
|
Natural gas (per Mcf) |
|
3.93 |
|
|
2.28 |
|
|
3.65 |
|
|
2.20 |
|
Netbacks |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue (per boe) |
|
44.10 |
|
|
25.15 |
|
|
40.07 |
|
|
22.15 |
|
Realized (loss) gain on commodity risk |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
management contracts (per boe) (5) |
|
(6.79 |
) |
|
(0.31 |
) |
|
(5.46 |
) |
|
3.99 |
|
Royalties (per boe) |
|
(1.70 |
) |
|
(0.87 |
) |
|
(1.20 |
) |
|
(0.53 |
) |
Operating expenses (per boe) |
|
(10.94 |
) |
|
(10.26 |
) |
|
(10.91 |
) |
|
(10.77 |
) |
Transportation (per boe) |
|
(2.66 |
) |
|
(3.80 |
) |
|
(2.67 |
) |
|
(3.57 |
) |
Operating netback (per boe)
(1) (5) |
|
22.01 |
|
|
9.91 |
|
|
19.83 |
|
|
11.27 |
|
Adjusted funds flow netback
(per boe) (1) |
$ |
19.22 |
|
$ |
5.05 |
|
$ |
16.94 |
|
$ |
7.23 |
|
|
(1) |
See “Non-GAAP measures” in the Advisories for a description. |
|
(2) |
For a description of the boe conversion ratio, see “Basis of Barrel
of Oil Equivalent”. References to crude oil in production amounts
are to the product type “tight oil” and references to natural gas
in production amounts are to the product type “shale gas”.
References to total liquids include oil and natural gas liquids
(including condensate, butane and propane). |
|
(3) |
Figures calculated before hedging. |
|
(4) |
Weighted-average number of diluted shares outstanding for the
purpose of calculating diluted per share amounts in the 2021
periods presented includes 88,075,674 common shares that are
issuable at the discretion of preferred shareholders as of
September 30, 2021 for no additional proceeds to the Company. The
preferred shares have a total convertible value of $74.9 million at
September 30, 2021 and are convertible at $0.85 per common share.
The impact of other dilutive instruments is also factored into this
calculation as applicable. |
|
(5) |
Realized (loss) gain on commodity risk management contracts
reclassified to be included under operating netback for 2021, prior
period figures have been adjusted to conform with current
presentation. |
2021 DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM
UPDATE:
During November 2021, Pipestone
opportunistically contracted a second drilling rig which has just
completed an extended Montney drilling campaign in N.E.B.C. with a
large producer. The Company will utilize the second rig to drill 3
wells at the 6-30 pad prior the end of 2021. As a result, Pipestone
now expects its full year 2021 capital expenditures to be
approximately $180 million, up from $170 - $175 million previously,
and will exit 2021 with 9 drilled and uncompleted wells
(“DUCs”).
In early November, Pipestone completed the
construction and commissioning of the previously announced
Veresen-owned and Pipestone-operated 12” gathering pipeline and
6-30 battery. This infrastructure ties Pipestone’s production into
the 16-28 compressor station and ultimately to the Veresen Hythe
gas plant. Since November 5th, production has been gradually
ramping into the new facilities, with corporate production through
all our midstream facilities averaging ~31,600 boe/d (33%
condensate) over the past 3 days. The Company estimates that
November and December 2021 aggregate corporate production will
average >30,000 boe/d, with sequential quarterly growth through
2022 until throughput reaches the Company’s total currently
available processing capacity of ~40,000 boe/d.
Sustained Capital Cost
Performance: The 3 well 14-4 pad achieved an average
drilling cost of $2.0 million per well with a pad average lateral
length of 2,951 metres and completion cost of $3.4 million with a
proppant intensity of 2.8 tonnes per metre. Average all-in
DCE&T estimate for the 14-4 pad is $5.9 million per well.
