This Bitcoin Metric Is Forming A ‘Triple Bottom,’ Here’s What Happened Last Time
07 March 2023 - 06:30AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin active addresses metric is forming
a triple bottom right now. Here’s what happened the last time this
pattern formed. 30-Day WMA Bitcoin Active Addresses Forms Triple
Bottom Structure As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant
post, the price of the cryptocurrency saw a sharp increase when
this kind of triple bottom structure took shape back during the
2018-2019 bear market. The relevant indicator here is the “active
addresses,” which measures the daily total number of Bitcoin
addresses that are getting involved in some kind of transaction
activity on the chain. The metric accounts for both senders and
receivers in this calculation, and it also only counts unique
addresses, meaning that if the same address makes multiple
transfers in a single day, it’s still counted only once. When the
value of this indicator is high, it means a large number of
addresses are taking part in some transfer activity right now. Such
a trend suggests traders could be active in the BTC market
currently. On the other hand, low values imply not many users are
active on the blockchain at the moment. This kind of trend can be a
sign that the general interest in the cryptocurrency is low
currently. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Facing An Inflection
Point? What Analysts Say Now, here is a chart that shows the trend
in the Bitcoin active addresses over the last few years: Looks like
the value of the metric has been rising in recent weeks | Source:
CryptoQuant As displayed in the above graph, the version of the
Bitcoin active addresses here is actually the 30-day weighted
moving average (WMA) one. A WMA is a type of MA that puts more
weight on the newer data as compared to the older one (hence the
“weighted” in the name). From the chart, it’s apparent that this
indicator’s value had plunged pretty hard as the 2018-2019 bear
market started and had remained at pretty low values throughout it.
The metric had made some attempts to put together an uptrend, but
it failed the first two times and created local bottoms. These
bottoms, along with the bottom for the initial plunge, together
formed a sort of “triple bottom” shape. Related Reading: This
Report Claims Bitcoin NFT Market Will Grow By 2025, But How?
Following the last of these three bottoms, the metric was finally
able to amass together some actual upwards momentum, as it then
went on to rally to a local top. Alongside this rise in the 30-day
WMA active addresses, the price of Bitcoin also observed a rally
out of the bear market lows, in an event now called the April 2019
rally. There have been some interesting similarities already
between the April 2019 rally and the latest price surge that BTC
has been observing. Curiously, the active addresses indicator has
formed a similar triple bottom pattern in this bear market as well.
“If Bitcoin follows the triple bottom structure of the last major
cycle, we’re about to see incremental price increases across 2023,”
explains the quant. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is
trading around $22,400, down 5% in the last week. The value of the
asset seems to have gone stale since the plunge | Source: BTCUSD on
TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts
from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
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