Canadian Premium Sand Inc. (“
CPS”
or the “
Company”) (TSXV: CPS) is pleased to
announce that an updated Preliminary Feasibility Study and Mineral
Resource Report effective March 19, 2020 (the “
Updated
Technical Report”) has been completed for the Company’s
Wanipigow Sand Project (the “
Project”) by APEX
Geoscience Ltd. and John T. Boyd Company. The Updated Technical
Report incorporates the results of the previously announced capital
optimization review on February 4, 2020.
Driven by a significant reduction in estimated
capital and operating costs, the project will produce a pre-tax
internal rate of return (“IRR”) of 52.2% and a
pre-tax net present value using an 8% discount rate
(“NPV8”) of CAD $397.5 million. The revised
capital cost of CAD $124 million before contingency, including CAD
$8 million in expected short line rail infrastructure upgrades
north of Winnipeg, represents a dramatic improvement from the
previous estimated capital cost of CAD $204 million.
The table below highlights the key differences
in economic valuation between the previously announced Technical
Report on June 12, 2019 and the Updated Technical Report. Material
downward changes in the oil and gas commodity price forecasts
between June 2019 and February 2020 have been incorporated into the
Updated Technical Report.
|
March 2020 |
June 2019 |
Change |
Change (%) |
Capital cost (‘000s) (CAD, before contingency) Note 1 |
$123,800 |
$204,000 |
-$80,200 |
- 39.3% |
Average annual production rate (tonnes / year) |
1,250,000 |
1,360,000 |
-110,000 |
- 8.1% |
Year 1 of production |
2022 |
2020 |
+ 2 years |
- |
Grande Prairie Price Basis in 2022 (CAD / tonne, delivered in
rail-car) Note 2 |
$141 |
$152 |
- $11 |
- 7.2% |
Grande Prairie Price Basis for 2026 onwards (CAD / tonne, delivered
in rail-car) Note 2 |
$145 |
$157 |
- $12 |
- 7.6% |
5-yr Average Mine-Gate Operating Cash Cost (CAD / tonne) Note
3 |
$32.3 |
$51.7 |
- $19.4 |
- 37.5% |
Before-Tax NPV8 (‘000s CAD) |
$397,466 |
$316,400 |
+ $81,066 |
+ 25.6% |
Before-Tax IRR |
52.2% |
23.1% |
+ 29.1% |
+ 126% |
Capital Payback |
3.0 years |
5.3 years |
- 2.3 years |
- 43.4% |
After-Tax NPV8 (‘000s CAD) |
$290,746 |
$220,300 |
+ $70,446 |
+ 32.0% |
After-Tax IRR |
46.0% |
20.2% |
+ 25.8% |
+ 128% |
Note 1: CAD / USD conversion rate of 1.33 was used to estimate
the capital cost Note 2: Grande Prairie Price Basis is provided as
a reference point for the reader. Company sales plans include
multiple locations Note 3: In addition to plant operating costs,
royalties and reclamation levy, the Mine-Gate Operating Cash Cost
for March 2020 includes costs of barging across the lake and for
June 2019 includes costs of trucking to Winnipeg
Subject to permitting, final investment decision
and subsequent financing, the Project will be in production in
early 2022. The Company believes that by 2022 market conditions,
drilling activity and silica sand prices in Western Canada will
have stabilized at much improved levels over the current volatile
conditions.
In light of the current market volatility the
Company and JT Boyd have utilized independent Sproule and
Deloitte’s oil and gas commodity price forecasts from Q1 2020 to
establish a reasonable drilling forecast by basin and play in
Western Canada. The Company notes that establishing a reliable
third party forecast for oil and gas commodities and related
drilling activity with the recent oil price collapse is
challenging. As such, the Company has prepared a sensitivity
table to illustrate the financial effects on various future pricing
scenarios for the Company’s silica sand.
A summary of the sensitivity of the pre-tax NPV8 and IRR to a
change in revenue and operating costs is shown in the tables below.
The full sensitivity analyses can be found in the Updated Technical
Report.
Pre-Tax NPV8 Sensitivity (in ‘000s CAD) is
available at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/c6101368-eb47-440c-8499-43cede77988b
Pre-Tax IRR Sensitivity is available at
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/df7ad1de-ab9d-4504-aaf4-fa44b2c13795
“With a successful conclusion of the capital
optimization review, closing of convertible debenture financing in
February 2020 and completion of the Updated Technical Report with
significantly improved economics we look forward to continuing to
engage with local stakeholders and regulatory groups and seek
financing to advance the project to a Final Investment Decision to
build the project and start production,” says Glenn Leroux,
President & CEO of CPS. “We continue to advance our sales
objectives in Western Canada, having made progress over the first
two months of this year. The COVID-19 pandemic and the recent
global oil-price collapse has dramatically impacted drilling and
completion activity in Western Canada. There will however be a
point of market stability in the future and management is doing
everything within our means to ensure the Company is well
positioned to benefit from that when it occurs.”