The drilling cost on the 3 new wells at the 6-13
pad averaged $1.7 million per well with an average lateral length
of 2,417 metres and completion cost of $2.8 million with a proppant
intensity of 2.5 tonnes per metre. At an all-in DCE&T cost of
$4.9 million per well, the 6-13 pad represents Pipestone’s lowest
per well DCE&T cost delivered to date.
Strong Well Performance: The
six well 15-25 pad has achieved an IP90 of 445 bbl/d wellhead
condensate and 4.5 MMcf/d raw gas (condensate gas ratio “CGR” of
~100 bbl/MMcf), which is in line with type curve expectations. The
three well 8-15 pad has achieved an IP180 of 510 bbl/d wellhead
condensate and 3.6 MMcf/d raw gas (CGR of 142 bbl/MMcf). The three
well 14-4 pad, and the three well 6-13 pad both have had initial
flow tests with very encouraging early time results. Both pads were
placed on production in early November, and Pipestone expects to
provide additional details once longer-term production data is
available.
2022 GUIDANCE & CORPORATE FORECAST
UPDATE:(1)
An infographic accompanying this announcement is available
at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/cf8f45dc-4098-4944-a336-d85febd62e7b
In 2022, Pipestone plans to spend $180 - $200
million, which includes 21 wells drilled, and 24 wells completed,
equipped, and brought on production. This capital program is
forecast to drive full year average 2022 production of 34,000 –
36,000 boe/d. At the guidance range midpoint, Pipestone forecasts
generating cash flow of $340 million and free cash flow of $150
million at US$70 WTI | $3.50 AECO.
|
2021Guidance |
2022Guidance |
2023Forecast |
Price Forecast |
US$75 WTI | $4.00 AECO | $0.80 CAD |
US$70 WTI | $3.50 AECO | $0.80 CAD |
US$70 WTI | $3.50 AECO | $0.80 CAD |
Full Year Production (boe/d) |
24,000 – 26,000 |
34,000 – 36,000 |
37,000 – 40,000 |
AT Cash Flow (C$ MM) (2) |
$165 - $180 |
$330 - $350 |
$370 |
Capex (C$ MM) (3) |
$180 |
$180 - $200 |
$140 |
Free Cash Flow (C$ MM) (2) |
$(10) - $0 |
$140 - $160 |
$230 |
(Net Debt) / Net Cash ($MM) (2) |
($180) |
($30) |
$200 (net cash) |
LTM Debt / Cash Flow (x) |
1.1x |
0.2x |
n.a |
|
1) |
3-year plan as at November 2021, derived by utilizing, among other
assumptions, historical Pipestone production performance and
current capital and operating cost assumptions held flat for
illustration only. Budgets and forecasts beyond 2022 have not been
finalized and are subject to a variety of factors, thus forecast
results for 2023 may change materially. Where a range is not
provided, guidance and forecast values represent the mid-point
estimate. 2021 price forecast is for Q4. Cash flow is calculated
net of forecast cash taxes paid; Pipestone does not anticipate cash
tax outlays at the above price forecasts until after 2023. |
|
2) |
See “Advisories Regarding Non-IFRS Measures”. Net debt excludes
convertible preferred shares as there is no cash settled liability
and includes adjusted working capital deficit. Forecast net debt /
net cash does not incorporate the impact of any shareholder
distributions. |
|
3) |
Capex includes all anticipated DCE&T, infrastructure and other
capital expenditures, but excludes capitalized G&A. |
Illustrative 2022 Free Cash Flow
Allocation:
Pipestone’s first priority is to deleverage the
business, with a debt target of less than $100 million, which
equates to <1.0x D/CF at a US$45 WTI | $2.00 AECO ($100 million
debt balance equates to a run-rate 2022E debt / cashflow of 0.3x at
US$70 WTI | $3.50 AECO). Pipestone will commence an NCIB in Q4 2021
to repurchase up to 5% of its basic shares or ~10 million shares
over a 12-month period from commencement. This equates to a maximum
share repurchase amount of ~$40 million over the next 12 months at
Pipestone’s current share price. Excess cash flow will be available
for additional shareholder returns, capital to increase the
long-term production plateau above 40 Mboe/d, and further debt
repayment.
