Solana Explodes Out Of Downtrend: How High Can It Go?
04 March 2025 - 7:00AM
NEWSBTC
Solana (SOL) has delivered a dramatic shift in market structure,
breaking above a descending parallel channel that had dominated its
price action for several weeks. Ali Martinez (@ali_charts), who
shared the attached four-hour chart, suggests that this breakout
could position the token for a potential climb toward $213. Solana
Bulls Regain Momentum The chart, which spans from January into
early March, shows a steadily declining pattern where price
repeatedly tested and respected both the upper and lower boundaries
of the channel before the latest bullish push propelled SOL beyond
the channel’s resistance. The descending parallel channel
highlighted in Martinez’s analysis is visually evident from a
series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a consistent downward
slope. Each brief recovery in previous weeks failed to clear the
channel’s midline, reinforcing bearish pressure. However, once
SOL’s price managed to rise above this midline, bullish momentum
began to build, culminating in a decisive move through the upper
boundary. This kind of channel breakout often suggests that sellers
have been exhausted, allowing buyers to take control of the market.
Related Reading: Solana Now Retesting Realized Price: Will Shift To
Bear Market Happen? Notably, the breakout comes with two major
catalysts for Solana. First, the massive Solana unlock by the FTX
estate is done (March 1). Second, yesterday, US President Donald
Trump announced the inclusion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Cardano
and Solana in the United States’ Strategic Crypto Reserve. One of
the most critical elements in Martinez’s forecast is the $213
target, which is derived from the channel’s height from the
breakout point in combination with 0.382 Fibonacci retracement
level. Currently, in the aftermath of a breakout, a retest of the
broken resistance is taking place —to turn it into support. The
$160-165 zone is the area where buyers might attempt to defend the
token’s new uptrend. To the upside, the key Fibonacci retracement
levels above Solana’s current price of $170.19 are $174.11 (0.618),
$192.62 (0.5), $213.11 (0.382), and $241.50 (0.236), with the full
retracement level at $295.60 (0.0) serving as the ultimate bullish
target based on the chart’s structure. Related Reading: Is Solana
In A Macro Trend Move? Charts Show Potential Shift The overall
sentiment among analysts supports Martinez’s bullish outlook. Jelle
(@CryptoJelleNL) pointed to the significant Solana unlock event
that is now behind us and underscored the fact that the weekly
candle closed in the green. According to his observations, SOL has
reclaimed crucial support after taking out its lows, with a
trendline that continues to hold firmly. “Massive $SOL unlock
behind us, and the weekly candle closed in the green. Lows taken
out, support retested, trendline holding. Pretty sure the next SOL
push sends it into price discovery – hard,” he writes via X. Adding
to the positive market narrative, Chris Burniske, a partner at
Placeholder VC, remarked via X that BTC, ETH, and SOL all posted
favorable weekly closes and that the long-term trend across these
leading cryptocurrencies remains to the upside. “BTC ETH and SOL
couldn’t have asked for better closes on the weeklies. The long
term trend remains: UP,” Burniske says. From a technical
perspective, much hinges on Solana’s ability to sustain its
breakout. The descending channel had functioned as a clear
reference for bearish sentiment, and breaching it suggests a
significant change in the market’s psychology. At press time, SOL
traded at $164. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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