About the Wanipigow Sand Resource and
Reserve Estimates
Since June 2019, the Project’s land position has
changed due to the Government of Manitoba’s Infrastructure
Department’s decision that the Province maintain a single Quarry
Lease for municipal aggregate use. This single lease area may
potentially be made available for silica sand extraction once the
surficial aggregate is depleted however there is no firm assurance
of that outcome. The subsurface sand underlying the Manitoba
Infrastructure lease was originally considered as a CPS pending
lease application in June 2019 and was included in the previous
resource and reserve estimations. In the Updated Technical Report,
the sand resource underlying this lease has been removed from the
resource and reserve estimations. The Updated Technical Report
supersedes and replaces the June 2019 report and resource
estimates.
The Updated Technical Report prepared in accordance with
National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”) predicts
total resources of 35.5 million tonnes of Measured Resource, 6.8
million tonnes of Indicated Resource and 94.7 million tonnes of
Inferred Resource. Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and
do not have demonstrated economic viability. The estimations were
completed using the same methods as in June 2019 including a lower
cutoff of mesh-sizes that are greater than or equal to 20-mesh and
less than or equal to 140-mesh fraction and in-situ compacted bulk
densities of between 1.88 and 1.91 g/cm3 to convert the volumes to
tonnages.
Furthermore, the Updated Technical Report
indicates a total Proven and Probable Reserve of 24.1 million
tonnes, upon which the published economics, mine-life and business
plan are based. The Mineral Reserves estimated for the Project are
subject to the types of risks common to most silica sand quarry
operations that exist in Canada. Uncertainty that may materially
impact mineral reserve estimation include but are not limited to:
site-specific mining and geological conditions, management and
personnel capabilities, availability of funding to properly operate
and capitalize the operation, variations in cost elements and
market conditions, developing and operating the mine in an
efficient manner, unforeseen changes in legislation and new
industry developments.
About Canadian Premium Sand
Inc.
The Company is an exploration stage company
which is developing its Wanipigow Sand Resource in Manitoba and
developing a sales channel into Western Canada Sedimentary Basin to
support the basis for a commercial operation at Wanipigow, when
achieved. The Company is a reporting issuer in Ontario, Alberta and
British Columbia. Its shares trade on the TSX Venture Exchange
under the symbol "CPS".
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its
Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for
the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Technical Disclosure
The technical information in this press release has been
reviewed and approved by Roy Eccles, P. Geol. of APEX Geoscience
Ltd. and Michael Wick P. Eng. of John T. Boyd Company, each of whom
is independent of CPS and a “qualified person” under NI 43-101. The
Updated Technical Report, effectively dated March 19, 2020 was
prepared by Roy Eccles, P. Geol. of APEX Geoscience Ltd. and Robert
Farmer P. Eng. of John T. Boyd Company, each of whom is independent
of CPS and a “qualified person” under NI 43-101 and provides the
details of the Project including the quality assurance program and
quality control measures applied and key assumptions, parameters
and methods used to estimate the Mineral Resources and Reserves and
is available for review under the Company's profile on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Mineral
Reserves and Mineral Resources
The terms "Mineral Reserve", "Proven Mineral
Reserve" and "Probable Mineral Reserve" used in this press release
are Canadian mining terms as defined in accordance with NI 43-101
under the guidelines set out in the Canadian Institute of Mining,
Metallurgy and Petroleum (the "CIM") Standards on
Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves, as may be amended from time
to time by the CIM. The terms "Mineral Resource", "Measured Mineral
Resource", "Indicated Mineral Resource", "Inferred Mineral
Resource" used in this press release are Canadian mining terms as
defined in accordance with NI 43-101 under the guidelines set out
in the CIM Standards. Mineral Resources which are not Mineral
Reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.
For a detailed discussion of the Company's
resource and reserve estimates and related matters see the
Company's Updated Technical Report filed under the Company's
profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Forward Looking Information
Certain statements contained in this press
release constitute forward-looking statements relating to, without
limitation, expectations, intentions, plans and beliefs, including
information as to the future events, results of operations and the
Company’s future performance (both operational and financial) and
business prospects. In certain cases, forward-looking statements
can be identified by the use of words such as “expects”,
“estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes”,
“plans”, “seeks”, “projects” or variations of such words and
phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results “may” or
“will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Such forward-looking
statements reflect the Company's beliefs, estimates and opinions
regarding its future growth, results of operations, future
performance (both operational and financial), and business
prospects and opportunities at the time such statements are made,
and the Company undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking
statements if these beliefs, estimates and opinions or
circumstances should change. Forward-looking statements are
necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions made
by the Company that are inherently subject to significant business,
economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties and
contingencies. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance. In particular, this press release contains
forward-looking statements pertaining, but not limited, to:
estimates with respect to the revised capital costs for the Project
and related future production rates and IRR and NPV8 estimates;
future improvement in commodity prices and the anticipation of
market stabilization and improvement and the ability to be
well-positioned to take advantage of changing conditions; the
impact of COVID-19 on the Company’s business; the timing of
production from the Project and changes in lease characterizations
and the benefits to be derived therefrom; the ability to achieve
meaningful capital cost reductions on the basis outlined in this
press release and improve the investment opportunity and related
economics of the Project; projections about future improvements in
market conditions and silica sand pricing; future development
plans; industry activity levels; industry conditions pertaining to
the silica sand industry; the ability of and manner by which the
Company expects to meet its capital needs and additional financing
and final investment decision for building of the Project; and the
Company's objectives, strategies and competitive strengths.