An infographic accompanying this announcement is available
at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/c44b74fc-75ed-4d1d-a8a4-6a2590a8c5c6
Q3 2021 Financial Statements and
Conference Call
Third quarter results are expected to be
released before market open on November 10, 2021. A conference call
has been scheduled for November 10, 2021 at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Time
(11:00 a.m. Eastern Time) for interested investors, analysts,
brokers, and media representatives.
Conference Call Details:
Toll-Free: (866) 953-0776International: (630) 652-5852Conference
ID: 1947358
Pipestone Energy Corp.
Pipestone is an oil and gas exploration and
production company focused on developing its large contiguous and
condensate-rich Montney asset base in the Pipestone area near
Grande Prairie. Pipestone is fully funded to grow its production
from 25 Mboe/d in 2021 to 35 Mboe/d (midpoint) in 2022, while
generating significant free cash flow and de-leveraging the
business. Pipestone is committed to building long term value for
our shareholders while maintaining the highest possible
environmental and operating standards, as well as being an active
and contributing member to the communities in which it operates.
Pipestone shares trade under the symbol PIPE on the TSX. For more
information, visit www.pipestonecorp.com.
Pipestone Energy Corp.
Contacts:
Paul WanklynPresident and Chief Executive Officer(587)
392-8407paul.wanklyn@pipestonecorp.com |
Craig NieboerChief Financial Officer(587)
392-8408craig.nieboer@pipestonecorp.com |
Dan van KesselVP Corporate Development(587)
392-8414dan.vankessel@pipestonecorp.com |
|
Advisory Regarding Non-GAAP
Measures
Non-GAAP measures
This press release includes references to
financial measures commonly used in the oil and natural gas
industry. The terms “adjusted funds flow from operations”, “cash
flow”, “free cash flow”, “operating netback”, “adjusted funds flow
netback”, “net debt”, “available funding”, “CROIC”, and “ROCE” are
not defined under IFRS, which have been incorporated into Canadian
GAAP, as set out in Part 1 of the Chartered Professional
Accountants Canada Handbook – Accounting, are not separately
defined under GAAP, and may not be comparable with similar measures
presented by other companies. The reconciliations of these non-GAAP
measures to the nearest GAAP measure are discussed in the MD&A
dated November 10, 2021, a copy of which is available
electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Management believes the presentation of the
non-GAAP measures provide useful information to investors and
shareholders as the measures provide increased transparency and the
opportunity to better analyze and compare performance against prior
periods.
Adjusted funds flow from operations
Pipestone uses “adjusted funds flow from
operations” (cash from operating activities before changes in
non-cash working capital and decommissioning provision costs
incurred), a measure that is not defined under IFRS. Adjusted funds
flow from operations should not be considered an alternative to, or
more meaningful than, cash from operating activities, income (loss)
or other measures determined in accordance with IFRS as an
indicator of the Company’s performance. Management uses adjusted
funds flow from operations to analyze operating performance and
leverage and believes it is a useful supplemental measure as it
provides an indication of the funds generated by Pipestone’s
principal business activities prior to consideration of changes in
working capital.
Cash flow
“Cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure that is
calculated as cash from operating activities plus changes in
non-cash working capital and decommissioning provision costs
incurred, and is not defined under IFRS. Cash flow should not be
considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash from
operating activities, income (loss) or other measures determined in
accordance with IFRS as an indicator of the Company’s performance.
Management uses cash flow to analyze operating performance and
leverage and believes it is a useful supplemental measure as it
provides an indication of the funds generated by Pipestone’s
principal business activities prior to consideration of changes in
working capital.
Free cash flow
“Free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure that is
calculated as cash from operating activities plus changes in
non-cash working capital and decommissioning provision costs
incurred, less capital expenditures incurred, and is not defined
under IFRS. Free cash flow should not be considered an alternative
to, or more meaningful than, cash from operating activities, income
(loss) or other measures determined in accordance with IFRS as an
indicator of the Company’s performance. Management uses free cash
flow to analyze operating performance and leverage and believes it
is a useful supplemental measure as it provides an indication of
the funds generated by Pipestone’s principal business activities,
inclusive of ongoing capital expenditures, prior to consideration
of changes in working capital.
Operating netback and Adjusted funds flow
netback
Operating netback is calculated on either a
total dollar or per-unit-of-production basis and is determined by
deducting royalties, operating and transportation expenses from
liquids and natural gas sales adjusted for realized gains/losses on
commodity risk management contracts.
Adjusted funds flow netback reflects adjusted
funds flow from operations on a per-unit-of-production basis and is
determined by dividing adjusted funds flow by total production on a
per-boe basis. Adjusted funds flow netback can also be determined
by deducting G&A, transaction costs, cash financing expenses,
adding financing income and adjusting for realized gains/losses on
interest rate risk management contracts on a per-unit-of-production
basis from the operating netback. Refer to “Financial and Operating
Results” section above for further details.
Operating netback and adjusted funds flow
netback are common metrics used in the oil and natural gas industry
and are used by Company management to measure operating results on
a per boe basis to better analyze and compare performance against
prior periods, as well as formulate comparisons against peers.
Net debt
Net debt is a non-GAAP measure that equals bank
debt outstanding plus adjusted working capital. The Company does
not consider its convertible preferred share obligation to be part
of net debt as this represents a non-cash obligation that will
ultimately be settled by conversion into Pipestone common shares
and reclassified from a liability to share capital on the Company’s
statement of financial position. Net debt is considered to be a
useful measure in assisting management and investors to evaluate
Pipestone’s financial strength.
Available funding and Adjusted working
capital
Available funding is comprised of adjusted
working capital and undrawn portions of the Company’s RBL. Adjusted
working capital is comprised of current assets less current
liabilities on the Company’s consolidated statement of financial
position and excludes the current portion of risk management
contracts and lease liabilities. The available funding measure
allows management and others to evaluate the Company’s short-term
liquidity.
CROIC and ROCE
Adjusted EBITDA is calculated as profit or loss
before interest, income taxes, depletion and depreciation, adjusted
for certain non-cash and extraordinary items primarily relating to
unrealized gains and losses on risk management contracts. Adjusted
EBITDA is used to calculate CROIC. Adjusted EBIT is calculated as
adjusted EBITDA less depletion and depreciation. Adjusted EBIT is
used to calculate ROCE.
CROIC is determined by dividing adjusted EBITDA
by the gross carrying value of the Company’s oil and gas assets at
a point in time. For the purposes of the CROIC calculation, the net
carrying value of the Company’s exploration and evaluation assets,
property and equipment and ROU assets, is taken from the Company’s
consolidated statement of financial position, and excludes
accumulated depletion and depreciation as disclosed in the
financial statement notes to determine the gross carrying
value.
ROCE is determined by dividing adjusted EBIT by
the carrying value of the Company’s net assets. For the purposes
for the ROCE calculation, net assets are defined as total assets on
the Company’s consolidated statement of financial position less
current liabilities at a point in time.
CROIC and ROCE allow management and others to
evaluate the Company’s capital spending efficiency and ability to
generate profitable returns by measuring profit or loss relative to
the capital employed in the business.
Advisory
Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
In the interest of providing shareholders of
Pipestone and potential investors information regarding Pipestone,
this news release contains certain information and statements
(“forward-looking statements”) that constitute forward-looking
information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future results or
events, are based upon internal plans, intentions, expectations and
beliefs, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause
actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated
or suggested therein. All statements other than statements of
current or historical fact constitute forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are typically, but not always,
identified by words such as “anticipate”, “estimate”, “expect”,
“intend”, “forecast”, “continue”, “propose”, “may”, “will”,
“should”, “believe”, “plan”, “target”, “objective”, “project”,
“potential” and similar or other expressions indicating or
suggesting future results or events.