By their nature, forward-looking statements
involve numerous current assumptions, known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results,
performance or achievements of the Company to differ materially
from those anticipated by the Company and described in the
forward-looking statements.
With respect to the forward-looking statements
contained in this press release, assumptions have been made
regarding, among other things: the ability to obtain the necessary
stakeholder, regulatory and environmental approval to advance the
development of the Wanipigow Sand Project; the ability to secure
3rd party sales into Western Canada; the ability to enter into
definitive documentation with Hi-Crush, the ability to continue to
consult with, and address feedback received from interested stake
holders including the Hollow Water First Nation and surrounding
communities; environmental risks and regulations; future global
economic and financial conditions; future commodity prices;
operating, capital and sustaining costs; that the regulatory
environment in which the Company operates will be maintained in the
manner currently anticipated by the Company; future exchange and
interest rates; geological and engineering estimates in respect of
the Company's silica sand quantities; the recoverability of the
Company’s silica sand and its quality; the accuracy and veracity of
information and projections sourced from third parties respecting,
among other things, future industry conditions and product demand;
demand for horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing and the
maintenance of current techniques and procedures, particularly with
respect to the use of silica sand; the Company's ability to obtain
qualified staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient
manner; the regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company
conducts its business and any other jurisdictions in which the
Company may conduct its business in the future; future capital
expenditures to be made by the Company; future sources of funding
for the Company's capital program; the Company's future debt
levels; the impact of competition on the Company; and the Company's
ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms.
A number of factors, risks and uncertainties
could cause results to differ materially from those anticipated and
described herein including, among others: the effects of
competition and pricing pressures; effects of fluctuations in the
price of proppants; risks related to indebtedness and liquidity,
including the Company's capital requirements; risks related to
interest rate fluctuations and foreign exchange rate fluctuations;
changes in general economic, financial, market and business
conditions in the markets in which the Company operates; the
effects and impacts of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic;
changes in the technologies used to drill for and produce oil and
natural gas; the Company's ability to obtain, maintain and renew
required permits, licenses and approvals from regulatory
authorities; the stringent requirements of and potential changes to
applicable legislation, regulations and standards; the ability of
the Company to comply with unexpected costs of government
regulations; liabilities resulting from the Company's operations;
the results of litigation or regulatory proceedings that may be
brought against the Company; uninsured and underinsured losses;
risks related to the transportation of the Company's products,
including potential rail line interruptions or a reduction in rail
car availability; the geographic and customer concentration of the
Company; the ability of the Company to retain and attract qualified
management and staff in the markets in which the Company operates;
labour disputes and work stoppages and risks related to employee
health and safety; general risks associated with the oil and
natural gas industry, loss of markets, consumer and business
spending and borrowing trends; limited, unfavourable, or a lack of
access to capital markets; uncertainties inherent in estimating
quantities of mineral resources; sand processing problems; and the
use and suitability of the Company's accounting estimates and
judgments.
Although the Company has attempted to identify
important factors that could cause actual actions, events or
results to differ materially from those described in its
forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause
actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or
intended. There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements
will materialize or prove to be accurate, as actual results and
future events could differ materially from those anticipated in
such statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. These statements speak only as of the date of this
press release. Except as may be required by law, the Company
expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to revise or update
any forward-looking statements or information whether as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise.
Any financial outlook and future-oriented
financial information contained in this press release regarding
prospective financial performance, financial position, IRR or cash
flows is based on assumptions about future events, including
economic conditions and proposed courses of action based on
management’s assessment of the relevant information that is
currently available. Projected operational information contains
forward-looking information and is based on a number of material
assumptions and factors, as are set out above. These projections
may also be considered to contain future oriented financial
information or a financial outlook. The actual results of the
Company's operations for any period will likely vary from the
amounts set forth in these projections and such variations may be
material. Actual results will vary from projected results. Readers
are cautioned that any such financial outlook and future-oriented
financial information contained herein should not be used for
purposes other than those for which it is disclosed herein.
CONTACT
INFORMATION:
Canadian Premium Sand
Inc. Glenn Leroux President and Chief Executive
Officer 587.350.5772glenn.leroux@cpsmail.com
Investor
RelationsIR@cpsmail.com
www.canadianpremiumsand.com
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