Forward-looking statements are not promises of
future outcomes. There is no assurance that the results or events
indicated or suggested by the forward-looking statements, or the
plans, intentions, expectations or beliefs contained therein or
upon which they are based, are correct or will in fact occur or be
realized (or if they do, what benefits Pipestone may derive
therefrom).
In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements
pertaining to: plans to accelerate capital expenditures and
expected DUCs as of year-end; estimated production and increased
free cash flow generation; revised 2021 production guidance and
outlook; forecasted spending; guidance for 2022 and 2023, including
production, capital expenditures, cash flow, free cash flow,
reinvestment rate, net debt / net cash and LTDM Debt / Cash flow;
plans for the repayment of debt; plans regarding a normal course
issuer bid and forecast repurchases thereunder; DCE&T estimate
for the 14-4 pad; timing for drilling 21 wells and completing 24
wells, and the associated cost and estimated production dates the
connection date of Pipestone’s 6-30 pad to the Veresen Midstream
battery and compressor station and the associated increased
processing capacity; and plans to complete and equip three
additional wells on the 6-30 pad.
With respect to the forward-looking statements
contained in this news release, Pipestone has assessed material
factors and made assumptions regarding, among other things: future
commodity prices and currency exchange rates, including consistency
of future oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and natural gas prices
with current commodity price forecasts; the economic impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic; the ability to integrate Blackbird Energy Inc.’s
(“Blackbird”) and Pipestone Oil Corp. ’s (“Pipestone Oil”)
historical businesses and operations and realize financial,
operational and other synergies from the combination transaction
completed on January 4, 2019; Pipestone’s continued ability to
obtain qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient
manner; the predictability of future results based on past and
current experience; the predictability and consistency of the
legislative and regulatory regime governing royalties, taxes,
environmental matters and oil and gas operations, both provincially
and federally; Pipestone’s ability to successfully market its
production of oil, NGLs and natural gas; the timing and success of
drilling and completion activities (and the extent to which the
results thereof meet expectations); Pipestone’s future production
levels and amount of future capital investment, and their
consistency with Pipestone’s current development plans and budget;
future capital expenditure requirements and the sufficiency thereof
to achieve Pipestone’s objectives; the successful application of
drilling and completion technology and processes; the applicability
of new technologies for recovery and production of Pipestone’s
reserves and other resources, and their ability to improve capital
and operational efficiencies in the future; the recoverability of
Pipestone's reserves and other resources; Pipestone’s ability to
economically produce oil and gas from its properties and the timing
and cost to do so; the performance of both new and existing wells;
future cash flows from production; future sources of funding for
Pipestone’s capital program, and its ability to obtain external
financing when required and on acceptable terms; future debt
levels; geological and engineering estimates in respect of
Pipestone’s reserves and other resources; the accuracy of
geological and geophysical data and the interpretation thereof; the
geography of the areas in which Pipestone conducts exploration and
development activities; the timely receipt of required regulatory
approvals; the access, economic, regulatory and physical
limitations to which Pipestone may be subject from time to time;
and the impact of industry competition.
The forward-looking statements contained herein
reflect management's current views, but the assessments and
assumptions upon which they are based may prove to be incorrect.
Although Pipestone believes that its underlying assessments and
assumptions are reasonable based on currently available
information, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking
statements, which are inherently uncertain, depend upon the
accuracy of such assessments and assumptions, and are subject to
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, both
general and specific, many of which are beyond Pipestone’s control,
that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from
those indicated or suggested in the forward-looking statements.
Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to,
volatility in market prices and demand for oil, NGLs and natural
gas and hedging activities related thereto; the ability to
successfully integrate Blackbird’s and Pipestone Oil’s historical
businesses and operations; general economic, business and industry
conditions; variance of Pipestone’s actual capital costs, operating
costs and economic returns from those anticipated; the ability to
find, develop or acquire additional reserves and the availability
of the capital or financing necessary to do so on satisfactory
terms; and risks related to the exploration, development and
production of oil and natural gas reserves and resources.
Additional risks, uncertainties and other factors are discussed in
the MD&A dated November 10, 2021 and in Pipestone’s annual
information form dated March 10, 2021, copies of which are
available electronically on Pipestone’s SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Certain information in this news release is
“financial outlook” within the meaning of applicable securities
laws. The purpose of this financial outlook is to provide readers
with disclosure of the company’s reasonable expectations of our
anticipate results. The financial outlook is provided as of the
date of this news release. Certain assumptions made underlying the
financial outlook are disclosed herein under “2022 Guidance &
Corporate Forecast Update”. Readers are cautioned that this
financial outlook may not be appropriate for other purposes. The
forward-looking statements contained in this news release are made
as of the date hereof and Pipestone assumes no obligation to update
or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of
new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by
applicable securities laws. All forward-looking statements herein
are expressly qualified by this advisory.
Initial Production Rates and Short-Term
Test Rates
This document may disclose test rates of
production for certain wells over short periods of time (i.e.
IP90), which are preliminary and not determinative of the rates at
which those or any other wells will commence production and
thereafter decline. Short-term test rates are not necessarily
indicative of long-term well or reservoir performance or of
ultimate recovery. Although such rates are useful in confirming the
presence of hydrocarbons, they are preliminary in nature, are
subject to a high degree of predictive uncertainty as a result of
limited data availability and may not be representative of
stabilized on-stream production rates.
Production over a longer period will also
experience natural decline rates, which can be high in the Montney
play and may not be consistent over the longer term with the
decline experienced over an initial production period. Initial
production or test rates may also include recovered “load” fluids
used in well completion stimulation operations. Actual results will
differ from those realized during an initial production period or
short-term test period, and the difference may be material.
Oil and Gas Measures
Basis of Barrel of Oil Equivalent
Petroleum and natural gas reserves and
production volumes are stated as a “barrel of oil equivalent”
(boe), derived by converting natural gas to oil equivalency in the
ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil. Readers are
cautioned that boe figures may be misleading, particularly if used
in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6,000 cubic feet of gas to
one barrel of oil is based on energy equivalency, which is
primarily applicable at the burner tip, and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead.
CGR
Any references herein to “CGR” mean
condensate/gas ratio and is expressed as a volume of condensate
(expressed in barrels) per million cubic feet (mmcf) of natural
gas.
DCE&T
This news release contains reference to
DCE&T (drilling, completion, equip and tie-in costs), which
does not have a standardized meaning or standard method of
calculation and therefore such measure may not be comparable to
similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to
make comparisons. This metric has been included herein to provide
readers with an additional measure to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, this measure is not a reliable indicator of
the future performance and future performance may not compare to
the performance in previous periods and therefore such a metric
should not be unduly relied upon. DCE&T includes all capital
spent to drill, complete, equip and tie-in a well.
Production
References to natural gas and condensate
production in this press release refer to the shale gas and natural
gas liquids (which includes condensate), respectively, product
types as defined in National Instrument 51-101, Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities. References to liquids
include tight oil and natural gas liquids (including condensate,
butane and propane).
Disclosure of production on a per boe basis in
this press release consists of the constituent product types and
their respective quantities as disclosed in the following
table:
|
Condensate(bbls/d) |
Other NGLs(bbls/d) |
Total NGLs(bbls/d) |
Crude Oil (1)(bbls/d) |
Natural Gas (2)(MMcf/d) |
Total (boe/d) |
Last 3 Days Nov 2021(Field Estimate) |
10,430 |
3,790 |
14,222 |
n.m. (3) |
104 |
31,600 |
(1) References
to crude oil in production amounts are to the product type “tight
oil”. (2) References to
natural gas in production amounts are to the product type “shale
gas”. (3) NMN – not
meaningful number.
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